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by Devesh Jaganath | in World Cup Predictions
The Peter Mokaba Stadium in Polokwane will welcome CAF World Cup qualification action this week when South Africa take on neighbours Lesotho on Friday evening. Bafana Bafana are in second place in Group C, while Likuena are in fourth place after the first four rounds of the competition. Check out our match prediction below!
South Africa have been the dominant force in this contest over the years, winning six of the 10 meetings between these sides, while four games ended level and Lesotho won two. However, Bafana Bafana came out on top in the previous two World Cup qualifiers against this opponent, beating them 2-0 on the road and 1-0 on home soil back in April 2000. This match could have a major impact on the current standings in Group C with just two points separating these sides.
A look at the latest betting odds shows the hosts installed as one of the shortest-priced favourites across round five of qualifying. Let’s dive into the key stats at play in this one!
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The Best Betting Odds for South Africa v Lesotho Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.25 | 5.25 | 15 |
|
|
1.2 | 5 | 13 |
|
|
1.48 | 3.1 | 9.5 |
|
|
1.25 | 5.45 | 14.5 |
|
|
1.25 | 5.45 | 14.5 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between South Africa and Lesotho?
Our prediction for the South Africa vs Lesotho match is: South Africa & under 3.5.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 21/03/2025 between South Africa and Lesotho in World Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 63.5% for a win of South Africa against Lesotho with odds of 1.48 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between South Africa vs Lesotho is 27.81% with odds of 5.8 at Vbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 8.68% chance ⭐ for a win of Lesotho vs South Africa with odds of 15 at Bet365.
South Africa vs Lesotho Form
South Africa and Lesotho's standings in the World Cup
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
|
4
|
5 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
South Africa and Lesotho Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Nov 2024 - AFCON
15 Nov 2024 - AFCON
15 Oct 2024 - AFCON
11 Oct 2024 - AFCON
10 Sep 2024 - AFCON
6 Sep 2024 - AFCON
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Nov 2024 - AFCON
11 Oct 2024 - AFCON
6 Sep 2024 - AFCON
2 Jul 2024 - COSAFA Cup
29 Jun 2024 - COSAFA Cup
26 Jun 2024 - COSAFA Cup
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Nov 2024 - AFCON
15 Oct 2024 - AFCON
10 Sep 2024 - AFCON
7 Jun 2024 - World Cup
26 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
7 Feb 2024 - AFCON
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Nov 2024 - AFCON
14 Nov 2024 - AFCON
15 Oct 2024 - AFCON
11 Oct 2024 - AFCON
9 Sep 2024 - AFCON
5 Sep 2024 - AFCON
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Nov 2024 - AFCON
15 Oct 2024 - AFCON
9 Sep 2024 - AFCON
3 Jul 2024 - COSAFA Cup
28 Jun 2024 - COSAFA Cup
11 Jun 2024 - World Cup
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Nov 2024 - AFCON
11 Oct 2024 - AFCON
5 Sep 2024 - AFCON
1 Jul 2024 - COSAFA Cup
7 Jun 2024 - World Cup
24 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
South Africa - Lesotho: Form Analysis
South Africa had an impressive AFCON campaign in the Ivory Coast last year, finishing third, and they are now looking to return to the World Cup for the first time since hosting it in 2010.
So far, Bafana Bafana have fared well, currently on seven points, level with leaders Rwanda. They have recorded two wins, one draw and one loss , but trail Amavubi due to a worse goal difference of one.
The hosts have played two home games in this competition - against Benin and Zimbabwe - and they won both those matches while scoring two or more goals in each victory.
South Africa have won their last five World Cup qualification matches played on home soil!
Meanwhile, Lesotho have fared better than most would have expected in this group. They are currently two points ahead of Nigeria and a win here could propel them into the top two in the standings.
The Crocodiles drew with the Super Eagles and Benin in the opening rounds before beating Zimbabwe 2-0 in June last year. While they lost to Rwanda in round four, that is the only defeat they have suffered in their last nine World Cup qualifier games.
The visitors are also unbeaten in their two away games in this competition and have avoided defeat in their last five World Cup qualifiers on the road dating back to 2013 (W2 D3 L0).
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South Africa & Lesotho Squad Analysis
South Africa seem to be leaving nothing to chance this week, having recalled some of their big hitters from abroad, including Qatar SC winger Percy Tau, who will be featuring for the side for the first time since last June.
Additionally, Burney frontman Lyle Foster has also been summoned for this month's matches, so to has Ronwen Williams, with both players shaking off injuries in recent weeks.
Veteran Themba Zwane is ruled out for South Africa due to an Achilles injury!
In the absence of the Sundowns star, Hugo Broos is likely to turn to Jayden Adams, who returns to the fray after being left out of the last two squads due to disciplinary reasons.
For the visitors, Matlama FC forward Jane Thaba-Ntso scored the winner against the Warriors last June and he will carry the main attacking threat to South Africa’s solid defensive unit.
Sera Motebang could be one to watch for Likuena here, as he currently plies his trade here in South Africa for Premier Soccer League outfit Royal AM FC.
South Africa - Lesotho Key Points
- South Africa have won their last five World Cup qualification matches played on home soil.
- South Africa have only lost two of their last 10 World Cup qualifiers.
- Three of South Africa’s four matches in this competition has ended with fewer than 3.5 goals.
- Lesotho have only won one of their four matches in this competition.
- All four of Lesotho’s games have ended with under 3.5 goals.
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Our South Africa vs Lesotho Prediction
While Lesotho have won two of the last four encounters between these sides across all competitions, Bafana Bafana are a very tough side to beat at home and have won each of their last five World Cup qualifiers in South Africa.
Additionally, the hosts have called up some of their best players from abroad, including the likes of Tau and Foster, both of whom are expected to slot straight into the attacking trio. We feel the AFCON bronze medalists will come out on top in this one. Our South Africa vs Lesotho prediction is South Africa & under 3.5.
South Africa vs Lesotho - Other Interesting Predictions
Both team to score (NO).
Three of Lesotho’s four games in this competition have ended with only one team scoring, while South Africa have kept clean sheets in three of their last five World Cup qualification home games.
Get up to £30 to bet on the South Africa vs. Lesotho game
You can get yourself a £30 matched bet for the battle between South Africa and Lesotho when you join Betway. To get the free bet, your first accumulator bet needs to be a losing one. If your first bet wins then you won't get the free bet but you'll have your winnings for further fun on World Cup!
South Africa vs Lesotho match : Frequently asked questions
The World Cup qualifier between South Africa and Lesotho will be played on March 21 at 16:00 GMT.
The World Cup qualifier between South Africa and Lesotho will take place at the Peter Mokaba Stadium in Polokwane.
The World Cup qualifier between South Africa and Lesotho will be broadcast on Supersport across most countries across South America.
Alternatively, you can stay up to the minute with all the action using our World Cup qualifier livescore tool.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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