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Romania vs Netherlands Prediction & Betting Tips - Euro
by Sridhar in Euro Predictions
In their first European knockout match since 2000, Romania will come up against the Netherlands, who were knocked out at this stage in 2020.
This Euro 2024 round of 16 game will be played at the Allianz Arena in Munich on Tuesday, with the winner going on to play the winner of Austria vs Turkey in the quarterfinals.
Romania topped an extremely competitive Group E, ahead of Belgium and Slovakia, where all four teams finished with four points. The Netherlands also finished with four points in Group D, but were third behind Austria and France. They were the best third-placed team and qualified for the knockouts.
With both teams desperate to progress, let’s find out which side has the form in this Romania vs Netherlands fixture.
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The Best Betting Odds for Romania v Netherlands Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
501 | 51 | 1 |
|
|
6 | 2.75 | 1.73 |
|
|
477 | 51 | 1 |
|
|
477 | 51 | 1 |
|
|
8.25 | 4.6 | 1.4 |
|
|
8 | 4.42 | 1.42 |
|
|
8 | 4.42 | 1.42 |
|
|
100 | 11.25 | 1.04 |
|
|
8.4 | 4.36 | 1.42 |
|
|
8 | 4.6 | 1.43 |
|
|
301 | 29 | 1 |
|
|
81 | 11 | 1.05 |
|
|
9 | 4.7 | 1.41 |
|
|
8.5 | 4.4 | 1.44 |
|
|
8.1 | 4.55 | 1.43 |
|
|
8.5 | 4.2 | 1.42 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Romania and Netherlands?
Our prediction for the Romania vs Netherlands match is: Romania +2 handicap.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 02/07/2024 between Romania and Netherlands in Euro :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 28.66% for a win of Romania against Netherlands with odds of 501 at Bet365.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Romania vs Netherlands is 25.45% with odds of 51 at Bet365.
- Our prediction model gives a 45.88% chance ⭐ for a win of Netherlands vs Romania with odds of 1.73 at Ladbrokes.
Romania - Netherlands Prediction and Best Odds:
| Romania Netherlands Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Netherlands wins | 45.88% | 1.73 at Ladbrokes |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54.59% | 9.16 at 1xbet |
| Both Team To Score | 42.86% | 8 at Vbet |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Netherlands | 27.96% | 13 at Vbet |
Romania vs Netherlands Form
Romania and Netherlands Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Jun 2024 - Euro
22 Jun 2024 - Euro
17 Jun 2024 - Euro
7 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
4 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
26 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Jun 2024 - Euro
7 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
4 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
26 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
22 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
21 Nov 2023 - Euro
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Jun 2024 - Euro
22 Jun 2024 - Euro
18 Nov 2023 - Euro
12 Oct 2023 - Euro
19 Jun 2023 - Euro
16 Jun 2023 - Euro
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Jun 2024 - Euro
21 Jun 2024 - Euro
16 Jun 2024 - Euro
10 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
6 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
26 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Jun 2024 - Euro
21 Jun 2024 - Euro
10 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
6 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
22 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
18 Nov 2023 - Euro
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Jun 2024 - Euro
26 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
21 Nov 2023 - Euro
16 Oct 2023 - Euro
10 Sep 2023 - Euro
24 Mar 2023 - Euro
Romania - Netherlands: Form Analysis
Romania come into this match with a middling record, as they have four draws and a win, combined with two defeats from their last seven matches. In this tournament, they started with a scintillating 3-0 win over Ukraine, fashioned by goals from Nicolae Stanciu, Razvan Marin, and Denis Dragus.
The highs of that match were quickly evaporated in a 2-0 loss to Belgium, although the Romanians did well to keep the losing margin respectable after an early second-minute goal threatened to open the flood gates. A battling 1-1 draw against Slovakia rounded off their group games, where once again they had to come back from an early goal in the 24th minute as a 37th-minute penalty from Marin leveled the scores.
The Netherlands lost only twice in their last ten matches, winning seven and drawing one game in that sequence, arriving here in much better form. Yet, their form in the group stages is one of concern for coach Ronald Koeman. They started with a gritty 2-1 win over Poland, where they conceded a 16th-minute goal, but responded through Memphis Depay and were saved by a late Wout Weghorst goal.
The second game saw them play out an exciting 0-0 draw against France, with the scoreline barely suggesting how competitive the match was. In this context, their 3-2 defeat against Austria in the last group game was a disappointment, although the Austrians were the better team in that match.
Cody Gakpo and Depay scored for the Dutch, but both goals were in response to Austria going ahead. They couldn’t find a response to Austria’s third goal, eventually settling for a third spot in the group.
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Romania against Netherlands Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 1 - 4 - 1
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Missing players
N. Bancu
Romania & Netherlands Squad Analysis
Romania will be forced to shuffle their defensive formation, as left-back Nicusor Bancu has accumulated two yellow cards and will be suspended for this match. Vasile Mogos, who usually plays as a right-back, could be slotted into his place for this match. Razvan Marin is training fully and should be available to start from the outset.
The Netherlands have no issues within the squad, and the entire contingent is available for selection. There could be a few tactical changes, though, as Joey Veerman, who started the previous game against Austria, was substituted after just 35 minutes. Xavi Simons could get a starting role, while deep-lying midfielder Jerdy Schouten is one caution away from missing their next match.
Most goals and assists
Romania
Netherlands
R. Marin
(2 Goals)
C. Gakpo
(3 Goals)
D. Man
(2 Assists)
N. Ake
(2 Assists)
,
X. Simons
(2 Assists)
Romania - Netherlands Key Points
- Romania lost a match by a two-goal margin or more just once in their last 21 matches including friendlies
- Romania have have conceded more than one goal only once in their last five matches
- The Netherlands have won only once in this tournament, a 2-1 win over Poland on matchday one
- In nine of their last 11 matches in the Euro Championships, the Netherlands have failed to win by more than one goal margin
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Our Romania vs Netherlands Prediction
Romania were gritty in a tough group to qualify second, while the Netherlands were pushed out of the top two.
This sets the stage nicely for another tight encounter, especially since the Dutch have failed to win convincingly in this tournament. Romania have shown a recent tendency to hold their own, which means they could push the Netherlands all the way here.
Handicap result could be the way to go, and our prediction for Romania vs Netherlands is Romania +2 handicap. This means our bet is a winner as long as Romania don't lose by more than a one goal margin.
Romania vs Netherlands - Other Interesting Predictions
Over 2.5 Goals
Dutch coach Ronald Koeman was furious with his side after the 3-2 loss to Austria, and he had a point. His side has scored at least two goals in five of their last seven matches before that defeat, and in four of those, there were at least four goals from the Netherlands. They will be keen to hit those chords early, and that could mean a goal fest, and at least three goals could be seen here.
Memphis Depay anytime goal scorer
Memphis Depay scored in his last match and opened the scoring when these sides last met in a friendly in 2017. He could be gearing up for another impactful performance for the Netherlands here.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Romania Netherlands
| Romania vs Netherlands | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Romania wins | 8.5 | 501 | +5,794.1% |
| Draw | 4.5 | 51 | +1,033.3% |
| Netherlands wins | 1.4 | 1 | -28.6% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Netherlands is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 28.6% since opening
- The probability of this result was 71.4% and is now 100.0% (28.6%)
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Romania vs Netherlands match : Frequently asked questions
The Romania vs Netherlands Euros 2024 Group A match will be available live on BBC One in the UK. It can be live streamed from the BBC iPlayer as well.
Check out our Euro 2024 Livescore page!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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