Rep. of Ireland - Airtricity League
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by Steve Ashfield in Football Predictions
Only goal difference separates Shamrock Rovers and Derry in the Irish Premier Division. Rovers are the hosts for this league game that is being played on Friday. They are sixth in the table with the visitors a place below them. Can they get a third successive league win? Here’s our match prediction.
Shamrock Rovers won four successive titles before only finishing second behind Shelbourne last season. After a busy European schedule during which they reached the Conference League knockout play-off round, they only earned one point from their first three league fixtures.
They have recovered well with a home win over St Patrick’s Athletic. Their last match was a come-from-behind 2-1 win at league leaders Drogheda United. Rovers begin this match four points behind Drogheda.
Derry City ended fourth in the table last season, six points behind Shamrock. They have the same number of points as their opponents but from a game more. Only two of their six league games this season have been won.
They also started slowly with three of their first four league games being lost. Their most recent game saw them 1-0 at bottom-of-the-table Sligo Rovers. That ended a run of three successive away league defeats.
We tip Shamrock Rovers to win this match.
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The Best Betting Odds for Shamrock Rovers v Derry City Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.05 | 3 | 4 |
|
|
1.95 | 2.88 | 4 |
|
|
2.4 | 2.15 | 4.2 |
|
|
2.08 | 2.97 | 3.96 |
|
|
2.08 | 2.97 | 3.96 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Shamrock Rovers and Derry City?
Our prediction for the Shamrock Rovers vs Derry City match is: Shamrock Rovers to win.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 28/03/2025 between Shamrock Rovers and Derry City in Airtricity League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 57.26% for a win of Shamrock Rovers against Derry City with odds of 2.4 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Shamrock Rovers vs Derry City is 14.64% with odds of 3.22 at Melbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 28.1% chance ⭐ for a win of Derry City vs Shamrock Rovers with odds of 4.2 at Ladbrokes.
Shamrock Rovers - Derry City Prediction and Best Odds:
| Shamrock Rovers Derry City Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Shamrock Rovers wins | 57.26% | 2.4 at Ladbrokes |
| Under 2.5 | 56.49% | 1.83 at Unibet |
| Both Team To Score | 38.54% | 2.33 at Betsson |
| Half-time / Full-time : Shamrock Rovers/Shamrock Rovers | 28.61% | 3.4 at Bet365 |
Shamrock Rovers vs Derry City Form
Shamrock Rovers and Derry City's standings in the Airtricity League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 6 |
|
6
|
14 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | -3 |
Shamrock Rovers and Derry City Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Mar 2025 - Airtricity League
7 Mar 2025 - Airtricity League
3 Mar 2025 - Airtricity League
28 Feb 2025 - Airtricity League
20 Feb 2025 - Conference League
16 Feb 2025 - Airtricity League
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Mar 2025 - Airtricity League
20 Feb 2025 - Conference League
12 Dec 2024 - Conference League
21 Nov 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
7 Nov 2024 - Conference League
1 Nov 2024 - Airtricity League
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Mar 2025 - Airtricity League
3 Mar 2025 - Airtricity League
28 Feb 2025 - Airtricity League
16 Feb 2025 - Airtricity League
13 Feb 2025 - Conference League
19 Dec 2024 - Conference League
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Mar 2025 - Airtricity League
7 Mar 2025 - Airtricity League
3 Mar 2025 - Airtricity League
28 Feb 2025 - Airtricity League
21 Feb 2025 - Airtricity League
14 Feb 2025 - Airtricity League
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Mar 2025 - Airtricity League
28 Feb 2025 - Airtricity League
21 Feb 2025 - Airtricity League
1 Nov 2024 - Airtricity League
14 Oct 2024 - Airtricity League
11 Oct 2024 - Airtricity League
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Mar 2025 - Airtricity League
3 Mar 2025 - Airtricity League
14 Feb 2025 - Airtricity League
28 Jan 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
10 Nov 2024 - FAI Cup
25 Oct 2024 - Airtricity League
Shamrock Rovers vs Derry City Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
50 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
20 Sep 2024 - Airtricity League
20 May 2024 - Airtricity League
19 Apr 2024 - Airtricity League
4 Mar 2024 - Airtricity League
Shamrock Rovers - Derry City Key Points
- Derry have lost three of their last four away league matches.
- Shamrock Rovers won away to the league leaders in their last match.
- Shamrock Rovers have won five of their last six home league games.
- Derry have only earned one point from their last three league visits to Shamrock Rovers.
- Derry's last win was against the side bottom of the table.
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Our Shamrock Rovers vs Derry City Prediction
Both of these clubs made a slow start to the new season. Shamrock Rovers had a busy time in Europe, playing in all three club competitions. They have rediscovered their form in recent weeks with two league wins, including winning at top-of-the-table Drogheda.
Derry City have also recovered from a slow start but continue to struggle on the road. Our Shamrock Rovers v Derry City prediction is Shamrock Rovers to win.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Shamrock Rovers Derry City
| Shamrock Rovers vs Derry City | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shamrock Rovers wins | 1.91 | 2.05 | +7.3% |
| Draw | 3.1 | 3 | -3.2% |
| Derry City wins | 3.75 | 4 | +6.7% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Shamrock Rovers is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 7.3% since opening
- The probability of this result was 52.4% and is now 48.8% (-3.6%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Shamrock Rovers vs. Derry City game!
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Try your luck on this year's Airtricity League! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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