England - Championship
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Southampton vs Stoke Prediction & Betting Tips - Championship
by Daniel Ngulu in Championship Predictions
Southampton are confined to seeking promotion through the playoffs but will hope to sign off the regular season in style. In their penultimate Championship game this Saturday, fourth placed Southampton host 17th placed Stoke City. For a while, Southampton looked like they’d seriously challenge for automatic promotion but a recent slump did them in. Rising above the three sides above them was always going to be a daunting task, but their recent dip is a serious concern. There’s no denying the Saints’ confidence has dropped, and Russell Martin must find a way to lift his charges. If the second half collapse against Cardiff City was considered a one-off, the Saints’ 5-0 loss to Leicester City left a huge worry. They were completely outplayed by Leicester and in the final two games, they’ll have to show willingness to compete in the playoffs. Those two away matches just about confirmed their struggles on the road. Southampton will thus be glad to return home for this game. Before those two defeats, they had three straight wins, all coming in consecutive home matches.
Stoke City’s stay in the Championship isn’t guaranteed as yet, though they come to this game with 50 points. They are just four points above the drop zone, with two matches to play. Their last meeting with Southampton was the first since the two clashed in the Premier League in 2018. Hosting that October meeting, Stoke City fell 1-0 courtesy of Stuart Armstrong’s strike. Ahead of this game, they boosted their survival chances with a 3-0 win over Plymouth Argyle. That was their first win and clean sheet in five matches and returning on the road, they’ll hope they can build on it. A win here will secure their stay in the Championship for the next 12 months. The Potters have failed to win any of their last two away matches. Five defeats in eight away matches isn’t the best run to carry into this game, and that places them as underdogs. In 22 away matches in the Championship, Stoke City managed just six wins.
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The Best Betting Odds for Southampton v Stoke Match
Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.75 | 3.6 | 1.73 |
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2 | 2.8 | 3.75 |
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1.58 | 4 | 3.7 |
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1.76 | 4.59 | 4.08 |
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1.76 | 4.59 | 4.08 |
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1.77 | 4.18 | 4.02 |
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1.77 | 4.18 | 4.02 |
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1.71 | 4.4 | 4 |
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1.73 | 4.48 | 3.98 |
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1.72 | 4.4 | 4 |
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2.2 | 3.6 | 3 |
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2.1 | 3.2 | 3.2 |
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5 | 3.95 | 1.65 |
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1.65 | 4.5 | 4.5 |
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1.71 | 4.28 | 4.28 |
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1.7 | 4 | 4.33 |
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What is the prediction for the football match between Southampton and Stoke?
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 27/04/2024 between Southampton and Stoke in Championship :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 48.54% for a win of Southampton against Stoke with odds of 5 at Unibet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Southampton vs Stoke is 22.25% with odds of 4.59 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 29.21% chance ⭐ for a win of Stoke vs Southampton with odds of 4.5 at Betfair.
Southampton - Stoke Prediction and Best Odds:
Southampton Stoke Prediction | Probability | Odds |
---|---|---|
Southampton wins | 48.54% | 5 at Unibet |
Over 2.5 goals | 58.45% | 2.05 at Betway |
Both Team To Score | 59.38% | |
Half-time / Full-time : Southampton/Southampton | 27.13% | 111 at Unibet |
Southampton vs Stoke Form
Southampton and Stoke's standings in the Championship
Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
4
|
87 | 46 | 26 | 9 | 11 | 24 |
17
|
56 | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | -11 |
Southampton and Stoke Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Apr 2024 - Championship
20 Apr 2024 - Championship
16 Apr 2024 - Championship
13 Apr 2024 - Championship
9 Apr 2024 - Championship
6 Apr 2024 - Championship
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Apr 2024 - Championship
13 Apr 2024 - Championship
9 Apr 2024 - Championship
29 Mar 2024 - Championship
9 Mar 2024 - Championship
24 Feb 2024 - Championship
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Apr 2024 - Championship
20 Apr 2024 - Championship
6 Apr 2024 - Championship
1 Apr 2024 - Championship
2 Mar 2024 - Championship
28 Feb 2024 - FA Cup
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Apr 2024 - Championship
13 Apr 2024 - Championship
10 Apr 2024 - Championship
6 Apr 2024 - Championship
1 Apr 2024 - Championship
29 Mar 2024 - Championship
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Apr 2024 - Championship
6 Apr 2024 - Championship
1 Apr 2024 - Championship
16 Mar 2024 - Championship
2 Mar 2024 - Championship
17 Feb 2024 - Championship
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Apr 2024 - Championship
10 Apr 2024 - Championship
29 Mar 2024 - Championship
9 Mar 2024 - Championship
5 Mar 2024 - Championship
24 Feb 2024 - Championship
Southampton vs Stoke Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
25 %
25 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
3 Oct 2023 - Championship
30 Sep 2017 - Premier League
21 May 2017 - Premier League
14 Dec 2016 - Premier League
Southampton against Stoke Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Missing players
J. Larios
Most goals and assists
Southampton - Stoke Key Points
- Southampton have three straight wins at home
- Stoke City have one win in their last five matches
- Stoke City lost five times in the last eight away games
- In 20 straight home matches, Southampton have won 16
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Our Southampton vs Stoke Prediction
Southampton will be favorites here, as they return home from two fruitless away outings. Their home form this season has been great and they have a better run than Southampton coming into this encounter. Stoke City’s troubles on the road are well documented and we can’t back them a lot here. Our prediction for Southampton v Stoke City is for Southampton to win.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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