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Europe - Europa League

Roma
07 Mar 2024 12:45
Brighton

Prediction :

 

Roma wins the match

 
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Roma vs Brighton Prediction & Betting Tips - Europa League

 by Ian John | in Europa League Predictions

AS Roma will host Brighton in the Europa League Round of 16 on Thursday night (kick off 5.45pm). The famous Stadio Olimpico will be the backdrop to a game which should be an interesting encounter between two teams that have somewhat contrasting styles of play. AS Roma's Daniele De Rossi took over as manager of the club he once played for after the sacking of Jose Mourinho back in January. Since then they have lost just one of their last eight games, and that came against runaway league leaders Inter, and they edged a nervy Europa League Playoff tie in February, drawing both legs with Feyenoord 1-1 before snatching the win 4-2 on penalties. De Rossi's pragmatic approach has worked well in Serie A too, and the home side come into this game on the back of six league wins in their last seven games, scoring 16 goals in those games, conceding nine.  They finished second in Group G of the Europa League, two points behind Slavia Prague with four wins in their six games. 

Brighton collected the same number of points as AS Roma, 13, but that was enough for them to top a group that also contained Marseille and Ajax, as well as AEK Athens. In fact, the Seagulls lost their opener to the Greek side at the AMEX, but then went unbeaten in the next five games, winning the last four games in the group without conceding a goal. However, the Seagulls recent form has been somewhat frustrating for manager Roberto de Zerbi. They were well beaten 3-0 by Fulham at the weekend, lost out to Wolves in the FA Cup 5th Round before that and needed a late equaliser from skipper Lewis Dunk to draw at home to Everton. With just one win in their last five domestically, performances like that won't be enough to get the job done in Rome. 

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The Best Betting Odds for Roma v Brighton Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
2.25 3.5 3.1
Betfred
2.2 3.5 3.2
Ladbrokes
2.15 3.4 3.2
NetBet
2.17 3.45 3.3
1xbet
2.45 3.54 3.09
22bet
2.45 3.54 3.09
Betwinner
2.16 3.42 3.34
LSbet
2.16 3.42 3.34
Stake
2.12 3.7 3.45
Melbet
2.13 3.56 3.28
Tonybet
2.14 3.65 3.35
Betfair
2.15 3.2 3.1
Betsson
2.2 3.6 3.3
William Hill
2.35 3.3 3
Vbet
2.29 3.53 3.27
Betway
2.2 3.2 3
Unibet
1.96 3.65 3.55
Check all Roma vs Brighton odds
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What is the prediction for the football match between Roma and Brighton?

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 07/03/2024 between Roma and Brighton in Europa League :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 52.01% for a win of Roma against Brighton with odds of 2.45 at 1xbet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Roma vs Brighton is 22.98% with odds of 3.7 at Stake.
  • Our prediction model gives a 25.01% chance ⭐ for a win of Brighton vs Roma with odds of 3.55 at Unibet.

Roma - Brighton Prediction and Best Odds:

Roma Brighton Prediction Probability Odds
Roma wins 52.01% 2.45 at 1xbet
Over 2.5 goals 61.11% 2.04 at 1xbet
Both Team To Score 59.52%
Half-time / Full-time : Roma/Roma 23.08% 3.6 at Betsson

Roma vs Brighton Form

Roma and Brighton Last Matches

Roma
Roma Last matches
L D W D W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
83% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

2 Mar 2024 - Serie A

Monza
1 :  4
Roma

26 Feb 2024 - Serie A

Roma
3 :  2
Torino FC

22 Feb 2024 - Europa League

Roma
1 :  1
Feyenoord

18 Feb 2024 - Serie A

Frosinone
0 :  3
Roma

15 Feb 2024 - Europa League

Feyenoord
1 :  1
Roma

10 Feb 2024 - Serie A

Roma
2 :  4
Inter Milan
D W W L D W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
83% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

26 Feb 2024 - Serie A

Roma
3 :  2
Torino FC

22 Feb 2024 - Europa League

Roma
1 :  1
Feyenoord

10 Feb 2024 - Serie A

Roma
2 :  4
Inter Milan

5 Feb 2024 - Serie A

Roma
4 :  0
Cagliari

20 Jan 2024 - Serie A

Roma
2 :  1
Hellas Verona

7 Jan 2024 - Serie A

Roma
1 :  1
Atalanta
L W W D W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
83% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

2 Mar 2024 - Serie A

Monza
1 :  4
Roma

18 Feb 2024 - Serie A

Frosinone
0 :  3
Roma

15 Feb 2024 - Europa League

Feyenoord
1 :  1
Roma

29 Jan 2024 - Serie A

Salernitana
1 :  2
Roma

24 Jan 2024 - Clubs Friendlies

Al Shabab
1 :  2
Roma

14 Jan 2024 - Serie A

AC Milan
3 :  1
Roma
Brighton
Brighton Last matches
W L W D L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

2 Mar 2024 - Premier League

Fulham
3 :  0
Brighton

28 Feb 2024 - FA Cup

Wolves
1 :  0
Brighton

24 Feb 2024 - Premier League

Brighton
1 :  1
Everton

18 Feb 2024 - Premier League

Sheffield United
0 :  5
Brighton

10 Feb 2024 - Premier League

Tottenham
2 :  1
Brighton

3 Feb 2024 - Premier League

Brighton
4 :  1
Crystal Palace
D W W D W D
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

24 Feb 2024 - Premier League

Brighton
1 :  1
Everton

3 Feb 2024 - Premier League

Brighton
4 :  1
Crystal Palace

22 Jan 2024 - Premier League

Brighton
0 :  0
Wolves

28 Dec 2023 - Premier League

Brighton
4 :  2
Tottenham

14 Dec 2023 - Europa League

Brighton
1 :  0
Marseille

9 Dec 2023 - Premier League

Brighton
1 :  1
Burnley
W L L W L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

2 Mar 2024 - Premier League

Fulham
3 :  0
Brighton

28 Feb 2024 - FA Cup

Wolves
1 :  0
Brighton

18 Feb 2024 - Premier League

Sheffield United
0 :  5
Brighton

10 Feb 2024 - Premier League

Tottenham
2 :  1
Brighton

30 Jan 2024 - Premier League

Luton Town
4 :  0
Brighton

27 Jan 2024 - FA Cup

Sheffield United
2 :  5
Brighton
Improve your sports betting with our football team comparison tool (100+ statistics)

Roma against Brighton Lineups: Starting 11

Roma

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

99
M. Svilar
19
Z. Celik
23
G. Mancini
5
E. N Dicka
37
L. Spinazzola
4
B. Cristante
16
L. Paredes
7
L. Pellegrini
21
P. Dybala
90
R. Lukaku
92
S. El Shaarawy
18
D. Welbeck
24
S. Adingra
10
J. Enciso
40
B. Facundo
13
P. Gross
11
B. Gilmour
3
Igor
5
L. Dunk
29
J. Van Hecke
2
T. Lamptey
23
J. Steele

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Brighton

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Roma
CD Huachipato Brighton
Top Goalscorer
Belgium R. Lukaku (20 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Brazil J. Pedro (15 Goals)
Best assists
Argentina P. Dybala (10 Assists)
Best assists
Germany P. Gross (11 Assists)

Roma - Brighton Key Points

  1. Roma won all three of their home games in the Europa League Group Stage without conceding a goal. They also have the 4th best record in Serie A at home, picking up 30 points at the Stadio Olimpico, losing just twice on home soil.
  2. Brighton have won all their last four Europa League games without conceding a goal, including home and away 2-0 wins over Ajax Amsterdam. Domestically, the Seagulls have struggled for consistency of late and a 3-0 loss at Fulham was a poor result and performance heading into this game.
  3. AS Roma average almost a goal per game more at home than they do away from home. Only Inter Milan have scored more goals at home in Serie A this season (36 compared to Roma's 33).
  4. Brighton have just the 12th best record in the Premier League away from home this season, winning just four of their 14 games. They have conceded 27 goals on the road, that is tied for third worst in the Premier League.
  5. This will be Brighton's first ever game in Europe against an Italian team. In contrast, AS Roma have played 39 times against English sides in Europe, winning 13, drawing 11 and losing 15 of those games.
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Our Roma vs Brighton Prediction

A lot has changed at AS Roma and Brighton over the last few months and that could have a big impact on how this game goes. Roma look stronger defensively and more potent in attack under Daniele De Rossi, but Brighton in contrast have struggled for any consistency or form, winning some games easily, but equally, they have suffered some heavy defeats too. Given Roma's consistent form and strength at home, another defeat for the Seagulls could be on the cards here. Our prediction for Roma v Brighton is for AS Roma to land the first leg win. 

Prediction :

 

Roma wins the match

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Roma vs Brighton Prediction
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