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Southampton vs Nottingham Forest Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League
by Ian John in Premier League Predictions
Premier League new-boys Southampton seek their first points of the season at home to Nottingham Forest on Saturday. Can the Saints bounce back from a pointless trip to Newcastle last weekend? Or will our prediction favour the Tricky Trees or maybe the draw? Let’s take a closer look at this intriguing EPL showdown!
Southampton sit fourteenth in the EPL table after last weekend’s 1-0 defeat away to Newcastle. However, manager Russell Martin will feel that the result is points dropped, considering they played against ten men for the vast majority of the game. They certainly created enough chances to take at least a point from the fixture. Yet they squandered those opportunities and Newcastle's greater quality in front of goal made the difference.
Nottingham Forest are eleventh in the fledgling table after their 1-1 draw at home to Bournemouth. In truth, Nuno Santo’s team didn’t play well enough to earn the win, although it was clear a nasty injury to Danilo did throw Forest off their game a little. They will head to St Mary’s keen to remain unbeaten in their second fixture of the season, although scoring goals seems to remain an issue.
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The Best Betting Odds for Southampton v Nottingham Forest Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.3 | 3.5 | 3 |
|
|
2.7 | 2.45 | 2.9 |
|
|
320 | 13 | 1.04 |
|
|
320 | 13 | 1.04 |
|
|
2.4 | 3.5 | 3 |
|
|
2.5 | 3.34 | 2.83 |
|
|
2.5 | 3.34 | 2.83 |
|
|
100 | 8.75 | 1.06 |
|
|
2.47 | 3.5 | 2.77 |
|
|
2.55 | 3.45 | 2.8 |
|
|
251 | 11 | 1.05 |
|
|
2.88 | 3.2 | 2.7 |
|
|
326 | 13 | 1.04 |
|
|
2.25 | 3.4 | 3 |
|
|
2.38 | 3.55 | 3.05 |
|
|
2.3 | 3.3 | 3.1 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Southampton and Nottingham Forest?
Our prediction for the Southampton vs Nottingham Forest match is: A Draw.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 24/08/2024 between Southampton and Nottingham Forest in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 36% for a win of Southampton against Nottingham Forest with odds of 326 at Unibet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Southampton vs Nottingham Forest is 19.09% with odds of 13 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 44.91% chance ⭐ for a win of Nottingham Forest vs Southampton with odds of 3.1 at William Hill.
Southampton - Nottingham Forest Prediction and Best Odds:
| Southampton Nottingham Forest Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Nottingham Forest wins | 44.91% | 3.1 at William Hill |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54.77% | 19 at Unibet |
| Both Team To Score | 52.08% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Nottingham Forest | 19.21% | 7.5 at Bet365 |
Southampton vs Nottingham Forest Form
Southampton and Nottingham Forest's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5
|
19 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 5 |
|
20
|
4 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | -14 |
Southampton and Nottingham Forest Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Aug 2024 - Premier League
10 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
7 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
31 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
27 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
7 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
17 May 2024 - Championship
27 Apr 2024 - Championship
16 Apr 2024 - Championship
13 Apr 2024 - Championship
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Aug 2024 - Premier League
3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
31 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
27 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
24 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
19 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Aug 2024 - Premier League
8 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
2 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
26 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
23 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
19 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Aug 2024 - Premier League
2 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
26 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
23 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
19 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
11 May 2024 - Premier League
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
13 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
19 May 2024 - Premier League
4 May 2024 - Premier League
21 Apr 2024 - Premier League
7 Apr 2024 - Premier League
Southampton vs Nottingham Forest Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
0 %
100 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
8 May 2023 - Premier League
4 Jan 2023 - Premier League
Southampton - Nottingham Forest: Form Analysis
Southampton came into this fixture after losing 1-0 against Newcastle in their opening Premier League game. While their performance was generally good, the Saints failed to capitalise on playing against ten men for most of that game after Fabian Schar's dismissal on 27 minutes.
Goalkeeper Alex McCarthy’s calamitous error handed Newcastle the win.
That defeat came after a run of indifferent friendly results leading into the season (1-1 v Lazio, 0-0 v Getafe) games in which Southampton goals have been at a premium. Manager Russell Martin will be happy with his team's performance and defensive aspect. However, they need to be much more clinical in attack. They have scored just two goals in their last five matches, including friendlies.
In contrast, Nottingham Forest came into this game unbeaten in three and with one defeat in their last eight. However, they were somewhat fortunate to take a point from the 1-1 draw with Bournemouth on the opening day.
A solid first-half display gave way to a lacklustre second-half performance.
The last fixture at St. Mary’s between the two teams came in January 2023, when Nottingham Forest were narrow winners 1-0. However, the last four games have been shared between the two teams, with two wins apiece.
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Southampton against Nottingham Forest Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 5 - 2
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Missing players
G. Bazunu
ForwardR. Stewart
R. Fraser
D. Oliveira
Southampton & Nottingham Forest Squad Analysis
Southampton could be without three players for this game. Goalkeeper Gavin Bazunu will definitely miss out. Experienced midfielder Adam Lallana and striker Kamaldeen Sulemana may struggle to be fit enough to make the squad.
However, recent signings, such as striker Cameron Archer (£15m from Aston Villa) and Lesley Ugochukwu (on loan from Chelsea), could come into contention.
Despite his goalkeeping calamity at Newcastle, Alex McCarthy should keep his place in the team, especially with Bazunu out injured. Carlos Alcaraz could also be in consideration for a role in midfield, coming in for either Flynn Downes or Joe Aribo.
Danilo suffered a broken ankle in the clash against Bournemouth last weekend and he will be out for a considerable time. Forest stalwart Ryan Yates could come into midfield in his place.
But Santo could also select top summer signing Elliot Anderson.
Ola Aina is a slight doubt for this game and if he is unable to play then on loan Alex Moreno, signed in the week from Aston Villa, could make his debut for the club.
Up front, Chris Wood will likely lead the line after scoring last week against Bournemouth.
Most goals and assists
Southampton
Nottingham Forest
C. Archer
(4 Goals)
C. Wood
(8 Goals)
M. Fernandes
(4 Assists)
E. Anderson
(3 Assists)
Southampton - Nottingham Forest Key Points
- Southampton have drawn two of their last three matches.
- Nottingham Forest have drawn three of their last six games.
- Nottingham Forest drew 9 games in the EPL last season.
- Southampton have conceded in nine of their last ten competitive home games.
- Nottingham Forest have not kept a clean sheet in any of their last 14 Premier League games.
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Our Southampton vs Nottingham Forest Prediction
Our prediction for the Southampton v Nottingham Forest Premier League match is: A Draw.
Southampton played for most of the match with Newcastle last week against ten men, but still lost the game. Forest were unimpressive in their 1-1 home draw with Bournemouth. Both teams need something from this game, but with both liable to concede and also lacking firepower, a low-scoring draw looks prominent within the data.
Southampton vs Nottingham Forest - Other Interesting Predictions
Half with Most Goals - Second.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Southampton Nottingham Forest
| Southampton vs Nottingham Forest | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Southampton wins | 2.45 | 2.3 | -6.1% |
| Draw | 3.4 | 3.5 | +2.9% |
| Nottingham Forest wins | 2.75 | 3 | +9.1% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Nottingham Forest is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 9.1% since opening
- The probability of this result was 36.4% and is now 33.3% (-3.0%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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