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Brazil - Brasileirão Serie A

SAO Paulo
17 Jul 2024 19:00
Gremio

Prediction :

SAO Paulo wins the match

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SAO Paulo vs Gremio Prediction & Betting Tips - Brasileirão Serie A

 by Nella Wagah in Football Predictions

Struggling Gremio are eyeing a leap in the Brazilian Serie A when they travel to Sao Paulo for their next match. After 14 matches, Tricolor dos Pampas are still stuck in the relegation region ahead of this encounter against sixth-placed Tricolor Paulista. Let’s take a look at the stats leading to the prediction offered.

Sao Paulo’s recent fine run encountered a bump in their last outing as they lost 2-1 at Atletico Mineiro. Prior to that loss, they had posted four consecutive wins. Lucas Moura’s 18th minute goal ensured they scored for the sixth straight game.

Alan Franco’s red card in the second half would, however, put their hopes of a fifth win on the bounce in jeopardy. With fourth placed Bahia having earlier lost, a win here could lift Sao Paulo to the automatic Libertadores positions. Sao Paulo will be charged up for this game having won their last three matches at home.

Gremio have so far failed to live up to the high standards they set in the 2023 league campaign, when they finished second. From their opening 14 matches, they’ve already suffered nine defeats. That’s only three less than their total losses last season.

They come here having won just three of their league games so far and have scored the least goals (10). In the cup competitions, however, Gremio have had better fortunes. They beat Operario PR 3-1 in the Brazilian Cup in their last outing, bringing to a halt a three-game winless run.

Renato Gaucho will be hoping his charges replicate this form in the league, with some improvement in their defending. Gremio are coming from back-to-back league defeats and failed to score in both matches, while conceding five times. They have one win in 11 league matches, but are winless in six straight away league games.

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The Best Betting Odds for SAO Paulo v Gremio Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
1.14 6.5 26
Ladbrokes
1.91 2.5 5.25
1xbet
1.07 9 126
22bet
1.07 9 126
Betobet
1.56 3.8 6.75
Betwinner
1.59 3.88 5.95
Stake
1.16 6 24
Melbet
1.65 3.82 5.4
Tonybet
1.62 3.7 5.8
Check all SAO Paulo vs Gremio odds
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What is the prediction for the football match between SAO Paulo and Gremio?

Our prediction for the SAO Paulo vs Gremio match is: Sao Paulo to win.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 17/07/2024 between SAO Paulo and Gremio in Brasileirão Serie A :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 59.3% for a win of SAO Paulo against Gremio with odds of 1.91 at Ladbrokes.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between SAO Paulo vs Gremio is 17.88% with odds of 9 at 1xbet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 22.83% chance ⭐ for a win of Gremio vs SAO Paulo with odds of 126 at 1xbet.

SAO Paulo - Gremio Prediction and Best Odds:

SAO Paulo Gremio Prediction Probability Odds
SAO Paulo wins 59.3% 1.91 at Ladbrokes
Under 2.5 52.1% 1.76 at Melbet
Both Team To Score 42.92%
Half-time / Full-time : SAO Paulo/SAO Paulo 27.84% 2.5 at Bet365

SAO Paulo vs Gremio Form

SAO Paulo and Gremio's standings in the Brasileirão Serie A

Teams Pts P W D L GD
6
SAO Paulo
SAO Paulo
51 31 15 6 10 9
11
Gremio
Gremio
39 32 11 6 15 -3

SAO Paulo and Gremio Last Matches

SAO Paulo
SAO Paulo Last matches
L W W W W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

11 Jul 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A

Atletico MG
2 :  1
SAO Paulo

6 Jul 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A

SAO Paulo
2 :  0
Bragantino

3 Jul 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A

Atletico Paranense
1 :  2
SAO Paulo

30 Jun 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A

SAO Paulo
3 :  1
Bahia

27 Jun 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A

SAO Paulo
2 :  1
Criciuma

22 Jun 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A

Vasco Da Gama
4 :  1
SAO Paulo
W W L W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

6 Jul 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A

SAO Paulo
2 :  0
Bragantino

30 Jun 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A

SAO Paulo
3 :  1
Bahia

27 Jun 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A

SAO Paulo
2 :  1
Criciuma

19 Jun 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A

SAO Paulo
0 :  1
Cuiaba

2 Jun 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A

SAO Paulo
2 :  0
Cruzeiro

29 May 2024 - Copa Libertadores

SAO Paulo
2 :  0
Talleres
W D D L W L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

11 Jul 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A

Atletico MG
2 :  1
SAO Paulo

3 Jul 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A

Atletico Paranense
1 :  2
SAO Paulo

22 Jun 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A

Vasco Da Gama
4 :  1
SAO Paulo

16 Jun 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A

Corinthians
2 :  2
SAO Paulo

13 Jun 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A

Internacional
0 :  0
SAO Paulo

8 May 2024 - Copa Libertadores

Cobresal
1 :  3
SAO Paulo
Gremio
Gremio Last matches
D W D L L W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

14 Jul 2024 - Copa do Brasil

Gremio
3 :  1
Operario

10 Jul 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A

Gremio
0 :  2
Cruzeiro

7 Jul 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A

Juventude
3 :  0
Gremio

4 Jul 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A

Gremio
2 :  2
Palmeiras

30 Jun 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A

Gremio
1 :  0
Fluminense

26 Jun 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A

Atletico GO
1 :  1
Gremio
L L W D L W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

14 Jul 2024 - Copa do Brasil

Gremio
3 :  1
Operario

10 Jul 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A

Gremio
0 :  2
Cruzeiro

4 Jul 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A

Gremio
2 :  2
Palmeiras

30 Jun 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A

Gremio
1 :  0
Fluminense

22 Jun 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A

Gremio
0 :  1
Internacional

16 Jun 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A

Gremio
1 :  2
Botafogo
D W L L D L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.67 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.5 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

7 Jul 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A

Juventude
3 :  0
Gremio

26 Jun 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A

Atletico GO
1 :  1
Gremio

19 Jun 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A

Fortaleza
1 :  0
Gremio

13 Jun 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A

Flamengo
2 :  1
Gremio

4 Jun 2024 - Copa Libertadores

Huachipato
0 :  1
Gremio

30 Apr 2024 - Copa do Brasil

Operario
0 :  0
Gremio

SAO Paulo vs Gremio Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

SAO Paulo

50 %

Draw

17 %

Gremio

33 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.5
Total goals
50%
BTTS
1.33
Goals scored (Team 1)
1.17
Goals scored (Team 2)
83%
Over 2.5
17%
Under 2.5

21 Oct 2023 - Brasileirão Serie A

SAO Paulo
3 :  0
Gremio

4 Jun 2023 - Brasileirão Serie A

Gremio
2 :  1
SAO Paulo

2 Dec 2021 - Brasileirão Serie A

Gremio
3 :  0
SAO Paulo

14 Aug 2021 - Brasileirão Serie A

SAO Paulo
2 :  1
Gremio

14 Feb 2021 - Brasileirão Serie A

Gremio
1 :  2
SAO Paulo

30 Dec 2020 - Copa do Brasil

SAO Paulo
0 :  0
Gremio
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SAO Paulo against Gremio Lineups: Starting 11

SAO Paulo

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

23
Rafael
2
I. Vinicius
5
R. Arboleda
32
N. Ferraresi
6
Welington
25
Alisson
21
D. Bobadilla
7
L. Moura
10
Luciano
47
Ferreira
9
J. Calleri
21
C. Pavon
98
E. Galdino
7
Y. Soteldo
23
Pepe
20
M. Villasanti
17
Dodi
6
Reinaldo
36
Nata
5
R. Ely
18
J. Pedro
1
A. Marchesin

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

Gremio

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato SAO Paulo
CD Huachipato Gremio
Top Goalscorer
Brazil Luciano (12 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Denmark M. Braithwaite (6 Goals) Argentina F. Cristaldo (6 Goals) Venezuela Y. Soteldo (6 Goals)
Best assists
Brazil W. Rato (6 Assists)
Best assists
Spain D. Costa (3 Assists)
Argentina F. Cristaldo (3 Assists)

SAO Paulo - Gremio Key Points

  1. Sao Paulo have three straight wins at home.
  2. Sao Paulo lost once in their last 10 home matches.
  3. In the last five meetings, Sao Paulo beat Gremio three times.
  4. Gremio have two wins only and six losses in their last 11 matches.
  5. In six away Serie A matches Gremio managed just a draw and six defeats.
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Our SAO Paulo vs Gremio Prediction

So far things haven't gone to plan for Gremio and they could drop even further with defeat here. They face a side on the rise, and taking on Sao Paulo away from home comes with some hardship.

Their travels haven't produced the best results in Serie A and Sao Paulo will want to take advantage of this.

The hosts come into the game having done well at home and also dominated recent meetings with Gremio. Our prediction for Sao Paulo v Gremio is for Sao Paulo to win.

Prediction :

SAO Paulo wins the match

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

SAO Paulo vs Gremio Prediction
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