South Sudan vs South Africa Prediction & Betting Tips - AFCON
by Devesh Jaganath in AFCON Predictions
After a compelling first round, the Africa Cup of Nations qualifiers head into week two, and in Group K we will see South Sudan taking on South Africa at the Juba Stadium on Tuesday evening. The Bright Stars are currently bottom of the group standings, while Bafana Bafana are in second place, two points off Congo at the top. Check out our match prediction below.
South Sudan kicked off their AFCON qualifiers with a 1-0 defeat to Congo last Thursday, with Chandrel Massanga scoring the only goal in a match that Congo dominated from the off. Bafana Bafana, meanwhile, managed to claim a point with a last-minute equaliser from Thalente Mbatha against Uganda in their opening match of the competition.
This match represents a historic moment for both sides, as it is the first time that they will face off in a competitive international fixture, but which one of them will be able to mark the occasion with a victory? Let’s take a look at some of the key facts to consider in this one.
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The Best Betting Odds for South Sudan v South Africa Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6.75 | 3.2 | 1.6 |
|
|
6.64 | 3.5 | 1.59 |
|
|
6 | 3.25 | 1.66 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between South Sudan and South Africa?
Our prediction for the South Sudan vs South Africa match is: Under 2.5!
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 10/09/2024 between South Sudan and South Africa in AFCON :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 8.65% for a win of South Sudan against South Africa with odds of 6.75 at Betobet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between South Sudan vs South Africa is 47.12% with odds of 3.5 at Betwinner.
- Our prediction model gives a 44.23% chance ⭐ for a win of South Africa vs South Sudan with odds of 1.66 at Stake.
South Sudan - South Africa Prediction and Best Odds:
| South Sudan South Africa Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Draw | 47.12% | 3.5 at Betwinner |
| Under 2.5 | 67.5% | 1.46 at Betobet |
| Both Team To Score | 42.86% | |
| Half-time / Full-time: Draw/Draw | 27.47% |
South Sudan vs South Africa Form
South Sudan and South Africa's standings in the AFCON
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
|
4
|
0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 |
South Sudan and South Africa Last Matches
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Sep 2024 - AFCON
11 Jun 2024 - World Cup
5 Jun 2024 - World Cup
26 Mar 2024 - AFCON
22 Mar 2024 - AFCON
21 Nov 2023 - World Cup
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Sep 2024 - AFCON
2 Jul 2024 - COSAFA Cup
29 Jun 2024 - COSAFA Cup
26 Jun 2024 - COSAFA Cup
11 Jun 2024 - World Cup
7 Jun 2024 - World Cup
South Sudan - South Africa: Form Analysis
South Sudan were arguably a little fortunate to come away from their trip to Congo with only a 1-0 loss, as they were completely outplayed by the Red Devils in almost every statistical category.
Across the 90, the Bright Stars managed only 37% possession and registered a mere three shots on target, none of which looked likely to trouble Pavelh Ndzila in the opposing net.
With that result, the home side are now winless in their last seven matches in all competitions, including four draws and three defeats dating back to September 12 of last year.
South Sudan have managed one victory in their last 12 matches in all competitions and have not won a game in 2024!
Meanwhile, South Africa avoided a massive disappointment last week as they came up against a plucky Uganda, who managed to score twice from only three shots on target in the match at the Orlando Stadium.
Mbatha’s goal at his home ground in the fifth minute of stoppage time saved Bafana Bafana’s blushes and also extended the side’s unbeaten record to nine matches in all competitions, dating back to the defeat to Nigeria in the semi-final of the AFCON this year.
However, Hugo Broos’s side will now head off on the road, where their record is less impressive, with the side failing to win any of their last three outings (W0 D2 L1).
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Missing players
M. Chol
South Sudan & South Africa Squad Analysis
Joseph Dhata only lasted 25 minutes in South Sudan’s opening match against Congo before being taken off through injury, and he is flagged as a doubt for this match.
Notably, instead of replacing Dhata with a natural striking replacement, Nicolas Dupuis opted to change up the Bright Stars formation by sending in Geringa Atendele, resulting in the side playing a 4-4-2 as opposed to the original 3-4-3 formation.
South Sudan made four changes by halftime in the first match, suggesting we could see a fairly different starting 11 in this one!
With captain Ronwen Williams currently unavailable due to injury, Veli Mothwa started in goal against Uganda and had a howler for the second goal, which could prompt Broos to hand Sipho Chaine a start in goal this time around.
Burnley attacker Lyle Foster opened the scoring for Bafana Bafana in the last match and should continue to lead the line here, while Mbatha’s leveller last time out would have certainly brought him into contention for a starting 11 berth this week.
South Sudan - South Africa Key Points
- Seven of South Sudan’s last 10 games have ended with under 2.5 goals.
- South Sudan have failed to score in seven of their last 10 matches.
- South Sudan have not scored more than one goal in any of their last 10 matches.
- Seven of South Africa’s last 10 games have ended with under 2.5 goals.
- South Africa have failed to score in three of their last six away games.
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Our South Sudan vs South Africa Prediction
Ranked 169th in the world, South Sudan are the clear outsider to reach the 2025 Africa Cup of Nations main draw and their performance in their first match of qualifying did little to inspire confidence in their chances.
South Africa, meanwhile, have improved significantly over the last 18 months, but their away record is far from impressive. Bafana Bafana may well go on to win this match, but we feel it will be a low-scoring affair. Our South Sudan vs South Africa prediction: Under 2.5!
South Sudan vs South Africa - Other Interesting Predictions
South Africa win
South Sudan are winless in their last seven matches, while South Africa are unbeaten in their last nine in all competitions.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis South Sudan South Africa
| South Sudan vs South Africa | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| South Sudan wins | 7.5 | 6.75 | -10.0% |
| Draw | 3.15 | 3.2 | +1.6% |
| South Africa wins | 1.57 | 1.6 | +1.9% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- A draw is the most likely outcome
- The odds for this bet have increased by 1.6% since opening
- The probability of this result was 31.7% and is now 31.3% (-0.5%)
South Sudan vs South Africa match : Frequently asked questions
The Africa Cup of Nations qualifier between South Sudan and South Africa will be played on September 10 at 14:00 GMT.
The Africa Cup of Nations qualifier between South Sudan and South Africa will take place at the Juba Stadium in South Sudan.
The Africa Cup of Nations qualifier between South Sudan and South Africa will be broadcast live on DSTV’s Supersport.
You can also keep up-to-the-minute with all the AFCON Liverscores right here on SportyTrader!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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