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Shamrock Rovers vs Molde Prediction & Betting Tips - Conference League
by Joseph King in Conference League Predictions
The Conference League knockout round play-off sees Irish side Shamrock Rovers hosting Norwegian club Molde FK. The winner of this tie will be rewarded with a spot in the round of 16 and a matchup with either Cercle Brugge or Legia Warsaw. We’ve got a prediction ready in this clash between Rovers and Blå-hvit.
Shamrock is the only Irish representative to qualify for the league phase in the three UEFA competitions in the 2024/25 campaign. They’ll be targeting the club’s first ever last 16 appearance and should feel bullish about their chances. In the first leg, Shamrock Rovers pulled off a remarkable 1-0 away victory in the first leg despite coming into the match as heavy underdogs.
As for Molde, a failure to turn this tie around will be viewed as a massive disappointment. They’re the side with more experience in UEFA competitions, having reached the round of 16 in this competition last year, as well as a round of 16 appearance in the 2020/21 edition of the Europa League. Let’s see how these teams stack up in the key statistics department.
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The Best Betting Odds for Shamrock Rovers v Molde Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.5 | 4.2 | 1.57 |
|
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5.5 | 4 | 1.53 |
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5.25 | 2.6 | 1.85 |
|
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6.01 | 4.23 | 1.58 |
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6.01 | 4.23 | 1.58 |
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|
5.75 | 4 | 1.59 |
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5.9 | 4.16 | 1.55 |
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5.9 | 4.16 | 1.55 |
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5.8 | 4.1 | 1.61 |
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5.9 | 4.16 | 1.55 |
|
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5.6 | 4.1 | 1.61 |
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6.3 | 4.2 | 1.57 |
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5.5 | 3.8 | 1.57 |
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5.75 | 3.85 | 1.57 |
|
|
5 | 3.8 | 1.67 |
|
|
5.5 | 4 | 1.6 |
|
|
5.5 | 3.8 | 1.57 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Shamrock Rovers and Molde?
Our prediction for the Shamrock Rovers vs Molde match is: Molde FK wins the match.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 20/02/2025 between Shamrock Rovers and Molde in Conference League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 46.76% for a win of Shamrock Rovers against Molde with odds of 6.3 at Vbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Shamrock Rovers vs Molde is 25.27% with odds of 4.23 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 27.97% chance ⭐ for a win of Molde vs Shamrock Rovers with odds of 1.85 at Ladbrokes.
Shamrock Rovers - Molde Prediction and Best Odds:
| Shamrock Rovers Molde Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Shamrock Rovers wins | 46.76% | 6.3 at Vbet |
| Under 2.5 | 52.79% | 1.92 at 1xbet |
| Both Team To Score | 35.42% | 1.95 at Ladbrokes |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Shamrock Rovers | 20.28% | 12 at Bet365 |
Shamrock Rovers vs Molde Form
Shamrock Rovers and Molde Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Feb 2025 - Airtricity League
13 Feb 2025 - Conference League
19 Dec 2024 - Conference League
12 Dec 2024 - Conference League
28 Nov 2024 - Conference League
21 Nov 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Dec 2024 - Conference League
21 Nov 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
7 Nov 2024 - Conference League
1 Nov 2024 - Airtricity League
6 Oct 2024 - Airtricity League
3 Oct 2024 - Conference League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Feb 2025 - Airtricity League
13 Feb 2025 - Conference League
19 Dec 2024 - Conference League
28 Nov 2024 - Conference League
27 Oct 2024 - Airtricity League
24 Oct 2024 - Conference League
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Feb 2025 - Conference League
6 Feb 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
1 Feb 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
28 Jan 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
20 Jan 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
19 Dec 2024 - Conference League
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Feb 2025 - Conference League
6 Feb 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
1 Feb 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
28 Jan 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
19 Dec 2024 - Conference League
28 Nov 2024 - Conference League
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Jan 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
12 Dec 2024 - Conference League
7 Dec 2024 - NM Cup
1 Dec 2024 - Eliteserien
10 Nov 2024 - Eliteserien
7 Nov 2024 - Conference League
Shamrock Rovers vs Molde Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
0 %
67 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
13 Feb 2025 - Conference League
13 Oct 2022 - Conference League
6 Oct 2022 - Conference League
Shamrock Rovers - Molde: Form Analysis
Shamrock Rovers kicked off the 2025 edition of the Irish Premier Division on the weekend but fell to a disappointing 1-0 away loss to Bohemian. It’s certainly not the type of result that they would have been hoping for to open the new season after being pipped to the title last year by Shelbourne FC.
Shamrock Rovers didn’t play particularly poorly in their recent loss to Bohemian with 14 shots to their opponents’ seven and two clear cut chances created to their opponents’ one. It was a prime letdown/lookahead spot following their surprise away win in Europe just three days prior.
The hosts can take confidence from their impressive performance in the league phase, which saw them finish with a 3-2-1 record.
Shamrock Rovers turned heads in the league phase, posting a 2-1-0 home record while scoring six goals.
Molde FK still have over a month until the 2025 Eliteserien kicks off, meaning their last outing was the 1-0 away loss in the first leg. It’s understandable that the Norwegian champions came out a bit flat as it was their first competitive fixture in nearly two months.
A first half red card didn’t do Molde any favors as they struggled to create anything of note. They managed just 0.28 expected goals in the contest with only four shot attempts in total.
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Players list
E. McGinty
DefenderJ. Honohan
Pico
C. O'Sullivan
L. Grace
MidfielderG. O'Neill
A. McEneff
M. Healy
ForwardD. Grant
M. Noonan
G. Burke
J. Karlstrom
DefenderI. Amundsen
E. Haugan
M. Linnes
MidfielderK. Eriksen
E. Breivik
M. Eikrem
H. Stenevik
M. Kaasa
M. Daehli
ForwardF. Gulbrandsen
Substitutes
A. Noonan
L. Pohls
MidfielderV. Ozhianvuna
J. O'Sullivan
M. Britton
ForwardA. Greene
A. Posiadala
S. McDermott
M. Eikrem Myklebust
DefenderD. Nakken
M. Bjornbak
MidfielderD. Daga
E. Hestad
M. Enggaard
ForwardG. Nyheim
F. Ihler
L. Juberg Hovland
Shamrock Rovers & Molde Squad Analysis
Shamrock Rovers manager Stephen Bradley opted to make three changes on the weekend to the team that faced off against Molde in the first leg.
Daniel Mandroiu and Matthew Healy both were two of those changes as the pair came on as substitutes against Bohemian. We expect both to return to the starting lineup on Thursday.
Special attention will also have to be paid to midfielder Dylan Watts who provided the assist that set up the winning goal in the first leg.
In seven Conference League appearances this season, Watts has scored twice while chipping in with one assist.
The 27-year-old has been effective on both ends, providing nine key passes and winning 77.8% of his tackles in just over 400 Conference League minutes.
Key winger Jack Byrne is sidelined with a muscle injury while midfielder Darragh Nugent will also miss out with a broken nose.
Molde will need more from Kristian Eriksen and Magnus Wolff Eikrem this time around. They scored a combined 32 goals last season across all competitions yet were held to just one total shot between the pair in the first leg.
Center back Valdemar Lund will miss out after his red card last week while another defender, Casper Øyvann, is still a few weeks away after suffering a knee injury back in November of 2024.
Most goals and assists
Shamrock Rovers
Molde
J. Kenny
(5 Goals)
F. Ihler
(4 Goals)
D. Burns
(2 Assists)
E. Breivik
(2 Assists)
,
K. Haugen
(2 Assists)
Shamrock Rovers and Molde Stats in Conference League
Shamrock Rovers - Molde Key Points
- Shamrock lost their last two straight at home, including a heavy 4-0 defeat to second division side Dundalk.
- The hosts have only managed one goal in their last three matches across all competitions.
- Molde has an estimated combined squad value of €25 million, compared to Shamrock’s €4 million.
- The visitors had solid away results in their domestic league in 2024, posting a 7-4-4 record with a +12 goal differential.
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Our Shamrock Rovers vs Molde Prediction
Molde was hugely disappointing in the first leg on their home turf and will now have to contend with overturning a one-goal deficit on the road. However, the quality is certainly there and we’re expecting a bounce back on Thursday.
Last week’s matchup was the first competitive fixture for Molde in nearly two months and they played more than half the match with 10 men. They should be more up to match speed in this return leg and ultimately walk away with the victory in 90 minutes. Our Shamrock Rovers vs Molde FK prediction: Molde FK wins the match.
Shamrock Rovers vs Molde - Other Interesting Predictions
Both teams to score
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Shamrock Rovers Molde
| Shamrock Rovers vs Molde | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shamrock Rovers wins | 4.5 | 5.5 | +22.2% |
| Draw | 4 | 4.2 | +5.0% |
| Molde wins | 1.7 | 1.57 | -7.6% |
A few minutes before kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Shamrock Rovers is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 22.2% since opening
- The probability of this result was 22.2% and is now 18.2% (-4.0%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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