England - FA Cup
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Southampton vs Burnley Prediction & Betting Tips - FA Cup
by Steve Ashfield in FA Cup Predictions
Southampton spend a weekend away from their Premier League relegation fight. They host Burnley (second in the Championship) in the FA Cup fourth round. Can the Clarets beat the Saints? Read our match prediction.
The home side are bottom of the Premier League but have a good recent FA Cup record and a win here will take them into round five (the last 16) for fifth season in a row.
In the third round they beat Swansea City 3-0. and won 2-1 at Ipswich last weekend. Home form has seen them lose seven of their last eight matches, the only win being that third round cup success.
The Saints have ten goals in their last four matches. That's compared with the fact Burnley have only conceded nine goals in their 31 league games this season. On Tuesday they beat Oxford United 1-0 and that was their ninth consecutive league clean sheet.
The last time they had a goal put past them was in the FA Cup third round when they won 3-1 at League One Reading after extra time. Burnley are unbeaten in their last 19 games since a loss at Millwall in November. We go for a double chance bet on Burnley to win or draw this game.
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The Best Betting Odds for Southampton v Burnley Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.91 | 3.6 | 4 |
|
|
1.73 | 3.6 | 4.5 |
|
|
1.8 | 3.5 | 4.4 |
|
|
1.95 | 3.68 | 4.17 |
|
|
1.95 | 3.68 | 4.17 |
|
|
1.9 | 3.5 | 4.1 |
|
|
1.81 | 3.64 | 4.46 |
|
|
1.81 | 3.64 | 4.46 |
|
|
1.82 | 3.55 | 4.4 |
|
|
1.81 | 3.64 | 4.46 |
|
|
1.92 | 3.6 | 4.3 |
|
|
1.78 | 3.5 | 4.33 |
|
|
1.8 | 3.55 | 4.6 |
|
|
1.75 | 3.6 | 4.5 |
|
|
1.83 | 3.75 | 4.5 |
|
|
1.83 | 3.5 | 4.4 |
|
|
1.89 | 3.59 | 4.4 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Southampton and Burnley?
Our prediction for the Southampton vs Burnley match is: double chance bet on Burnley to win or draw.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 08/02/2025 between Southampton and Burnley in FA Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 21.34% for a win of Southampton against Burnley with odds of 1.95 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Southampton vs Burnley is 20.66% with odds of 3.75 at Betsson.
- Our prediction model gives a 58% chance ⭐ for a win of Burnley vs Southampton with odds of 4.6 at Unibet.
Southampton - Burnley Prediction and Best Odds:
| Southampton Burnley Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Burnley wins | 58% | 4.6 at Unibet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56.47% | 2.1 at Betfred |
| Both Team To Score | 32.5% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Burnley | 25.91% | 10 at Betfair |
Southampton vs Burnley Form
Southampton and Burnley Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Feb 2025 - Premier League
25 Jan 2025 - Premier League
19 Jan 2025 - Premier League
16 Jan 2025 - Premier League
12 Jan 2025 - FA Cup
4 Jan 2025 - Premier League
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Jan 2025 - Premier League
12 Jan 2025 - FA Cup
4 Jan 2025 - Premier League
26 Dec 2024 - Premier League
18 Dec 2024 - Carabao Cup
15 Dec 2024 - Premier League
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Feb 2025 - Premier League
19 Jan 2025 - Premier League
16 Jan 2025 - Premier League
29 Dec 2024 - Premier League
22 Dec 2024 - Premier League
7 Dec 2024 - Premier League
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Feb 2025 - Championship
4 Feb 2025 - U23 Premier League Cup
1 Feb 2025 - Championship
28 Jan 2025 - Professional Development League
27 Jan 2025 - Championship
22 Jan 2025 - Championship
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Feb 2025 - Championship
4 Feb 2025 - U23 Premier League Cup
27 Jan 2025 - Championship
21 Jan 2025 - Professional Development League
17 Jan 2025 - Championship
7 Jan 2025 - Professional Development League
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Feb 2025 - Championship
28 Jan 2025 - Professional Development League
22 Jan 2025 - Championship
11 Jan 2025 - FA Cup
4 Jan 2025 - Championship
29 Dec 2024 - Championship
Southampton vs Burnley Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
17 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
21 Apr 2022 - Premier League
23 Oct 2021 - Premier League
4 Apr 2021 - Premier League
26 Sep 2020 - Premier League
15 Feb 2020 - Premier League
10 Aug 2019 - Premier League
Players list
A. McCarthy
DefenderWelington
J. Bree
J. Bednarek
K. Walker-Peters
MidfielderW. Smallbone
C. Archer
J. Aribo
R. Manning
ForwardP. Onuachu
A. Gronbaek
V. Hladky
DefenderM. Esteve
J. Worrall
B. Humphreys
L. Pires
O. Sonne
MidfielderJ. Bauress
H. Mejbri
ForwardM. Edwards
A. Barnes
N. Redmond
Substitutes
A. Ramsdale
DefenderY. Sugawara
N. Wood
A. Bella-Kotchap
MidfielderA. Lallana
W. Smallbone
A. Gronbaek
P. Onuachu
C. Archer
E. Green
DefenderM. Esteve
Z. Flemming
J. Bauress
J. Cullen
ForwardE. Agyei
M. Edwards
N. Redmond
J. Banel
Missing players
R. Stewart
R. Fraser
Most goals and assists
Southampton
Burnley
C. Archer
(5 Goals)
J. Brownhill
(12 Goals)
M. Fernandes
(5 Assists)
J. Anthony
(7 Assists)
Southampton - Burnley Key Points
- Southampton have lost seven of their last eight home games.
- Burnley have gone 19 games without defeat.
- Only one goal has been scored against Burnley in their last ten matches.
- Burnley have kept 11 clean sheets in their last 15 away games.
- Southampton won last week but haven't had two successive wins since November.
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Our Southampton vs Burnley Prediction
It's likely that next season Burnley will be in the Premier League and Southampton back in the Championship. Both sides are likely to make changes for this FA Cup game but Burnley are in far the better form.
They are second in the Championship, on a long unbeaten run and are difficult to score against. Southampton keep on conceding goals and may well again struggle here. Our Southampton v Burnley prediction is a double chance bet on Burnley to win or draw.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Southampton Burnley
| Southampton vs Burnley | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Southampton wins | 2.1 | 1.91 | -9.0% |
| Draw | 3.2 | 3.6 | +12.5% |
| Burnley wins | 3.6 | 4 | +11.1% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Burnley is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 11.1% since opening
- The probability of this result was 27.8% and is now 25.0% (-2.8%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Southampton vs. Burnley game!
Are you planning to bet on the upcoming match between Southampton and Burnley? Why not take advantage of the free bets from Bet365? Use our promo code STYVIP1 and open your account. Bet365 offers a welcome package of €/£50 free bet credits if you bet €/£10 as a new player.
Try your luck on this year's FA Cup! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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