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Salzburg vs Atletico Madrid Prediction & Betting Tips - Champions League
by Daniel Ngulu in Champions League Predictions
Atletico Madrid and RB Salzburg have contrasting targets ahead of their matchday eight encounter in the Champions League. Heading into the encounter, visitors Atletico are holding firmly onto a top eight position, being fifth, while Salzburg are further down in 34th.
Atletico Madrid are seeking a win to confirm their place in the last 16. The Spaniards could also secure their place there with a draw in this game. On the other hand, this is a dead-rubber game for Salzburg, with the Austrians already eliminated.
It is a tight race for the top eight positions and Atletico Madrid will want to avoid going into a goal difference battle. That will happen if they fail to win this, as a horde of clubs below them could hit 15 points with wins. Salzburg’s season in Europe is done. In this game they can only hope to finish with a home win in the competition. Below we have a prediction for this match.
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The Best Betting Odds for Salzburg v Atletico Madrid Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
7 | 4.5 | 1.45 |
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7.5 | 4.6 | 1.44 |
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|
5.5 | 2.87 | 1.73 |
|
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6.91 | 4.59 | 1.5 |
|
|
6.91 | 4.59 | 1.5 |
|
|
8.5 | 5.25 | 1.34 |
|
|
7.3 | 4.5 | 1.44 |
|
|
7.3 | 4.5 | 1.44 |
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7.2 | 4.8 | 1.44 |
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7 | 4.5 | 1.46 |
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7 | 4.8 | 1.47 |
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7 | 4.2 | 1.47 |
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7.3 | 4.7 | 1.46 |
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6.5 | 4.33 | 1.48 |
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7.5 | 4.5 | 1.43 |
|
|
7.5 | 4.5 | 1.4 |
|
|
7.1 | 4.7 | 1.46 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Salzburg and Atletico Madrid?
Our prediction for the Salzburg vs Atletico Madrid match is: Atletico Madrid to win and both teams to score.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 29/01/2025 between Salzburg and Atletico Madrid in Champions League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 17.59% for a win of Salzburg against Atletico Madrid with odds of 8.5 at Betobet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Salzburg vs Atletico Madrid is 12.53% with odds of 5.25 at Betobet.
- Our prediction model gives a 69.87% chance ⭐ for a win of Atletico Madrid vs Salzburg with odds of 1.73 at Ladbrokes.
Salzburg - Atletico Madrid Prediction and Best Odds:
| Salzburg Atletico Madrid Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Atletico Madrid wins | 69.87% | 1.73 at Ladbrokes |
| Over 2.5 goals | 72.34% | 1.9 at Stake |
| Both Team To Score | 39.58% | 1.97 at Unibet |
| Half-time / Full-time: Atletico Madrid/Atletico Madrid | 31.28% | 2.21 at Betsson |
Salzburg vs Atletico Madrid Form
Salzburg and Atletico Madrid's standings in the Champions League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5
|
18 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 8 |
|
34
|
3 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | -22 |
Salzburg and Atletico Madrid Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Jan 2025 - Champions League
15 Jan 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
6 Jan 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
14 Dec 2024 - Austrian Bundesliga
10 Dec 2024 - Champions League
7 Dec 2024 - Austrian Bundesliga
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Jan 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
6 Jan 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
14 Dec 2024 - Austrian Bundesliga
10 Dec 2024 - Champions League
7 Dec 2024 - Austrian Bundesliga
4 Dec 2024 - Austrian Bundesliga
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Jan 2025 - Champions League
30 Nov 2024 - Austrian Bundesliga
26 Nov 2024 - Champions League
10 Nov 2024 - Austrian Bundesliga
6 Nov 2024 - Champions League
27 Oct 2024 - Austrian Bundesliga
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Jan 2025 - LaLiga
21 Jan 2025 - Champions League
18 Jan 2025 - LaLiga
15 Jan 2025 - Copa del Rey
12 Jan 2025 - LaLiga
4 Jan 2025 - Copa del Rey
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Jan 2025 - LaLiga
21 Jan 2025 - Champions League
12 Jan 2025 - LaLiga
15 Dec 2024 - LaLiga
11 Dec 2024 - Champions League
8 Dec 2024 - LaLiga
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Jan 2025 - LaLiga
15 Jan 2025 - Copa del Rey
4 Jan 2025 - Copa del Rey
21 Dec 2024 - LaLiga
5 Dec 2024 - Copa del Rey
30 Nov 2024 - LaLiga
Salzburg vs Atletico Madrid Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
0 %
100 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
9 Dec 2020 - Champions League
27 Oct 2020 - Champions League
Salzburg - Atletico Madrid: Form Analysis
Salzburg’s 3-1 win away to Feyenoord on matchday four remains their only win in the Champions League so far. They failed to build on it, suffering three consecutive defeats.
Their return to competitive action after the winter break wasn’t great either. In their first match of 2025, the Austrian side took on European champions Real Madrid, posting a 5-1 away defeat.
By the time Mads Bidstrup scored their only goal in the game, it was merely a consolation. That result marked the third straight Champions League game in which they conceded three or more goals.
Gaining a point will mean Salzburg avoid finishing bottom in the league phase.
Atletico Madrid will be Salzburg’s second Spanish opponent in as many Champions League games. They will be keen to replicate Real Madrid’s 5-1 win over this same opponent in the last round.
A perfect record of two wins in two meetings with the Austrians will definitely build Atletico’s confidence. In the previous round they claimed a solid 2-1 win against Bayer Leverkusen and will feel this is an easier outing.
A win here would be the ideal response to dropping points in their weekend La Liga outing, a 1-1 draw with Villarreal at home.
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Salzburg against Atletico Madrid Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Salzburg & Atletico Madrid Squad Analysis
Salzburg have some injury doubts in the team as they prepare for this match. No player is confirmed ruled out just yet but the hosts could be without Maurits Kjaergaard, Karim Konate and Daouda Guindo.
Konate will particularly be missed in attack, having scored twice in the Champions League this season.
Mads Bidstrup got his first Champions League goal of the season in the last game, a 5-1 loss to Real Madrid. He will hope to score in back-to-back matches when another Spanish side visits.
On six UCL goals, Julian Alvarez is a top pick to score anytime.
In Atletico Madrid’s win over German champions Bayer Leverkusen, they paid a heavy price. Defensive midfielder Pablo Barrios was sent off in that match and stands suspended here.
Only one injury has been reported at Atletico Madrid. Defender Javi Galan is struggling with an ankle injury that will keep him out of this.
Meanwhile, Argentine star Julian Alvarez will once again lead the attack. He scored twice in the last round to take his tally in the Champions League to six goals.
Most goals and assists
Salzburg
Atletico Madrid
O. Gloukh
(7 Goals)
A. Griezmann
(13 Goals)
O. Gloukh
(5 Assists)
A. Griezmann
(6 Assists)
, 
M. Llorente
(6 Assists)
Salzburg - Atletico Madrid Key Points
- Atletico Madrid are eyeing a third straight away UCL win.
- Atletico Madrid have no clean sheet in their last three matches.
- In three of Salzburg’s last six home UCL matches, both teams scored.
- Salzburg suffered straight defeats in their last three home UCL matches.
- In 12 away Champions League games, Atletico managed one clean sheet.
- Both teams scored in four of Atletico’s last five Champions League matches.
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Our Salzburg vs Atletico Madrid Prediction
Atletico Madrid have a perfect record against Salzburg, and have also done well against Austrian teams. This will be another opportunity for them to extend this dominance. The Spaniards will be targeting only their third ever straight Champions League win away from home.
Their opponents have a poor run but will want to hit Atletico in defence, where they’ve shown a bit of weakness. With Salzburg having nothing much to play for, they can be a tricky opponent and are likely scorers here. Our prediction for Salzburg v Atletico Madrid is for Atletico Madrid to win and both teams to score.
Prediction :
Atletico Madrid to win and both teams to score
Salzburg vs Atletico Madrid - Other Interesting Predictions
Over 2.5 goals
Each of Atletico Madrid’s last four away matches in the Champions League produced at least three goals. In their latest, they scored six times. Meanwhile, Salzburg conceded three or more goals in two of their last three home matches in this competition.
In total, their last four Champions League matches yielded 18 goals. We expect another high-scoring encounter and our second prediction here would be for over 2.5 goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Salzburg Atletico Madrid
| Salzburg vs Atletico Madrid | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Salzburg wins | 6 | 7 | +16.7% |
| Draw | 4 | 4.5 | +12.5% |
| Atletico Madrid wins | 1.53 | 1.45 | -5.2% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Atletico Madrid is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 5.2% since opening
- The probability of this result was 65.4% and is now 69.0% (3.6%)
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Salzburg vs Atletico Madrid match : Frequently asked questions
The Salzburg v Atletico Madrid match will be played on Wednesday 29th January.
The Salzburg v Atletico Madrid match will be staged at the Red Bull Arena.
The Salzburg v Atletico Madrid match will be aired on Sky Austria, Canal+ and ServusTV for Austrian audiences. Spanish followers can follow the game through Telefonica. Meanwhile, Sportytrader, through the UEFA Champions League livescore portal, will have the updates for this match.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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