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England - Championship

Southampton
09 Mar 2024 10:00
Sunderland

Prediction :

 

Over 2.5

 
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Southampton vs Sunderland Prediction & Betting Tips - Championship

 by Devesh Jaganath in Championship Predictions

Southampton will continue their quest to reach the automatic qualification places in the Championship when they play host to Sunderland on Saturday afternoon. The hosts are currently in fourth place in the league standings, while the visitors are 11th. Southampton made an excellent start to the year, maintaining an unbeaten record in the first five games of 2024. However, they have hit a few stumbling blocks lately, managing to win only two of their last five games while suffering defeats to Bristol City, Hull City, and Millwall in the last month. The Saints secured a nail-biting 4-3 win against Birmingham City last weekend, which took them to 70 points, eight shy of second-placed Ipswich Town, though they do have a game in hand on the sides above them. At Saint Mary’s, Southampton has achieved 11 wins, two draws, and four losses in 17 Championship matches this season, but they are now looking to avoid a third consecutive home defeat in this match. The Saints are the clear favourites in this one. 

Meanwhile, Sunderland have been ice-cold recently and are tumbling down the league standings at pace. They were beaten 1-0 by league leaders Leicester City in midweek, marking their fifth consecutive league defeat dating back to the start of February. Over their last ten league games, they have only managed two wins and a draw while losing the remaining seven games. The Black Cats’ dip in form sees them enter this contest with 47 points to date and trailing the playoff places by ten points. Sunderland have secured four wins, five draws, and nine losses in their away league matches this season. They are currently experiencing a six-match winless streak on the road, comprising two draws and four losses. Their last away victory dates back to December 2023 against Hull City. However, the visitors did win the reverse fixture in resounding fashion, knocking in five goals without response at the Stadium of Light back in September. 

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The Best Betting Odds for Southampton v Sunderland Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
1.33 5.25 8.5
Betfred
1.33 5.5 8
Ladbrokes
1.44 4.6 6
NetBet
1.27 5 7.25
Betwinner
1.38 5.15 7.4
LSbet
1.38 5.15 7.4
Stake
1.29 5.8 8.6
Melbet
1 1 1
Tonybet
1.39 4.9 7.2
Betfair
1.4 4.75 6.5
Vbet
1.34 5.6 9.2
Betway
1.3 5.5 7.5
Unibet
1.33 5.3 8.5
Check all Southampton vs Sunderland odds
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What is the prediction for the football match between Southampton and Sunderland?

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 09/03/2024 between Southampton and Sunderland in Championship :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 63.83% for a win of Southampton against Sunderland with odds of 1.44 at Ladbrokes.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Southampton vs Sunderland is 17.05% with odds of 5.8 at Stake.
  • Our prediction model gives a 19.13% chance ⭐ for a win of Sunderland vs Southampton with odds of 9.2 at Vbet.

Southampton - Sunderland Prediction and Best Odds:

Southampton Sunderland Prediction Probability Odds
Southampton wins 63.83% 1.44 at Ladbrokes
Over 2.5 goals 66.64% 1.48 at Bet365
Both Team To Score 54.17%
Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Southampton 22.75% 4.7 at Unibet

Southampton vs Sunderland Form

Southampton and Sunderland's standings in the Championship

Teams Pts P W D L GD
4
Southampton
Southampton
87 46 26 9 11 24
16
Sunderland
Sunderland
56 46 16 8 22 -2

Southampton and Sunderland Last Matches

Southampton
Southampton Last matches
L W L L L W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
2.17 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

2 Mar 2024 - Championship

Birmingham
3 :  4
Southampton

28 Feb 2024 - FA Cup

Liverpool
3 :  0
Southampton

24 Feb 2024 - Championship

Southampton
1 :  2
Millwall

20 Feb 2024 - Championship

Southampton
1 :  2
Hull

16 Feb 2024 - Championship

West Brom
0 :  2
Southampton

13 Feb 2024 - Championship

Bristol City
3 :  1
Southampton
W W W W L L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
3 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

24 Feb 2024 - Championship

Southampton
1 :  2
Millwall

20 Feb 2024 - Championship

Southampton
1 :  2
Hull

10 Feb 2024 - Championship

Southampton
5 :  3
Huddersfield Town

6 Feb 2024 - FA Cup

Southampton
3 :  0
Watford

13 Jan 2024 - Championship

Southampton
4 :  0
Sheffield Wednesday

6 Jan 2024 - FA Cup

Southampton
4 :  0
Walsall
D W L W L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

2 Mar 2024 - Championship

Birmingham
3 :  4
Southampton

28 Feb 2024 - FA Cup

Liverpool
3 :  0
Southampton

16 Feb 2024 - Championship

West Brom
0 :  2
Southampton

13 Feb 2024 - Championship

Bristol City
3 :  1
Southampton

3 Feb 2024 - Championship

Rotherham
0 :  2
Southampton

28 Jan 2024 - FA Cup

Watford
1 :  1
Southampton
Sunderland
Sunderland Last matches
W L L L L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

5 Mar 2024 - Championship

Sunderland
0 :  1
Leicester

2 Mar 2024 - Championship

Norwich
1 :  0
Sunderland

24 Feb 2024 - Championship

Sunderland
1 :  2
Swansea

17 Feb 2024 - Championship

Birmingham
2 :  1
Sunderland

14 Feb 2024 - Championship

Huddersfield Town
1 :  0
Sunderland

10 Feb 2024 - Championship

Sunderland
3 :  1
Plymouth
L L W W L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

5 Mar 2024 - Championship

Sunderland
0 :  1
Leicester

24 Feb 2024 - Championship

Sunderland
1 :  2
Swansea

10 Feb 2024 - Championship

Sunderland
3 :  1
Plymouth

27 Jan 2024 - Championship

Sunderland
3 :  1
Stoke

19 Jan 2024 - Championship

Sunderland
0 :  1
Hull

6 Jan 2024 - FA Cup

Sunderland
0 :  3
Newcastle
D L D L L L
Victories

0/6 (0%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
67% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

2 Mar 2024 - Championship

Norwich
1 :  0
Sunderland

17 Feb 2024 - Championship

Birmingham
2 :  1
Sunderland

14 Feb 2024 - Championship

Huddersfield Town
1 :  0
Sunderland

4 Feb 2024 - Championship

Middlesbrough
1 :  1
Sunderland

13 Jan 2024 - Championship

Ipswich Town
2 :  1
Sunderland

29 Dec 2023 - Championship

Rotherham
1 :  1
Sunderland

Southampton vs Sunderland Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Southampton

33 %

Draw

33 %

Sunderland

33 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3.67
Total goals
33%
BTTS
1.67
Goals scored (Team 1)
2
Goals scored (Team 2)
67%
Over 2.5
33%
Under 2.5

2 Sep 2023 - Championship

Sunderland
5 :  0
Southampton

11 Feb 2017 - Premier League

Sunderland
0 :  4
Southampton

27 Aug 2016 - Premier League

Southampton
1 :  1
Sunderland
Improve your sports betting with our football team comparison tool (100+ statistics)

Southampton against Sunderland Lineups: Starting 11

Southampton

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

31
G. Bazunu
21
T. Harwood-Bellis
5
J. Stephens
35
J. Bednarek
3
R. Manning
16
W. Smallbone
4
F. Downes
17
S. Armstrong
36
D. Brooks
10
C. Adams
9
A. Armstrong
11
M. Burstow
7
J. Bellingham
14
R. Mundle
17
A. Ba
31
C. Rigg
24
D. Neill
33
L. Hjelde
5
D. Ballard
23
J. Seelt
32
T. Hume
1
A. Patterson

Formation : 4 - 1 - 4 - 1

Sunderland

Missing players

Southampton
Southampton
Defender

J. Larios

Sunderland
Sunderland

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Southampton
CD Huachipato Sunderland
Top Goalscorer
England A. Armstrong (24 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
England J. Clarke (15 Goals)
Best assists
England A. Armstrong (12 Assists)
Best assists
England J. Clarke (5 Assists)

Southampton - Sunderland Key Points

  1. Seven of Southampton’s last ten league games have ended with over 2.5 goals
  2. Southampton have scored two or more goals in seven of their last ten home games
  3. Southampton have conceded two or more goals in four of their last five matches
  4. Sunderland have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last ten league games
  5. The last two matches between these sides ended with over 2.5 goals
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Our Southampton vs Sunderland Prediction

While Southampton have not been at their absolute best over the last month, they do still possess one of the best attacks in the league this season and will fancy their chances against a Sunderland side that are in a major slump at the moment. Both these sides have been below average in defence lately and we expect there to be a few goals in this match. Our Southampton vs Sunderland prediction: Over 2.5. 

Prediction :

 

Over 2.5

 
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Southampton vs Sunderland Prediction
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