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Shamrock Rovers vs PAOK Thessaloniki Prediction & Betting Tips - Europa League
by Ian John in Europa League Predictions
Shamrock Rovers face an uphill task to come back from a 4-0 first leg deficit to PAOK Salonika in the Europa League Playoff second leg. The Hoops have enjoyed a solid run in Europe this season to make it to the brink of the league stages, but were soundly beaten in the first leg by the Aspromavri. What will our prediction be for what looks like being a one-sided match?
Both these teams dropped out of the Champions League into the Europa League. In the Europa League, Shamrock defeated Celje 3-2 on aggregate to progress into the Playoffs, while PAOK only dropped into the Europa League at the Playoff stages of the tournament. However, in the first leg in Greece, PAOK ran out comfortable winners with a Daniel Cleary own goal, and further second-half goals from Taison, Giannis Konstantelias and Baba Rahman doing the damage.
Striker Fyodor Chalov even missed a 93rd-minute penalty for the Greeks, who dominated the game from start to finish. This leaves Rovers needing either a miracle or the luck of the Irish to upset the odds and progress into the group stages of the Europa League.
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The Best Betting Odds for Shamrock Rovers v PAOK Thessaloniki Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
126 | 51 | 1 |
|
|
5.25 | 4 | 1.6 |
|
|
37 | 9.62 | 1.09 |
|
|
37 | 9.62 | 1.09 |
|
|
6.5 | 4.6 | 1.45 |
|
|
6.2 | 4.44 | 1.5 |
|
|
6.2 | 4.44 | 1.5 |
|
|
74 | 7.5 | 1.09 |
|
|
5.05 | 4.14 | 1.63 |
|
|
5.2 | 4.1 | 1.6 |
|
|
41 | 7.5 | 1.07 |
|
|
5.1 | 4 | 1.6 |
|
|
501 | 81 | 1.01 |
|
|
4.75 | 4.5 | 1.6 |
|
|
6 | 3.8 | 1.47 |
|
|
73 | 37 | 1 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Shamrock Rovers and PAOK Thessaloniki?
Our prediction for the Shamrock Rovers vs PAOK Thessaloniki match is: PAOK to win.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 29/08/2024 between Shamrock Rovers and PAOK Thessaloniki in Europa League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 30.47% for a win of Shamrock Rovers against PAOK Thessaloniki with odds of 501 at Betfair.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Shamrock Rovers vs PAOK Thessaloniki is 25.07% with odds of 81 at Betfair.
- Our prediction model gives a 44.46% chance ⭐ for a win of PAOK Thessaloniki vs Shamrock Rovers with odds of 1.63 at Melbet.
Shamrock Rovers - PAOK Thessaloniki Prediction and Best Odds:
| Shamrock Rovers PAOK Thessaloniki Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| PAOK Thessaloniki wins | 44.46% | 1.63 at Melbet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58.86% | 5 at Betway |
| Both Team To Score | 60.42% | |
| Half-time / Full-time: PAOK Thessaloniki/PAOK Thessaloniki | 20.3% | 5 at Betfair |
Shamrock Rovers vs PAOK Thessaloniki Form
Shamrock Rovers and PAOK Thessaloniki Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Aug 2024 - Airtricity League
22 Aug 2024 - Europa League
15 Aug 2024 - Europa League
11 Aug 2024 - Airtricity League
8 Aug 2024 - Europa League
2 Aug 2024 - Airtricity League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Aug 2024 - Airtricity League
15 Aug 2024 - Europa League
11 Aug 2024 - Airtricity League
23 Jul 2024 - Champions League
16 Jul 2024 - Champions League
4 Jul 2024 - Airtricity League
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Aug 2024 - Europa League
8 Aug 2024 - Europa League
2 Aug 2024 - Airtricity League
30 Jul 2024 - Champions League
19 Jul 2024 - FAI Cup
9 Jul 2024 - Champions League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Aug 2024 - Superleague
22 Aug 2024 - Europa League
17 Aug 2024 - Superleague
13 Aug 2024 - Champions League
6 Aug 2024 - Champions League
31 Jul 2024 - Champions League
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Aug 2024 - Superleague
22 Aug 2024 - Europa League
17 Aug 2024 - Superleague
13 Aug 2024 - Champions League
24 Jul 2024 - Champions League
13 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Aug 2024 - Champions League
31 Jul 2024 - Champions League
13 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
19 May 2024 - Superleague
24 Apr 2024 - Superleague
21 Apr 2024 - Superleague
Shamrock Rovers vs PAOK Thessaloniki Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
22 Aug 2024 - Europa League
Shamrock Rovers - PAOK Thessaloniki: Form Analysis
PAOK certainly have the edge when it comes to current form and also historically when these two teams have met.
Shamrock Rovers currently lie fifth in the Irish Premier Division table, albeit with games in hand on the teams above them. They have won just two of the seven games that they have played in Europe this season, losing four and drawing once.
Following the defeat in Greece last week they returned to Ireland and faced a winnable home league game at the weekend.
Disappointingly, Shamrock were held 1-1 by bottom team Galway United in the league.
It was a second consecutive draw in that competition.
In contrast, PAOK have been in excellent form recently. They have won five of the seven games they have played this season including all of their last three. That includes the 4-0 win in the first leg of this tie, plus two matches in the Greek League, a 3-2 win against Pensarraikos and a 2-0 win over Panaitolikos.
Those results have put PAOK top of the Greek table after two matches.
The teams have met three times prior to this second-leg match. PAOK won 2-1 and 3-1 when the two met in 2011 and then 4-0 in the first leg of this tie.
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Shamrock Rovers against PAOK Thessaloniki Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 1 - 2
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Shamrock Rovers & PAOK Thessaloniki Squad Analysis
Shamrock Rovers will be without right-wing back Joshua Honohan for this second-leg tie after he was dismissed in injury time in the first leg. Another likely absentee for the Hoops is left wing-back Trevor Clarke, who had to come off injured in the first leg.
Neil Farrugia will likely replace Honohan at right-wing back, with Darragh Burns to deputise for the injured Clarke on the left.
Aaron Greene will likely lead the line for the home side.
Razvan Lucescu may feel that his team's advantage should be enough, and he may decide to rotate players for this second-leg tie, especially after the Greek side made such a solid start to the season in their domestic league.
Centre-back pairing Tomasz Kedziora and Konstantinos Koulierakis have been impressive. While in attack, Taison and Konstantelias notched goals in the first leg and will be keen to replicate that in the second leg.
Despite missing a penalty in the first leg, striker Fedor Chalov could be selected from the start.
Most goals and assists
Shamrock Rovers
PAOK Thessaloniki
J. Kenny
(5 Goals)
K. Despodov
(6 Goals)
D. Burns
(2 Assists)
K. Despodov
(5 Assists)
Shamrock Rovers - PAOK Thessaloniki Key Points
- Shamrock Rovers have won just two of their last five home games in all competitions.
- PAOK have won five of their seven games played this season, losing just once.
- The teams have met three times previously and PAOK have won every time.
- PAOK were comfortable 4-0 winners in the first leg of this tie in Greece.
- Shamrock have won three of their last ten, PAOK have won seven of their last ten.
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Our Shamrock Rovers vs PAOK Thessaloniki Prediction
Our prediction for Shamrock Rovers vs. PAOK Salonika in the Europa League Playoff second leg is: PAOK to win.
With a 4-0 lead from the first leg, which also saw PAOK miss a penalty, the Greek side will be confident of progressing here. They are by far the better of the two teams and have beaten Shamrock Rovers on each occasion they have played them, scoring nine goals and conceding two. The data suggests that they will make it four wins from four in this second-leg tie.
Shamrock Rovers vs PAOK Thessaloniki - Other Interesting Predictions
Over 2.5 Goals to be Scored
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Shamrock Rovers PAOK Thessaloniki
| Shamrock Rovers vs PAOK Thessaloniki | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shamrock Rovers wins | 5 | 126 | +2,420.0% |
| Draw | 3.9 | 51 | +1,207.7% |
| PAOK Thessaloniki wins | 1.65 | 1 | -39.4% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- PAOK Thessaloniki is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 39.4% since opening
- The probability of this result was 60.6% and is now 100.0% (39.4%)
2 Goals Ahead Early Payout
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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