Romania vs Lithuania Prediction & Betting Tips - UEFA Nations League
by Kennedy Kechula in UEFA Nations League Predictions
Romania’s quest to return to League B started well, with a comfortable 3-0 win away to Kosovo in League C. They are now shifting gears towards a home game against Lithuania in Group C2. Read on for our prediction of this match.
For the hosts Romania, this should be a routine win, having beaten Lithuania in each of the last four meetings. Three of those four matches against Lithuania yielded clean sheets, with the most recent being in 2018.
Romania’s result against Kosovo marked a return to winning ways after three winless outings at Euro 2024. It was also their fourth clean sheet in the last seven matches. Romania are enjoying a great run in recent years, having only lost three of their past 20 matches.
Those three defeats were against very strong sides – Colombia, Belgium and the Netherlands.
Lithuania started their third season in League C on a losing note, falling 1-0 to Cyprus at home. Things are about to get tougher as they continue with their Nations League campaign.
Now they face the group favorites in what would easily pass as their toughest game in 2024. Though the loss to Cyprus is their first in the last five matches, Lithuania haven't had as tough opponents as their next one.
A 2-0 away win at Bulgaria in October 2023 was a notable one and they’ll be gunning for the same here. Lithuania have only four wins in their last 24 matches and they failed to score in 13 of the 24 games. It was also the case in their 10 away matches in the Nations League, failing to score in five.
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The Best Betting Odds for Romania v Lithuania Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.27 | 5.5 | 11 |
|
|
1.28 | 5.25 | 11 |
|
|
1.3 | 5.73 | 13.3 |
|
|
1.3 | 5.73 | 13.3 |
|
|
1.26 | 5.75 | 12 |
|
|
1.23 | 5.95 | 13.5 |
|
|
1.24 | 5.4 | 12 |
|
|
1.26 | 5.55 | 12.5 |
|
|
1.26 | 5.4 | 12 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Romania and Lithuania?
Our prediction for the Romania vs Lithuania match is: Romania to win with a clean sheet.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 09/09/2024 between Romania and Lithuania in UEFA Nations League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 48.79% for a win of Romania against Lithuania with odds of 1.3 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Romania vs Lithuania is 21.62% with odds of 5.95 at Betwinner.
- Our prediction model gives a 29.59% chance ⭐ for a win of Lithuania vs Romania with odds of 13.5 at Betwinner.
Romania - Lithuania Prediction and Best Odds:
| Romania Lithuania Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Romania wins | 48.79% | 1.3 at 1xbet |
| Under 2.5 | 63.21% | 2.04 at Betwinner |
| Both Team To Score | 22.92% | 2.63 at Bet365 |
| Half-time / Full-time : Romania/Romania | 21.56% | 1.83 at Ladbrokes |
Romania vs Lithuania Form
Romania and Lithuania's standings in the UEFA Nations League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
|
4
|
0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 |
Romania and Lithuania Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
2 Jul 2024 - Euro
26 Jun 2024 - Euro
22 Jun 2024 - Euro
17 Jun 2024 - Euro
7 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
11 Jun 2024 - Baltic Cup
8 Jun 2024 - Baltic Cup
26 Mar 2024 - UEFA Nations League
21 Mar 2024 - UEFA Nations League
19 Nov 2023 - International Friendlies
Romania against Lithuania : Head to Head (H2H)
100 %
0 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
17 Nov 2018 - UEFA Nations League
11 Oct 2018 - UEFA Nations League
Romania against Lithuania Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 5 - 4 - 1
Romania - Lithuania Key Points
- Lithuania failed to score in 13 of their last 24 matches.
- In their last 24 outings, Lithuania managed just four wins.
- In eight home matches Romania are unbeaten, winning four.
- Romania have five clean sheets in 10 home Nations League games.
- In half of their last 10 Nations League matches, Lithuania didn’t score.
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Our Romania vs Lithuania Prediction
Romania had a few strong performances at the 2024 European Championship finals and seem to have carried the same to the Nations League. Following their comfortable away win in Kosovo, the hosts should leap further with three points here.
They haven't lost at home in eight matches and come into this game solid in defence. The team they face here failed to score in more than half of the last 24 matches. Lithuania are clear underdogs, having won just four of the last 24 matches. Our prediction for Romania v Lithuania is for Romania to win with a clean sheet.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Romania Lithuania
| Romania vs Lithuania | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Romania wins | 1.29 | 1.27 | -1.6% |
| Draw | 5 | 5.5 | +10.0% |
| Lithuania wins | 12 | 11 | -8.3% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Romania is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 1.6% since opening
- The probability of this result was 77.5% and is now 78.7% (1.2%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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