South America - Copa Libertadores
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SAO Paulo vs Botafogo Prediction & Betting Tips - Copa Libertadores
by Joseph King in Copa Libertadores Predictions
São Paulo and Botafogo lock horns in the return leg of the Copa Libertadores quarter-final on Wednesday night. Let’s break down this match and offer a prediction for this showdown between the Tricolor Paulista and Fogo.
A spot in the semi-final against either Peñarol or Flamengo is on the line here following a goalless draw in the first leg. São Paulo will be pleased with their performance in Rio, yet they were somewhat fortunate to walk away with a draw. They gave up three clear cut scoring chances which Botafogo failed to capitalize on.
São Paulo return to the Morumbi with a 3-1-0 home record in the Copa Libertadores and a 9-2-3 home record in the domestic league. They come into this match as slight favorites according to the bookmakers.
This could prove a challenging fixture for the hosts as they have managed only one win from their last six games. Last time out, the Tricolor Paulista fell to a 3-1 home defeat to Internacional, their second loss in a row on their home patch.
Botafogo are having a fantastic season as they lead the Brasileiro Serie A by three points with a 17-5-5 record. They also have a good shot at making it to the final four in the Copa Libertadores in their return to the competition after a seven-year absence.
They come into the return leg of this fixture riding an eight-match unbeaten run, five of which ended in victories for the Rio based club. Last time out, Fogo secured a 1-0 away victory over Fluminense in the Brazilian top flight, marking their third win in the last four games.
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The Best Betting Odds for SAO Paulo v Botafogo Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3 | 2.88 | 2.75 |
|
|
2.9 | 2.15 | 3.2 |
|
|
2.68 | 3.06 | 2.93 |
|
|
2.68 | 3.06 | 2.93 |
|
|
2.65 | 2.9 | 2.85 |
|
|
2.87 | 2.92 | 2.77 |
|
|
2.87 | 2.92 | 2.77 |
|
|
2.65 | 3.05 | 2.95 |
|
|
2.66 | 3.03 | 2.9 |
|
|
2.7 | 3.05 | 2.95 |
|
|
2.9 | 2.75 | 2.63 |
|
|
2.95 | 2.85 | 2.7 |
|
|
2.8 | 2.75 | 2.62 |
|
|
3.04 | 2.8 | 2.74 |
|
|
2.8 | 2.8 | 2.8 |
|
|
2.8 | 2.95 | 2.8 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between SAO Paulo and Botafogo?
Our prediction for the SAO Paulo vs Botafogo match is: Botafogo double chance.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 25/09/2024 between SAO Paulo and Botafogo in Copa Libertadores :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 38.78% for a win of SAO Paulo against Botafogo with odds of 3.04 at Vbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between SAO Paulo vs Botafogo is 27.44% with odds of 3.06 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 33.78% chance ⭐ for a win of Botafogo vs SAO Paulo with odds of 3.2 at Ladbrokes.
SAO Paulo - Botafogo Prediction and Best Odds:
| SAO Paulo Botafogo Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| SAO Paulo wins | 38.78% | 3.04 at Vbet |
| Under 2.5 | 61.4% | 1.84 at Tonybet |
| Both Team To Score | 38.33% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: SAO Paulo | 25.69% | 6.5 at Betsson |
SAO Paulo vs Botafogo Form
SAO Paulo and Botafogo Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Sep 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
18 Sep 2024 - Copa Libertadores
15 Sep 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
12 Sep 2024 - Copa do Brasil
1 Sep 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
28 Aug 2024 - Copa do Brasil
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Sep 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
28 Aug 2024 - Copa do Brasil
25 Aug 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
22 Aug 2024 - Copa Libertadores
11 Aug 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
3 Aug 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Sep 2024 - Copa Libertadores
15 Sep 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
12 Sep 2024 - Copa do Brasil
1 Sep 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
18 Aug 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
15 Aug 2024 - Copa Libertadores
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Sep 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
18 Sep 2024 - Copa Libertadores
14 Sep 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
31 Aug 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
25 Aug 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
21 Aug 2024 - Copa Libertadores
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Sep 2024 - Copa Libertadores
14 Sep 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
31 Aug 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
18 Aug 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
14 Aug 2024 - Copa Libertadores
30 Jul 2024 - Copa do Brasil
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Sep 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
25 Aug 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
21 Aug 2024 - Copa Libertadores
11 Aug 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
7 Aug 2024 - Copa do Brasil
3 Aug 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
SAO Paulo vs Botafogo Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
50 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
18 Sep 2024 - Copa Libertadores
24 Jul 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
19 Aug 2023 - Brasileirão Serie A
15 Apr 2023 - Brasileirão Serie A
9 Oct 2022 - Brasileirão Serie A
16 Jun 2022 - Brasileirão Serie A
SAO Paulo against Botafogo Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Most goals and assists
SAO Paulo
Botafogo
Luciano
(14 Goals)
J. Savarino
(11 Goals)
,
Luiz Henrique
(11 Goals)
W. Rato
(7 Assists)
J. Savarino
(10 Assists)
SAO Paulo - Botafogo Key Points
- Botafogo are unbeaten in their last seven matches against São Paulo, winning four and drawing three.
- São Paulo have managed only a single win in their last six matches across all competitions.
- Botafogo have avoided defeat in their last eight outings.
- The visitors have lost only once in their six away Copa Libertadores matches in 2024.
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Our SAO Paulo vs Botafogo Prediction
Botafogo were the better team in the first leg but weren't able to make the breakthrough and walk away with the win. Despite being slight underdogs on the road here, they will take confidence from their recent results against their opponents. Botafogo have not lost to São Paulo since 2020, which includes their 2-2 draw the last time they faced off at the Morumbi back in July.
With Botafogo's superb results in the Brasileiro Serie A this season, they should feel right at home against their Brazilian opponents. Our São Paulo vs Botafogo prediction: Botafogo double chance.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis SAO Paulo Botafogo
| SAO Paulo vs Botafogo | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| SAO Paulo wins | 2.45 | 3 | +22.4% |
| Draw | 3.25 | 2.88 | -11.4% |
| Botafogo wins | 2.88 | 2.75 | -4.5% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- SAO Paulo is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 22.4% since opening
- The probability of this result was 40.8% and is now 33.3% (-7.5%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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