San Lorenzo vs Atletico MG Prediction & Betting Tips - Copa Libertadores
by Devesh Jaganath in Copa Libertadores Predictions
San Lorenzo and Atletico Mineiro will get their Copa Libertadores Round of 16 tie underway in the first leg at Estadio Pedro Bidegain on Wednesday morning. The winner of this round will move on to face either Gremio or Fluminense in the quarter-final. Let’s get into the match prediction.
San Lorenzo booked their spot in the Round of 16 in this competition by finishing second in their group, holding off Independiente del Valle by a single point thanks to a final-day draw against Palmeiras.
Since then, though, things have not gone well for the Argentine outfit, as they bowed out of the Copa Argentina earlier this month and enter this match winless in their last four in all competitions (W0 D2 L2).
However, El Ciclon are unbeaten at home in the Copa Libertadores, winning two and drawing one of their three group-stage matches. They have also only failed to find the net in one of their last five games on home soil.
Meanwhile, Atletico Mineiro have failed to hit the heights they would have hoped for in their domestic league this season, currently in eighth place with 29 points after finishing third last term.
However, Galo’s Copa Libertadores form has been much better, as they claimed top spot in their group with five wins and one loss in their six matches. The sole defeat was against Penarol 2-0 on the road.
These two sides last met in 2018 in the Copa Sudamerica group stage and San Lorenzo won at this venue before playing out a goalless draw at Estadio Raimundo Sampaio.
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The Best Betting Odds for San Lorenzo v Atletico MG Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
26 | 1.02 | 21 |
|
|
2.87 | 2.8 | 2.45 |
|
|
28 | 1.03 | 23 |
|
|
28 | 1.03 | 23 |
|
|
3 | 2.7 | 2.8 |
|
|
3.14 | 3.05 | 2.46 |
|
|
15 | 1.04 | 13 |
|
|
3.1 | 3.05 | 2.49 |
|
|
3.1 | 3.1 | 2.5 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between San Lorenzo and Atletico MG?
Our prediction for the San Lorenzo vs Atletico MG match is: Both teams to score!
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 13/08/2024 between San Lorenzo and Atletico MG in Copa Libertadores :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 24.68% for a win of San Lorenzo against Atletico MG with odds of 28 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between San Lorenzo vs Atletico MG is 43.21% with odds of 3.1 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 32.11% chance ⭐ for a win of Atletico MG vs San Lorenzo with odds of 23 at 1xbet.
San Lorenzo - Atletico MG Prediction and Best Odds:
| San Lorenzo Atletico MG Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Draw | 43.21% | 3.1 at Tonybet |
| Under 2.5 | 64.24% | 1.78 at Tonybet |
| Both Team To Score | 45.83% | |
| Half-time / Full-time: Draw/Draw | 25.21% | 3.4 at Bet365 |
San Lorenzo vs Atletico MG Form
San Lorenzo and Atletico MG Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Aug 2024 - Liga Profesional Argentina
6 Aug 2024 - Copa Argentina
3 Aug 2024 - Liga Profesional Argentina
27 Jul 2024 - Liga Profesional Argentina
23 Jul 2024 - Liga Profesional Argentina
20 Jul 2024 - Liga Profesional Argentina
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Aug 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
7 Aug 2024 - Copa do Brasil
3 Aug 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
31 Jul 2024 - Copa do Brasil
28 Jul 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
21 Jul 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
San Lorenzo against Atletico MG : Head to Head (H2H)
8 May 2018 - Copa Sudamericana
San Lorenzo against Atletico MG Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Formation : 3 - 4 - 1 - 2
San Lorenzo - Atletico MG Key Points
- Five of San Lorenzo’s last eight home games in all competitions have ended with both teams scoring.
- Two of San Lorenzo’s three home games in this competition ended with both teams scoring.
- Five of Atletico Mineiro’s last eight games in all competitions have ended with both teams scoring.
- Atletico Mineiro have scored in six of their last eight away games.
- Atletico Mineiro have only kept one clean sheet in their last 10 away games in all competitions.
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Our San Lorenzo vs Atletico MG Prediction
A glance a the odds in this match will tell you how closely matched these two sides are with bookmakers divided over a clear favourite.
Getting off to a good start will therefore be imperative for both these sides and Atletico Mineiro will know that a goal in this away leg could end up being invaluable to take back home next week. We’re steering clear of the outright market here, but fancy both sides to find the back of the net at least once each. Our San Lorenzo vs Atletico Mineiro prediction: Both teams to score!
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis San Lorenzo Atletico MG
| San Lorenzo vs Atletico MG | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| San Lorenzo wins | 2.5 | 26 | +940.0% |
| Draw | 3.1 | 1.02 | -67.1% |
| Atletico MG wins | 2.9 | 21 | +624.1% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- A draw is the most likely outcome
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 67.1% since opening
- The probability of this result was 32.3% and is now 98.0% (65.8%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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