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Romania vs Ukraine Prediction & Betting Tips - Euro
by Ian John | in Euro Predictions
Group E gets underway on Monday afternoon and early evening, with all four teams playing two consecutive games. First up, at the Allianz Arena, Ukraine will face Romania in the opening game.
Ukraine came through as one of the trio of teams to earn a Euro 2024 finals spot via the Nations League playoffs. Sergei Rebrov’s team narrowly missed out on finishing second in their qualifying group, pipped on the head-to-head record by Italy.
They will face off against a Romania side that surprised many by winning Group I ahead of Switzerland, beating the Swiss to the top spot by five points. With Belgium likely to be the favourites in this group, the games between the other three teams will be crucial in deciding who makes the Round of 16.
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The Best Betting Odds for Romania v Ukraine Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1 | 41 | 151 |
|
|
3 | 3.2 | 2.15 |
|
|
4.2 | 2.3 | 2.2 |
|
|
3.3 | 3.2 | 2.05 |
|
|
1 | 51 | 201 |
|
|
1 | 51 | 201 |
|
|
4.98 | 3.48 | 1.77 |
|
|
4.98 | 3.48 | 1.77 |
|
|
3.35 | 3.45 | 2.23 |
|
|
4.04 | 3.46 | 1.93 |
|
|
4 | 3.55 | 1.96 |
|
|
1 | 26 | 126 |
|
|
2.14 | 3.3 | 3.5 |
|
|
2.2 | 3.1 | 3.4 |
|
|
4.5 | 3.5 | 1.88 |
|
|
1 | 61 | 101 |
|
|
4.5 | 3.5 | 1.93 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Romania and Ukraine?
Our prediction for the Romania vs Ukraine match is: Our prediction for the Group E clash between Romania and Ukraine in Euro 2024 is for the game to finish as a draw.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 17/06/2024 between Romania and Ukraine in Euro :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 29.3% for a win of Romania against Ukraine with odds of 4.98 at Betwinner.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Romania vs Ukraine is 34.22% with odds of 61 at William Hill.
- Our prediction model gives a 36.48% chance ⭐ for a win of Ukraine vs Romania with odds of 201 at 1xbet.
Romania - Ukraine Prediction and Best Odds:
| Romania Ukraine Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Ukraine wins | 36.48% | 201 at 1xbet |
| Under 2.5 | 50.9% | 3 at Betway |
| Both Team To Score | 50% | 2 at Vbet |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Ukraine | 17.71% | 9 at Unibet |
Romania vs Ukraine Form
Romania and Ukraine's standings in the Euro
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
|
4
|
4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -2 |
Romania and Ukraine Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
4 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
26 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
22 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
21 Nov 2023 - Euro
18 Nov 2023 - Euro
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
4 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
26 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
22 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
21 Nov 2023 - Euro
15 Oct 2023 - Euro
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Nov 2023 - Euro
12 Oct 2023 - Euro
19 Jun 2023 - Euro
16 Jun 2023 - Euro
25 Mar 2023 - Euro
23 Sep 2022 - UEFA Nations League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
7 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
3 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
26 Mar 2024 - Euro
21 Mar 2024 - Euro
20 Nov 2023 - Euro
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Mar 2024 - Euro
20 Nov 2023 - Euro
14 Oct 2023 - Euro
9 Sep 2023 - Euro
19 Jun 2023 - Euro
27 Sep 2022 - UEFA Nations League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
7 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
3 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
21 Mar 2024 - Euro
17 Oct 2023 - Euro
12 Sep 2023 - Euro
Romania - Ukraine: Form Analysis
Ukraine comes into this game in excellent form, having only been beaten twice since the start of 2023. In that period, despite defeats to Italy and Poland, they have won eight other matches, drawing four, holding England, Germany (twice) and Italy in those matches.
After coming through the Euro 2024 Playoffs beating Bosnia & Herzegovina and Iceland by 2-1 scorelines to claim a spot in the finals, they drew with Germany early in June before losing away to Poland but in their last warm up game defeated Moldova 4-0 in Chisinau.
Having reached the quarterfinals of Euro 2020, where they were beaten comfortably by England, Ukraine will want to qualify from the group stage and manager Sergei Rebrov will no doubt be targeting his team picking up something from this game.
Romania manager Edward Iordanescu has overseen a remarkable turnaround in fortunes for this Eastern European sleeping giant. After several lacklustre qualifying campaigns, improved form saw Romania surprise many by winning Group I ahead of the much-fancied Swiss. Going unbeaten in ten games, winning six and drawing four.
However, since a 1-0 win over Switzerland in their final Euro 2024 qualifying game, they have drawn three of the last four. All those draws have come at home against modest opposition in Northern Ireland (1-1), Bulgaria (0-0) and most recently Liechtenstein(also 0-0), and they went down to a 3-2 defeat when facing Colombia in Madrid in March.
With no goals in their last two games, manager Iordanescu will be hoping his team’s top striking talent can find their shooting boots ahead of this crucial opener with Ukraine.
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Romania against Ukraine Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 1 - 4 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Romania & Ukraine Squad Analysis
Sergei Rebrov received some unwelcome news this week when Everton’s first-choice left-back Vitaliy Mykolenko picked up an injury that threatens to keep him out of their opening fixture against Romania. If Mykolenko cannot start, then Bournemouth’s Illya Zabarnyi is almost certain to replace him in the left-back slot.
Many fans will be keen to see the highly-rated Heorhiy Sudakov in action in this tournament. He will be surrounded by plenty of experience in midfield, including Arsenal’s Oleksandr Zinchenko and former West Ham striker Andriy Yarmolenko. Spanish-based duo Roman Yaremchuk and Artem Dovbyk are expected to lead the line for Ukraine.
Romania coach Edward Iordanescu has a choice to make in goal where veteran Florin Nita could be edged out of the team by Atletico Madrid ‘keeper Horatiu Moldovan. There’s also a battle for a spot in attack with Denis Dragus and George Puscas competing for the sole central striking spot in the team.
Romania's key men in the tournament and this game are likely to be Spurs centre-back Radu Dragusin and their veteran attacking midfielder or striker, Nicolae Stanciu.
Most goals and assists
Romania
Ukraine
R. Marin
(2 Goals)
R. Yaremchuk
(1 Goals)
,
M. Shaparenko
(1 Goals)
D. Man
(2 Assists)
O. Zinchenko
(1 Assists)
,
M. Shaparenko
(1 Assists)
Romania - Ukraine Key Points
- Romania come into this game on the back of three draws in their last four games and seven in their last 12 matches.
- Ukraine have drawn on their last three trips to Germany, two against the host nation and once against Italy in Leverkusen in their final UEFA Euro 2024 qualifier.
- Romania have lost just once in their last 12 games.
- Ukraine has suffered just two defeats in their most recent 14 games.
- Romania conceded just five goals in their 10 qualifiers for Euro 2024. Ukraine’s two last draws have been by a 0-0 scoreline and both have come in matches in Germany.
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Our Romania vs Ukraine Prediction
Our prediction for the Group E clash between Romania and Ukraine in Euro 2024 is for the game to finish as a draw.
Both teams strengths come from a very well-organised defensive setup. Ukraine have the better attacking players, but the Romanian defensive unit is the better organised of the two. Data suggests goals could be at a premium here and as such a 0-0 or 1-1 draw looks the most likely prediction.
Romania vs Ukraine - Other Interesting Predictions
Artem Dovbyk (Ukraine) to score at any time
Having enjoyed an excellent season at Spanish club Girona where his 24 league goals saw him win the Pichichi Trophy, Artem Dovbyk will spearhead the Ukraine attack at the Euros this summer.
The striker is not only in form at club level, he has 10 goals in 28 caps for Ukraine, many of which have come as a substitute. He also netted the winner when the Ukraine defeated Sweden in the Round of 16 in the Euro 2020 tournament.
While I don't see too many goals in this game, if Ukraine are to score one, Dovbyk is a great choice to do so. So our secondary pick is Dovbyk to score at any time.
Under 2.5 Goals to be Scored
Given the importance of this game for both teams in a group that also includes Belgium and Slovakia, I can see both teams approaching this fixture with a view more not to lose, than to win.
First Group Stage games can be cagey affairs and I see this game being like that between two sides pretty well-matched in terms of quality and results.
Both teams do score goals, but not in great quantities and as such, our other prediction for the Romania v Ukraine game is for under 2.5 goals to be scored.
Romania vs Ukraine match : Frequently asked questions
There have been a total of six previous matches between Romania and the Ukraine. Both teams have won three of those matches, with no matches between the two finishing as a draw.
Romania won the first three games between the two winning 1-0, 4-1 and then 2-0 in three games between Feb 2001 and Aug 2003.
However, the three most recent matches between the teams have seen Ukraine win three high scoring games, a 3-2 friendly win in 2010, a win on penalties after a 2-2 draw in the Cyprus international tournament in 2011 and then a 4-3 win in a friendly in the most recent game between the two in May 2016.
BBC One will be offering live coverage of the Euro 2024 Group E fixture between Romania and Ukraine (kick off, 2 pm UK Time on Monday 17th June 2024).
The provider will also be live-streaming the game on its website.
If you want up to the second data on the match, perhaps for In-Play betting purposes, then check out Sportytrader’s Euro 2024 Livescore page, which has all the statistics updated in real-time as well as customisable text commentary on the match.
Romania will take on Ukraine in Group E of Euro 2024 at the Allianz Arena in Munich, Bavaria. Home of German giants Bayern Munich.
The game will kick off at 2pm UK Time on Monday 17th June and is the opening game in Group E for both teams.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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