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Europe - UEFA Nations League

Scotland
05 Sep 2024 14:45
Poland

Prediction :

 

Draw

 
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Scotland vs Poland Prediction & Betting Tips - UEFA Nations League

 by Kennedy Kechula in UEFA Nations League Predictions

International football returns after the summer activities and Scotland will be facing off with Poland in their UEFA Nations League opener. We have a prediction for this match scheduled for Thursday 5th September, hosted by Scotland in Glasgow.

These two nations featured at the 2024 European Championship, performing dismally and will be eager to rise again. Both managed just a point apiece from their respective groups in the Euro finals staged in Germany.

While Poland are looking to maintain their League A status, Scotland will be playing there for the first time this season. On paper, Scotland remains the weakest team in Group 1, but hosting this game at Hampden Park will give them confidence they can shock the Poles.

The hosts arrive for this game having managed just one win in the last 12 matches. Meanwhile, the visitors have five wins in their last 11 matches. This group also has Croatia and Portugal.

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The Best Betting Odds for Scotland v Poland Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
2.4 3.2 3.2
Ladbrokes
2.7 2.25 3.25
1xbet
2.45 3.26 3.17
22bet
2.45 3.26 3.17
Betobet
2.35 3.1 3.15
Betwinner
2.35 3.2 3.15
LSbet
2.35 3.2 3.15
Stake
2.49 3.25 3.15
Melbet
2.37 3.22 3.12
Tonybet
2.43 3.25 3.15
Vbet
2.47 3.12 3.23
Betway
2.4 3.1 3
Unibet
2.5 3.15 3
Betfair
2.4 3 2.9
Betsson
2.55 3.2 3
William Hill
2.4 3 3
Check all Scotland vs Poland odds
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What is the prediction for the football match between Scotland and Poland?

Our prediction for the Scotland vs Poland match is: Game to produce a draw.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 05/09/2024 between Scotland and Poland in UEFA Nations League :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 28.83% for a win of Scotland against Poland with odds of 2.7 at Ladbrokes.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Scotland vs Poland is 38.83% with odds of 3.26 at 1xbet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 32.34% chance ⭐ for a win of Poland vs Scotland with odds of 3.25 at Ladbrokes.

Scotland - Poland Prediction and Best Odds:

Scotland Poland Prediction Probability Odds
Draw 38.83% 3.26 at 1xbet
Under 2.5 56.96% 2.25 at 1xbet
Both Team To Score 64.58% 2 at William Hill
Half-time / Full-time: Draw/Draw 21.1% 4.8 at Vbet

Scotland vs Poland Form

Scotland and Poland's standings in the UEFA Nations League

Teams Pts P W D L GD
3
Scotland
Scotland
7 6 2 1 3 -1
4
Poland
Poland
4 6 1 1 4 -7

Scotland and Poland Last Matches

Scotland
Scotland Last matches
L W D L D L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

23 Jun 2024 - Euro

Scotland
0 :  1
Hungary

19 Jun 2024 - Euro

Scotland
1 :  1
Switzerland

14 Jun 2024 - Euro

Germany
5 :  1
Scotland

7 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies

Scotland
2 :  2
Finland

3 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies

Gibraltar
0 :  2
Scotland

26 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies

Scotland
0 :  1
Northern Ireland
L D L D D L
Victories

0/6 (0%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

23 Jun 2024 - Euro

Scotland
0 :  1
Hungary

19 Jun 2024 - Euro

Scotland
1 :  1
Switzerland

7 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies

Scotland
2 :  2
Finland

26 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies

Scotland
0 :  1
Northern Ireland

19 Nov 2023 - Euro

Scotland
3 :  3
Norway

12 Sep 2023 - International Friendlies

Scotland
1 :  3
England
L L D L W L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
1 Goals scored
2.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

14 Jun 2024 - Euro

Germany
5 :  1
Scotland

3 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies

Gibraltar
0 :  2
Scotland

22 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies

Netherlands
4 :  0
Scotland

16 Nov 2023 - Euro

Georgia
2 :  2
Scotland

17 Oct 2023 - International Friendlies

France
4 :  1
Scotland

12 Oct 2023 - Euro

Spain
2 :  0
Scotland
Poland
Poland Last matches
D W W L L D
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

25 Jun 2024 - Euro

France
1 :  1
Poland

21 Jun 2024 - Euro

Poland
1 :  3
Austria

16 Jun 2024 - Euro

Poland
1 :  2
Netherlands

10 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies

Poland
2 :  1
Turkey

7 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies

Poland
3 :  1
Ukraine

26 Mar 2024 - Euro

Wales
0 :  0
Poland
W W W W L L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
83% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

21 Jun 2024 - Euro

Poland
1 :  3
Austria

16 Jun 2024 - Euro

Poland
1 :  2
Netherlands

10 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies

Poland
2 :  1
Turkey

7 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies

Poland
3 :  1
Ukraine

21 Mar 2024 - Euro

Poland
5 :  1
Estonia

21 Nov 2023 - International Friendlies

Poland
2 :  0
Latvia
L L L W D D
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

25 Jun 2024 - Euro

France
1 :  1
Poland

26 Mar 2024 - Euro

Wales
0 :  0
Poland

12 Oct 2023 - Euro

Faroe Islands
0 :  2
Poland

10 Sep 2023 - Euro

Albania
2 :  0
Poland

20 Jun 2023 - Euro

Moldova
3 :  2
Poland

24 Mar 2023 - Euro

Czechia
3 :  1
Poland

Scotland vs Poland Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

24 Mar 2022 - International Friendlies

Scotland
1 :  1
Poland
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Scotland - Poland: Form Analysis

Scotland haven't lost to Poland for the last 44 years, a record Steve Clarke’s charges will want to keep going. Despite this run, most of the teams’ recent matches ended in draws. This match will mark the fifth meeting between them in the last 10 years, with Scotland winning once and drawing the other three.

Off the back of a poor showing at Euro 2024, the hosts will be eager to do well in the Nations League. This journey, they start having won just once in the last 12 matches – against low-ranking Gibraltar back in June.

Scotland finished bottom of their group at the Euros with just a point, conceding seven times in three matches. The Scots must improve here to keep with their ambitions not only in the Nations League but also the 2026 World Cup.

The last three matches between these nations produced draws.

Like Scotland, Poland are also coming here seeking redemption after a disappointing Euro 2024 campaign. They managed one point on the way to finishing bottom of Group D. In all fairness though, they were in a tough pool, and faced France, Austria and the Netherlands.

At the competition they lost their eight-game unbeaten run and will want to get back their rhythm. Last time in the Nations League, Poland finished third to keep their League A status. The two wins they managed back then were against Wales.

Coming into this season’s competition, the target is to finish at least second. A 1-1 draw with France in their most recent game is a promising result to hop on as they approach this game. Poland, however, have just two wins in their last 14 away matches.

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Scotland against Poland Lineups: Starting 11

Scotland

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

1
A. Gunn
2
T. Ralston
5
G. Hanley
16
S. McKenna
3
A. Robertson
8
B. Gilmour
23
K. McLean
7
J. McGinn
4
S. Mctominay
11
R. Christie
9
L. Dykes
9
R. Lewandowski
23
K. Piatek
21
N. Zalewski
7
K. Urbanski
10
P. Zielinski
20
S. Szymanski
19
P. Frankowski
14
J. Kiwior
3
P. Dawidowicz
5
J. Bednarek
12
M. Bulka

Formation : 3 - 5 - 2

Poland

Missing players

Scotland
Scotland
Forward

C. Adams

Poland
Poland

Scotland & Poland Squad Analysis

Scotland’s plans for this match will be hampered by injuries to a number of top players. Arsenal defender Kieran Tierney is not yet back from a hamstring problem picked in June.

The injury curse extends to Che Adams who had a good start to his time at Torino. James Forrest, Greg Taylor and Robby McCrorie have also opted out of the team. With Adams out, Steve Clarke is likely to call on Lawrence Shankland to lead the Scotland attack.

Robert Lewandowski has started the season in great shape and will be a big threat to Scotland.

Robert Lewandowski will once again be the highlighted player in this encounter. He is fitter now than he was at the Euros, where he managed one goal as Poland struggled.

The forward player comes into this game in fine form, having scored four goals in Barcelona’s opening four matches. The last time he played against Scotland, he also got to score twice.

Meanwhile, goalkeeper Wojciech Szczesny has called time on his footballing career and Lukasz Skorupski will most likely replace him.

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Scotland
CD Huachipato Poland
Top Goalscorer
Scotland J. McGinn (2 Goals)
Scotland S. Mctominay (2 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Poland S. Szymanski (2 Goals) Poland N. Zalewski (2 Goals) Poland P. Zielinski (2 Goals)
Best assists
Scotland T. Ralston (1 Assists)
Scotland K. McLean (1 Assists)
Scotland B. Doak (1 Assists)
Best assists
Poland R. Lewandowski (2 Assists)
Poland K. Urbanski (2 Assists)

Scotland - Poland Key Points

  1. Poland have two wins in 14 away matches.
  2. Poland are winless in their last three matches.
  3. Four of Poland’s last 10 matches ended in draws.
  4. Four of Scotland’s last nine matches produced draws.
  5. These nations registered draws in their last three meetings.
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Our Scotland vs Poland Prediction

Scotland will feel like the underdogs in this game but playing in front of the Tartan Army should offer them a lift. In eight of their last 10 matches at home, they avoided defeat. They also drew all of their last three matches against Poland, who haven't really excelled in this fixture.

Poland haven't done well in recent away matches either and while they rank higher than the Scots, this stands as a tough outing for them. That, and Scotland’s strength at home should define this match. Our prediction for Scotland v Poland is for the game to produce a draw.

Prediction :

 

Draw

 
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Scotland vs Poland - Other Interesting Predictions

Robert Lewandowski to score

Odds 2.5

Robert Lewandowski is approaching the end of his international career and will definitely want to leave a bigger mark at Poland. This match finds him in superb form, having gone to the Euros struggling with injury.

He scored twice against Scotland the last time he played in this fixture. The 36-year-old has also scored four times for his club this season. Our second prediction will be for the Barcelona man to score here.

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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Scotland Poland

Scotland vs Poland Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Scotland wins 2.4 2.4 0%
Draw 3.1 3.2 +3.2%
Poland wins 3.2 3.2 0%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • A draw is the most likely outcome
  • The odds for this bet have increased by 3.2% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 32.3% and is now 31.3% (-1.0%)

Scotland vs Poland match : Frequently asked questions

The Scotland v Poland match will be played at Hampden Park in Glasgow.

The Scotland v Poland match will be played on Thursday 5th September starting 7.45pm GMT.

Fans in Scotland can watch the match on Sky and those in Poland will get it through TVP and Sport TV. SportyTrader will also have the live scores for this game through the Nations League Livescores portal.

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Scotland vs Poland Prediction
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