SAO Paulo vs Gremio Prediction & Betting Tips - Brasileirão Serie A
by Nella Wagah in Football Predictions
Struggling Gremio are eyeing a leap in the Brazilian Serie A when they travel to Sao Paulo for their next match. After 14 matches, Tricolor dos Pampas are still stuck in the relegation region ahead of this encounter against sixth-placed Tricolor Paulista. Let’s take a look at the stats leading to the prediction offered.
Sao Paulo’s recent fine run encountered a bump in their last outing as they lost 2-1 at Atletico Mineiro. Prior to that loss, they had posted four consecutive wins. Lucas Moura’s 18th minute goal ensured they scored for the sixth straight game.
Alan Franco’s red card in the second half would, however, put their hopes of a fifth win on the bounce in jeopardy. With fourth placed Bahia having earlier lost, a win here could lift Sao Paulo to the automatic Libertadores positions. Sao Paulo will be charged up for this game having won their last three matches at home.
Gremio have so far failed to live up to the high standards they set in the 2023 league campaign, when they finished second. From their opening 14 matches, they’ve already suffered nine defeats. That’s only three less than their total losses last season.
They come here having won just three of their league games so far and have scored the least goals (10). In the cup competitions, however, Gremio have had better fortunes. They beat Operario PR 3-1 in the Brazilian Cup in their last outing, bringing to a halt a three-game winless run.
Renato Gaucho will be hoping his charges replicate this form in the league, with some improvement in their defending. Gremio are coming from back-to-back league defeats and failed to score in both matches, while conceding five times. They have one win in 11 league matches, but are winless in six straight away league games.
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The Best Betting Odds for SAO Paulo v Gremio Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.14 | 6.5 | 26 |
|
|
1.91 | 2.5 | 5.25 |
|
|
1.07 | 9 | 126 |
|
|
1.07 | 9 | 126 |
|
|
1.56 | 3.8 | 6.75 |
|
|
1.59 | 3.88 | 5.95 |
|
|
1.16 | 6 | 24 |
|
|
1.65 | 3.82 | 5.4 |
|
|
1.62 | 3.7 | 5.8 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between SAO Paulo and Gremio?
Our prediction for the SAO Paulo vs Gremio match is: Sao Paulo to win.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 17/07/2024 between SAO Paulo and Gremio in Brasileirão Serie A :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 59.3% for a win of SAO Paulo against Gremio with odds of 1.91 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between SAO Paulo vs Gremio is 17.88% with odds of 9 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 22.83% chance ⭐ for a win of Gremio vs SAO Paulo with odds of 126 at 1xbet.
SAO Paulo - Gremio Prediction and Best Odds:
| SAO Paulo Gremio Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| SAO Paulo wins | 59.3% | 1.91 at Ladbrokes |
| Under 2.5 | 52.1% | 1.76 at Melbet |
| Both Team To Score | 42.92% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : SAO Paulo/SAO Paulo | 27.84% | 2.5 at Bet365 |
SAO Paulo vs Gremio Form
SAO Paulo and Gremio's standings in the Brasileirão Serie A
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6
|
41 | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 7 |
|
15
|
27 | 23 | 8 | 3 | 12 | -5 |
SAO Paulo and Gremio Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Jul 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
6 Jul 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
3 Jul 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
30 Jun 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
27 Jun 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
22 Jun 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Jul 2024 - Copa do Brasil
10 Jul 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
7 Jul 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
4 Jul 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
30 Jun 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
26 Jun 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
SAO Paulo against Gremio : Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
17 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
21 Oct 2023 - Brasileirão Serie A
4 Jun 2023 - Brasileirão Serie A
2 Dec 2021 - Brasileirão Serie A
14 Aug 2021 - Brasileirão Serie A
14 Feb 2021 - Brasileirão Serie A
30 Dec 2020 - Copa do Brasil
SAO Paulo against Gremio Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
SAO Paulo - Gremio Key Points
- Sao Paulo have three straight wins at home.
- Sao Paulo lost once in their last 10 home matches.
- In the last five meetings, Sao Paulo beat Gremio three times.
- Gremio have two wins only and six losses in their last 11 matches.
- In six away Serie A matches Gremio managed just a draw and six defeats.
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Our SAO Paulo vs Gremio Prediction
So far things haven't gone to plan for Gremio and they could drop even further with defeat here. They face a side on the rise, and taking on Sao Paulo away from home comes with some hardship.
Their travels haven't produced the best results in Serie A and Sao Paulo will want to take advantage of this.
The hosts come into the game having done well at home and also dominated recent meetings with Gremio. Our prediction for Sao Paulo v Gremio is for Sao Paulo to win.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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