England - Premier League
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by Devesh Jaganath in Premier League Predictions
In a stacked week in the Premier League, we head to St. Mary’s Stadium on Wednesday night, when Southampton play host to Crystal Palace. The Saints are rooted to the bottom of the table with just nine points, while the Eagles are in 12th place with 39 points after 28 league games. Check out our match prediction below!
Southampton are breaking all sorts of records this season, but for all the wrong reasons! They are now set to face an opponent they have lost to in their last two home meetings after going unbeaten against them in 19 matches in the top flight at this venue before that. Palace have now won their last four league matches against the Saints (home and away), which is the same number of wins they managed in 25 matches against them in the competition beforehand.
Unsurprisingly then, the hosts are installed as the clear underdogs in this contest. Let’s take a look at some more key stats at play in this one.
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The Best Betting Odds for Southampton v Crystal Palace Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.5 | 4.1 | 1.6 |
|
|
6 | 4.33 | 1.57 |
|
|
5.5 | 4 | 1.6 |
|
|
5.5 | 4.33 | 1.63 |
|
|
5.5 | 4.33 | 1.63 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Southampton and Crystal Palace?
Our prediction for the Southampton vs Crystal Palace match is: Crystal Palace wins the match.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 02/04/2025 between Southampton and Crystal Palace in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 12.04% for a win of Southampton against Crystal Palace with odds of 6 at Betfred.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Southampton vs Crystal Palace is 4.95% with odds of 4.36 at Melbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 83.01% chance ⭐ for a win of Crystal Palace vs Southampton with odds of 1.65 at Betfair.
Southampton - Crystal Palace Prediction and Best Odds:
| Southampton Crystal Palace Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Crystal Palace wins | 83.01% | 1.65 at Betfair |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50.67% | 1.93 at Unibet |
| Both Team To Score | 32.5% | 1.83 at William Hill |
| Half-time / Full-time: Crystal Palace/Crystal Palace | 40.67% | 2.6 at Betfair |
Southampton vs Crystal Palace Form
Southampton and Crystal Palace's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
12
|
45 | 34 | 11 | 12 | 11 | -4 |
|
20
|
11 | 33 | 2 | 5 | 26 | -54 |
Southampton and Crystal Palace Last Matches
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
6/6 (100%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Mar 2025 - Premier League
8 Mar 2025 - Premier League
25 Feb 2025 - Premier League
22 Feb 2025 - Premier League
15 Feb 2025 - Premier League
8 Feb 2025 - FA Cup
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Mar 2025 - Premier League
22 Feb 2025 - Premier League
15 Feb 2025 - Premier League
8 Feb 2025 - FA Cup
25 Jan 2025 - Premier League
12 Jan 2025 - FA Cup
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Mar 2025 - Premier League
25 Feb 2025 - Premier League
1 Feb 2025 - Premier League
19 Jan 2025 - Premier League
16 Jan 2025 - Premier League
29 Dec 2024 - Premier League
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Mar 2025 - FA Cup
13 Mar 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
8 Mar 2025 - Premier League
1 Mar 2025 - FA Cup
25 Feb 2025 - Premier League
22 Feb 2025 - Premier League
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Mar 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
8 Mar 2025 - Premier League
1 Mar 2025 - FA Cup
25 Feb 2025 - Premier League
15 Feb 2025 - Premier League
26 Jan 2025 - Premier League
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Mar 2025 - FA Cup
22 Feb 2025 - Premier League
10 Feb 2025 - FA Cup
2 Feb 2025 - Premier League
18 Jan 2025 - Premier League
15 Jan 2025 - Premier League
Southampton vs Crystal Palace Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
17 %
67 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
29 Dec 2024 - Premier League
15 Apr 2023 - Premier League
7 Jan 2023 - FA Cup
29 Oct 2022 - Premier League
30 Apr 2022 - Premier League
15 Dec 2021 - Premier League
Southampton - Crystal Palace: Form Analysis
With 29 games in the rearview mirror, nine points to their name, and just two wins all season, it’s hard to see Southampton avoiding a return to the Championship at the end of this league campaign.
The Saints suffered a 2-1 loss to Wolverhampton Wanderers ahead of the international break, which extended their current losing streak to five games. They have only won one of their last 19 league matches.
The hosts have also lost each of their last nine Premier League home games. Only one team has ever suffered more consecutive home defeats in the history of the Premier League (Watford in 2021-22).
Southampton have conceded two or more goals in eight of their last nine home league matches!
Meanwhile, after a poor start to the season, Crystal Palace are now enjoying an impressive run of form and booked their spot in the FA Cup semi-final, beating Fulham 3-0 over the weekend.
The Eagles have also been in good shape in the Premier League, winning four of their last five matches, while only suffering defeat in two of their last 10 in the top flight (W7 D1 L2).
Notably, the visitors are on a four-match win streak on the road and are unbeaten in nine (W6 D3 L0). They have also kept clean sheets in each of their last five away league games.
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Players list
A. Ramsdale
DefenderJ. Stephens
J. Bednarek
T. Harwood-Bellis
P. Onuachu
MidfielderC. Archer
J. Aribo
Welington
M. Fernandes
ForwardY. Sugawara
T. Dibling
D. Henderson
DefenderD. Kamada
M. Lacroix
M. Guehi
M. Franca
B. Chilwell
MidfielderJ. Devenny
J. Lerma
ForwardI. Sarr
E. Eze
E. Nketiah
Substitutes
A. McCarthy
DefenderN. Wood
A. Bella-Kotchap
J. Bree
Y. Sugawara
Welington
J. Aribo
T. Dibling
C. Archer
M. Turner
DefenderC. Kporha
J. Ward
B. Chilwell
J. Devenny
M. Franca
R. Esse
D. Kamada
E. Nketiah
Missing players
J. Larios
ForwardR. Stewart
R. Fraser
C. Riad
MidfielderC. Doucoure
W. Hughes
Southampton & Crystal Palace Squad Analysis
The international break brought a couple of injury concerns for Southampton, with Taylor Harwood-Bellis leaving the England Under-21 squad after picking up a thigh injury.
Additionally, Jan Bednareck was forced off at the halftime interval in Poland’s 2-0 win over Malta last week, though he has not been ruled out of this match at the time of writing.
Paul Onuachu came off the bench to score in the loss to Wolves last time out and may get the nod in attack this week, potentially ahead of Mateus Fernandes or Kamaldeen Sulemana.
Jean-Philippe Mateta has scored eight goals in his last eight league games for Crystal Palace!
Indeed, the Frenchman has been one of the most in-form strikers in the Premier League in recent weeks, and should be back from the start here after missing the last league match through injury.
Ismaila Sarr is another to keep an eye on in this match, having netted three goals in his last two league matches, including the winner in the 1-0 victory over Ipswich Town last time out.
The confirmed injury absentees for the visitors this week are Chadli Riad, Joel Ward and Cheick Doucoure, while Will Hughes is suspended, having received 10 yellow cards for the season.
Most goals and assists
Southampton
Crystal Palace
C. Archer
(5 Goals)
J. Mateta
(17 Goals)
M. Fernandes
(6 Assists)
E. Eze
(10 Assists)
Southampton - Crystal Palace Key Points
- Southampton have lost 16 of their last 20 Premier League games.
- Southampton are on a nine-match losing streak in home league games.
- Southampton have conceded two or more goals in eight of their last 10 home league matches.
- Crystal Palace are unbeaten in their last nine away league games.
- Crystal Palace have scored two or more goals in seven of their last 10 away league matches.
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Our Southampton vs Crystal Palace Prediction
What we have here are two sides with completely contrasting home/away records, with the hosts riding a nine-match losing streak on their home patch, while the visitors are unbeaten in nine on the road.
Given their dismal form this season, you simply cannot back the Saints with any real confidence right now, and we feel that Palace will be licking their lips at the prospect of going 10 unbeaten on the road this week. Our Southampton vs Crystal Palace prediction is Crystal Palace wins the match.
Southampton vs Crystal Palace - Other Interesting Predictions
Crystal Palace over 1.5
Southampton have conceded two or more goals in eight of their last 10 home league games, while Crystal Palace have scored two or more in seven of their last 10 on the road.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Southampton Crystal Palace
| Southampton vs Crystal Palace | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Southampton wins | 4.2 | 5.5 | +31.0% |
| Draw | 3.6 | 4.1 | +13.9% |
| Crystal Palace wins | 1.83 | 1.6 | -12.6% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Crystal Palace is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 12.6% since opening
- The probability of this result was 54.6% and is now 62.5% (7.9%)
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Southampton vs Crystal Palace match : Frequently asked questions
The Premier League match between Southampton and Crystal Palace will be played on April 2 at 19:45 GMT.
The Premier League match between Southampton and Crystal Palace will take place at St. Mary's Stadium in Hampshire.
The Premier League match between Southampton and Crystal Palace will be broadcast on TNT Sports in the UK.
Alternatively, you can stay up to date with every minute of the action using our Premier League livescore tool.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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