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19 May 2024 - 14:45 

- Day 37

Italy - Serie A

Roma
VS
Genoa

Prediction :

Under 3.5

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Roma vs Genoa Prediction & Betting Tips - Serie A

 by Sridhar in Serie A Predictions

Roma’s fickle hopes of securing Champions League football for next season depend on managing a win as they come against Genoa. This 37th match of the Serie A season will be played at the Stadio Olimpico on Sunday, with the hosts sixth with 60 points and the visitors 11th with 46 points. Roma are three points behind Atalanta, who now occupy the fifth and last spot in the Champions League qualification from Serie A. A 2-1 defeat to Atalanta last time out has extinguished their little hopes, although they would want to keep winning to stay in the hunt. The hosts are without a win in three successive league games, drawing twice and losing once. As they look to finish the home campaign on a high, the fans will hope they can continue their recent form, having won five of the last eight league games here.

Genoa won the reverse fixture 4-1 and are looking to end their campaign on a high, although the incentives are meager. They are unlikely to push for a top-half finish, but two wins out of their last three league matches suggests they are up for the fight. A 2-1 win over Sassuolo made it two wins and a draw in three games, plus just a single defeat across eight Serie A matches. That gives them enough confidence to overturn the 4-1 defeat in the reverse fixture, although they haven’t won a game against Roma at this venue since 1990. Genoa could take comfort in their recent away form, having lost just one of their last ten away league games. Drawing six matches in this sequence suggests it won’t be a surprise if this game ends in a stalemate.

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The Best Betting Odds for Roma v Genoa Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
1.02 19 501
Ladbrokes
1.8 2.75 5
NetBet
1.43 4.3 6.3
Betwinner
1.52 4.44 5.9
Melbet
1.46 4.36 7
Tonybet
1.47 4.6 7
Check all Roma vs Genoa odds
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What is the prediction for the football match between Roma and Genoa?

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 19/05/2024 between Roma and Genoa in Serie A :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 39.86% for a win of Roma against Genoa with odds of 1.8 at Ladbrokes.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Roma vs Genoa is 35.11% with odds of 19 at Bet365.
  • Our prediction model gives a 25.03% chance ⭐ for a win of Genoa vs Roma with odds of 501 at Bet365.

Roma - Genoa Prediction and Best Odds:

Roma Genoa Prediction Probability Odds
Roma wins 39.86% 1.8 at Ladbrokes
Under 2.5 53.88% 2.18 at Betwinner
Both Team To Score 60.83%
Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Roma 18.72% 4.2 at Ladbrokes

Roma vs Genoa Form

Roma and Genoa's standings in the Serie A

Teams Pts P W D L GD
6
Roma
Roma
63 38 18 9 11 19
11
Genoa
Genoa
49 38 12 13 13 0

Roma and Genoa Last Matches

Roma
Roma Last matches
L D L D D L
Victories

0/6 (0%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

Total goals
3.17
BTTS
83%
Goals scored
1.17
Goals conceded
2
Over 2.5
67%
Under 2.5
33%

12 May 2024 - Serie A

Atalanta
2 :  1
Roma

9 May 2024 - Europa League

Bayer Leverkusen
2 :  2
Roma

5 May 2024 - Serie A

Roma
1 :  1
Juventus

2 May 2024 - Europa League

Roma
0 :  2
Bayer Leverkusen

28 Apr 2024 - Serie A

Napoli
2 :  2
Roma

22 Apr 2024 - Serie A

Roma
1 :  3
Bologna
Genoa
Genoa Last matches
W D L W D W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

Total goals
3
BTTS
67%
Goals scored
1.83
Goals conceded
1.17
Over 2.5
67%
Under 2.5
33%

12 May 2024 - Serie A

Genoa
2 :  1
Sassuolo

5 May 2024 - Serie A

AC Milan
3 :  3
Genoa

29 Apr 2024 - Serie A

Genoa
3 :  0
Cagliari

19 Apr 2024 - Serie A

Genoa
0 :  1
Lazio

15 Apr 2024 - Serie A

Fiorentina
1 :  1
Genoa

7 Apr 2024 - Serie A

Hellas Verona
1 :  2
Genoa

Roma against Genoa : Head to Head (H2H)

Roma

67 %

Draw

17 %

Genoa

17 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

Total goals
2.17
BTTS
33%
Goals scored (Team 1)
1.33
Goals scored (Team 2)
0.83
Over 2.5
33%
Under 2.5
67%

28 Sep 2023 - Serie A

Genoa
4 :  1
Roma

12 Jan 2023 - Coppa Italia

Roma
1 :  0
Genoa

5 Feb 2022 - Serie A

Roma
0 :  0
Genoa

21 Nov 2021 - Serie A

Genoa
0 :  2
Roma

7 Mar 2021 - Serie A

Roma
1 :  0
Genoa

8 Nov 2020 - Serie A

Genoa
1 :  3
Roma
Improve your sports betting with our football team comparison tool (100+ statistics)

Roma against Genoa Lineups: Starting 11

Roma

Formation : 4 - 3 - 2 - 1

99
M. Svilar
19
Z. Celik
14
D. Llorente
5
E. Ndicka
69
Angelino
4
B. Cristante
16
L. Paredes
52
E. Bove
35
T. Baldanzi
7
L. Pellegrini
90
R. Lukaku
19
M. Retegui
18
C. Ekuban
3
A. Martin
8
K. Strootman
47
M. Badelj
32
M. Frendrup
90
D. Spence
22
J. Vasquez
4
K. De Winter
14
A. Vogliacco
1
J. Martinez

Formation : 3 - 5 - 2

Genoa

Missing players

Roma
Roma
Defender

L. Spinazzola

Midfielder

L. Paredes

Genoa
Genoa
Defender

M. Bani

Midfielder

R. Malinovskyi

Forward

V. Carvalho

Roma - Genoa Key Points

  1. In three of their last four competitive matches, Roma have seen under 3.5 goals scored
  2. Six of Roma’s last eight league matches have seen fewer than four goals scored
  3. In three of their last four home league games, Roma have seen two or fewer goals scored
  4. In seven of their last eight league matches, Genoa have seen fewer than four goals
  5. Genoa have seen under 3.5 goals in 14 of their last 15 away league games
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Our Roma vs Genoa Prediction

Roma’s troubles have been mounting in recent weeks, with their Champions League qualification chances almost out of the window. Genoa could take advantage of that vulnerability, as the visitors have lost just one of their last ten away league games. While that may make an argument for Genoa, it's the goals market that looks the more encouraging prospect here. Expect this one to be a relatively low-scoring contest. Our prediction for Roma vs Genoa is for under 3.5 goals to be scored.

Prediction :

Under 3.5

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Roma vs Genoa Prediction
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