Slovakia vs Ukraine Prediction & Betting Tips - Euro
by Ian John in Euro Predictions
After providing the shock of the tournament so far with their win over Belgium in Group E, stunning Slovakia face Ukraine in both teams' second Euro 2024 Group Stage game.
Francesco Calzona will have been thrilled with his team's battling performance in that surprise 1-0 win. Slovakia sometimes rode their luck, with VAR rescuing them on two occasions, but ultimately secured a famous victory.
With three points in the bag, Slovakia is on the brink of qualification for the knockout phase. They need a win to ensure their progress into the Round of 16. But they'll have to face an opponent who is well used to dealing with adversity.
Ukraine has not played any Euro 2024 game in their native land but still qualified through the playoffs. That made their awful performance in their 3-0 loss to Romania in their Euro 2024 opener all the more surprising.
Can Ukraine strike back to reignite their Euro 2024 dreams? Or will Slovakia smooth their progress into the knockout phase? We don't have to wait too long to find out!
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The Best Betting Odds for Slovakia v Ukraine Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
151 | 10 | 1.06 |
|
|
3.2 | 3.25 | 2.25 |
|
|
3.75 | 3.25 | 1.88 |
|
|
501 | 19 | 1.02 |
|
|
501 | 19 | 1.02 |
|
|
3.2 | 3.24 | 2.3 |
|
|
100 | 9.5 | 1.06 |
|
|
3.76 | 3.19 | 2.11 |
|
|
3.45 | 3.35 | 2.22 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Slovakia and Ukraine?
Our prediction for the Slovakia vs Ukraine match is: The game to be a draw.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 6/21/24 between Slovakia and Ukraine in Euro :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 43.65% for a win of Slovakia against Ukraine with odds of 501 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Slovakia vs Ukraine is 14.5% with odds of 19 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 41.85% chance ⭐ for a win of Ukraine vs Slovakia with odds of 2.3 at Betwinner.
Slovakia - Ukraine Prediction and Best Odds:
| Slovakia Ukraine Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Slovakia wins | 43.65% | 501 at 1xbet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67.89% | 2.35 at 1xbet |
| Both Team To Score | 43.75% | 1.83 at Bet365 |
| Half-time / Full-time : Slovakia/Slovakia | 18.78% | 5.5 at Bet365 |
Slovakia vs Ukraine Form
Slovakia and Ukraine's standings in the Euro
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
|
4
|
4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -2 |
Slovakia and Ukraine Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Jun 2024 - Euro
9 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
5 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
26 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
23 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
19 Nov 2023 - Euro
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Jun 2024 - Euro
11 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
7 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
3 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
26 Mar 2024 - Euro
21 Mar 2024 - Euro
Slovakia against Ukraine : Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
0 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
16 Nov 2018 - UEFA Nations League
10 Nov 2017 - International Friendlies
Slovakia - Ukraine: Form Analysis
Slovakia's 1-0 win over Belgium sees them sit second in Group E behind Romania on goal difference. Manager Francesco Calzona could not have wished for a better start to the campaign than a win over a team still ranked third in the world by FIFA.
His team's good form stretches back to mid-2023. Since then, only Portugal (twice) and Austria have beaten Slovakia and Calzona's team has won eight of the dozen games they have played since.
However, most of Slovakia's wins have been against teams with low FIFA rankings.
Namely Liechtenstein (twice), Luxembourg, Iceland, Bosnia and Herzegovina and San Marino, accounting for six of those eight victories.
On the other hand, Ukraine's form has taken a dip, with two defeats in their last four games. The most significant blow was their 3-0 loss against Romania in their Euro 2024, which has left them at the bottom of Group E. This recent setback underscores the challenges they are currently facing and sets the stage for a potentially decisive match against Slovakia.
All is not lost however. Recent results reveal several good performances by Ukraine—notably drawn with England, Italy, and Germany.
They have won seven, drawn three, and lost three games of their last 13 games, and they have generally played better-quality teams than Slovakia over that period.
History shows that games between the two teams are generally tight. Only one of the eight matches between the two teams has been won by more than one goal. Three of those eight games have finished as draws.
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Slovakia against Ukraine Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Missing players
D. Hancko
V. Mykolenko
Slovakia & Ukraine Squad Analysis
Slovakia manager Francesco Calzona must be tempted to keep the same team that battled out the surprise win over Belgium. Denis Vavro was touch and go to make that game, but did play and came through unscathed.
Impressive midfielder Ondrej Duda was forced off late in the Belgium game with cramp. However, he will be fine to retain his place in Calzona's impressive three-man midfield alongside Stanislav Lobotka and 37-year-old Juraj Kucka.
Goalscorer Ivan Schranz will continue as a wide option in attack, with Robert Bozenik as the focal point. Slovakia's key man in defense is Paris St. Germain stopper and national team captain Milan Skriniar, who was excellent against Belgium. Newcastle's Martin Dubravka is also likely to keep his place in goal.
In contrast, Ukraine manager Serhiy Rebrov will certainly be considering a number of changes for this game after their opening defeat against Romania. Everton full-back Vitaliy Mykolenko could make a timely return at left-back, allowing Oleksandr Zinchenko to move into a more forward-thinking midfield role.
Other changes include veteran striker Roman Yaremchuk coming into the attack to replace Artem Dovbyk, who was very quiet against the Romanians. Experienced Genoa midfielder Ruslan Malinovskyi could inject some attacking flair into the team, as could veteran skipper Andriy Yarmolenko.
It's clear that Ukraine's young and talented attacking players have more to offer. Their performance in this game could be a game-changer for the team.
Mykhaylo Mudryk and Heorhiy Sudakov were both peripheral figures against Romania.
The talented duo must be far more prominent in this game to improve Ukraine's chances of a positive result.
Slovakia - Ukraine Key Points
- Slovakia have conceded just one goal in their last four games.
- Ukraine have won just one of their last four games, losing two.
- Ukraine have conceded six goals in their last three games, but also scored five.
- Slovakia has lost just one of the last eight games they have played.
- A point would likely be enough for Slovakia to qualify for the Round of 16 and keep Ukraine’s slim qualification hopes alive.
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Our Slovakia vs Ukraine Prediction
Our prediction for Slovakia vs Ukraine is for the game to be a draw. Slovakia may have beaten Belgium in their opener, but they were extremely fortunate to do so.
The goal they scored came from a mistake by Jeremy Doku. They also saw two VAR decisions reverse goals for Belgium, the second somewhat contentiously. Their opponents also wasted several good opportunities to score throughout the game.
Ukraine's performance against Romania was the worst of any team in the tournament. But on a positive note, their data suggests it was a blip. However, against a confident and in-form Slovakia, will they have enough to claim the win? That is much more difficult to be certain.
A draw between the two teams, which would keep both their knockout phase qualification hopes alive, seems the best bet.
Slovakia vs Ukraine - Other Interesting Predictions
Mykhaylo Mudryk (Ukraine) to score at any time
If Ukraine is to recover from their defeat to Romania, then Chelsea star Mykhaylo Mudryk must play a more prominent role for the team. The fleet-of-foot star did show flashes of his talent against Romania but was nowhere near involved enough in that game.
Against a Slovakia defense that is very experienced but lacks pace, Mudryk's speed could be hugely important. His direct running at defenders will certainly be a problem area for the Slovaks. But it is in front of the goal where Mudryk could be key.
With Artem Dovbyk or Roman Yaremchuk battling it out for the lone striking role, the fact that Mudryk will start means that he is arguably a better bet than either of the two attacking options. So, our first secondary prediction for Slovakia vs Ukraine is for Mudryk to score at any time in the game.
Under 2.5 Goals
Slovakia showed against Belgium that while solid defensively, they do not offer much of an attacking threat. Similarly, the recent games in which they scored several goals tended to be against many lower-ranked opponents. Against better-quality opponents, such as Belgium, Norway, Austria, and Portugal, they have found goals hard to find.
Ukraine have scored five in their last four games, but four of those came away to Moldova in a pre-tournament qualifier. However, Rebrov's team has to get something from this game, and the manager is likely to play with more attacking intent here. They will also have learned from their mistakes against Romania, especially defensively.
As such, this is a game where both teams will feel the need to get something from it. Where avoiding a loss may be more important to the team than securing a win. Therefore, our third prediction for Slovakia v Ukraine is for a tight game and Under 2.5 Goals to be scored.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Slovakia Ukraine
| Slovakia vs Ukraine | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Slovakia wins | 3.7 | 151 | +3,981.1% |
| Draw | 3.3 | 10 | +203.0% |
| Ukraine wins | 2.05 | 1.06 | -48.3% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Slovakia is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 3,981.1% since opening
- The probability of this result was 27.0% and is now 0.7% (-26.4%)
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Slovakia vs Ukraine match : Frequently asked questions
Slovakia and Ukraine have faced off eight times in total. Their first game came in November 2002 and saw the teams draw 1-1 in an international friendly in Slovakia.
In fact, three of the eight games between the two have finished as a draw. Ukraine have a slight advantage in the other five games, winning three compared to Slovakia's two.
However, in the last fixture between the two in November 2018, a UEFA Nations League clash, Slovakia earned the biggest win of any game between the two, a 4-1 victory.
The Euro 2024 Group E clash between Ukraine and Slovakia will kick off at 2 pm UK Time on Friday, June 21st.
The game will be held at Bundesliga II team Fortuna Dusseldorf's home stadium, the Dusseldorf Arena.
BBC One will show full live coverage of the Slovakia v Ukraine game on its channel. Fans can also tune in to watch the match live via its live streaming service on either the BBC Sport website or BBC iPlayer, where the game will also be available in UHD.
For customers who want to bet in-play on the game, or who want to keep a close track on the stats, check out SportyTraders Euro 2024 Livescore page for the game.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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