England - FA Cup
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Southampton vs Swansea Prediction & Betting Tips - FA Cup
by Ian John in FA Cup Predictions
Will the magic of the FA Cup third round stir up some fight from Southampton in front of their home fans? The Saints host Championship side Swansea City, with the Swans seeking to avenge their 3-2 loss to Southampton at the same stage of this competition back in January 2022. What will our prediction be for this match?
Premier League outfit Southampton sit rooted to the foot of the table with just six points from 20 games. Swansea City occupy twelfth spot in the Championship table, with 34 points from their 26 games. Both sides are yet to play an FA Cup tie this season.
Southampton’s recent form has been dismal, they have lost eight and drawn two of their last ten and come into this game on the back of three straight defeats. A 1-0 home loss to West Ham, followed by a 2-1 defeat away to Crystal Palace and a 5-0 home thrashing by Brentford last week.
In contrast, Swansea’s recent form is more impressive. Successive home wins 3-0 over QPR and 2-1 over Luton were followed by a heavy 4-0 defeat away to Portsmouth. However, the Swans battled to a 1-1 draw at home to West Brom in their last match.
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The Best Betting Odds for Southampton v Swansea Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.73 | 4 | 4.2 |
|
|
1.8 | 4 | 4.2 |
|
|
2.05 | 2.62 | 3.9 |
|
|
1.76 | 3.92 | 4.39 |
|
|
1.76 | 3.92 | 4.39 |
|
|
1.74 | 3.8 | 4 |
|
|
1.76 | 3.9 | 4.38 |
|
|
1.76 | 3.9 | 4.38 |
|
|
1.76 | 4 | 4.1 |
|
|
1.76 | 3.9 | 4.38 |
|
|
1.79 | 4.1 | 4.2 |
|
|
1.79 | 3.99 | 4.4 |
|
|
1.73 | 3.8 | 4.2 |
|
|
1.78 | 3.9 | 4.2 |
|
|
1.73 | 4 | 4.2 |
|
|
1.78 | 4 | 4.33 |
|
|
1.75 | 3.7 | 4.33 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Southampton and Swansea?
Our prediction for the Southampton vs Swansea match is: Over 2.5 Goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 12/01/2025 between Southampton and Swansea in FA Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 33.23% for a win of Southampton against Swansea with odds of 2.05 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Southampton vs Swansea is 15.45% with odds of 4.1 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 51.33% chance ⭐ for a win of Swansea vs Southampton with odds of 4.4 at Vbet.
Southampton vs Swansea Form
Southampton and Swansea Last Matches
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Jan 2025 - Premier League
29 Dec 2024 - Premier League
26 Dec 2024 - Premier League
22 Dec 2024 - Premier League
18 Dec 2024 - Carabao Cup
15 Dec 2024 - Premier League
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
6/6 (100%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Jan 2025 - Premier League
26 Dec 2024 - Premier League
18 Dec 2024 - Carabao Cup
15 Dec 2024 - Premier League
4 Dec 2024 - Premier League
24 Nov 2024 - Premier League
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Dec 2024 - Premier League
22 Dec 2024 - Premier League
7 Dec 2024 - Premier League
29 Nov 2024 - Premier League
9 Nov 2024 - Premier League
26 Oct 2024 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Jan 2025 - Championship
1 Jan 2025 - Championship
29 Dec 2024 - Championship
26 Dec 2024 - Championship
21 Dec 2024 - Championship
14 Dec 2024 - Championship
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Jan 2025 - Championship
29 Dec 2024 - Championship
26 Dec 2024 - Championship
14 Dec 2024 - Championship
30 Nov 2024 - Championship
24 Nov 2024 - Championship
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Jan 2025 - Championship
21 Dec 2024 - Championship
10 Dec 2024 - Championship
7 Dec 2024 - Championship
27 Nov 2024 - Championship
10 Nov 2024 - Championship
Southampton vs Swansea Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
17 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
20 Jan 2024 - Championship
26 Dec 2023 - Championship
8 Jan 2022 - FA Cup
8 May 2018 - Premier League
12 Aug 2017 - Premier League
31 Jan 2017 - Premier League
Southampton vs Swansea last Lineups
Formation : 3 - 4 - 3
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Missing players
G. Bazunu
MidfielderW. Smallbone
F. Downes
ForwardR. Stewart
Most goals and assists
Southampton
Swansea
C. Archer
(5 Goals)
L. Cullen
(9 Goals)
M. Fernandes
(4 Assists)
R. Pereira Martins
(4 Assists)
Southampton - Swansea Key Points
- Southampton have conceded 27 goals in just ten Premier League games at home.
- Nine of Swansea's last eleven matches have seen Over 2.5 Goals scored.
- Five of Southampton's last seven home games have seen over 4.5 goals scored.
- All the last three matches between the two teams have seen over 3.5 goals scored.
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Our Southampton vs Swansea Prediction
Our prediction for the Southampton vs. Swansea City FA Cup Third-round tie is: Over 2.5 Goals.
The data for Southampton's home form, and Swansea's away form this season isn't convincing enough to back either to land the win here. Similarly, a draw isn't supported by the data with any confidence either. However, Southampton's last five games at home have seen them score three goals and concede 19. Swansea's recent games have also seen plenty of goals, which makes the Over 2.5 Goal option a safer bet.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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