England - Carabao Cup
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Southampton vs Stoke Prediction & Betting Tips - Carabao Cup
by Ian John in Carabao Cup Predictions
A place in the Carabao Cup Quarter-final is on the line when Southampton host Stoke City in their Round of 16 clash on Tuesday. Can the Saints put their struggling Premier League form behind them here, or could the visiting Potters pile on more misery for their hosts with a win? Let’s see what our prediction for this match has discovered.
Southampton’s sole win this season came in the Carabao Cup, a 5-3 win away to Cardiff and in Round Three, they beat Everton 6-5 on penalties after a 1-1 draw at Goodison Park.
Russell Martin’s team have not won a home game this season and they come into this game having lost four games in a row including a 3-2 home loss to Leicester followed by this past weekend’s 1-0 away defeat to Manchester City.
Stoke City come into this game on the back of a defeat at the weekend, a 2-0 loss away to Sheffield United. But prior to that, they had gone four games unbeaten (three draws and one win).
Narcis Pelach’s team beat Carlisle United (2-0) and Middlesbrough (5-0) both away from home before a 1-1 draw followed by a 2-1 win on penalties over Fleetwood saw them earn this shot at the Saints in the Carabao Cup.
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The Best Betting Odds for Southampton v Stoke Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.25 | 6.25 | 10 |
|
|
1.75 | 2.87 | 5 |
|
|
1.52 | 4.59 | 6.15 |
|
|
1.52 | 4.59 | 6.15 |
|
|
1.34 | 5.25 | 8 |
|
|
1.53 | 4.4 | 5.8 |
|
|
1.53 | 4.4 | 5.8 |
|
|
1.44 | 4.5 | 6 |
|
|
1.51 | 4.46 | 6 |
|
|
1.49 | 4.5 | 6 |
|
|
1.25 | 5.75 | 10 |
|
|
1.3 | 5.6 | 9 |
|
|
1.33 | 5 | 8 |
|
|
1.36 | 5.5 | 8.5 |
|
|
1.44 | 4.2 | 6 |
|
|
1.26 | 6.4 | 11 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Southampton and Stoke?
Our prediction for the Southampton vs Stoke match is: Double Chance - Stoke & Draw.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 29/10/2024 between Southampton and Stoke in Carabao Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 30.46% for a win of Southampton against Stoke with odds of 1.75 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Southampton vs Stoke is 29.39% with odds of 6.4 at Vbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 40.15% chance ⭐ for a win of Stoke vs Southampton with odds of 11 at Vbet.
Southampton - Stoke Prediction and Best Odds:
| Southampton Stoke Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Stoke wins | 40.15% | 11 at Vbet |
| Under 2.5 | 62.84% | 2.5 at Betsson |
| Both Team To Score | 31.67% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Stoke | 17.92% | 21 at Bet365 |
Southampton vs Stoke Form
Southampton and Stoke Last Matches
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Oct 2024 - Premier League
19 Oct 2024 - Premier League
5 Oct 2024 - Premier League
30 Sep 2024 - Premier League
21 Sep 2024 - Premier League
17 Sep 2024 - Carabao Cup
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Oct 2024 - Premier League
21 Sep 2024 - Premier League
14 Sep 2024 - Premier League
24 Aug 2024 - Premier League
10 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
7 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Oct 2024 - Premier League
5 Oct 2024 - Premier League
30 Sep 2024 - Premier League
17 Sep 2024 - Carabao Cup
31 Aug 2024 - Premier League
28 Aug 2024 - Carabao Cup
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Oct 2024 - Championship
22 Oct 2024 - Championship
19 Oct 2024 - Championship
5 Oct 2024 - Championship
2 Oct 2024 - Championship
28 Sep 2024 - Championship
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Oct 2024 - Championship
19 Oct 2024 - Championship
2 Oct 2024 - Championship
20 Sep 2024 - Championship
17 Sep 2024 - Carabao Cup
24 Aug 2024 - Championship
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Oct 2024 - Championship
5 Oct 2024 - Championship
28 Sep 2024 - Championship
14 Sep 2024 - Championship
31 Aug 2024 - Championship
27 Aug 2024 - Carabao Cup
Southampton vs Stoke Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
20 %
20 %
60 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
27 Apr 2024 - Championship
3 Oct 2023 - Championship
30 Sep 2017 - Premier League
21 May 2017 - Premier League
14 Dec 2016 - Premier League
Players list
A. Ramsdale
DefenderT. Harwood-Bellis
K. Sulemana
Y. Sugawara
J. Bree
MidfielderL. Ugochukwu
B. Brereton
J. Aribo
ForwardS. Amo-Ameyaw
P. Onuachu
M. Cornet
J. Bonham
DefenderM. Rose
A. Phillips
J. Dixon
J. Tchamadeu
W. Burger
MidfielderT. Seko
J. Thompson
A. Moran
ForwardL. Koumas
M. Manhoef
Substitutes
A. McCarthy
DefenderC. Taylor
J. Stephens
N. Wood
MidfielderM. Cornet
S. Amo-Ameyaw
B. Brereton
P. Onuachu
K. Sulemana
F. Fielding
DefenderF. Anderson
L. Giani
MidfielderW. Burger
A. Moran
L. Koumas
N. Ennis
M. Manhoef
E. Tezgel
Missing players
G. Bazunu
DefenderK. Walker-Peters
MidfielderW. Smallbone
ForwardR. Stewart
Most goals and assists
Southampton
Stoke
C. Archer
(5 Goals)
T. Cannon
(9 Goals)
M. Fernandes
(4 Assists)
B. Joon-ho
(4 Assists)
,
A. Moran
(4 Assists)
Southampton - Stoke Key Points
- Southampton have not won at home this season.
- Stoke have scored seven goals in two away games in the Carabao Cup this season.
- Stoke have lost just one of their last five games.
- Southampton have not beaten Stoke City at home since 2014 (four games, three defeats, one draw)
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Our Southampton vs Stoke Prediction
Our prediction for the Southampton vs. Stoke City tie in the Carabao Cup is: Double Chance - Stoke & Draw.
Southampton's confidence must be rock bottom after a miserable start to the Premier League season. They haven't won a home game in any competition. Stoke's recent form has been improving and they have been excellent away from home in this competition. Add to that the fact Southampton may rest players for this game and the recent and historic data suggests Stoke have a chance. As such, the Double Chance option for Stoke and a draw makes good sense.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Southampton Stoke
| Southampton vs Stoke | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Southampton wins | 1.53 | 1.25 | -18.3% |
| Draw | 4.33 | 6.25 | +44.3% |
| Stoke wins | 5.5 | 10 | +81.8% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Stoke is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 81.8% since opening
- The probability of this result was 18.2% and is now 10.0% (-8.2%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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