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by Steve Ashfield in World Cup Predictions
Rwanda has a good chance of qualifying for their first ever World Cup finals. They are top of CAF Group C after the first four group games and host fifth-placed Nigeria who are four points behind them. Can the Wasps get a vital home win? Here's our match prediction.
There are still six qualifying group games to play between now and October. Rwanda are ahead of South Africa and Benin with all three countries on seven points.The group winners automatically qualify for the finals, the second-placed side may qualify for the next round.
Nigeria last qualified for the World Cup finals in 2018. The Super Eagles aren't quite living up to their name in this group. They have only lost one of their four group fixtures but are yet to win a match. That has left them four points behind second place and desperately need something from this game.
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The Best Betting Odds for Rwanda v Nigeria Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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5.25 | 2.88 | 1.9 |
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4.6 | 2.75 | 1.9 |
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4.6 | 2.1 | 2.3 |
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5.2 | 2.94 | 1.93 |
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5.2 | 2.94 | 1.93 |
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What is the prediction for the football match between Rwanda and Nigeria?
Our prediction for the Rwanda vs Nigeria match is: Rwanda to win or draw.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 21/03/2025 between Rwanda and Nigeria in World Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 26.78% for a win of Rwanda against Nigeria with odds of 5.7 at Vbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Rwanda vs Nigeria is 33.36% with odds of 2.96 at Betwinner.
- Our prediction model gives a 39.86% chance ⭐ for a win of Nigeria vs Rwanda with odds of 2.3 at Ladbrokes.
Rwanda vs Nigeria Form
Rwanda and Nigeria's standings in the World Cup
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
|
5
|
3 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | -1 |
Rwanda and Nigeria Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Nov 2024 - AFCON
14 Nov 2024 - AFCON
15 Oct 2024 - AFCON
11 Oct 2024 - AFCON
10 Sep 2024 - AFCON
4 Sep 2024 - AFCON
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Nov 2024 - AFCON
15 Oct 2024 - AFCON
10 Sep 2024 - AFCON
21 Nov 2023 - World Cup
15 Nov 2023 - World Cup
18 Jun 2023 - AFCON
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Nov 2024 - AFCON
11 Oct 2024 - AFCON
4 Sep 2024 - AFCON
11 Jun 2024 - World Cup
6 Jun 2024 - World Cup
25 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Nov 2024 - AFCON
14 Nov 2024 - AFCON
15 Oct 2024 - AFCON
11 Oct 2024 - AFCON
10 Sep 2024 - AFCON
7 Sep 2024 - AFCON
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Nov 2024 - AFCON
11 Oct 2024 - AFCON
7 Sep 2024 - AFCON
7 Jun 2024 - World Cup
26 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
22 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Nov 2024 - AFCON
15 Oct 2024 - AFCON
10 Sep 2024 - AFCON
10 Jun 2024 - World Cup
22 Jan 2024 - AFCON
18 Jan 2024 - AFCON
Rwanda vs Nigeria Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
50 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
18 Nov 2024 - AFCON
10 Sep 2024 - AFCON
Rwanda - Nigeria: Form Analysis
After four matches in this World Cup qualifying group, Rwanda have seven points. They have had a home win over South Africa and won away in Lesotho. The other two matches saw them held to a home goalless draw by Zimbabwe and a 1-0 loss in Benin.
Just four goals have been scored in as many qualifying matches in this group. They have failed to qualify for the African Cup of Nations finals but did play Nigeria twice in the qualifying rounds, drawing at home and winning away last November.
Tough qualifying task for Nigeria.
Nigeria has a lot of work to do to finish in the top two. Just three points have been earned from their four matches with three of them being drawn. They are yet to win a match in this group with three of the four games drawn.
The Super Eagles have gone three away World Cup qualifiers without a win. Six qualifiers have been played since their last win but five of those matches have ended level.
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Rwanda & Nigeria Squad Analysis
Rwanda are top of the group but the top three are all on the same number of points. They will be without Fitina Omborenga and Yunusu Nshimiyimana who have both suffered family bereavements recently.
Although they top the group, Rwanda are not prolific goalscorers. They will need to take the chances that are created against Nigeria if they want to remain group leaders. At the other end of the pitch though, they have conceded just one goal in their four qualifiers.
Osimhen returns for Nigeria.
Nigeria need to start turning draws into wins if they are to make it out of this group. It is tight at the top between the top three with Nigeria four points behind them. A key player for them will be Victor Osimhen who was absent for their last two World Cup matches.
Also due to play is the Nantes winger Moses Simon and a three-pronged attack is likely with Ademola Lookman also looking for some vital goals. How Rwanda cope with this will be a key feature of this World Cup qualifier.
Rwanda - Nigeria Key Points
- Nigeria have drawn five of their last six World Cup qualifiers.
- Rwanda earned four points against Nigeria in their African Cup of Nations qualifying group.
- Rwanda are yet to concede a home goal in this group.
- Rwanda are unbeaten in their last three matches against Nigeria.
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Our Rwanda vs Nigeria Prediction
Rwanda are 80 places behind Nigeria in the FIFA World rankings but have made a good start to this qualifying group. They are the group leaders but have the same number of points as second-placed South Africa and Benin who are third.
They are a tough team to score against and have a good recent record against Nigeria with a win and a draw. Their opponents aren't easy to beat but draw far too many games. Our main Rwanda v Nigeria prediction is Rwanda to win or draw.
Rwanda vs Nigeria - Other Interesting Predictions
Rwanda to keep a clean sheet
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Rwanda vs Nigeria match : Frequently asked questions
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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