England - Carabao Cup
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Southampton vs Liverpool Prediction & Betting Tips - Carabao Cup
by Devesh Jaganath in Carabao Cup Predictions
Wednesday’s late kickoff in the quarter-finals of the Carabao Cup will come from St. Mary’s Stadium where Southampton will be playing host to Liverpool. The Saints last made it to the quarter-final of this competition two seasons ago while the Reds are en route to defending their title. Check out our match prediction below!
Southampton kicked off their Carabao Cup campaign with a 5-3 victory over Cardiff in the second round. They then overcame Everton on penalties in round three before beating Stoke City 3-2 in October. Liverpool have played twice in this competition and defeated West Ham United 5-1 and outlasted Brighton & Hove Albion 3-2 in round four.
With these two sides at complete opposite ends of the Premier League table approaching the midway point of the season, it comes as no surprise that the visitors are short-priced favourites in this fixture. Let’s take a look at some important stats and team news.
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The Best Betting Odds for Southampton v Liverpool Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
7 | 5.5 | 1.36 |
|
|
7.5 | 5.5 | 1.35 |
|
|
7.55 | 5.54 | 1.38 |
|
|
7.55 | 5.54 | 1.38 |
|
|
7.25 | 5.25 | 1.32 |
|
|
7.4 | 5.45 | 1.36 |
|
|
7.4 | 5.45 | 1.36 |
|
|
6.8 | 5.2 | 1.35 |
|
|
7.4 | 5.45 | 1.36 |
|
|
7 | 5.4 | 1.36 |
|
|
7.2 | 5.6 | 1.39 |
|
|
6.5 | 5.5 | 1.36 |
|
|
8 | 5.6 | 1.35 |
|
|
7 | 5 | 1.36 |
|
|
8 | 5.5 | 1.36 |
|
|
7 | 4.8 | 1.33 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Southampton and Liverpool?
Our prediction for the Southampton vs Liverpool match is: Liverpool wins and over 1.5.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 18/12/2024 between Southampton and Liverpool in Carabao Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 12.23% for a win of Southampton against Liverpool with odds of 8 at Unibet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Southampton vs Liverpool is 18.6% with odds of 5.6 at Vbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 69.18% chance ⭐ for a win of Liverpool vs Southampton with odds of 1.39 at Vbet.
Southampton vs Liverpool Form
Southampton and Liverpool Last Matches
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Dec 2024 - Premier League
7 Dec 2024 - Premier League
4 Dec 2024 - Premier League
29 Nov 2024 - Premier League
24 Nov 2024 - Premier League
9 Nov 2024 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Dec 2024 - Premier League
4 Dec 2024 - Premier League
24 Nov 2024 - Premier League
2 Nov 2024 - Premier League
29 Oct 2024 - Carabao Cup
19 Oct 2024 - Premier League
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Dec 2024 - Premier League
29 Nov 2024 - Premier League
9 Nov 2024 - Premier League
26 Oct 2024 - Premier League
5 Oct 2024 - Premier League
30 Sep 2024 - Premier League
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Dec 2024 - Premier League
10 Dec 2024 - Champions League
4 Dec 2024 - Premier League
1 Dec 2024 - Premier League
27 Nov 2024 - Champions League
24 Nov 2024 - Premier League
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Dec 2024 - Premier League
1 Dec 2024 - Premier League
27 Nov 2024 - Champions League
9 Nov 2024 - Premier League
5 Nov 2024 - Champions League
2 Nov 2024 - Premier League
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Dec 2024 - Champions League
4 Dec 2024 - Premier League
24 Nov 2024 - Premier League
30 Oct 2024 - Carabao Cup
27 Oct 2024 - Premier League
23 Oct 2024 - Champions League
Southampton vs Liverpool Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
17 %
83 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
24 Nov 2024 - Premier League
28 Feb 2024 - FA Cup
28 May 2023 - Premier League
12 Nov 2022 - Premier League
17 May 2022 - Premier League
27 Nov 2021 - Premier League
Southampton - Liverpool: Form Analysis
It’s a tough time for Southampton supporters at present. After 16 games in the season, their side is rooted to the bottom of the Premier League table and are already nine points from safety.
The Saints are also coming into this match off the back of a thumping 5-0 loss to Tottenham Hotspur at this venue over the weekend, marking their third defeat in a row.
The hosts' only league win this season came against Everton at the start of November, and since then, they have conceded 17 goals in their last six matches across all competitions.
Southampton have shipped three or more goals in each of their last three home games!
Meanwhile, Liverpool were reduced to 10 men inside the first 20 minutes of their last match against Fulham but managed to fight back from a goal down twice to salvage a 2-2 draw.
That result extended the Reds' unbeaten run to 19 consecutive matches in all competitions, while they have still only suffered one defeat in 23 matches this season.
On the road, the visitors have won nine of their 11 games this term and scored two or more goals in four of their last five outings across all competitions.
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Southampton vs Liverpool last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Missing players
G. Bazunu
A. Ramsdale
DefenderJ. Larios
MidfielderW. Smallbone
ForwardR. Stewart
K. Tsimikas
C. Bradley
I. Konate
Southampton & Liverpool Squad Analysis
The defeat to Spurs proved to be the last straw for now-former Saints boss Russel Martin, who was sacked following the match. Simon Rusk will now serve as the interim head coach until a suitable replacement is found.
Rusk may be able to welcome Aaron Ramsdale back to the squad this week following a wrist injury, but the England international's fellow goalkeeper Gavin Bazunu is still sidelined with an Achilles injury.
Jack Stephens is set to serve the final match of his suspension in midweek, while Will Smallbone (hamstring), Juan Larios (muscle) and Ross Stewart (calf) all remain out.
Cody Gakpo has scored a brace in each of Liverpool’s Carabao Cup matches this season!
Arne Slot is expected to rotate his side this week which could see Caoimhin Kelleher brought back into the starting 11 after Alisson Becker started the last two outings between the sticks.
However, in front of the goalie, Slot has a few absentees, including Andrew Robertson due to suspension, while Ibrahima Konate, Kostas Tsimikas and Conor Bradley are all out injured.
Most goals and assists
Southampton
Liverpool
C. Archer
(4 Goals)
M. Salah
(16 Goals)
M. Fernandes
(4 Assists)
M. Salah
(13 Assists)
Southampton - Liverpool Key Points
- Southampton have lost seven of their last 10 matches.
- Southampton have conceded 13 goals in their last three home games.
- Southampton have only kept one clean sheets across all competitions this season.
- Liverpool have won eight of their last 10 matches.
- Liverpool have scored two or more goals in four of their last five away games.
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Our Southampton vs Liverpool Prediction
Southampton put up a very good fight when these sides met at the end of last month, but their leaky defence once again proved to be their downfall, as they squandered a 2-1 lead and lost the match 3-2.
Liverpool are likely to give Mohamed Salah the night off, but they still have more than enough firepower in attack to find the net against a side that is managerless and have shipped 13 goals in their last three home games. Our Southampton vs Liverpool prediction is Liverpool wins and over 1.5.
Southampton vs Liverpool - Other Interesting Predictions
Both teams to score.
While Liverpool have been scoring in bulk of late, they have let in their fair share of goals on the road, conceding two or more in four of their last five away games. Additionally, the Saints netted twice when these sides met at this venue last month.
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Southampton vs Liverpool match : Frequently asked questions
The Carabao Cup quarter-final between Southampton and Liverpool will be played on December 18 at 20:00 GMT.
The Carabao Cup quarter-final between Southampton and Liverpool will take place at St. Mary's Stadium in Hampshire.
The Carabao Cup quarter-final between Southampton and Liverpool will be broadcast on Sky Sports in the UK.
Alternatively, you can stay up to the minute with all the Carabao Cup Livescores right here on SportyTrader!
Simon Hooper will take charge of this match, with the assistance of Adrian Holmes, Simon Long and Joshua Smith as the fourth official.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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