England - Premier League
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by Devesh Jaganath in Premier League Predictions
Aston Villa will be looking to extend their impressive run of results in the Premier League this weekend when they travel to St. Mary's Stadium to take on Southampton on Saturday afternoon. The Saints are bottom of the league standings, while the Villans are seventh after 31 games. Check out our match prediction below!
Southampton became the first team to be relegated from the Premier League this season last weekend when they were beaten 3-1 on the road by Tottenham Hotspur. Following the confirmation of their relegation, Ivan Juric opted to part ways with the club after just 108 days at the helm. During his tenure, he suffered 12 defeats in 14 matches.
Villa are the clear favourites in this match, having won each of their last four Premier League games against this opponent by an aggregate score of 7-0. In their league history, they have only beaten three teams, Stoke, Sunderland and Hull, five times in a row without conceding. To the key stats!
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The Best Betting Odds for Southampton v Aston Villa Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.75 | 4.2 | 1.55 |
|
|
6 | 4.6 | 1.53 |
|
|
5.5 | 4.33 | 1.55 |
|
|
6 | 4.5 | 1.48 |
|
|
5.66 | 4.54 | 1.59 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Southampton and Aston Villa?
Our prediction for the Southampton vs Aston Villa match is: over 2.5.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 12/04/2025 between Southampton and Aston Villa in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 15.18% for a win of Southampton against Aston Villa with odds of 6.2 at Vbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Southampton vs Aston Villa is 9.24% with odds of 4.8 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 75.58% chance ⭐ for a win of Aston Villa vs Southampton with odds of 1.59 at 1xbet.
Southampton - Aston Villa Prediction and Best Odds:
| Southampton Aston Villa Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa wins | 75.58% | 1.59 at 1xbet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 69.07% | 1.62 at 1xbet |
| Both Team To Score | 52.08% | 1.7 at Ladbrokes |
| Half-time / Full-time: Aston Villa/Aston Villa | 31.6% | 2.4 at Bet365 |
Southampton vs Aston Villa Form
Southampton and Aston Villa's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5
|
54 | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 3 |
|
20
|
10 | 32 | 2 | 4 | 26 | -54 |
Southampton and Aston Villa Last Matches
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Apr 2025 - Premier League
2 Apr 2025 - Premier League
15 Mar 2025 - Premier League
8 Mar 2025 - Premier League
25 Feb 2025 - Premier League
22 Feb 2025 - Premier League
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Apr 2025 - Premier League
15 Mar 2025 - Premier League
22 Feb 2025 - Premier League
15 Feb 2025 - Premier League
8 Feb 2025 - FA Cup
25 Jan 2025 - Premier League
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Apr 2025 - Premier League
8 Mar 2025 - Premier League
25 Feb 2025 - Premier League
1 Feb 2025 - Premier League
19 Jan 2025 - Premier League
16 Jan 2025 - Premier League
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Apr 2025 - Champions League
5 Apr 2025 - Premier League
2 Apr 2025 - Premier League
30 Mar 2025 - FA Cup
20 Mar 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
12 Mar 2025 - Champions League
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Apr 2025 - Premier League
20 Mar 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
12 Mar 2025 - Champions League
28 Feb 2025 - FA Cup
22 Feb 2025 - Premier League
19 Feb 2025 - Premier League
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Apr 2025 - Champions League
2 Apr 2025 - Premier League
30 Mar 2025 - FA Cup
8 Mar 2025 - Premier League
4 Mar 2025 - Champions League
25 Feb 2025 - Premier League
Southampton vs Aston Villa Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
0 %
83 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
7 Dec 2024 - Premier League
21 Jan 2023 - Premier League
16 Sep 2022 - Premier League
5 Mar 2022 - Premier League
5 Nov 2021 - Premier League
30 Jan 2021 - Premier League
Southampton - Aston Villa: Form Analysis
After last week’s defeat to Spurs, Southampton now hold the unwanted record of becoming the first team in the history of the Premier League to be relegated with seven games still to play in the season.
To date, the Saints have lost 25 of their 31 league games this term (W2 D4 L25), which is their joint-most league defeats in a single campaign. They lost the same number in their previous relegation campaign in 2022-23.
The hosts are also winless in their last 10 home league games, nine of which ended in defeat. Only once before have they failed to win 11 home matches on the bounce, which was in 2008-09 in the Championship.
Aston Villa currently have the longest active win streak of any team in the Premier League!
Indeed, the Lions are enjoying an excellent run of form domestically, racking up wins in each of their last three matches, while only losing one in their last seven since the middle of February (W4 D2 L1).
Villa have also experienced an upturn in away performances, with wins and clean sheets in their last two outings after losing seven of their preceding nine on the road dating back to the start of November.
However, the visitors are coming off a painful loss to PSG in the first leg of their Champions League quarter-final tie, and they may have one eye on the return leg in three day's time.
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Southampton against Aston Villa Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 3
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Missing players
J. Larios
C. Taylor
MidfielderF. Downes
A. Gronbaek
L. Bailey
Southampton & Aston Villa Squad Analysis
The one positive for Southampton from the defeat to Spurs last week was the performance of Ghanaian international Kamaldeen Sulemana.
The 23-year-old was a constant threat to the Lilywhites' defence throughout the 90 and rattled the woodwork in the first half before setting up what turned out to be nothing more than a consolation goal for Mateus Fernandes late in the day.
The hosts have four players set to miss out this weekend due to injury, including Ryan Fraser (calf), Albert Gronbaek (muscle), Juan Larios (fitness) and Charlie Taylor (hip).
Donyell Malen has scored in back-to-back games for Aston Villa!
Given that the former Borussia Dortmund man is ineligible to feature in Europe for Villa this season, he will likely be given a starting role this weekend and could be one to watch.
Ollie Watkins was somewhat surprisingly omitted from the starting 11 in Paris in midweek, with Unai Emery opting for Marcus Rashford in the number nine role. Thus, the former should lead the line this weekend.
The visitors have a relatively clean bill of health at present, with only Ross Barkley (knee) and Leon Bailey (fitness) expected to miss the trip to Hampshire this weekend.
Most goals and assists
Southampton
Aston Villa
C. Archer
(5 Goals)
O. Watkins
(15 Goals)
M. Fernandes
(6 Assists)
O. Watkins
(10 Assists)
Southampton - Aston Villa Key Points
- Nine of Southampton’s last 10 games have ended with over 2.5 goals.
- Southampton have conceded two or more goals in eight of their last nine league matches.
- Southampton have failed to keep a clean sheet in any of their last 10 home league games.
- Five of Aston Villa’s last six league games have ended with over 2.5 goals.
- Aston Villa have conceded two or more goals in seven of their last 10 away league games.
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Our Southampton vs Aston Villa Prediction
There is likely to be a dull mood around St. Mary’s Stadium this weekend with the fate of Southampton now confirmed, and while the team will still want to salvage some pride this season, there is very little positivity around the club right now.
With a huge Champions League clash to come in 72 hours, Aston Villa could not have asked for a better fixture to rotate players in than this one, and given the recent records of both these teams, this feels like a match that could end in a goal-fest. Our Southampton vs Aston Villa prediction is over 2.5.
Southampton vs Aston Villa - Other Interesting Predictions
Ollie Watkins to score or assist
Ollie Watkins would have been bitterly disappointed to be left out of the starting 11 in midweek and will want to send Emery a message in this match for their upcoming clash in three days' time. The England international has 19 goal involvements in 31 league games this season, and we feel he will add to that tally in this one.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Southampton Aston Villa
| Southampton vs Aston Villa | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Southampton wins | 5 | 5.75 | +15.0% |
| Draw | 4.2 | 4.2 | 0% |
| Aston Villa wins | 1.62 | 1.55 | -4.3% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Aston Villa is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 4.3% since opening
- The probability of this result was 61.7% and is now 64.5% (2.8%)
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Southampton vs Aston Villa match : Frequently asked questions
The Premier League match between Southampton and Aston Villa will be played on April 12 at 15:00 GMT.
The Premier League match between Southampton and Aston Villa will take place at St. Mary's Stadium in Hampshire.
The Premier League match between Southampton and Aston Villa will not be broadcast on TV in the UK.
However, you can stay up to date with every minute of the action using our Premier League livescore tool.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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