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Southampton vs Brighton Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League
by Daniel Ngulu | in Premier League Predictions
Southampton’s tough season back in the Premier League continues with another tricky fixture against Brighton this Saturday. The Saints will be at home for this match, taking on a Seagulls side that has in recent times dominated this fixture. Heading into this game, Brighton are clinging onto a top half spot while Southampton are where they’ve been for most of the season – bottom. Below we have a preview of this fixture and two predictions.
A return to the Championship seems inevitable for hosts Southampton. They are looking to avoid an eighth straight home defeat in the Premier League but a miserable run of form against Brighton won’t be very helpful in their case.
The visitors are unbeaten in six meetings with Southampton and this is an important game for them as well. Brighton, coming off two straight wins, will seek to rise from an embarrassing defeat the last time they played away from home in the league.
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The Best Betting Odds for Southampton v Brighton Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.5 | 4.33 | 1.55 |
|
|
5.5 | 4.5 | 1.57 |
|
|
4.6 | 2.8 | 1.83 |
|
|
5.49 | 4.58 | 1.6 |
|
|
5.49 | 4.58 | 1.6 |
|
|
5 | 4.2 | 1.6 |
|
|
5.35 | 4.46 | 1.56 |
|
|
5.35 | 4.46 | 1.56 |
|
|
5.4 | 4.4 | 1.59 |
|
|
5.35 | 4.46 | 1.56 |
|
|
5.4 | 4.5 | 1.61 |
|
|
5.9 | 4.45 | 1.58 |
|
|
5.5 | 4.2 | 1.57 |
|
|
5.5 | 4.5 | 1.58 |
|
|
5 | 4.2 | 1.6 |
|
|
5.6 | 4.2 | 1.57 |
|
|
5.5 | 4.33 | 1.57 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Southampton and Brighton?
Our prediction for the Southampton vs Brighton match is: Brighton to win and over 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 22/02/2025 between Southampton and Brighton in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 16.97% for a win of Southampton against Brighton with odds of 5.9 at Betsson.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Southampton vs Brighton is 20.66% with odds of 4.58 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 62.38% chance ⭐ for a win of Brighton vs Southampton with odds of 1.83 at Ladbrokes.
Southampton vs Brighton Form
Southampton and Brighton's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
10
|
37 | 25 | 9 | 10 | 6 | 0 |
|
20
|
9 | 25 | 2 | 3 | 20 | -38 |
Southampton and Brighton Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Feb 2025 - Premier League
8 Feb 2025 - FA Cup
1 Feb 2025 - Premier League
25 Jan 2025 - Premier League
19 Jan 2025 - Premier League
16 Jan 2025 - Premier League
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Feb 2025 - Premier League
8 Feb 2025 - FA Cup
25 Jan 2025 - Premier League
12 Jan 2025 - FA Cup
4 Jan 2025 - Premier League
26 Dec 2024 - Premier League
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Feb 2025 - Premier League
19 Jan 2025 - Premier League
16 Jan 2025 - Premier League
29 Dec 2024 - Premier League
22 Dec 2024 - Premier League
7 Dec 2024 - Premier League
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Feb 2025 - Premier League
8 Feb 2025 - FA Cup
1 Feb 2025 - Premier League
25 Jan 2025 - Premier League
19 Jan 2025 - Premier League
16 Jan 2025 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Feb 2025 - Premier League
8 Feb 2025 - FA Cup
25 Jan 2025 - Premier League
4 Jan 2025 - Premier League
27 Dec 2024 - Premier League
15 Dec 2024 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Feb 2025 - Premier League
19 Jan 2025 - Premier League
16 Jan 2025 - Premier League
11 Jan 2025 - FA Cup
30 Dec 2024 - Premier League
21 Dec 2024 - Premier League
Southampton vs Brighton Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
50 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
29 Nov 2024 - Premier League
21 May 2023 - Premier League
26 Dec 2022 - Premier League
24 Apr 2022 - Premier League
4 Dec 2021 - Premier League
14 Mar 2021 - Premier League
Southampton - Brighton: Form Analysis
Southampton haven't been able to put up a consistent winning run in the league and have been second best in most of their league matches. They come into this game being the only side yet to hit double figures in points this season.
At nine points so far, they are 10 points adrift of safety. To stay up, they must start their recovery immediately. The Saints are coming from yet another home loss, falling 3-1 to Bournemouth last time out.
That came right after their FA Cup elimination at the hands of Championship side Burnley. It was the fifth time in six league matches that they conceded three or more goals.
There hasn’t been much joy at home, with the Saints having lost seven straight home league matches ahead of this.
Brighton are unbeaten in six matches against Southampton.
Brighton will be charged up for this match after recovering from their 7-0 mauling by Nottingham Forest in their last away match. A pair of wins against Chelsea will build in the visitors the confidence they need to rise in their first away match after that heavy defeat.
First they beat the Blues 2-1 in the FA Cup fifth round before thrashing them 3-0 in the league in their most recent game. For this game, Fabian Hurzeler’s men will hope to tap on the form that has them on five wins in seven matches.
As they are unbeaten in the last six matches against Southampton, Brighton will be confident of extending their dominance here.
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Southampton vs Brighton last Lineups
Formation : 3 - 4 - 1 - 2
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Missing players
J. Stephens
T. Harwood-Bellis
MidfielderA. Lallana
F. Downes
ForwardR. Stewart
R. Fraser
J. Steele
DefenderF. Kadioglu
Igor
P. Estupinan
L. Dunk
MidfielderJ. Milner
S. March
Southampton & Brighton Squad Analysis
Brighton fended off interest from Saudi Arabia to keep their prized asset Kaoru Mitoma. The Japanese winger is one of the exciting talents in the Premier League and will once again be a man to watch here.
In Brighton’s last two matches he scored, and will be confident coming here. In the league, this season, he has had a return of nine goal involvements, scoring six times and assisting three.
He scored in the first meeting with Southampton this season and with xG 5.3, his availability for this game isn’t the best news for the Saints.
Mitoma has attempted 41 shots in the 25 league matches he has played this season but that’s barely his biggest strength. His passing range is. He carries into this game an 80.8% pass accuracy, which has contributed to creating 32 chances.
Injured Adam Lallana will not feature against his former team, Brighton.
Going by their returns in the league this season, Southampton are coming into this game as underdogs. They are thus expected to be on the defensive for a better part of this match.
It means they have to be on top defensively and this is where skipper Jan Bednarek comes in. With Ivan Juric’s preference for a back three, Bednarek’s leadership will once again be crucial.
He has shown this not just at the back, but also with two goals, which make him their best scoring defender and only one goal behind lead scorer Joe Aribo.
The Pole has a 65.6% percent success winning aerial duels and will be key in dealing with Brighton’s crosses. He has also won 51.9% of the tackles he went into.
Most goals and assists
Southampton
Brighton
C. Archer
(5 Goals)
D. Welbeck
(6 Goals)
, 
K. Mitoma
(6 Goals)
M. Fernandes
(5 Assists)
J. Pedro
(5 Assists)
Southampton and Brighton Stats in Premier League
Southampton - Brighton Key Points
- Brighton emerged winners in five of their last seven matches.
- Southampton lost each of their last seven home league matches.
- In seven of 10 home league matches, Southampton conceded 3+.
- Southampton have suffered eight defeats in their last 10 matches.
- Seven of Brighton’s last 10 away matches produced over 2.5 goals.
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Our Southampton vs Brighton Prediction
Home and away, Southampton have so far failed to find their footing in the league. As a result, they are prime candidates for relegation. This is another tough one for the Saints, and their recent home form doesn’t help.
They’ve lost each of the last seven home matches in the league. In the last 10 league matches at home they conceded three or more goals. They meet a Brighton side that has a positive record in this game and has also been involved in high scoring matches. Our prediction for Southampton v Brighton is for Brighton to win and over 2.5 goals.
Southampton vs Brighton - Other Interesting Predictions
Both teams to score
While Southampton haven't been doing really well, and conceding a lot, there’s some consistency in their scoring run. In their last five matches, they scored at least once, even though they failed to keep a clean sheet.
Their opponents have just one clean sheet in the last five away league matches. Brighton also failed to score in just one of their last five away matches in the league. Our second prediction for this match would be for both teams to score.
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Southampton vs Brighton match : Frequently asked questions
The Southampton v Brighton match will be played on Saturday 21st February.
The Southampton v Brighton match will be staged at St. Mary’s Stadium.
The Southampton v Brighton match will be run by Darren Bond as center referee. He will be assisted by Marc Perry and Natalie Aspinall while Samuel Barrott will serve as fourth official.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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