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by Devesh Jaganath in World Cup Predictions
The sixth round of matches in the CAF World Cup qualifiers will see Rwanda play host to Lesotho at Stade Amahoro in Kigali on Tuesday evening. Amavubi are third in the Group C standings, while Likuena are fifth after five games. Let’s get into the match prediction.
Rwanda will be hoping to bounce back to winning ways in their World Cup qualifying campaign this week after suffering a 2-0 defeat to Nigeria at this same venue on Friday night.
That loss was Amavubi’s second in the competition (W2 D1 L2) and also forced them to relinquish the top spot in the group. They now sit three points behind South Africa and two off Benin.
However, the hosts will be confident in their chances here, having only lost two of their last nine matches on home soil, while maintaining clean sheets in five during that period.
Meanwhile, Lesotho enter this match off the back of a 2-0 defeat to South Africa, which saw them drop to second bottom in the table, overtaken into fourth place by the Super Eagles.
Likuena have still only won one match in this competition to date - beating Zimbabwe 2-0 on matchday three. They lost to their upcoming opponent 1-0 in the reverse fixture last June.
The visitors have a mixed away record in recent times. In their last 10 away matches across all competition, they have a record of W4 D1 L5, but they have lost two of their last three on the road.
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The Best Betting Odds for Rwanda v Lesotho Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.48 | 3.4 | 10 |
|
|
1.44 | 3.4 | 9.5 |
|
|
1.48 | 3.4 | 7.5 |
|
|
1.47 | 3.76 | 9.4 |
|
|
1.47 | 3.76 | 9.4 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Rwanda and Lesotho?
Our prediction for the Rwanda vs Lesotho match is: Rwanda wins the match.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 25/03/2025 between Rwanda and Lesotho in World Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 57.7% for a win of Rwanda against Lesotho with odds of 1.57 at Melbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Rwanda vs Lesotho is 21.97% with odds of 3.76 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 20.33% chance ⭐ for a win of Lesotho vs Rwanda with odds of 10 at Bet365.
Rwanda - Lesotho Prediction and Best Odds:
| Rwanda Lesotho Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Rwanda wins | 57.7% | 1.57 at Melbet |
| Under 2.5 | 69.36% | 1.67 at Vbet |
| Both Team To Score | 22.92% | 3.4 at Bet365 |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Rwanda | 24.9% | 3.8 at Unibet |
Rwanda vs Lesotho Form
Rwanda and Lesotho's standings in the World Cup
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
7 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
|
5
|
5 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -1 |
Rwanda and Lesotho Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Mar 2025 - World Cup
18 Nov 2024 - AFCON
14 Nov 2024 - AFCON
15 Oct 2024 - AFCON
11 Oct 2024 - AFCON
10 Sep 2024 - AFCON
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Mar 2025 - World Cup
14 Nov 2024 - AFCON
15 Oct 2024 - AFCON
10 Sep 2024 - AFCON
21 Nov 2023 - World Cup
15 Nov 2023 - World Cup
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Nov 2024 - AFCON
11 Oct 2024 - AFCON
4 Sep 2024 - AFCON
11 Jun 2024 - World Cup
6 Jun 2024 - World Cup
25 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Mar 2025 - World Cup
18 Nov 2024 - AFCON
14 Nov 2024 - AFCON
15 Oct 2024 - AFCON
11 Oct 2024 - AFCON
9 Sep 2024 - AFCON
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Nov 2024 - AFCON
15 Oct 2024 - AFCON
9 Sep 2024 - AFCON
3 Jul 2024 - COSAFA Cup
28 Jun 2024 - COSAFA Cup
11 Jun 2024 - World Cup
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Mar 2025 - World Cup
18 Nov 2024 - AFCON
11 Oct 2024 - AFCON
5 Sep 2024 - AFCON
1 Jul 2024 - COSAFA Cup
7 Jun 2024 - World Cup
Rwanda vs Lesotho Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
11 Jun 2024 - World Cup
Rwanda - Lesotho Key Points
- Rwanda beat this opponent 1-0 in the reverse fixture.
- Rwanda have won five of their last eight home games.
- Rwanda have kept clean sheets in five of their last nine home matches.
- Lesotho have lost three of their last four matches across all competitions.
- Lesotho have failed to score in three of their last four World Cup qualifiers.
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Our Rwanda vs Lesotho Prediction
After making a solid start to their World Cup qualification campaign with four points from their first three games, things have taken a turn for Lesotho, as they enter this match following back-to-back defeats and failed to score in either match.
Rwanda will know that this is a match they have to win to maintain pressure on the group leaders, and given their recent home form, we feel they will be able to get the job done. Our Rwanda vs Lesotho prediction is Rwanda wins the match.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Rwanda Lesotho
| Rwanda vs Lesotho | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rwanda wins | 1.5 | 1.48 | -1.3% |
| Draw | 3.25 | 3.4 | +4.6% |
| Lesotho wins | 8.5 | 10 | +17.6% |
At 3 hours before kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Rwanda is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 1.3% since opening
- The probability of this result was 66.7% and is now 67.6% (0.9%)
Get up to £30 to bet on the Rwanda vs. Lesotho game
You can get yourself up to €150 in matched bets for the battle between Rwanda and Lesotho when you join Betway. To get the free bet, your first accumulator bet needs to be a losing one. If your first bet wins, then you won't get the free bet, but you'll have your winnings for further fun on World Cup!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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