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Italy - Serie A

Salernitana
21 Jan 2024 12:00
Genoa

Prediction :

 

Draw

 
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Salernitana vs Genoa Prediction & Betting Tips - Serie A

 by Ian John in Serie A Predictions

Bottom of the table Salernitana faces Genoa on Sunday with both teams desperate to land points. The home side have won just two games all season in Serie A, a 2-1 win at home to Lazio in November and a 1-0 win away at Verona in December. Since then, Pippo Inzaghi has seen his side beaten twice by Juventus and then defeated last weekend away at Napoli. Salernitana are currently seven points from safety in the table, so they have to start picking up wins sooner rather than later if they are to avoid becoming a permanent fixture at the foot of the Serie A table. Conceding goals is their main issue, with an average of two goals a game being scored against them (40 goals conceded in 20 Serie A games thus far).

In contrast, Genoa lie 12th in the Serie A table and are unbeaten in their last five games, albeit drawing four of those matches. Their one win in that run did come on the road - a 2-1 win at Sassuolo just before Christmas. Defensively, Alberto Gilardino's team are solid, conceding just 24 goals in Serie A this season, but they also average just one a game at the other end of the field. As a result, recent games involving Genoa have not seen many goals scored - just one of their last seven games has seen over 2.5 goals. It is also worth noting that Genoa's away form in Serie A isn't great, losing six of their ten games and scoring just eight goals on the road. There is no doubt that manager Gilardino and the Genoa fans will have targeted getting something from this away game given Salernitana's struggles and the fact that they earned a 1-0 win at home when the teams met earlier in the season.

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The Best Betting Odds for Salernitana v Genoa Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
3.2 3.1 2.45
NetBet
3.15 2.92 2.35
1xbet
3.24 3.14 2.48
22bet
3.24 3.14 2.48
Betwinner
3.28 3.12 2.34
LSbet
3.28 3.12 2.34
Stake
3.3 3.1 2.46
Melbet
3.18 3.07 2.42
Tonybet
3.25 3.05 2.48
Vbet
3.35 3.03 2.52
Betway
3.2 2.9 2.4
Unibet
3.3 3 2.35
Betsson
3.2 2.98 2.48
William Hill
3.1 3.1 2.4
Check all Salernitana vs Genoa odds
Up to $150 to bet on Salernitana - Genoa! 

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What is the prediction for the football match between Salernitana and Genoa?

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 21/01/2024 between Salernitana and Genoa in Serie A :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 39.5% for a win of Salernitana against Genoa with odds of 3.35 at Vbet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Salernitana vs Genoa is 23.73% with odds of 3.14 at 1xbet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 36.77% chance ⭐ for a win of Genoa vs Salernitana with odds of 2.52 at Vbet.

Salernitana - Genoa Prediction and Best Odds:

Salernitana Genoa Prediction Probability Odds
Salernitana wins 39.5% 3.35 at Vbet
Under 2.5 53.83% 1.58 at 1xbet
Both Team To Score 61.46%
Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Salernitana 16.78% 7 at Unibet

Salernitana vs Genoa Form

Salernitana and Genoa's standings in the Serie A

Teams Pts P W D L GD
11
Genoa
Genoa
49 38 12 13 13 0
20
Salernitana
Salernitana
17 38 2 11 25 -49

Salernitana and Genoa Last Matches

Salernitana
Salernitana Last matches
L D W L L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
2.67 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

13 Jan 2024 - Serie A

Napoli
2 :  1
Salernitana

7 Jan 2024 - Serie A

Salernitana
1 :  2
Juventus

4 Jan 2024 - Coppa Italia

Juventus
6 :  1
Salernitana

30 Dec 2023 - Serie A

Hellas Verona
0 :  1
Salernitana

22 Dec 2023 - Serie A

Salernitana
2 :  2
AC Milan

18 Dec 2023 - Serie A

Atalanta
4 :  1
Salernitana
W L W L D L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

7 Jan 2024 - Serie A

Salernitana
1 :  2
Juventus

22 Dec 2023 - Serie A

Salernitana
2 :  2
AC Milan

10 Dec 2023 - Serie A

Salernitana
1 :  2
Bologna

25 Nov 2023 - Serie A

Salernitana
2 :  1
Lazio

4 Nov 2023 - Serie A

Salernitana
0 :  2
Napoli

31 Oct 2023 - Coppa Italia

Salernitana
4 :  0
Sampdoria
D L L W L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
1 Goals scored
2.83 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

13 Jan 2024 - Serie A

Napoli
2 :  1
Salernitana

4 Jan 2024 - Coppa Italia

Juventus
6 :  1
Salernitana

30 Dec 2023 - Serie A

Hellas Verona
0 :  1
Salernitana

18 Dec 2023 - Serie A

Atalanta
4 :  1
Salernitana

3 Dec 2023 - Serie A

Fiorentina
3 :  0
Salernitana

10 Nov 2023 - Serie A

Sassuolo
2 :  2
Salernitana
Genoa
Genoa Last matches
L D W D D D
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.67 Total goals
67% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

13 Jan 2024 - Serie A

Genoa
0 :  0
Torino FC

5 Jan 2024 - Serie A

Bologna
1 :  1
Genoa

29 Dec 2023 - Serie A

Genoa
1 :  1
Inter Milan

22 Dec 2023 - Serie A

Sassuolo
1 :  2
Genoa

15 Dec 2023 - Serie A

Genoa
1 :  1
Juventus

10 Dec 2023 - Serie A

Monza
1 :  0
Genoa
W W D D D D
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.67 Total goals
67% BTTS
1 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

13 Jan 2024 - Serie A

Genoa
0 :  0
Torino FC

29 Dec 2023 - Serie A

Genoa
1 :  1
Inter Milan

15 Dec 2023 - Serie A

Genoa
1 :  1
Juventus

2 Dec 2023 - Serie A

Genoa
1 :  1
Empoli

10 Nov 2023 - Serie A

Genoa
1 :  0
Hellas Verona

1 Nov 2023 - Coppa Italia

Genoa
2 :  1
Reggiana
L L L L W D
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
67% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

5 Jan 2024 - Serie A

Bologna
1 :  1
Genoa

22 Dec 2023 - Serie A

Sassuolo
1 :  2
Genoa

10 Dec 2023 - Serie A

Monza
1 :  0
Genoa

5 Dec 2023 - Coppa Italia

Lazio
1 :  0
Genoa

26 Nov 2023 - Serie A

Frosinone
2 :  1
Genoa

5 Nov 2023 - Serie A

Cagliari
2 :  1
Genoa

Salernitana vs Genoa Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Salernitana

25 %

Draw

25 %

Genoa

50 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

1.25
Total goals
25%
BTTS
0.5
Goals scored (Team 1)
0.75
Goals scored (Team 2)
0%
Over 2.5
100%
Under 2.5

27 Oct 2023 - Serie A

Genoa
1 :  0
Salernitana

13 Feb 2022 - Serie A

Genoa
1 :  1
Salernitana

14 Dec 2021 - Coppa Italia

Genoa
1 :  0
Salernitana

2 Oct 2021 - Serie A

Salernitana
1 :  0
Genoa
Improve your sports betting with our football team comparison tool (100+ statistics)

Salernitana against Genoa Lineups: Starting 11

Salernitana

Formation : 4 - 3 - 2 - 1

13
G. Ochoa
27
N. Pierozzi
23
N. Gyomber
6
M. Lovato
3
D. Bradaric
7
A. Martegani
25
G. Maggiore
26
T. Basic
87
A. Candreva
33
L. Tchaouna
9
Simy
11
A. Gudmundsson
19
M. Retegui
32
M. Frendrup
8
K. Strootman
47
M. Badelj
17
R. Malinovskyi
90
D. Spence
22
J. Vasquez
13
M. Bani
14
A. Vogliacco
1
J. Martinez

Formation : 3 - 5 - 2

Genoa

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Salernitana
CD Huachipato Genoa
Top Goalscorer
Italy A. Candreva (6 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Iceland A. Gudmundsson (14 Goals)
Best assists
Italy A. Candreva (7 Assists)
Best assists
Iceland A. Gudmundsson (5 Assists)

Salernitana - Genoa Key Points

  1. Salernitana have not managed to keep a single clean sheet at home this season in Serie A.
  2. Genoa have managed to score just 8 goals in their 10 away games so far this season, picking up 8 points out of a possible 30 on the road.
  3. Both teams have scored in 70% of Salernitana's home games this season in Serie A and in 50% of Genoa's away games.
  4. Salernitana average just one goal a game at home in Serie A this season, their opponents average two goals a game against them at home.
  5. Genoa have kept a clean sheet in just 10% and failed to score in 40% of their away games in Serie A this season.
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Our Salernitana vs Genoa Prediction

Genoa's improved form of late sees them as the bookmakers favourite to win this game, but I am not so sure that will be the case. Salernitana tend to score at home but they also tend to concede twice as many. However, Genoa do not score many goals, especially on the road, and their improved form of late is built upon a five-game streak without defeat at home. While I can understand why the bookies favour Genoa, our prediction for Salernitana v Genoa is for this game to finish as a draw, especially given Genoa's narrow 1-0 win when the two teams met in Genoa a few weeks back.

Prediction :

 

Draw

 
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Salernitana vs Genoa Prediction
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