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Southampton vs Chelsea Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League
by Devesh Jaganath in Premier League Predictions
Two sides with contrasting Premier League ambitions will meet in midweek when Southampton play host to Chelsea at St. Mary's Stadium on Wednesday night. The Saints are at the bottom of the league standings, while the Blues are in third place after 13 matches. Let’s get into the match prediction.
Southampton are enduring one of the worst starts to a campaign in Premier League history and there is little for the Saints to be optimistic about looking at their fixture schedule, with Aston Villa, Spurs and Liverpool to come after this match. In contrast, Chelsea have made a very impressive start to the season under Enzo Maresca and could end the midweek fixtures inside the top two.
While the hosts won the last match between these sides 1-0 back in February 2023, their dismal form this term sees them enter this contest as the biggest underdog on matchday 14 of the Premier League. Let’s get into the key stats.
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The Best Betting Odds for Southampton v Chelsea Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
8 | 5.25 | 1.33 |
|
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7.5 | 5.5 | 1.33 |
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|
8.45 | 5.7 | 1.37 |
|
|
8.45 | 5.7 | 1.37 |
|
|
8.25 | 5.5 | 1.33 |
|
|
8.2 | 5.8 | 1.35 |
|
|
7.8 | 5.4 | 1.35 |
|
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8.2 | 5.8 | 1.34 |
|
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8.8 | 5.9 | 1.34 |
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|
9 | 5.5 | 1.3 |
|
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9.1 | 6 | 1.34 |
|
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7.5 | 5.75 | 1.33 |
|
|
8.5 | 5.6 | 1.32 |
|
|
9 | 5.5 | 1.33 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Southampton and Chelsea?
Our prediction for the Southampton vs Chelsea match is: Both teams to score!
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 04/12/2024 between Southampton and Chelsea in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 26.31% for a win of Southampton against Chelsea with odds of 9.1 at Vbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Southampton vs Chelsea is 18.86% with odds of 6 at Vbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 54.83% chance ⭐ for a win of Chelsea vs Southampton with odds of 1.37 at 1xbet.
Southampton vs Chelsea Form
Southampton and Chelsea's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
25 | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 12 |
|
20
|
5 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | -15 |
Southampton and Chelsea Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Nov 2024 - Premier League
24 Nov 2024 - Premier League
9 Nov 2024 - Premier League
2 Nov 2024 - Premier League
29 Oct 2024 - Carabao Cup
26 Oct 2024 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Nov 2024 - Premier League
2 Nov 2024 - Premier League
29 Oct 2024 - Carabao Cup
19 Oct 2024 - Premier League
21 Sep 2024 - Premier League
14 Sep 2024 - Premier League
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Nov 2024 - Premier League
9 Nov 2024 - Premier League
26 Oct 2024 - Premier League
5 Oct 2024 - Premier League
30 Sep 2024 - Premier League
17 Sep 2024 - Carabao Cup
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Dec 2024 - Premier League
28 Nov 2024 - Conference League
23 Nov 2024 - Premier League
10 Nov 2024 - Premier League
7 Nov 2024 - Conference League
3 Nov 2024 - Premier League
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Dec 2024 - Premier League
10 Nov 2024 - Premier League
7 Nov 2024 - Conference League
27 Oct 2024 - Premier League
6 Oct 2024 - Premier League
3 Oct 2024 - Conference League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Nov 2024 - Conference League
23 Nov 2024 - Premier League
3 Nov 2024 - Premier League
30 Oct 2024 - Carabao Cup
24 Oct 2024 - Conference League
20 Oct 2024 - Premier League
Southampton vs Chelsea Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
33 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
18 Feb 2023 - Premier League
30 Aug 2022 - Premier League
9 Apr 2022 - Premier League
26 Oct 2021 - Carabao Cup
2 Oct 2021 - Premier League
20 Feb 2021 - Premier League
Southampton - Chelsea: Form Analysis
Southampton fought valiantly over the weekend to earn a point against Brighton & Hove Albion with a 1-1 draw, which took them to five points for the season, four behind second-bottom Ipswich.
However, the Saints are now winless in their last three league games and have still won only one of their 13 matches this season, while drawing two and losing 10 of the remaining 12.
The hosts have earned four of their five points this season at St. Mary’s Stadium but have only won one of their last 13 top-flight matches on their home patch.
Southampton are the lowest-scoring team in the Premier League this season (10 goals)!
Meanwhile, Chelsea have been enjoying a fine run of form this season and notched up their seventh win of the campaign, beating Aston Villa 3-0 at home over the weekend.
That result took the Blues to five league matches unbeaten and they have only lost two games this season, which were against formidable opponents in Liverpool and Manchester City.
The visitors have earned 13 points from a possible 18 on the road this term and scored in each of their six away matches. They are the joint-second-highest-scoring team in the division in 2024-25.
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Southampton vs Chelsea last Lineups
Formation : 5 - 4 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Missing players
G. Bazunu
A. Ramsdale
DefenderJ. Bednarek
MidfielderW. Smallbone
A. Lallana
ForwardR. Stewart
P. Onuachu
R. James
ForwardO. Kellyman
Southampton & Chelsea Squad Analysis
The point against Brighton came at some cost for Russell Martin, as Taylor Harwood-Bellis, Flynn Downes and Tyler Dibling all crossed the yellow card threshold in the match and will be suspended for this one.
Those are major blows for the Saints given their current casualty list which features as many as seven players at present, including both first-team goalkeepers Gavin Bazunu and Aaron Ramsdale.
Adam Lallana, Jan Bednarek and Ross Stewart are all definitely ruled out for the midweek clash, while Paul Onuachu and William Smallbone are both flagged as major doubts.
Nicolas Jackson has scored in four of Chelsea's last six Premier League matches!
The Blues also suffered a significant injury blow over the weekend, with Wesley Fofana picking up a hamstring injury that reports suggest could lead to him being sidelined for the rest of the year.
Joining the Frenchman in a watching brief this weekend will be club captain Reece James, who is still on the road to recovery and is only expected back early in the New Year.
Most goals and assists
Southampton
Chelsea
C. Archer
(4 Goals)
C. Nkunku
(9 Goals)
M. Fernandes
(4 Assists)
C. Palmer
(6 Assists)
Southampton and Chelsea Stats in Premier League
Southampton - Chelsea Key Points
- Three of Southampton’s last four home games have ended with both teams scoring.
- Southampton have only failed to score in two of their last nine league games.
- Southampton have only kept one clean sheet in 13 league games this season.
- Seven of Chelsea’s last eight league games have ended with both teams scoring.
- Chelsea have scored in 12 consecutive league games ahead of this one.
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Our Southampton vs Chelsea Prediction
While Southampton have been the worst team in the league this season, they have delivered a few decent performances at home in recent weeks - in their last home match, they were just minutes away from taking a point off Liverpool.
Chelsea have had very little issue in attack this season, but they do have a tendency to leak goals cheaply, managing just one shutout in their last eight league games. We still fancy the visitors to win this match but feel that the Saint could nick a goal in this one. Our Southampton vs Chelsea prediction: Both teams to score!
Southampton vs Chelsea - Other Interesting Predictions
Chelsea win and BTTS
Cheslea are unbeaten in their last five league games and have scored in each of their last 12 leading up to this match. While Southampton have found the net in each of their last four home games, only one of those ended in victory.
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Southampton vs Chelsea match : Frequently asked questions
The Premier League match between Southampton and Chelsea will be played on December 4 at 19:30 GMT.
The Premier League match between Southampton and Chelsea will take place at St. Mary's Stadium in Hampshire.
The Premier League match between Southampton and Chelsea will be broadcast on Amazon Prime Video in the UK.
Alternatively, you can stay up to the minute with all the Premier League Livescores right here on SportyTrader!
Tony Harrington will take charge of this match, with the assistance of Matthew Wilkes, Steve Meredith and Simon Hooper as the fourth official.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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