Spain - LaLiga
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by Sridhar in LaLiga Predictions
The arrival of a struggling Atletico Madrid gives Sevilla hope of winning some crucial points as the teams meet on Sunday in a La Liga matchday 30 fixture. This match at the Ramon Sanchez-Pizjuan Stadium between the 11th-placed Rojiblancos and the third-placed Colchoneros comes with our prediction of the home team winning at least a point.
Sevilla are 11th with 36 points and are only four points behind European qualification spots, while Atletico have 57 points and are six points behind Real Madrid. Sevilla's hopes of pushing for a top-ten finish have taken a hit in the recent weeks, but they will hope to revive their campaign.
Speaking of revival, no one needs it more than Atletico, whose last few weeks have been disastrous. They were beaten in five of their last six competitive matches, dumping them out of the Copa del Rey and Champions League competitions. They can find this as a blessing in disguise and concentrate on the league, but Atletico, on current form, look like a team that's up for taking. Can Sevilla take advantage and win points here? Read our predictions.
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The Best Betting Odds for Sevilla v Atletico Madrid Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.4 | 3.2 | 2.25 |
|
|
3.4 | 3.25 | 2.2 |
|
|
3.4 | 2.3 | 2.6 |
|
|
3.77 | 3.24 | 2.19 |
|
|
3.77 | 3.24 | 2.19 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Sevilla and Atletico Madrid?
Our prediction for the Sevilla vs Atletico Madrid match is: Sevilla wins or draw.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 06/04/2025 between Sevilla and Atletico Madrid in LaLiga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 27.67% for a win of Sevilla against Atletico Madrid with odds of 3.77 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Sevilla vs Atletico Madrid is 37.93% with odds of 3.35 at Stake.
- Our prediction model gives a 34.4% chance ⭐ for a win of Atletico Madrid vs Sevilla with odds of 2.6 at Ladbrokes.
Sevilla - Atletico Madrid Prediction and Best Odds:
| Sevilla Atletico Madrid Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Draw | 37.93% | 3.35 at Stake |
| Under 2.5 | 56.58% | 2.29 at Tonybet |
| Both Team To Score | 67.5% | 1.95 at Bet365 |
| Half-time / Full-time: Draw/Draw | 17.65% | 4.75 at Betsson |
Sevilla vs Atletico Madrid Form
Sevilla and Atletico Madrid's standings in the LaLiga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
66 | 33 | 19 | 9 | 5 | 29 |
|
15
|
37 | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | -9 |
Sevilla and Atletico Madrid Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
16 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
9 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
1 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
24 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
16 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
24 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
9 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
25 Jan 2025 - LaLiga
11 Jan 2025 - LaLiga
14 Dec 2024 - LaLiga
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
9 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
1 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
16 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
1 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
18 Jan 2025 - LaLiga
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Apr 2025 - Copa del Rey
29 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
16 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
12 Mar 2025 - Champions League
9 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
4 Mar 2025 - Champions League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Apr 2025 - Copa del Rey
16 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
12 Mar 2025 - Champions League
1 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
15 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
4 Feb 2025 - Copa del Rey
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
9 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
4 Mar 2025 - Champions League
25 Feb 2025 - Copa del Rey
22 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
8 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
Sevilla vs Atletico Madrid Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
0 %
83 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
8 Dec 2024 - LaLiga
11 Feb 2024 - LaLiga
25 Jan 2024 - Copa del Rey
23 Dec 2023 - LaLiga
4 Mar 2023 - LaLiga
1 Oct 2022 - LaLiga
Sevilla - Atletico Madrid: Form Analysis
Sevilla find themselves only four points outside the top seven, but with their recent form, that difference looks larger than that. The Andalusians lost 2-1 away at Real Betis last weekend, and the derby defeat made it two consecutive defeats.
That said, they have lost only three matches in the league since the turn of the year and were slowly moving up the ladder. Any dreams of securing a top-ten finish will have to see improvements in their home form.
The hosts are without a win at home in the league for five matches, but only two defeats here in La Liga for the last eight matches suggest they are going to be a handful.
Atletico lost five of their last six matches in all competitions.
This was a disastrous sequence for the visitors, who found themselves dumped out of the Champions League and the Copa del Rey competitions. Even in the league, from running Barcelona and Real Madrid close, Atletico are now also-rans in the title race.
The six-point gap to second-placed Real can still be bridged, but Diego Simeone's men need to instantly improve their away form. Atletico's last five league trips landed just a single win, that too at struggling Valencia.
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Players list
O. Nyland
DefenderJ. Carmona
L. Bade
K. Salas
N. Gudelj
MidfielderD. Sow
S. Idumbo-Muzambo
S. Niguez
C. Ejuke
ForwardD. Lukebakio
A. Adams
J. Oblak
DefenderJ. Galan
R. Le Normand
C. Lenglet
Koke
MidfielderM. Llorente
B. Pablo
T. Lemar
A. Sorloth
ForwardR. Riquelme
J. Alvarez
Substitutes
A. Fernandez
M. Arbol
DefenderMarcao
Juanlu
MidfielderN. Gudelj
S. Niguez
S. Idumbo-Muzambo
Peque
I. Romero
C. Ejuke
Suso
A. Gomis
J. Musso
DefenderR. Mandava
R. Belaid
MidfielderR. Riquelme
J. Galan
T. Lemar
Koke
A. Witsel
ForwardA. Sorloth
Missing players
T. Nianzou
R. De Paul
ForwardA. Correa
S. Lino
Sevilla & Atletico Madrid Squad Analysis
Sevilla do not have major absences, with only Tanguy Nianzou missing out due to a thigh injury. They are likely to persist with their 4-3-3 combination, although they were found out in the recent weeks.
Dodi Lukebakio, Isaac Romero, and Ruben Vargas are likely to lead the forward line for the hosts. With 11 goals and two assists, Lukebakio has been the cornerstone of everything that Sevilla were throwing at the opponents.
It could be interesting to see if they shuffle the midfield and give a starting role to Saul Niguez, on loan from Atletico. He will have to be careful, having picked up yellow cards in his last two matches.
Romero scored in his two league matches against Atletico.
He could make it a rare three goals in the first three matches against them, but Atletico will look to end that streak. They have their own absence issues, with Angel Correa and Jose Maria Gimenez suspended.
That could leave Simeone's side to play in a 4-4-2 formation rather than the 5-3-2 they used to stifle Barcelona in their last match. It would depend on the output of Julian Alvarez and Antoine Griezmann as to how their chances are shaping up.
Alaverz has 11 goals and Griezmann eight, but the wild card could be Alexander Sorloth, who has 11 league goals to his name and could be itching for a starting role.
Most goals and assists
Sevilla
Atletico Madrid
D. Lukebakio
(11 Goals)
J. Alvarez
(22 Goals)
S. Niguez
(6 Assists)
G. Simeone
(8 Assists)
, 
A. Griezmann
(8 Assists)
,
M. Llorente
(8 Assists)
Sevilla - Atletico Madrid Key Points
- Sevilla avoided defeat in eight of their last 11 matches in La Liga, winning three and drawing five.
- At home, Sevilla lost only three of their last 12 La Liga matches.
- Atletico are without a win in their last six matches in all competitions.
- Away from home, Atletico couldn’t win four of their last five league matches.
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Our Sevilla vs Atletico Madrid Prediction
The last few weeks have been an absolute disaster for Atletico Madrid. From being in the title race along with Barcelona and Real Madrid, they have now moved far enough from the top two. Defeats in the Champions League and Copa del Rey also meant that their season now hinges just on this competition. Sevilla are doing no better, as they struggle to move up towards the top half of the points table. Despite such poor results, Sevilla have made things difficult for visiting teams, and our Sevilla vs Atletico Madrid prediction is Sevilla wins or draw.
Sevilla vs Atletico Madrid - Other Interesting Predictions
Isaac Romero to score anytime
Not many players can boast of being in an envious position like Isaac Romero. The Sevilla forward has two goals in his last two league matches against Atletico. Another strike here will see his name etched in the record books, but he's currently on a five-game scoring drought. He could be set to put an end to that poor run.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Sevilla Atletico Madrid
| Sevilla vs Atletico Madrid | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sevilla wins | 3.8 | 3.4 | -10.5% |
| Draw | 3.2 | 3.2 | 0% |
| Atletico Madrid wins | 2.05 | 2.25 | +9.8% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- A draw is the most likely outcome
- The odds for this bet have not changed since opening
- The probability of this result was 31.3% and is now 31.3% (0.0%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Sevilla vs. Atletico Madrid game!
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Sevilla vs Atletico Madrid match : Frequently asked questions
The Sevilla v Atletico Madrid Spanish La Liga match will be shown live in the UK on LALIGATV. In Spain, this match will be telecast live on GXR World.
You can also follow the game through our live scores. Check out our Spanish La Liga Livescore page!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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