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Rwanda vs Nigeria Prediction & Betting Tips - AFCON
by Nella Wagah in AFCON Predictions
African giants Nigeria will embark on their trip to East Africa where they are scheduled to face Rwanda on Tuesday 10th September. The Super Eagles and Amavubi meet in Group D of the 2025 African Cup of Nations (AFCON) qualifiers, a pool that also has Libya and Benin. We have the preview and prediction for this match below.
As Rwanda battled to a draw away in Libya in the first round of matches, Nigeria, playing at home, beat Benin. While Nigeria arrive for this match as the more fancied to triumph, Rwanda will be looking at their recent run with much positivity.
A shock result is never too far as Rwanda eyes a first ever win against their more accomplished opponents. Across all competitions, the hosts have just one goal against Nigeria and are still in search of their first ever win in this fixture. Nigeria, fielding top stars in world football, will definitely be the bookies’ favorites.
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The Best Betting Odds for Rwanda v Nigeria Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.8 | 3.25 | 1.67 |
|
|
5.18 | 3.4 | 1.73 |
|
|
5.18 | 3.4 | 1.73 |
|
|
5.75 | 3.1 | 1.71 |
|
|
5.23 | 3.42 | 1.72 |
|
|
5.23 | 3.42 | 1.72 |
|
|
5.4 | 3.2 | 1.73 |
|
|
5.18 | 3.4 | 1.73 |
|
|
5.2 | 3.4 | 1.69 |
|
|
6.4 | 3.04 | 1.77 |
|
|
5 | 3.1 | 1.73 |
|
|
6.4 | 3 | 1.65 |
|
|
5.5 | 3 | 1.65 |
|
|
5.5 | 3.2 | 1.75 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Rwanda and Nigeria?
Our prediction for the Rwanda vs Nigeria match is: Nigeria to win.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 10/09/2024 between Rwanda and Nigeria in AFCON :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 23.82% for a win of Rwanda against Nigeria with odds of 6.4 at Vbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Rwanda vs Nigeria is 21.12% with odds of 3.42 at Betwinner.
- Our prediction model gives a 55.06% chance ⭐ for a win of Nigeria vs Rwanda with odds of 1.77 at Vbet.
Rwanda - Nigeria Prediction and Best Odds:
| Rwanda Nigeria Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Nigeria wins | 55.06% | 1.77 at Vbet |
| Under 2.5 | 67.55% | 1.88 at Tonybet |
| Both Team To Score | 26.19% | 2.5 at Betsson |
| Half-time / Full-time: Nigeria/Nigeria | 19.96% | 2.85 at Betsson |
Rwanda vs Nigeria Form
Rwanda and Nigeria's standings in the AFCON
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6 |
|
3
|
8 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -2 |
Rwanda and Nigeria Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Sep 2024 - AFCON
11 Jun 2024 - World Cup
6 Jun 2024 - World Cup
25 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
22 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
21 Nov 2023 - World Cup
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Nov 2023 - World Cup
15 Nov 2023 - World Cup
18 Jun 2023 - AFCON
29 Mar 2023 - AFCON
7 Jun 2022 - AFCON
11 Nov 2021 - World Cup
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Sep 2024 - AFCON
11 Jun 2024 - World Cup
6 Jun 2024 - World Cup
25 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
22 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
9 Sep 2023 - AFCON
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Sep 2024 - AFCON
10 Jun 2024 - World Cup
7 Jun 2024 - World Cup
26 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
22 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
11 Feb 2024 - AFCON
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Sep 2024 - AFCON
7 Jun 2024 - World Cup
26 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
22 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
11 Feb 2024 - AFCON
7 Feb 2024 - AFCON
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Jun 2024 - World Cup
22 Jan 2024 - AFCON
18 Jan 2024 - AFCON
8 Jan 2024 - International Friendlies
19 Nov 2023 - World Cup
18 Jun 2023 - AFCON
Rwanda - Nigeria: Form Analysis
Rwanda opened their qualification campaign on a positive footing, drawing 1-1 with Libya in Tripoli. Trailing 1-0 at half time, Innocent Nshutiyamagara pulled them back level just after the break. Taking that result to their first home match should breed confidence against Nigeria.
The East African nation has only suffered one defeat in the last eight matches, a 2-0 setback against Benin. Among the teams they met in that period were Senegal and South Africa.
For the home fans, there’ll be reason to be optimistic, Rwanda having kept clean sheets in five of their last seven matches. At home, they didn’t concede in three of their last five matches.
However, they also failed to score in four home matches before finally breaking that streak with a 2-0 win against South Africa.
Rwanda's scoring form at home could hinder their progress against Nigeria.
Nigeria are coming from a comprehensive win over Benin in Uyo to extend their good performance in AFCON qualification matches. This was not only the perfect revenge for Nigeria, who lost to Benin in the World Cup qualifiers, but handed them a fourth straight win in AFCON qualification.
Even as they negotiate their way through the volatile coaching situation, Nigeria will still be favorites here. They’ll be targeting a 10th game undefeated away from home in AFCON qualifying matches.
This international week should offer some comfort for Nigeria, who haven't had the best of runs. The win against Benin was their first in four matches. The Super Eagles will bank on not only their superior group of players but also a good head-to-head record against Amavubi.
In the five meetings between the two nations, Nigeria are unbeaten, with two wins.
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Rwanda & Nigeria Squad Analysis
After his goal in the Libya game, Innocent Nshutiyamagara should keep his starting berth for this game. Jojea Kwizera might be a doubt for the game after his first half withdrawal in Tripoli.
This could force Torsten Spittler to a formation change though that may only affect the defence. Christian Imanishimwe is likely to be drafted in to provide cover in response to the kind of attack Rwanda will be facing.
There's a coaching uncertainty at Nigeria but that shouldn't affect thye fielding.
Nigeria will most likely have one key change for this game. Victor Osimhen’s first match this season came with a goal after rising from the bench. He may have done enough to warrant a starting place in this match.
His inclusion will mean Victor Boniface drops out. Ademola Lookman, the only African player among the Ballon d’Or nominees, will team with Osimhen in attack.
Augustine Eguavoen will continue in the manager’s position after the Nigerian federation withdrew the announcement of Bruno Labbadia.
Most goals and assists
Rwanda
Nigeria
W. Troost-Ekong
(3 Goals)
,
A. Lookman
(3 Goals)
A. Lookman
(1 Assists)
,
V. Osimhen
(1 Assists)
,
C. Bassey
(1 Assists)
,
M. Simon
(1 Assists)
Rwanda - Nigeria Key Points
- Rwanda lost two of their last four home matches.
- Rwanda failed to score in four of their last five home matches.
- Rwanda have one win in their last 21 AFCON qualifying matches.
- Nigeria won each of their last four AFCON qualification matches.
- Rwanda have never beaten Nigeria, losing two of their five meetings.
- Away from home in AFCON qualification, Nigeria are unbeaten in nine matches.
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Our Rwanda vs Nigeria Prediction
Nigeria have dominated their previous matches against Rwanda, or at least avoided defeat. There are all the signs this game will also follow that script after their impressive showing against Benin.
The Super Eagles have posted straight wins in their last four AFCON qualification matches, and it is even better for them away from home. With a squad made up of more established players, the visitors will definitely have odds stacked in their favor.
With one win in their last 21 AFCON qualifying matches, Rwanda’s chances here are really slim. Our prediction for Rwanda v Nigeria is for Nigeria to win.
Rwanda vs Nigeria - Other Interesting Predictions
Both teams to score - No
In their last three home matches in AFCON qualification, Rwanda failed to score. It has also been a trend in their recent home matches and we can predict the same here. This has been seen in nine of their last 14 matches in this competition.
Meanwhile, in Nigeria’s last 10 matches in the qualifiers, they kept seven clean sheets. Our second prediction for this game is for at least one side to fail to score.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Rwanda Nigeria
| Rwanda vs Nigeria | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rwanda wins | 4.8 | 4.8 | 0% |
| Draw | 3.25 | 3.25 | 0% |
| Nigeria wins | 1.67 | 1.67 | 0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Nigeria is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have not changed since opening
- The probability of this result was 59.9% and is now 59.9% (0.0%)
Rwanda vs Nigeria match : Frequently asked questions
The Nigeria v Rwanda AFCON qualification match will be played on Tuesday 10th September starting 1pm GMT.
The Nigeria v Rwanda AFCON qualification match will be staged at the Amahoro Stadium in Kigali.
Victor Osimhen is likely to start against Rwanda after scoring in the win over Benin.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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