South Africa vs Uganda Prediction & Betting Tips - AFCON
by Devesh Jaganath in AFCON Predictions
South Africa will get their Africa Cup of Nations qualification campaign underway on Friday when they take on Uganda at the Orlando Stadium in Soweto. Bafana Bafana and the Cranes are drawn into Group K, which also features South Sudan and Congo who faced off in their opening match on Thursday. Check out our prediction of this contest below.
Less than seven months ago, South Africa enjoyed an impressive AFCON run which ended with a top-three finish after beating DR Congo 6-5 on penalties in the third-place playoff. Uganda, meanwhile, failed to qualify for the main draw, bowing out of their qualifying group which included Algeria, Tanzania and Niger.
Bafana Bafana enter this match as the clear favourites according to the latest bookmaker odds and will be determined to make the most of what should be an electric atmosphere in Johannesburg. But, can Uganda pull off an upset on enemy territory?
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The Best Betting Odds for South Africa v Uganda Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.85 | 2.45 | 6 |
|
|
1.48 | 3.94 | 7.39 |
|
|
1.48 | 3.94 | 7.39 |
|
|
1.43 | 3.9 | 7.75 |
|
|
1.55 | 3.64 | 6.81 |
|
|
1.72 | 3.25 | 5.4 |
|
|
1.48 | 3.94 | 7.39 |
|
|
1.54 | 3.7 | 6.2 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between South Africa and Uganda?
Our prediction for the South Africa vs Uganda match is: Under 2.5!
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 06/09/2024 between South Africa and Uganda in AFCON :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 48.31% for a win of South Africa against Uganda with odds of 1.85 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between South Africa vs Uganda is 39.4% with odds of 3.94 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 12.29% chance ⭐ for a win of Uganda vs South Africa with odds of 7.75 at Betobet.
South Africa - Uganda Prediction and Best Odds:
| South Africa Uganda Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| South Africa wins | 48.31% | 1.85 at Ladbrokes |
| Under 2.5 | 58.72% | 2.12 at Tonybet |
| Both Team To Score | 45.24% | 2.45 at Ladbrokes |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: South Africa | 28.18% | 3.9 at Ladbrokes |
South Africa vs Uganda Form
South Africa and Uganda's standings in the AFCON
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
|
2
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
South Africa and Uganda Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Jul 2024 - COSAFA Cup
29 Jun 2024 - COSAFA Cup
26 Jun 2024 - COSAFA Cup
11 Jun 2024 - World Cup
7 Jun 2024 - World Cup
26 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Jun 2024 - World Cup
7 Jun 2024 - World Cup
26 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
22 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
19 Jan 2024 - International Friendlies
21 Nov 2023 - World Cup
South Africa - Uganda: Form Analysis
After winning the bronze medal in the previous edition of the Africa Cup of Nations, South Africa received a two-place bump in the FIFA World Ranking which now places them in the top 10 in the CAF region.
Since then, Bafana Bafana have played five competitive matches and avoided defeat in each, drawing three and winning two, with the most recent being a 1-0 victory over Eswatini in the COSAFA Cup in July.
Hugo Broos’ side are also unbeaten in their last nine matches on home soil dating back 2-1 loss to Zambia in July 2023.
South Africa have not lost any of their last 11 matches in all competitions in regulation time!
Meanwhile, having missed out on the competition in the Ivory Coast, the first half of Uganda’s year saw the side playing three friendlies which were split with a win over Kuwait, a draw against Ghana, and a defeat to Algeria.
It has been a similarly mixed bag of results for the Cranes in World Cup qualifying, winning two and losing two of their four matches to date, which sees them sat in fourth place in their group.
The visitors have won two and lost four of their last six away games and have never beaten South Africa in the four previous encounters between the nations, losing three and drawing one.
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South Africa & Uganda Squad Analysis
Hugo Broos made his final squad selection on Tuesday night and the most notable omission was that of captain Ronwen Williams, who is ruled out for both games this month due to injury.
Ricardo Goss, Veli Mothwa and Sipho Chaine have been called up as the goalkeeping options in Willams’ absence. Broos has a full complement of players at his disposal aside from Sundowns' shot-stopper.
Themba Zwane has been handed the captain’s armband for the match against Uganda!
Paul Put called up 28 players to make the trip to Soweto but was forced to leave out Kenneth Semakula and Halid Lwaliwa, due to Visa issues, though the pair will be available for next week’s match against Congo.
Allan Kyambadde, Moses Opondo, Uche Ikpeazu, and Isak Ssewankambo are ruled out of the contest through injury. Isima Watenga, who plays for South African PSL side Golden Arrows is likely to start in goal for the Cranes.
South Africa - Uganda Key Points
- Eight of South Africa’s last 10 matches have ended with under 2.5 goals.
- South Africa have kept six clean sheets in their last eight home matches.
- Seven of Uganda’s last 10 away matches have ended with under 2.5 goals.
- Uganda have failed to score in four of their last eight away games.
- Fewer than three goals were scored in two of the four previous matches between these sides.
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Our South Africa vs Uganda Prediction
South Africa come into this match carrying excellent form, much of which can be attributed to their solid defence, which conceded only three goals in seven matches in the AFCON competition at the start of this year.
Uganda have improved in recent times but their away record remains average at best and we feel they will struggle to break down Bafana Bafana on their home patch. Our South Africa vs Uganda prediction: Under 2.5!
South Africa vs Uganda - Other Interesting Predictions
Both teams to score (NO)
South Africa have kept seven clean sheets in their last 10 home matches and also maintained five clean sheets in seven AFCON games earlier this year.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis South Africa Uganda
| South Africa vs Uganda | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| South Africa wins | 1.4 | 1.85 | +32.1% |
| Draw | 3.8 | 2.45 | -35.5% |
| Uganda wins | 7 | 6 | -14.3% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- South Africa is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 32.1% since opening
- The probability of this result was 71.4% and is now 54.1% (-17.4%)
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South Africa vs Uganda match : Frequently asked questions
The Africa Cup of Nations qualifier between South Africa and Uganda will be played on September 6 at 17:00 GMT.
The Africa Cup of Nations qualifier between South Africa and Uganda will take place at Orlando Stadium in Soweto.
The Africa Cup of Nations qualifier between South Africa and Uganda will be broadcast live in on DSTV Supersport.
You can also keep up-to-the-minute with all the AFCON Liverscores right here on SportyTrader!
These teams have met four times in the past and South Africa have won three matches, while the other ended in a draw, which Bafana Bafana went on to win on penalties.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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