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Scotland vs Poland Prediction & Betting Tips - UEFA Nations League
by Kennedy Kechula in UEFA Nations League Predictions
International football returns after the summer activities and Scotland will be facing off with Poland in their UEFA Nations League opener. We have a prediction for this match scheduled for Thursday 5th September, hosted by Scotland in Glasgow.
These two nations featured at the 2024 European Championship, performing dismally and will be eager to rise again. Both managed just a point apiece from their respective groups in the Euro finals staged in Germany.
While Poland are looking to maintain their League A status, Scotland will be playing there for the first time this season. On paper, Scotland remains the weakest team in Group 1, but hosting this game at Hampden Park will give them confidence they can shock the Poles.
The hosts arrive for this game having managed just one win in the last 12 matches. Meanwhile, the visitors have five wins in their last 11 matches. This group also has Croatia and Portugal.
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The Best Betting Odds for Scotland v Poland Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.4 | 3.2 | 3.2 |
|
|
2.7 | 2.25 | 3.25 |
|
|
2.45 | 3.26 | 3.17 |
|
|
2.45 | 3.26 | 3.17 |
|
|
2.35 | 3.1 | 3.15 |
|
|
2.35 | 3.2 | 3.15 |
|
|
2.35 | 3.2 | 3.15 |
|
|
2.49 | 3.25 | 3.15 |
|
|
2.37 | 3.22 | 3.12 |
|
|
2.43 | 3.25 | 3.15 |
|
|
2.4 | 3 | 2.9 |
|
|
2.55 | 3.2 | 3 |
|
|
2.4 | 3 | 3 |
|
|
2.47 | 3.12 | 3.23 |
|
|
2.4 | 3.1 | 3 |
|
|
2.5 | 3.15 | 3 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Scotland and Poland?
Our prediction for the Scotland vs Poland match is: Game to produce a draw.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 05/09/2024 between Scotland and Poland in UEFA Nations League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 28.83% for a win of Scotland against Poland with odds of 2.7 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Scotland vs Poland is 38.83% with odds of 3.26 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 32.34% chance ⭐ for a win of Poland vs Scotland with odds of 3.25 at Ladbrokes.
Scotland - Poland Prediction and Best Odds:
| Scotland Poland Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Draw | 38.83% | 3.26 at 1xbet |
| Under 2.5 | 56.96% | 2.25 at 1xbet |
| Both Team To Score | 64.58% | 2 at William Hill |
| Half-time / Full-time: Draw/Draw | 21.1% | 4.8 at Vbet |
Scotland vs Poland Form
Scotland and Poland's standings in the UEFA Nations League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
7 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -1 |
|
4
|
4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -7 |
Scotland and Poland Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Jun 2024 - Euro
19 Jun 2024 - Euro
14 Jun 2024 - Euro
7 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
3 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
26 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Jun 2024 - Euro
19 Jun 2024 - Euro
7 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
26 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
19 Nov 2023 - Euro
12 Sep 2023 - International Friendlies
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Jun 2024 - Euro
3 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
22 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
16 Nov 2023 - Euro
17 Oct 2023 - International Friendlies
12 Oct 2023 - Euro
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Jun 2024 - Euro
21 Jun 2024 - Euro
16 Jun 2024 - Euro
10 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
7 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
26 Mar 2024 - Euro
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Jun 2024 - Euro
16 Jun 2024 - Euro
10 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
7 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
21 Mar 2024 - Euro
17 Nov 2023 - Euro
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Jun 2024 - Euro
26 Mar 2024 - Euro
12 Oct 2023 - Euro
10 Sep 2023 - Euro
20 Jun 2023 - Euro
24 Mar 2023 - Euro
Scotland vs Poland Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
24 Mar 2022 - International Friendlies
Scotland - Poland: Form Analysis
Scotland haven't lost to Poland for the last 44 years, a record Steve Clarke’s charges will want to keep going. Despite this run, most of the teams’ recent matches ended in draws. This match will mark the fifth meeting between them in the last 10 years, with Scotland winning once and drawing the other three.
Off the back of a poor showing at Euro 2024, the hosts will be eager to do well in the Nations League. This journey, they start having won just once in the last 12 matches – against low-ranking Gibraltar back in June.
Scotland finished bottom of their group at the Euros with just a point, conceding seven times in three matches. The Scots must improve here to keep with their ambitions not only in the Nations League but also the 2026 World Cup.
The last three matches between these nations produced draws.
Like Scotland, Poland are also coming here seeking redemption after a disappointing Euro 2024 campaign. They managed one point on the way to finishing bottom of Group D. In all fairness though, they were in a tough pool, and faced France, Austria and the Netherlands.
At the competition they lost their eight-game unbeaten run and will want to get back their rhythm. Last time in the Nations League, Poland finished third to keep their League A status. The two wins they managed back then were against Wales.
Coming into this season’s competition, the target is to finish at least second. A 1-1 draw with France in their most recent game is a promising result to hop on as they approach this game. Poland, however, have just two wins in their last 14 away matches.
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Scotland against Poland Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 3 - 5 - 2
Scotland & Poland Squad Analysis
Scotland’s plans for this match will be hampered by injuries to a number of top players. Arsenal defender Kieran Tierney is not yet back from a hamstring problem picked in June.
The injury curse extends to Che Adams who had a good start to his time at Torino. James Forrest, Greg Taylor and Robby McCrorie have also opted out of the team. With Adams out, Steve Clarke is likely to call on Lawrence Shankland to lead the Scotland attack.
Robert Lewandowski has started the season in great shape and will be a big threat to Scotland.
Robert Lewandowski will once again be the highlighted player in this encounter. He is fitter now than he was at the Euros, where he managed one goal as Poland struggled.
The forward player comes into this game in fine form, having scored four goals in Barcelona’s opening four matches. The last time he played against Scotland, he also got to score twice.
Meanwhile, goalkeeper Wojciech Szczesny has called time on his footballing career and Lukasz Skorupski will most likely replace him.
Most goals and assists
Scotland
Poland
J. McGinn
(2 Goals)
,
S. Mctominay
(2 Goals)
P. Zielinski
(2 Goals)
,
S. Szymanski
(2 Goals)
,
N. Zalewski
(2 Goals)
B. Doak
(1 Assists)
,
T. Ralston
(1 Assists)
,
K. McLean
(1 Assists)
R. Lewandowski
(2 Assists)
,
K. Urbanski
(2 Assists)
Scotland - Poland Key Points
- Poland have two wins in 14 away matches.
- Poland are winless in their last three matches.
- Four of Poland’s last 10 matches ended in draws.
- Four of Scotland’s last nine matches produced draws.
- These nations registered draws in their last three meetings.
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Our Scotland vs Poland Prediction
Scotland will feel like the underdogs in this game but playing in front of the Tartan Army should offer them a lift. In eight of their last 10 matches at home, they avoided defeat. They also drew all of their last three matches against Poland, who haven't really excelled in this fixture.
Poland haven't done well in recent away matches either and while they rank higher than the Scots, this stands as a tough outing for them. That, and Scotland’s strength at home should define this match. Our prediction for Scotland v Poland is for the game to produce a draw.
Scotland vs Poland - Other Interesting Predictions
Robert Lewandowski to score
Robert Lewandowski is approaching the end of his international career and will definitely want to leave a bigger mark at Poland. This match finds him in superb form, having gone to the Euros struggling with injury.
He scored twice against Scotland the last time he played in this fixture. The 36-year-old has also scored four times for his club this season. Our second prediction will be for the Barcelona man to score here.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Scotland Poland
| Scotland vs Poland | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scotland wins | 2.4 | 2.4 | 0% |
| Draw | 3.1 | 3.2 | +3.2% |
| Poland wins | 3.2 | 3.2 | 0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- A draw is the most likely outcome
- The odds for this bet have increased by 3.2% since opening
- The probability of this result was 32.3% and is now 31.3% (-1.0%)
Scotland vs Poland match : Frequently asked questions
The Scotland v Poland match will be played at Hampden Park in Glasgow.
The Scotland v Poland match will be played on Thursday 5th September starting 7.45pm GMT.
Fans in Scotland can watch the match on Sky and those in Poland will get it through TVP and Sport TV. SportyTrader will also have the live scores for this game through the Nations League Livescores portal.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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