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Southampton vs Newcastle Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League
by Devesh Jaganath | in Premier League Predictions
Premier League relegation favourites Southampton will be hoping to spark an upturn in form this weekend when they play host to Newcastle United at St. Mary’s Stadium on Saturday. The Saints are rooted to the bottom of the table while the Magpies are in sixth place after 22 games. Check out our match prediction below!
Southampton have found positive results hard to come by in this fixture, having lost each of their last four league matches against this opponent and failed to win any of their last 12 (W0 D3 L9). Newcastle, on the other hand, have come out on top in three of their last four visits to St. Mary’s Stadium - a notable improvement after only managing one win in their preceding 18 Premier League matches at this venue.
Despite having the home advantage, the hosts are understandably installed as massive underdogs in this encounter. Let’s take a look at some other important stats and trends between these two sides.
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The Best Betting Odds for Southampton v Newcastle Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
7 | 5.25 | 1.4 |
|
|
7 | 5 | 1.36 |
|
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5.5 | 3.2 | 1.65 |
|
|
7.03 | 5.19 | 1.45 |
|
|
7.03 | 5.19 | 1.45 |
|
|
6.75 | 4.9 | 1.42 |
|
|
6.85 | 5.05 | 1.41 |
|
|
6.85 | 5.05 | 1.41 |
|
|
6.4 | 5.2 | 1.45 |
|
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6.85 | 5.05 | 1.41 |
|
|
6.8 | 5.4 | 1.42 |
|
|
7 | 5.3 | 1.43 |
|
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7 | 4.75 | 1.42 |
|
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6.9 | 5.1 | 1.44 |
|
|
6.5 | 5.25 | 1.4 |
|
|
7.5 | 5 | 1.4 |
|
|
7 | 5 | 1.4 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Southampton and Newcastle?
Our prediction for the Southampton vs Newcastle match is: Newcastle United wins & over 2.5.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 25/01/2025 between Southampton and Newcastle in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 14.31% for a win of Southampton against Newcastle with odds of 7.5 at Unibet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Southampton vs Newcastle is 8.67% with odds of 5.4 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 77.01% chance ⭐ for a win of Newcastle vs Southampton with odds of 1.65 at Ladbrokes.
Southampton vs Newcastle Form
Southampton and Newcastle's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6
|
38 | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 12 |
|
20
|
6 | 22 | 1 | 3 | 18 | -35 |
Southampton and Newcastle Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Jan 2025 - Premier League
16 Jan 2025 - Premier League
12 Jan 2025 - FA Cup
4 Jan 2025 - Premier League
29 Dec 2024 - Premier League
26 Dec 2024 - Premier League
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Jan 2025 - FA Cup
4 Jan 2025 - Premier League
26 Dec 2024 - Premier League
18 Dec 2024 - Carabao Cup
15 Dec 2024 - Premier League
4 Dec 2024 - Premier League
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Jan 2025 - Premier League
16 Jan 2025 - Premier League
29 Dec 2024 - Premier League
22 Dec 2024 - Premier League
7 Dec 2024 - Premier League
29 Nov 2024 - Premier League
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Jan 2025 - Premier League
15 Jan 2025 - Premier League
12 Jan 2025 - FA Cup
7 Jan 2025 - Carabao Cup
4 Jan 2025 - Premier League
30 Dec 2024 - Premier League
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Jan 2025 - Premier League
15 Jan 2025 - Premier League
12 Jan 2025 - FA Cup
26 Dec 2024 - Premier League
18 Dec 2024 - Carabao Cup
14 Dec 2024 - Premier League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Jan 2025 - Carabao Cup
4 Jan 2025 - Premier League
30 Dec 2024 - Premier League
21 Dec 2024 - Premier League
7 Dec 2024 - Premier League
30 Nov 2024 - Premier League
Southampton vs Newcastle Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
0 %
100 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
17 Aug 2024 - Premier League
30 Apr 2023 - Premier League
31 Jan 2023 - Carabao Cup
24 Jan 2023 - Carabao Cup
6 Nov 2022 - Premier League
10 Mar 2022 - Premier League
Southampton - Newcastle: Form Analysis
Southampton have been the worst team in the Premier League by some distance this season, having only earned six points after 22 games, which leaves them 11 points from safety.
The Saints delivered a spirited second-half performance against Nottingham Forest in their last match, with two goals in the final 30 minutes but were unable to find a leveller and lost the match 3-2.
With that, they are now riding a five-match losing streak, failed to win 12 consecutive league games, and conceded two or more goals across their winless run.
Southampton’s six points after 22 games is the all-time joint-second-lowest in the top flight!
Meanwhile, Newcastle United were the hottest team in the Premier League either side of the New Year, but their momentum was stopped last weekend when Bournemouth beat them 4-1.
That defeat ended the Magipes’ six-match league win streak, a period during which they scored 15 goals, including two or more goals in each match and maintained clean sheets in all but one.
Still, the visitors have a positive away record coming into this fixture, carrying a three-match win streak, while they have scored two or more goals in five of their last six top-flight outings.
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Southampton vs Newcastle last Lineups
Formation : 3 - 4 - 1 - 2
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Missing players
J. Stephens
ForwardR. Stewart
T. Dibling
N. Pope
DefenderJ. Lascelles
ForwardC. Wilson
H. Barnes
Southampton & Newcastle Squad Analysis
Tyler Dibling hobbled off before the hour-mark with an ankle injury against Manchester United and was unable to feature against Forest last weekend. He remains a doubt for this match.
Gavin Bazunu is still working his way back to full fitness following an extended period on the sidelines, which should mean Alex McCarthy will provide backup to Aaron Ramsdale in goal.
Jack Stephens is only slated to return from injury sometime next month, while Ross Stewart is ruled out for the foreseeable future with a hamstring issue.
Alexander Isak has scored six goals in his last four Premier League away games!
The Swede saw his eight-match scoring run brought to an end at home last weekend, but he will be raring to go this week against a defence that has shipped 50 goals to date.
The Magpies will have to make do without Jamaal Lascelles (cruciate ligament), Nick Pope (knee), Callum Wilson (hamstring) and Harvey Barnes (thigh) for this trip to the South Coast.
Most goals and assists
Southampton
Newcastle
C. Archer
(5 Goals)
A. Isak
(17 Goals)
M. Fernandes
(5 Assists)
J. Murphy
(7 Assists)
, 
B. Guimaraes
(7 Assists)
Southampton and Newcastle Stats in Premier League
Southampton - Newcastle Key Points
- Southampton are winless in their last 12 league games.
- Southampton have conceded two or more goals in eight of their last 12 league matches.
- Southampton have conceded 19 goals in their last five home league matches.
- Newcastle United have won six of their last seven Premier League games.
- Newcastle United have scored two or more goals in five of their last six away league games.
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Our Southampton vs Newcastle Prediction
Southampton are the odds-on favourite to be relegated this season, and it’s very difficult to make much of a case for them in this match when considering they have conceded five goals in three of their last four home league games.
That record will undoubtedly spark the interest of Newcastle United, who, barring that defeat to Bournemouth last time out, have been one of the most lethal attacks in the top flight in recent times. Therefore, our Southampton vs Newcastle United prediction is Newcastle United wins & over 2.5.
Southampton vs Newcastle - Other Interesting Predictions
Alexander Isak to score anytime
Last week was the first time that Isak failed to return for his backers in two months, and he will be determined to add to his goals tally this week against the Saints' dismal defence. The Swede has scored in each of his last four away league games, including a hat-trick against Ipswich just before Christmas.
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Southampton vs Newcastle match : Frequently asked questions
The Premier League match between Southampton and Newcastle United will be played on January 25 at 15:00 GMT.
The Premier League match between Southampton and Newcastle United will take place at St. Mary's Stadium in Hampshire.
The Premier League match between Southampton and Newcastle United will not be broadcast on TV in the UK.
Alternatively, you can stay up to the minute with all the Premier League Livescores right here on SportyTrader!
Samuel Barrott will take charge of this match, with the assistance of Lee Betts, Wade Smith and Simon Hooper as the fourth official.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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