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Southampton vs Brentford Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League
by Devesh Jaganath in Premier League Predictions
Hoping to spark an upturn in results, Southampton will kick off the second half of the Premier League season by playing host to Brentford at St. Mary’s Stadium on Saturday afternoon. The Saints are rooted to the bottom of the league table with six points while the Bees are in 12th place with 24 points. Check out our match prediction below!
After winning their first-ever Premier League match against this opponent back in January 2022, Southampton enter this fixture having lost their last four against the Bees, conceding three or more goals in three of those matches. Brentford won the last match at St. Mary’s 2-0 but have never won two in a row at this venue in the past.
As has been the case for the majority of this season, Southampton are the underdogs in this match. However, there is very little to choose from based on the odds, with bookies seemingly expecting a close contest. To the key stats!
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The Best Betting Odds for Southampton v Brentford Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.25 | 3.6 | 2.1 |
|
|
3.25 | 3.6 | 2.2 |
|
|
3.25 | 3.5 | 2.1 |
|
|
3.47 | 3.71 | 2.12 |
|
|
3.47 | 3.71 | 2.12 |
|
|
3.35 | 3.6 | 2.15 |
|
|
3.2 | 3.52 | 2.19 |
|
|
3.2 | 3.52 | 2.19 |
|
|
3.2 | 3.65 | 2.21 |
|
|
3.26 | 3.62 | 2.12 |
|
|
3.45 | 3.75 | 2.11 |
|
|
3.35 | 3.5 | 2.12 |
|
|
3.25 | 3.5 | 2.1 |
|
|
3.35 | 3.7 | 2.18 |
|
|
3.3 | 3.5 | 2.15 |
|
|
3.34 | 3.61 | 2.18 |
|
|
3.3 | 3.4 | 2.15 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Southampton and Brentford?
Our prediction for the Southampton vs Brentford match is: both teams to score.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 04/01/2025 between Southampton and Brentford in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 36.31% for a win of Southampton against Brentford with odds of 3.47 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Southampton vs Brentford is 17.13% with odds of 3.75 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 46.56% chance ⭐ for a win of Brentford vs Southampton with odds of 2.21 at Stake.
Southampton - Brentford Prediction and Best Odds:
| Southampton Brentford Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Brentford wins | 46.56% | 2.21 at Stake |
| Over 2.5 goals | 64.52% | 1.82 at 1xbet |
| Both Team To Score | 55% | 1.59 at Betsson |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Brentford | 18.68% | 6 at Bet365 |
Southampton vs Brentford Form
Southampton and Brentford's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
11
|
27 | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 3 |
|
20
|
6 | 20 | 1 | 3 | 16 | -32 |
Southampton and Brentford Last Matches
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Dec 2024 - Premier League
26 Dec 2024 - Premier League
22 Dec 2024 - Premier League
18 Dec 2024 - Carabao Cup
15 Dec 2024 - Premier League
7 Dec 2024 - Premier League
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Dec 2024 - Premier League
18 Dec 2024 - Carabao Cup
15 Dec 2024 - Premier League
4 Dec 2024 - Premier League
24 Nov 2024 - Premier League
2 Nov 2024 - Premier League
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Dec 2024 - Premier League
22 Dec 2024 - Premier League
7 Dec 2024 - Premier League
29 Nov 2024 - Premier League
9 Nov 2024 - Premier League
26 Oct 2024 - Premier League
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Jan 2025 - Premier League
27 Dec 2024 - Premier League
21 Dec 2024 - Premier League
18 Dec 2024 - Carabao Cup
15 Dec 2024 - Premier League
7 Dec 2024 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Jan 2025 - Premier League
21 Dec 2024 - Premier League
7 Dec 2024 - Premier League
30 Nov 2024 - Premier League
9 Nov 2024 - Premier League
29 Oct 2024 - Carabao Cup
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Dec 2024 - Premier League
18 Dec 2024 - Carabao Cup
15 Dec 2024 - Premier League
4 Dec 2024 - Premier League
23 Nov 2024 - Premier League
4 Nov 2024 - Premier League
Southampton vs Brentford Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
0 %
83 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
31 Aug 2024 - Premier League
15 Mar 2023 - Premier League
4 Feb 2023 - Premier League
7 May 2022 - Premier League
11 Jan 2022 - Premier League
16 Sep 2020 - Carabao Cup
Southampton - Brentford: Form Analysis
Southampton have managed only a single win and six points in total over the first half of the season. Only one team has ever earned six points after 20 games of a campaign, Sunderland, who were relegated bottom of the table back in 2005-06.
The Saints suffered their 15th defeat of the season before the New Year when they were unable to hold on to a one-goal lead and were beaten 2-1 by Crystal Palace on the road.
With that, the hosts are now winless in nine consecutive league games, seven of which ended in defeat, dating back to their sole victory of the campaign over Everton at the start of November.
Southampton have only scored 12 goals in 19 Premier League matches this season!
Meanwhile, Brentford brought an end to a very poor last month, in which they managed just four points from a possible 18, with a 3-1 defeat to Arsenal at home on New Year’s Day.
That result marked the Bees’ fourth straight league game without a victory (W0 D1 L3), which is a notable downturn after losing only one of their preceding five top-flight matches (W3 D1 L1).
The visitors' points this season have come almost exclusively at home. On the road, Brentford have earned only two points this term by way of 0-0 draws and have conceded two or more goals in seven of their nine away games to date.
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Southampton against Brentford Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 3
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Missing players
G. Bazunu
DefenderJ. Stephens
MidfielderW. Smallbone
F. Downes
M. Fernandes
ForwardR. Stewart
R. Henry
E. Pinnock
K. Ajer
B. Mee
MidfielderJ. Da Silva
A. Hickey
F. Carvalho
ForwardI. Thiago
Southampton & Brentford Squad Analysis
Southampton could be without five players for this opening match of the year, including Gavin Bazunu, who is now expected to return to full fitness by the end of the month.
Jack Stephens (knock), Ross Stewart (calf) and Will Smallbone (hamstring) are ruled out due to injury, but Flynn Downes and Mateus Fernandes could return to the squad following a knock and suspension respectively.
Brentford are likely to be missing eight players due to injury for this match!
Indeed, the Bees have been one of the most hard-hit in terms of injuries this season, but they did receive a few boosts in that regard with Sepp van den Berg and Mathias Jensen both back in action last week.
However, Ethan Pinnock (hamstring), Kristoffer Ajer (ankle), Igor Thiago (knee), Gustavo Nunes (back), Rico Henry (knee), Aaron Hickey (hamstring) and Josh Dasilva (knee) are still sidelined.
Additionally, Ben Mee is now expected to miss at least two weeks owing to a muscle strain.
Most goals and assists
Southampton
Brentford
C. Archer
(5 Goals)
B. Mbeumo
(13 Goals)
M. Fernandes
(4 Assists)
M. Damsgaard
(6 Assists)
Southampton - Brentford Key Points
- Southampton have scored in five of their last seven home league games.
- Southampton have only kept one clean sheet at home this season.
- Seven of Brentford’s last 10 league games have ended with both teams scoring.
- Brentford have failed to win an away league match this season.
- Brentford have conceded two or more goals in seven of their nine away games this season.
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Our Southampton vs Brentford Prediction
Southampton are in serious danger of being cut adrift this season unless they can start finding results, and they will see this as a good chance of getting a rare victory against an opponent that has yet to win on the road.
However, given the hosts’ record this term, Brentford will also feel that this could be the match in which they notch up their first road win of the campaign. This feels like a match that could be decided by a slender margin. Our Southampton vs Brentford prediction is both teams to score.
Southampton vs Brentford - Other Interesting Predictions
Over 2.5
Southampton have conceded two or more goals in three of their last four home games and five of their nine matches at this venue this season have ended with over 2.5 goals. Brentford have conceded two or more in seven of their nine away games this term, with six matches in that time ending with three or more goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Southampton Brentford
| Southampton vs Brentford | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Southampton wins | 2.9 | 3.25 | +12.1% |
| Draw | 3.4 | 3.6 | +5.9% |
| Brentford wins | 2.35 | 2.1 | -10.6% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Brentford is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 10.6% since opening
- The probability of this result was 42.6% and is now 47.6% (5.1%)
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Southampton vs Brentford match : Frequently asked questions
The Premier League match between Southampton and Brentford will be played on January 4 at 15:00 GMT.
The Premier League match between Southampton and Brentford will take place at St. Mary's Stadium in Hampshire.
The Premier League match between Southampton and Brentford will not be broadcast on TV in the UK.
However, you can stay up to the minute with all the Premier League Livescores right here on SportyTrader!
Stuart Attwell will take charge of this match, with the assistance of Constantine Hatzidakis, Natalie Aspinall and John Busby as the fourth official.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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