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Slovakia vs Sweden Prediction & Betting Tips - UEFA Nations League
by Ian John in UEFA Nations League Predictions
The battle for top spot in Nations League Group C1 hots up this week as Slovakia host Sweden in a match between the two teams with a 100% record in the group. The Falcons have been in good form after an excellent European Championships in the summer but the Blue and Yellow have started this Nations League campaign superbly. What is our prediction for this ultra-competitive match going to be?
Slovakia’s great form from the summer, where they narrowly lost 2-1 to England in extra time in the Round of 16, has carried on with a 1-0 win over Estonia in Tallinn, followed by a 2-0 win at home over Azerbaijan in the Nations League. But it is the two games with Sweden that will undoubtedly decide this group.
Manager Francesco Calzona is without the in-form striker Ivan Schranz for this game due to injury, and his absence will be keenly felt. However, Slovakia have yet to concede a goal in this competition, which shows their excellent defensive record.
Sweden has been in good goalscoring form in this tournament. On Matchday One, Jon-Dahl Tomasson’s team beat Azerbaijan 3-1 in Baku, then followed that up with a comfortable 3-0 home win over Estonia.
Strikers Alexander Isak and Viktor Gyokeres have shared the goals with three each, but Isak will miss this game due to a toe injury. One other positive for Sweden is that they have never lost to Slovakia, drawing two and winning two of the four games between the teams.
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The Best Betting Odds for Slovakia v Sweden Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.63 | 3.2 | 2.7 |
|
|
2.5 | 3.3 | 2.7 |
|
|
2.78 | 3.28 | 2.73 |
|
|
2.78 | 3.28 | 2.73 |
|
|
2.7 | 3.25 | 2.65 |
|
|
2.69 | 3.38 | 2.59 |
|
|
2.69 | 3.38 | 2.59 |
|
|
2.5 | 3.2 | 2.75 |
|
|
2.5 | 3.52 | 2.71 |
|
|
2.48 | 3.45 | 2.75 |
|
|
2.55 | 3.25 | 2.75 |
|
|
2.5 | 3.1 | 2.7 |
|
|
2.55 | 3.4 | 2.75 |
|
|
2.8 | 3.1 | 2.5 |
|
|
2.55 | 3.2 | 2.75 |
|
|
2.5 | 3.25 | 2.7 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Slovakia and Sweden?
Our prediction for the Slovakia vs Sweden match is: Both Teams to Score - Yes.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 11/10/2024 between Slovakia and Sweden in UEFA Nations League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 47.06% for a win of Slovakia against Sweden with odds of 2.8 at Betfair.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Slovakia vs Sweden is 10.71% with odds of 3.52 at Melbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 42.24% chance ⭐ for a win of Sweden vs Slovakia with odds of 2.75 at Stake.
Slovakia - Sweden Prediction and Best Odds:
| Slovakia Sweden Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Slovakia wins | 47.06% | 2.8 at Betfair |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54.86% | 2.05 at Betobet |
| Both Team To Score | 33.33% | 1.8 at Bet365 |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Slovakia | 19.79% | 6.5 at Betfair |
Slovakia vs Sweden Form
Slovakia and Sweden's standings in the UEFA Nations League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
16 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 15 |
|
2
|
13 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 5 |
Slovakia and Sweden Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
5 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
30 Jun 2024 - Euro
26 Jun 2024 - Euro
21 Jun 2024 - Euro
17 Jun 2024 - Euro
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
26 Jun 2024 - Euro
21 Jun 2024 - Euro
9 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
5 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
23 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
30 Jun 2024 - Euro
17 Jun 2024 - Euro
26 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
19 Nov 2023 - Euro
16 Oct 2023 - Euro
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
5 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
8 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
5 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
25 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
21 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
8 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
25 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
12 Jan 2024 - International Friendlies
19 Nov 2023 - Euro
12 Oct 2023 - International Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
5 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
21 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
16 Nov 2023 - Euro
9 Sep 2023 - Euro
20 Jun 2023 - Euro
Slovakia vs Sweden Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
18 Jun 2021 - Euro
Slovakia against Sweden Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 3 - 5 - 2
Most goals and assists
Slovakia
Sweden
D. Strelec
(4 Goals)
V. Gyokeres
(9 Goals)
D. Hancko
(1 Assists)
,
L. Haraslin
(1 Assists)
,
M. Skriniar
(1 Assists)
,
L. Tupta
(1 Assists)
V. Gyokeres
(5 Assists)
Slovakia - Sweden Key Points
- Both teams have scored in four of Sweden's last seven matches.
- Both teams have scored in three of Slovakia's last five matches.
- Slovakia have scored in nine consecutive games.
- Sweden have scored six goals in just two Nations League games thus far.
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Our Slovakia vs Sweden Prediction
Our prediction for Slovakia vs. Sweden in the Nations League Group C1 is: Both Teams to Score - Yes.
These are two of the best teams in Nations League C and they have won both their matches so far. A win here for either would give them a huge chance at earning promotion back to Group B. Both teams are in good goalscoring form, but also both can concede. The data isn't a perfect fit for this game but the tendencies tend to suggest that there is a strong chance both will score in this encounter.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Slovakia Sweden
| Slovakia vs Sweden | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Slovakia wins | 2.5 | 2.63 | +5.2% |
| Draw | 3.25 | 3.2 | -1.5% |
| Sweden wins | 2.8 | 2.7 | -3.6% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Slovakia is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 5.2% since opening
- The probability of this result was 40.0% and is now 38.0% (-2.0%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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