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England - FA Cup

Southampton

06 Feb 2024 14:45

Watford

Prediction :

Draw

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Southampton vs Watford Prediction & Betting Tips - FA Cup

Prediction published on 06/02/2024, 06:19 by Ian John in FA Cup Predictions

Southampton host Watford at St Mary's in this FA Cup Fourth Round Replay, with a trip to Anfield to face Premier League leaders Liverpool on the cards for the winner. The first game saw the two teams draw 1-1 at Vicarage Road, with a late equaliser for Southampton forcing a replay. The Saints have gone 23 games unbeaten since losing at Middlesbrough last year, a run which manager Russell Martin should be hugely proud of and one which has taken them up to second place in the Championship. That good run continued at the weekend as they defeated Rotherham 2-0 on the road thanks to first half goals from Jan Bednarek and Adam Armstrong, the latter scoring his 15th goal of the season. It will be interesting to see what team Russell Martin picks for this game, now that his charges occupy 2nd in the Championship table. He may decide to rest some players ahead of next weekend's clash with Huddersfield Town at St Mary's.

Since drawing with Southampton in the FA Cup Fourth Round, watford have failed to score in their next two games, a 0-0 draw at Sheffield Wednesday and a disappointing 1-0 home defeat to Cardiff City. That defeat saw Watford drop down to 11th in the Championship table. Valerian Ismael will be hoping his side can rediscover their scoring touch in this replay as otherwise they could be in real trouble against one of the Championship's most in-form teams. One crumb of comfort for Hornets fans is that Watford are unbeaten away from home in their last seven games, winning four and drawing three, and their away record is one of the top five in the division. However with six wins in a row, they are facing a tough task against a Southampton side with the best home record in the last six games of all Championship teams.

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The Best Betting Odds for Southampton v Watford Match

1	X	2
1.73	4	4.5
1.7	4.2	4.5
1.75	3.8	4.25
1.68	3.9	4.1
1.7	3.97	4.61
1.7	3.97	4.61
1.71	4.18	4.36
1.71	4.18	4.36
1.66	3.85	4.5
1.7	3.97	4.61
1.69	4.3	4.6
1.73	4	4
1.75	4.1	4.2
1.67	3.8	4.33
1.75	4.2	4.33
1.7	4.2	4.2
1.74	4.2	4.5

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What is the prediction for the football match between Southampton and Watford?

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 06/02/2024 between Southampton and Watford in FA Cup :

The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 51.43% for a win of Southampton against Watford with odds of 1.75 at Ladbrokes.
The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Southampton vs Watford is 26.48% with odds of 4.3 at Tonybet.
Our prediction model gives a 22.1% chance ⭐ for a win of Watford vs Southampton with odds of 4.61 at 1xbet.

Southampton - Watford Prediction and Best Odds:

Southampton Watford Prediction	Probability	Odds
Southampton wins	51.43%	1.75 at Ladbrokes
Over 2.5 goals	60.39%	1.63 at 1xbet
Both Team To Score	55.83%
Half-time / Full-time : Southampton/Southampton	28.25%	10 at Unibet

Southampton vs Watford Form

Southampton and Watford Last Matches

Southampton Last matches

All Home Away

D W W W D W

Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals

50% BTTS

2.5 Goals scored

0.5 Goals conceded

50% Over 2.5

50% Under 2.5

3 Feb 2024 - Championship

Rotherham

0 : 2

Southampton

28 Jan 2024 - FA Cup

Watford

1 : 1

Southampton

20 Jan 2024 - Championship

Swansea

1 : 3

Southampton

13 Jan 2024 - Championship

Southampton

4 : 0

Sheffield Wednesday

6 Jan 2024 - FA Cup

Southampton

4 : 0

Walsall

1 Jan 2024 - Championship

Norwich

1 : 1

Southampton

W W W W W W

Victories

6/6 (100%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals

17% BTTS

3.5 Goals scored

0.17 Goals conceded

83% Over 2.5

17% Under 2.5

13 Jan 2024 - Championship

Southampton

4 : 0

Sheffield Wednesday

6 Jan 2024 - FA Cup

Southampton

4 : 0

Walsall

29 Dec 2023 - Championship

Southampton

2 : 1

Plymouth

26 Dec 2023 - Championship

Southampton

5 : 0

Swansea

16 Dec 2023 - Championship

Southampton

4 : 0

Blackburn

2 Dec 2023 - Championship

Southampton

2 : 0

Cardiff

D W D W D W

Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals

67% BTTS

1.5 Goals scored

0.67 Goals conceded

17% Over 2.5

83% Under 2.5

3 Feb 2024 - Championship

Rotherham

0 : 2

Southampton

28 Jan 2024 - FA Cup

Watford

1 : 1

Southampton

20 Jan 2024 - Championship

Swansea

1 : 3

Southampton

1 Jan 2024 - Championship

Norwich

1 : 1

Southampton

23 Dec 2023 - Championship

QPR

0 : 1

Southampton

13 Dec 2023 - Championship

Coventry City

1 : 1

Southampton

Watford Last matches

All Home Away

W W D D D L

Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.83 Total goals

67% BTTS

1 Goals scored

0.83 Goals conceded

33% Over 2.5

67% Under 2.5

3 Feb 2024 - Championship

Watford

0 : 1

Cardiff

31 Jan 2024 - Championship

Sheffield Wednesday

0 : 0

Watford

28 Jan 2024 - FA Cup

Watford

1 : 1

Southampton

20 Jan 2024 - Championship

Bristol City

1 : 1

Watford

14 Jan 2024 - Championship

QPR

1 : 2

Watford

6 Jan 2024 - FA Cup

Watford

2 : 1

Chesterfield

L L D W D L

Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals

83% BTTS

1 Goals scored

1.67 Goals conceded

50% Over 2.5

50% Under 2.5

3 Feb 2024 - Championship

Watford

0 : 1

Cardiff

28 Jan 2024 - FA Cup

Watford

1 : 1

Southampton

6 Jan 2024 - FA Cup

Watford

2 : 1

Chesterfield

29 Dec 2023 - Championship

Watford

1 : 1

Stoke

26 Dec 2023 - Championship

Watford

1 : 4

Bristol City

12 Dec 2023 - Championship

Watford

1 : 2

Ipswich Town

W W D W D D

Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals

83% BTTS

2.17 Goals scored

1.17 Goals conceded

67% Over 2.5

33% Under 2.5

31 Jan 2024 - Championship

Sheffield Wednesday

0 : 0

Watford

20 Jan 2024 - Championship

Bristol City

1 : 1

Watford

14 Jan 2024 - Championship

QPR

1 : 2

Watford

1 Jan 2024 - Championship

Plymouth

3 : 3

Watford

23 Dec 2023 - Championship

Blackburn

1 : 2

Watford

16 Dec 2023 - Championship

Preston North End

1 : 5

Watford

Southampton vs Watford Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Southampton

50 %

Draw

33 %

Watford

17 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.5

Total goals

83%

BTTS

1.5

Goals scored (Team 1)

Goals scored (Team 2)

50%

Over 2.5

50%

Under 2.5

28 Jan 2024 - FA Cup

Watford

1 : 1

Southampton

9 Dec 2023 - Championship

Watford

1 : 1

Southampton

13 Mar 2022 - Premier League

Southampton

1 : 2

Watford

30 Oct 2021 - Premier League

Watford

0 : 1

Southampton

28 Jun 2020 - Premier League

Watford

1 : 3

Southampton

30 Nov 2019 - Premier League

Southampton

2 : 1

Watford

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Players list

Southampton

Goalkeeper

J. Lumley

Defender

J. Bednarek

J. Meghoma

J. Stephens

Midfielder

W. Smallbone

J. Rothwell

F. Downes

S. Charles

Forward

C. Adams

T. Dibling

S. Mara

Watford

Goalkeeper

D. Bachmann

Defender

W. Hoedt

F. Sierralta

R. Porteous

Midfielder

G. Chakvetadze

T. Dele-Bashiru

I. Kone

Forward

J. Morris

Matheus Martins

K. Sema

M. Rajovic

Substitutes

Southampton

Goalkeeper

A. McCarthy

Defender

T. Harwood-Bellis

K. Walker-Peters

Midfielder

R. Manning

C. Bragg

S. Armstrong

S. Amo-Ameyaw

Forward

S. Edozie

A. Armstrong

Watford

Goalkeeper

B. Hamer

Defender

J. Lewis

R. Andrews

M. Pollock

Midfielder

T. Ince

J. Livermore

Forward

V. Bayo

A. Nabizada

Y. Asprilla

Missing players

Southampton

Defender

J. Larios

Watford

Most goals and assists

Southampton

Watford

Top Goalscorer

A. Armstrong (24 Goals)

Top Goalscorer

M. Rajovic (10 Goals)

Best assists

A. Armstrong (12 Assists)

Best assists

Y. Asprilla (5 Assists)

Southampton - Watford Key Points

Southampton are unbeaten in their last 23 games in all competitions. That run has included two 1-1 draws away to Watford in the league and FA Cup.
In their last five home games, Southampton have won all 5 games, scoring 21 goals in the process - conceding just one.
Watford have failed to score in their last two games, drawing one and losing one, after scoring at least one goal in all their previous 13 matches in all competitions.
The Hornets are unbeaten in their last seven away games in the Championship, winning four games and drawing three.
Watford have won just two of the last 18 games against Southampton in all competitions, stretching back to April 2009, but both those wins have come away from home.

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Our Southampton vs Watford Prediction

With a trip to Anfield to face Liverpool on the cards for the winner, the Southampton v Watford FA Cup 4th Round replay should be an intriguing game. The first game saw the Saints snatch a last gasp equaliser through Stuart Armstrong after dominating the game following Matheus Martin's 5th minute strike for Watford. Form suggests that the replay will be tight with the Hornets away record excellent. However, Southampton are unbeaten in such a long time that it is hard to see them losing this one either. Our Southampton v Watford prediction therefore is for this to be a draw at the end of 90 minutes and then for extra time or possibly penalties to decide the winner.

Prediction :

Draw

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