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Roma vs Bayer Leverkusen Prediction & Betting Tips - Europa League
by Ian John | in Europa League Predictions
The first leg of the Europa League semi-final between AS Roma and Bayer Leverkusen takes place at the Stadio Olimpico on Thursday 2nd April (8pm UK Time). After taking over from Jose Mourinho earlier in the season, Daniele De Rossi has returned to the club where he made his name and guided them into the semi-finals of another European competition after defeating Milan home and away in the previous round. The ex-Italian international has also led the team to 5th in Serie A and a potential Champions League place next season, if Serie A get that additional space in the competition in the new format for 2024/25. However, if they can win the Europa League that would also guarantee them a spot in the Champions League next year too.
However, the Roman side face an extremely tough opponent in the form of the new Bundesliga Champions. Bayer Leverkusen remain unbeaten after an incredible 51 games in all competitions this season. In the Europa League, they have scored in every game, as well as winning eight of the ten games they have played, drawing the other two. West Ham were beaten 3-1 on aggregate in the quarter-finals. Manager Xabi Alonso and his team are now just seven games away from completing an unbeaten season, which would see them win all three major trophies that they entered. That potential feat will add its own pressure on this already difficult first leg tie.
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The Best Betting Odds for Roma v Bayer Leverkusen Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
451 | 51 | 1 |
|
|
3.5 | 2.4 | 2.4 |
|
|
3.55 | 3.2 | 2.1 |
|
|
7.44 | 1.38 | 4.22 |
|
|
7.44 | 1.38 | 4.22 |
|
|
3.46 | 3.38 | 2.13 |
|
|
3.46 | 3.38 | 2.13 |
|
|
3.55 | 3.6 | 2.09 |
|
|
3.48 | 3.46 | 2.09 |
|
|
3.55 | 3.6 | 2.09 |
|
|
3.55 | 3.55 | 2.18 |
|
|
201 | 34 | 1 |
|
|
3.55 | 3.5 | 2.23 |
|
|
4 | 2.88 | 2.1 |
|
|
3.55 | 3.35 | 2.2 |
|
|
3.6 | 3.4 | 2.05 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Roma and Bayer Leverkusen?
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 02/05/2024 between Roma and Bayer Leverkusen in Europa League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 37.5% for a win of Roma against Bayer Leverkusen with odds of 451 at Bet365.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Roma vs Bayer Leverkusen is 31.81% with odds of 51 at Bet365.
- Our prediction model gives a 30.69% chance ⭐ for a win of Bayer Leverkusen vs Roma with odds of 4.22 at 1xbet.
Roma - Bayer Leverkusen Prediction and Best Odds:
| Roma Bayer Leverkusen Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Roma wins | 37.5% | 451 at Bet365 |
| Under 2.5 | 58.56% | 1.88 at 1xbet |
| Both Team To Score | 50% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Roma | 14.53% | 8 at Unibet |
Roma vs Bayer Leverkusen Form
Roma and Bayer Leverkusen Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Apr 2024 - Serie A
22 Apr 2024 - Serie A
18 Apr 2024 - Europa League
14 Apr 2024 - Serie A
11 Apr 2024 - Europa League
6 Apr 2024 - Serie A
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Apr 2024 - Serie A
18 Apr 2024 - Europa League
6 Apr 2024 - Serie A
17 Mar 2024 - Serie A
7 Mar 2024 - Europa League
26 Feb 2024 - Serie A
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Apr 2024 - Serie A
14 Apr 2024 - Serie A
11 Apr 2024 - Europa League
1 Apr 2024 - Serie A
14 Mar 2024 - Europa League
10 Mar 2024 - Serie A
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Apr 2024 - Bundesliga
21 Apr 2024 - Bundesliga
18 Apr 2024 - Europa League
14 Apr 2024 - Bundesliga
11 Apr 2024 - Europa League
6 Apr 2024 - Bundesliga
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Apr 2024 - Bundesliga
14 Apr 2024 - Bundesliga
11 Apr 2024 - Europa League
3 Apr 2024 - DFB Pokal
30 Mar 2024 - Bundesliga
14 Mar 2024 - Europa League
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Apr 2024 - Bundesliga
18 Apr 2024 - Europa League
6 Apr 2024 - Bundesliga
17 Mar 2024 - Bundesliga
7 Mar 2024 - Europa League
3 Mar 2024 - Bundesliga
Roma vs Bayer Leverkusen Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
50 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
18 May 2023 - Europa League
11 May 2023 - Europa League
Roma - Bayer Leverkusen: Form Analysis
Since the 20th January, AS Roma have won nine, drawn three and lost two of their 14 Serie A games, although both defeats came at home (against Inter and Bologna). They have also lost just one of six Europa League ties since then too. They came through the Playoff round on penalties after a 2-2 aggregate draw with Feyenoord (both legs being drawn 1-1). They then thrashed Brighton 4-0 in the Round of 16 first leg before losing 1-0 in the second leg at the AMEX. In the quarter-finals, they beat AC Milan 1-0 in the San Siro then 2-1 at the Stadio Olimpico to earn a shot at breaking Leverkusen’s unbeaten record. Potentially earning themselves a place in the final against either Atalanta or Marseille. This past weekend they drew 2-2 against Napoli in Naples, Tammy Abraham’s late equaliser giving Roma a point.
Leverkusen come into this fixture having drawn all of their last three games, away to West Ham, Dortmund and then at home to VfB Stuttgart at the weekend. In all those games, they secured very late equalisers to retain their unbeaten run. Pressure, it seems, is clearly beginning to tell. After winning their group comfortably with six wins from six, Leverkusen then came back from 2-0 down to draw 2-2 against Qarabag in the first leg and then repeated that, this time to win 3-2 in the home leg for a 5-4 aggregate win. A 2-0 win over West Ham was followed by a 1-1 draw in the second leg in London to earn them a shot at AS Roma in the semi-finals.
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Roma against Bayer Leverkusen Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 3 - 4 - 3
Roma & Bayer Leverkusen Squad Analysis
AS Roma could be without striker Romelu Lukaku for this game. The Belgian striker has been sidelined with a thigh problem since mid-April and he is rated as a 50/50 chance, at best, for this game. Ex-Manchester United defender Chris Smalling is out with a groin injury, while Turkish defender Zeki Celik is suspended for the first leg of the tie. If Lukaku is ruled out then it looks like a choice between Tammy Abraham and Sardar Azmoun for the central strikers’ role for the home side.
Leverkusen will be without young midfielder Noah Mbamba who is not eligible for the tournament. Additionally, strikers Borja Iglesias (muscular problem) and Adam Hlozek (ankle) are also both ruled out through injury. Xabi Alonso doesn’t have any of his players suspended for this game and it is likely their main attacking threat will come from Nigerian striker Victor Boniface, who has five goals in his seven Europa League outings, and midfield sensation Florian Wirtz, who has scored three goals in his eight appearances in the tournament.
Most goals and assists
Roma
Bayer Leverkusen
R. Lukaku
(20 Goals)
V. Boniface
(21 Goals)
P. Dybala
(10 Assists)
A. Grimaldo
(18 Assists)
Roma - Bayer Leverkusen Key Points
- In five of AS Roma’s last eight games in all competitions both teams have scored.
- Both teams have scored in four of Bayer Leverkusen’s last five Europa League games.
- AS Roma have scored in all their home games in all competitions this season.
- Bayer Leverkusen have scored in all their away games in all competitions this season.
- Four of the six previous matches between the two in Europe have seen both team’s score.
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Our Roma vs Bayer Leverkusen Prediction
Roma vs Bayer Leverkusen - Other Interesting Predictions
Full Time Result - Draw
Victor Boniface (Bayer Leverkusen) to Score at Any Time
Roma vs Bayer Leverkusen match : Frequently asked questions
The two teams have met six times previously in European competition.
They met in the first instance in the 2004/05 Champions League group stage, with Leverkusen winning 3-1 at home followed by a 1-1 draw in the away leg in Rome.
They met in the same competition and the same stage again in 2015/16, an exciting 4-4 draw being the result in Leverkusen, followed by an equally dramatic 3-2 win for Roma in the home leg.
Their most recent meeting came in the semi-finals of this competition last season when Roma won 1-0 in the first leg of the semi-final in Rome and clinched a place in the final with a 0-0 draw in the second leg in Leverkusen.
Roma have won two matches, Leverkusen one, with three draws. Both teams have scored 10 goals across the six games.
Fans in the UK can tune in on TNT Sport to watch live coverage of the AS Roma v Bayer Leverkusen semi-final first leg.
Additionally, there are real-time data updates and text commentary available for everyone to access on SportyTrader’s Europa League Livescore page.French referee Francois Letexier will be in charge for the first leg tie between AS Roma and Bayer Leverkusen in the Europa League.
He has refereed five Champions League games and three Europa League games already this season. He has handed out 26 red cards in those games, and just one red card.
Cyril Mugnier and Mehdi Rahmouni will be his assistant referees with Rade Obrenovic from Slovenia the fourth official.
Jerome Brissard will be in charge of the VAR.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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