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Roma vs Lazio Prediction & Betting Tips - Serie A
by Kennedy Kechula in Serie A Predictions
It will be an exciting Sunday afternoon in the Italian Serie A when AS Roma and SS Lazio face off. The two Rome rivals are 15 points apart, with Lazio in fourth spot and Roma entering the weekend placed 10th. While hosts Roma are in a three-match unbeaten run, Lazio haven't tasted defeat in the last two and here we take a look at the stats before offering at least two predictions of the match.
The Derby della Capitale is always a showpiece when these teams are on a good footing, like they are now. In the last meeting between these two, Roma clinched the three points on offer.
For the first time since 2016, they’ll be looking to register back-to-back wins against Lazio. Back then they won four straight matches against Lazio, completing a seven-game unbeaten streak. As for Lazio, before losing in their last meeting, had gone unbeaten in four straight games against Roma, winning three. Can they restart such a run, or will Roma get a second straight win?
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The Best Betting Odds for Roma v Lazio Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.45 | 3 | 3.1 |
|
|
2.5 | 3 | 2.88 |
|
|
2.75 | 2.25 | 3.2 |
|
|
2.53 | 3.1 | 3.2 |
|
|
2.53 | 3.1 | 3.2 |
|
|
2.5 | 3.1 | 3.2 |
|
|
2.66 | 3.02 | 2.9 |
|
|
2.66 | 3.02 | 2.9 |
|
|
2.55 | 3.1 | 3.15 |
|
|
2.49 | 3.02 | 3.14 |
|
|
2.55 | 3.1 | 3.15 |
|
|
2.56 | 3.06 | 3.19 |
|
|
2.6 | 2.9 | 3 |
|
|
2.48 | 2.95 | 3.15 |
|
|
2.45 | 3 | 3.1 |
|
|
2.52 | 3.05 | 3.05 |
|
|
2.55 | 3.2 | 2.88 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Roma and Lazio?
Our prediction for the Roma vs Lazio match is: under 2.5.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 05/01/2025 between Roma and Lazio in Serie A :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 36.19% for a win of Roma against Lazio with odds of 2.75 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Roma vs Lazio is 13.12% with odds of 3.2 at William Hill.
- Our prediction model gives a 50.68% chance ⭐ for a win of Lazio vs Roma with odds of 3.2 at Ladbrokes.
Roma - Lazio Prediction and Best Odds:
| Roma Lazio Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Lazio wins | 50.68% | 3.2 at Ladbrokes |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60.83% | 2.24 at 1xbet |
| Both Team To Score | 52.08% | 1.85 at Betway |
| Half-time / Full-time: Lazio/Lazio | 18.83% | 5.5 at Betsson |
Roma vs Lazio Form
Roma and Lazio's standings in the Serie A
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4
|
35 | 19 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 6 |
|
10
|
23 | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 2 |
Roma and Lazio Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Dec 2024 - Serie A
22 Dec 2024 - Serie A
18 Dec 2024 - Coppa Italia
15 Dec 2024 - Serie A
12 Dec 2024 - Europa League
7 Dec 2024 - Serie A
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Dec 2024 - Serie A
18 Dec 2024 - Coppa Italia
12 Dec 2024 - Europa League
7 Dec 2024 - Serie A
2 Dec 2024 - Serie A
10 Nov 2024 - Serie A
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Dec 2024 - Serie A
15 Dec 2024 - Serie A
28 Nov 2024 - Europa League
24 Nov 2024 - Serie A
7 Nov 2024 - Europa League
3 Nov 2024 - Serie A
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Dec 2024 - Serie A
21 Dec 2024 - Serie A
16 Dec 2024 - Serie A
12 Dec 2024 - Europa League
8 Dec 2024 - Serie A
5 Dec 2024 - Coppa Italia
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Dec 2024 - Serie A
16 Dec 2024 - Serie A
5 Dec 2024 - Coppa Italia
28 Nov 2024 - Europa League
24 Nov 2024 - Serie A
7 Nov 2024 - Europa League
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Dec 2024 - Serie A
12 Dec 2024 - Europa League
8 Dec 2024 - Serie A
1 Dec 2024 - Serie A
10 Nov 2024 - Serie A
31 Oct 2024 - Serie A
Roma vs Lazio Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
17 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
6 Apr 2024 - Serie A
10 Jan 2024 - Coppa Italia
12 Nov 2023 - Serie A
19 Mar 2023 - Serie A
6 Nov 2022 - Serie A
20 Mar 2022 - Serie A
Roma - Lazio: Form Analysis
The Derby della Capitale is considered one of the biggest matches in world football. With the Italian bigwigs away in Saudi Arabia for the Super Cup, this match fills up the gap well.
It isn’t often that this game finds these two sides so far apart. Hosts Roma will arrive for this game 15 points behind Lazio thanks to a difficult start to the season. That has since improved with the appointment of Claudio Ranieri as manager.
A hard-fought 1-1 draw with Milan in the last outing was good preparation for this game. Roma are now unbeaten in three matches, winning two of them. At home, they have four straight wins.
Roma lost just once in the last six matches while Lazio won four of five away!
Lazio are also coming from a strong run though their recent performances are dented by the 6-0 home loss to Inter Milan. Marco Baroni’s men, however, recovered to collect four points from the last two matches.
They beat Lecce 2-1 before drawing 1-1 with Atalanta. Having garnered 35 points, Lazio will not move higher in the standings but they can consolidate fourth with a victory here.
Le Aquile have struggled on the road against a number of top opponents. However, they can bank on their recent streak of four away wins in five. Among those wins, they beat Napoli.
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Roma against Lazio Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Missing players
B. Cristante
M. Vecino
Roma & Lazio Squad Analysis
AS Roma will be favored on the injuries front, while none of their players are suspended. Claudio Ranieri will be spoilt for choice here, as only Bryan Cristante is ruled out. He is nursing an ankle injury and this game comes too soon.
Zeki Celik isn’t necessarily injured but could sit this out as he recovers from illness. With that, we could see the same lineup as the one against Milan starting here.
Paulo Dybala’s importance for Roma was demonstrated again as he scored the equalizer against Milan. He will be on show here again.
Roma have one player injured but Lazio are dealing with at least three.
Lazio skipper Mattia Zaccagni will lead from the front here, looking to keep his good run in this fixture. He has two winning goals against Roma, an impact he will want to carry here.
He will definitely be supported in attack by Taty Castellanos. As far as injuries are concerned, Lazio aren’t as lucky as their hosts. Matias Vecino, Manuel Lazzari and Pedro are all ruled out.
Tijjani Noslin is expected back for Lazio after recovering from an ankle injury.
Most goals and assists
Roma
Lazio
A. Dovbyk
(7 Goals)
T. Castellanos
(9 Goals)
S. El Shaarawy
(3 Assists)
,
A. Dovbyk
(3 Assists)
N. Tavares
(8 Assists)
Roma - Lazio Key Points
- Three of Roma’s last five league matches had under 2.5 goals.
- Two of Lazio’s last four Serie A matches had under 2.5 goals.
- Each of the last five matches pitting Roma against Lazio posted under 2.5 goals.
- Half of Lazio’s last six away league games had under three goals.
- The last 10 meetings between these teams recorded 1.9 goals on average.
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Our Roma vs Lazio Prediction
The Derby della Capitale has in recent years been a tight affair. Each of the last five matches between the two sides produced under 2.5 goals. None of those matches had more than a goal scored; one of them actually ended goalless.
The last 10 meetings between the teams also recorded under two goals on average. With another close contest expected we have reason to imagine this too will end up being a low-scoring encounter. On the goals market, therefore, in our predcitcion for the Roma v Lazio match we will back under 2.5.
Roma vs Lazio - Other Interesting Predictions
Both teams to score- NO.
In the last 10 matches pitting Roma against Lazio, we had both teams scoring only twice. None of those two instances came in the last six meetings. We have to go back to 2021 for when goals were scored on both ends in the Derby della Capitale.
As we anticipate a tight clash again, we will back at least one side to keep a clean sheet. So our second bet is: Both teams to score- NO.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Roma Lazio
| Roma vs Lazio | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Roma wins | 2.63 | 2.45 | -6.8% |
| Draw | 3.2 | 3 | -6.3% |
| Lazio wins | 2.7 | 3.1 | +14.8% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Lazio is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 14.8% since opening
- The probability of this result was 37.0% and is now 32.3% (-4.8%)
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Roma vs Lazio match : Frequently asked questions
The AS Roma v SS Lazio match will be played on Sunday 5 January.
The AS Roma v SS Lazio match will be staged at the Stadio Olimpico in Rome.
Marco Guida has been handed the reins for the AS Roma v SS Lazio match. The referee will be assisted by Stefano Alassio and Christian Rossi. Luca Pairetto will serve as the fourth official in the match.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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