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Roma vs Porto Prediction & Betting Tips - Europa League
by Kennedy Kechula in Europa League Predictions
FC Porto and AS Roma will reconvene in Rome for the return leg of their Europa League knockout play-off in one of the matches lined up for Thursday. Going into this match, the tie is delicately balanced at 1-1 from the first leg played in Portugal. Before being drawn together for this stage, the two sides had never met in the Europa League. We have a prediction for this match.
The first leg meeting between these teams was eventful, Roma finishing with 10 men after Bryan Cristante was sent off with 18 minutes to go. Porto had to come from behind after Zeki Celik’s opener handed Roma the lead just before the break.
Francisco Moura scored the equalizer midway through the second half to settle the first leg. We may be treated to a Rome derby in the last 16, as the winner in this tie will proceed to take on either Athletic Bilbao or Lazio.
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The Best Betting Odds for Roma v Porto Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.73 | 3.6 | 5 |
|
|
1.8 | 3.6 | 4.6 |
|
|
2.05 | 2.45 | 4.33 |
|
|
1.8 | 3.89 | 4.94 |
|
|
1.8 | 3.89 | 4.94 |
|
|
1.78 | 3.6 | 4.6 |
|
|
1.73 | 3.74 | 4.8 |
|
|
1.73 | 3.74 | 4.8 |
|
|
1.8 | 3.7 | 4.7 |
|
|
1.73 | 3.74 | 4.8 |
|
|
1.79 | 3.7 | 4.7 |
|
|
1.79 | 3.73 | 4.8 |
|
|
1.78 | 3.5 | 4.5 |
|
|
1.76 | 3.55 | 4.9 |
|
|
1.73 | 3.5 | 5 |
|
|
1.78 | 3.75 | 4.75 |
|
|
1.75 | 3.5 | 4.8 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Roma and Porto?
Our prediction for the Roma vs Porto match is: Roma wins the match.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 20/02/2025 between Roma and Porto in Europa League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 56.2% for a win of Roma against Porto with odds of 2.05 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Roma vs Porto is 27.14% with odds of 3.89 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 16.67% chance ⭐ for a win of Porto vs Roma with odds of 5 at Bet365.
Roma vs Porto Form
Roma and Porto Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Feb 2025 - Serie A
13 Feb 2025 - Europa League
9 Feb 2025 - Serie A
5 Feb 2025 - Coppa Italia
2 Feb 2025 - Serie A
30 Jan 2025 - Europa League
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Feb 2025 - Serie A
30 Jan 2025 - Europa League
17 Jan 2025 - Serie A
5 Jan 2025 - Serie A
22 Dec 2024 - Serie A
18 Dec 2024 - Coppa Italia
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Feb 2025 - Serie A
13 Feb 2025 - Europa League
9 Feb 2025 - Serie A
5 Feb 2025 - Coppa Italia
26 Jan 2025 - Serie A
23 Jan 2025 - Europa League
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Feb 2025 - Liga Portugal
13 Feb 2025 - Europa League
7 Feb 2025 - Liga Portugal
3 Feb 2025 - Liga Portugal
30 Jan 2025 - Europa League
26 Jan 2025 - Liga Portugal
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Feb 2025 - Europa League
7 Feb 2025 - Liga Portugal
26 Jan 2025 - Liga Portugal
23 Jan 2025 - Europa League
28 Dec 2024 - Liga Portugal
16 Dec 2024 - Liga Portugal
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Feb 2025 - Liga Portugal
3 Feb 2025 - Liga Portugal
30 Jan 2025 - Europa League
19 Jan 2025 - Liga Portugal
7 Jan 2025 - Portugal League Cup
3 Jan 2025 - Liga Portugal
Roma vs Porto Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
25 %
50 %
25 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
13 Feb 2025 - Europa League
28 Jul 2021 - Clubs Friendlies
6 Mar 2019 - Champions League
12 Feb 2019 - Champions League
Roma - Porto: Form Analysis
Ordinarily, Roma would be beating themselves for failing to carry home a first leg advantage. However, in light of how the first leg panned out, as well as their away form, the Italians will be happy at the scoreline as is.
A red card to one of their key players just minutes after Porto’s equalizer meant Roma had to be on top of their game. They did just that, stemming waves of attack from the Portuguese side.
Now they have the chance to enhance their impressive home form that reads seven wins in the last eight matches. They are also unbeaten in their last three matches.
Porto have two wins only in 16 away Europa League matches.
Porto were presented with a golden chance to take to Rome a lead in this two-legged tie when Roma were reduced to 10 men. They didn’t make use of it and now they have a game to chase.
It hasn’t been a great period for Porto, coming here on just two wins in their last 10 matches. Their most recent outing ended in a 1-0 win against Farense in their domestic league.
They'll want to build on that here, but the Portuguese giants have suffered four defeats in 10 matches. Meanwhile, six of their last 12 matches on the road read losses, with Porto winning just three.
In the last seven away matches in Europa League, Porto won just once.
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Roma vs Porto last Lineups
Formation : 3 - 5 - 2
Formation : 3 - 4 - 3
Missing players
D. Rensch
Roma & Porto Squad Analysis
AS Roma are dealing with a horde of absentees but they wouldn’t want to focus more on unavailable players. They have a gem in Artem Dovbyk, their leading scorer this season.
The Ukrainian has a total 10 goals this season, with two of those being in the Europa League. Dovbyk’s two goals in Europe have all come at home and this will be another chance for him.
He was rested for the weekend win against Parma and will be very fresh coming here. Dovbyk will be a key figure in this game, seeking to add to his assist in the first leg while looking to end a six-game goal drought in the Europa League.
In this competition, the striker has attempted 12 shots and has an expected goal return of 2.41.
Roma will be without the suspended Bryan Cristante and Alexis Saelemaekers.
Porto will be banking a lot of their hopes on Spanish attacker Samuel Aghehowa. The forward was among the players rested over the weekend, playing just 28 minutes as Porto beat Farense.
He is expected to start and away fans will be looking forward to him ending his goal drought. He has 18 goals across all competitions in his first season with Porto, but has failed to score in the last eight matches.
Aghehowa has tried 16 shots, hitting nine on target in the nine Europa League matches he played. A burly forward, Aghehowa on his day is a nightmare to defenders and will definitely keep the Roma backline on constant alert.
Most goals and assists
Roma
Porto
A. Dovbyk
(10 Goals)
S. Omorodion
(18 Goals)
P. Dybala
(3 Assists)
, 
S. El Shaarawy
(3 Assists)
,
A. Dovbyk
(3 Assists)
F. Moura
(6 Assists)
Roma and Porto Stats in Europa League
Roma - Porto Key Points
- Roma only lost twice in their last 14 matches.
- In their last 10 matches, Porto registered only two wins.
- Roma are unbeaten in eight home matches, winning seven.
- In Europa League action, Roma have three straight wins at home.
- Porto managed just two wins in the last 16 away Europa League matches.
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Our Roma vs Porto Prediction
Roma haven't lost at home in the Europa League this season. After drawing with Athletic Bilbao in the first league phase match, they went on to win three straight. In those wins, they even managed clean sheets. This and their current momentum at home should carry them past Porto.
The last time Porto faced Roma away from home, they lost 2-1 and there are indications this too could produce a defeat. Their recent run isn’t strong and neither is their form away from home. With such stats, our prediction for AS Roma v FC Porto is that Roma wins the match.
Roma vs Porto - Other Interesting Predictions
Over 2.5 goals.
Six times in the last eight away matches in the Europa League, Porto’s matches produced over 2.5 goals. In their last six matches as well, Porto haven't failed to score. Meanwhile, they face a Roma side that has also been prolific in attack, and especially at home.
Roma failed to score once in 10 matches at home, and six of the 10 games produced over 2.5 goals. Our second prediction for this match is for over 2.5 goals.
Use £30 free bets for the Roma vs. Porto game!
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Roma vs Porto match : Frequently asked questions
The Roma v Porto match will be played on Thursday 20th February.
The Roma v Porto match will be played at the Stadio Olimpico in Rome.
The Roma v Porto match will be aired live. In Italy, Sky will carry the game, while in Portugal, you can watch it through Sport TV and DAZN. You may also follow the match updates via the Europa League livescores on SportyTrader.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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