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South America - Copa Libertadores

SAO Paulo
25 Sep 2024 20:30
Botafogo

Prediction :

X or Botafogo

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SAO Paulo vs Botafogo Prediction & Betting Tips - Copa Libertadores

 by Joseph King in Copa Libertadores Predictions

São Paulo and Botafogo lock horns in the return leg of the Copa Libertadores quarter-final on Wednesday night. Let’s break down this match and offer a prediction for this showdown between the Tricolor Paulista and Fogo.

A spot in the semi-final against either Peñarol or Flamengo is on the line here following a goalless draw in the first leg. São Paulo will be pleased with their performance in Rio, yet they were somewhat fortunate to walk away with a draw. They gave up three clear cut scoring chances which Botafogo failed to capitalize on. 

São Paulo return to the Morumbi with a 3-1-0 home record in the Copa Libertadores and a 9-2-3 home record in the domestic league. They come into this match as slight favorites according to the bookmakers.

This could prove a challenging fixture for the hosts as they have managed only one win from their last six games. Last time out, the Tricolor Paulista fell to a 3-1 home defeat to Internacional, their second loss in a row on their home patch.

Botafogo are having a fantastic season as they lead the Brasileiro Serie A by three points with a 17-5-5 record. They also have a good shot at making it to the final four in the Copa Libertadores in their return to the competition after a seven-year absence.

They come into the return leg of this fixture riding an eight-match unbeaten run, five of which ended in victories for the Rio based club. Last time out, Fogo secured a 1-0 away victory over Fluminense in the Brazilian top flight, marking their third win in the last four games.

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The Best Betting Odds for SAO Paulo v Botafogo Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
3 2.88 2.75
Ladbrokes
2.9 2.15 3.2
1xbet
2.68 3.06 2.93
22bet
2.68 3.06 2.93
Betobet
2.65 2.9 2.85
Betwinner
2.87 2.92 2.77
Stake
2.65 3.05 2.95
Melbet
2.66 3.03 2.9
Tonybet
2.7 3.05 2.95
Check all SAO Paulo vs Botafogo odds
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What is the prediction for the football match between SAO Paulo and Botafogo?

Our prediction for the SAO Paulo vs Botafogo match is: Botafogo double chance.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 25/09/2024 between SAO Paulo and Botafogo in Copa Libertadores :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 38.78% for a win of SAO Paulo against Botafogo with odds of 3 at Bet365.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between SAO Paulo vs Botafogo is 27.44% with odds of 3.06 at 1xbet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 33.78% chance ⭐ for a win of Botafogo vs SAO Paulo with odds of 3.2 at Ladbrokes.

SAO Paulo - Botafogo Prediction and Best Odds:

SAO Paulo Botafogo Prediction Probability Odds
SAO Paulo wins 38.78% 3 at Bet365
Under 2.5 61.4% 1.84 at Tonybet
Both Team To Score 38.33%
Half-time: Draw / Full-time: SAO Paulo 25.69% 6 at Bet365

SAO Paulo vs Botafogo Form

SAO Paulo and Botafogo Last Matches

SAO Paulo
SAO Paulo Last matches
L L D W D L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.33 Total goals
17% BTTS
0.33 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

22 Sep 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A

SAO Paulo
1 :  3
Internacional

18 Sep 2024 - Copa Libertadores

Botafogo
0 :  0
SAO Paulo

15 Sep 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A

Cruzeiro
0 :  1
SAO Paulo

12 Sep 2024 - Copa do Brasil

Atletico MG
0 :  0
SAO Paulo

1 Sep 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A

Fluminense
2 :  0
SAO Paulo

28 Aug 2024 - Copa do Brasil

SAO Paulo
0 :  1
Atletico MG
W W W W L L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

22 Sep 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A

SAO Paulo
1 :  3
Internacional

28 Aug 2024 - Copa do Brasil

SAO Paulo
0 :  1
Atletico MG

25 Aug 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A

SAO Paulo
2 :  1
Vitoria

22 Aug 2024 - Copa Libertadores

SAO Paulo
2 :  0
Nacional Montevideo

11 Aug 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A

SAO Paulo
1 :  0
Atletico GO

3 Aug 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A

SAO Paulo
1 :  0
Flamengo
D L L D W D
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1 Total goals
17% BTTS
0.33 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

18 Sep 2024 - Copa Libertadores

Botafogo
0 :  0
SAO Paulo

15 Sep 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A

Cruzeiro
0 :  1
SAO Paulo

12 Sep 2024 - Copa do Brasil

Atletico MG
0 :  0
SAO Paulo

1 Sep 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A

Fluminense
2 :  0
SAO Paulo

18 Aug 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A

Palmeiras
2 :  1
SAO Paulo

15 Aug 2024 - Copa Libertadores

Nacional Montevideo
0 :  0
SAO Paulo
Botafogo
Botafogo Last matches
D D W W D W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.67 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

21 Sep 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A

Fluminense
0 :  1
Botafogo

18 Sep 2024 - Copa Libertadores

Botafogo
0 :  0
SAO Paulo

14 Sep 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A

Botafogo
2 :  1
Corinthians

31 Aug 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A

Botafogo
2 :  0
Fortaleza

25 Aug 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A

Bahia
0 :  0
Botafogo

21 Aug 2024 - Copa Libertadores

Palmeiras
2 :  2
Botafogo
D W W W W D
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

18 Sep 2024 - Copa Libertadores

Botafogo
0 :  0
SAO Paulo

14 Sep 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A

Botafogo
2 :  1
Corinthians

31 Aug 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A

Botafogo
2 :  0
Fortaleza

18 Aug 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A

Botafogo
4 :  1
Flamengo

14 Aug 2024 - Copa Libertadores

Botafogo
2 :  1
Palmeiras

30 Jul 2024 - Copa do Brasil

Botafogo
1 :  1
Bahia
W L L D D W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

21 Sep 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A

Fluminense
0 :  1
Botafogo

25 Aug 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A

Bahia
0 :  0
Botafogo

21 Aug 2024 - Copa Libertadores

Palmeiras
2 :  2
Botafogo

11 Aug 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A

Juventude
3 :  2
Botafogo

7 Aug 2024 - Copa do Brasil

Bahia
1 :  0
Botafogo

3 Aug 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A

Atletico GO
1 :  4
Botafogo

SAO Paulo vs Botafogo Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

SAO Paulo

0 %

Draw

50 %

Botafogo

50 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

1.5
Total goals
33%
BTTS
0.5
Goals scored (Team 1)
1
Goals scored (Team 2)
33%
Over 2.5
67%
Under 2.5

18 Sep 2024 - Copa Libertadores

Botafogo
0 :  0
SAO Paulo

24 Jul 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A

SAO Paulo
2 :  2
Botafogo

19 Aug 2023 - Brasileirão Serie A

SAO Paulo
0 :  0
Botafogo

15 Apr 2023 - Brasileirão Serie A

Botafogo
2 :  1
SAO Paulo

9 Oct 2022 - Brasileirão Serie A

SAO Paulo
0 :  1
Botafogo

16 Jun 2022 - Brasileirão Serie A

Botafogo
1 :  0
SAO Paulo
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SAO Paulo against Botafogo Lineups: Starting 11

SAO Paulo

Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1

23
Rafael
28
A. Franco
5
R. Arboleda
6
Welington
13
Rafinha
21
D. Bobadilla
16
L. Gustavo
27
W. Rato
7
L. Moura
39
W. Gomes
9
J. Calleri
99
I. Jesus
23
T. Almada
10
J. Savarino
7
Luiz Henrique
17
M. Freitas
26
Gregore
13
A. Telles
20
A. Barboza
15
Bastos
22
Vitinho
12
J. Victor

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Botafogo

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato SAO Paulo
CD Huachipato Botafogo
Top Goalscorer
Brazil Luciano (13 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Brazil Luiz Henrique (10 Goals)
Best assists
Brazil W. Rato (7 Assists)
Best assists
Venezuela J. Savarino (9 Assists)

SAO Paulo - Botafogo Key Points

  1. Botafogo are unbeaten in their last seven matches against São Paulo, winning four and drawing three.
  2. São Paulo have managed only a single win in their last six matches across all competitions.
  3. Botafogo have avoided defeat in their last eight outings.
  4. The visitors have lost only once in their six away Copa Libertadores matches in 2024.
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Our SAO Paulo vs Botafogo Prediction

Botafogo were the better team in the first leg but weren't able to make the breakthrough and walk away with the win. Despite being slight underdogs on the road here, they will take confidence from their recent results against their opponents. Botafogo have not lost to São Paulo since 2020, which includes their 2-2 draw the last time they faced off at the Morumbi back in July.

With Botafogo's superb results in the Brasileiro Serie A this season, they should feel right at home against their Brazilian opponents. Our São Paulo vs Botafogo prediction: Botafogo double chance.

Prediction :

X or Botafogo

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$200 offered for betting!

Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis SAO Paulo Botafogo

SAO Paulo vs Botafogo Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
SAO Paulo wins 2.45 3 +22.4%
Draw 3.25 2.88 -11.4%
Botafogo wins 2.88 2.75 -4.5%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • SAO Paulo is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have increased by 22.4% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 40.8% and is now 33.3% (-7.5%)

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

SAO Paulo vs Botafogo Prediction
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