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Europe - Europa League

Roma
06/03/2025 12:00
Athletic Bilbao

Prediction :

 

Both teams to score

 
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Roma vs Athletic Bilbao Prediction & Betting Tips - Europa League

 by Steve Ashfield | in Europa League Predictions

Roma are home to Athletic Bilbao in the first leg of their Europa League last 16 tie. The winners will face either Fenerbahce or Rangers in the quarter-finals. Can the Wolves get a lead to take to Spain? Read our match prediction.

The Serie A club only finished 15th in the league phase with 12 points from their eight games with three games won. A good win over Porto took them into this last 16 tie. Last season saw them get to the semi-finals of this competition.

Athletic Bilbao finished second in the league phase with six of their eight matches won. The Lions are roaring in La Liga this season and are currently fourth in the table. They are playing in Europe for the first time since the 2017-18 season when reaching this stage. Not since 2016 have the Spaniards made it to the last eight of this competition and will hope to end that barren spell.

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The Best Betting Odds for Roma v Athletic Bilbao Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
2.3 3.3 3.2
Betfred
2.25 3.2 3.1
Ladbrokes
2.6 2.3 3.3
1xbet
2.38 3.45 3.28
22bet
2.38 3.45 3.28
Betobet
2.3 3.25 3.2
Betwinner
2.29 3.32 3.18
LSbet
2.29 3.32 3.18
Stake
2.32 3.3 3.25
Melbet
2.3 3.32 3.16
Tonybet
2.32 3.3 3.25
Betsson
2.3 3.3 3.3
William Hill
2.3 3.1 3.2
Vbet
2.38 3.26 3.3
Betway
2.25 3.25 3.1
Unibet
2.25 3.3 3.25
Check all Roma vs Athletic Bilbao odds
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What is the prediction for the football match between Roma and Athletic Bilbao?

Our prediction for the Roma vs Athletic Bilbao match is: both teams to score.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 06/03/2025 between Roma and Athletic Bilbao in Europa League :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 46.69% for a win of Roma against Athletic Bilbao with odds of 2.6 at Ladbrokes.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Roma vs Athletic Bilbao is 37.4% with odds of 3.45 at 1xbet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 15.91% chance ⭐ for a win of Athletic Bilbao vs Roma with odds of 3.3 at Ladbrokes.

Roma vs Athletic Bilbao Form

Roma and Athletic Bilbao Last Matches

Roma
Roma Last matches
W D W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
2 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

2 Mar 2025 - Serie A

Roma
2 :  1
Como 1907

24 Feb 2025 - Serie A

Roma
4 :  0
Monza

20 Feb 2025 - Europa League

Roma
3 :  2
Porto

16 Feb 2025 - Serie A

Parma
0 :  1
Roma

13 Feb 2025 - Europa League

Porto
1 :  1
Roma

9 Feb 2025 - Serie A

Venezia
0 :  1
Roma
W W D W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.5 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

2 Mar 2025 - Serie A

Roma
2 :  1
Como 1907

24 Feb 2025 - Serie A

Roma
4 :  0
Monza

20 Feb 2025 - Europa League

Roma
3 :  2
Porto

2 Feb 2025 - Serie A

Roma
1 :  1
Napoli

30 Jan 2025 - Europa League

Roma
2 :  0
Eintracht Frankfurt

17 Jan 2025 - Serie A

Roma
3 :  1
Genoa
L W L W D W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
50% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

16 Feb 2025 - Serie A

Parma
0 :  1
Roma

13 Feb 2025 - Europa League

Porto
1 :  1
Roma

9 Feb 2025 - Serie A

Venezia
0 :  1
Roma

5 Feb 2025 - Coppa Italia

AC Milan
3 :  1
Roma

26 Jan 2025 - Serie A

Udinese
1 :  2
Roma

23 Jan 2025 - Europa League

AZ Alkmaar
1 :  0
Roma
Athletic Bilbao
Athletic Bilbao Last matches
W D W D W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.67 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

1 Mar 2025 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
1 :  0
Athletic Bilbao

23 Feb 2025 - LaLiga

Athletic Bilbao
7 :  1
Valladolid

16 Feb 2025 - LaLiga

Espanyol
1 :  1
Athletic Bilbao

8 Feb 2025 - LaLiga

Athletic Bilbao
3 :  0
Girona

2 Feb 2025 - LaLiga

Betis
2 :  2
Athletic Bilbao

30 Jan 2025 - Europa League

Athletic Bilbao
3 :  1
Viktoria Plzen
L L D W W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.5 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

23 Feb 2025 - LaLiga

Athletic Bilbao
7 :  1
Valladolid

8 Feb 2025 - LaLiga

Athletic Bilbao
3 :  0
Girona

30 Jan 2025 - Europa League

Athletic Bilbao
3 :  1
Viktoria Plzen

26 Jan 2025 - LaLiga

Athletic Bilbao
0 :  0
Leganés

16 Jan 2025 - Copa del Rey

Athletic Bilbao
2 :  3
Osasuna

8 Jan 2025 - Super Cup

Athletic Bilbao
0 :  2
Barcelona
D W L D D L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

1 Mar 2025 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
1 :  0
Athletic Bilbao

16 Feb 2025 - LaLiga

Espanyol
1 :  1
Athletic Bilbao

2 Feb 2025 - LaLiga

Betis
2 :  2
Athletic Bilbao

22 Jan 2025 - Europa League

Besiktas Istanbul
4 :  1
Athletic Bilbao

19 Jan 2025 - LaLiga

Celta Vigo
1 :  2
Athletic Bilbao

4 Jan 2025 - Copa del Rey

UD Logrones
0 :  0
Athletic Bilbao

Roma vs Athletic Bilbao Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

26 Sep 2024 - Europa League

Roma
1 :  1
Athletic Bilbao
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Roma - Athletic Bilbao: Form Analysis

Roma come into this Europa League game having won each of their last four matches. Their most recent game in Serie A saw them beat Como 2-1 at home. They are unbeaten in their last six matches since an away league loss at Milan.

Their winning run includes a home win over Porto in the knockout play-off round. The Italians have strong home form with their last ten fixtures producing nine wins and a draw against Napoli. Each of their last four home Europa League games have been won with ten goals scored.

Second trip to Roma this season for Bilbao.

Athletic Bilbao did well to finish second in the league phase. They won six out of eight matches with the only loss coming 4-1 at Besiktas. These two clubs met in the league phase and Bilbao drew 1-1 at Roma.

The Spaniards are fourth in La Liga but were beaten 1-0 at Atletico Madrid in their most recent league fixture. Both teams have scored in six of their last eight away fixtures and three of their four in this season's Europa League. We go for both teams to score in this match.

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Roma vs Athletic Bilbao last Lineups

Roma

Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1

99
M. Svilar
19
Z. Celik
23
G. Mancini
5
E. N Dicka
18
M. Soule
17
M. Kone
16
L. Paredes
3
Angelino
21
P. Dybala
7
L. Pellegrini
14
E. Shomurodov
7
A. Berenguer
10
N. Williams
20
U. Gomez
9
I. Williams
23
M. Jauregizar
16
I. Ruiz De Galarreta
17
Y. Berchiche
5
Y. Alvarez
3
D. Vivian
2
A. Gorosabel
1
U. Simon

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Athletic Bilbao

Missing players

Roma
Roma
Forward

A. Dovbyk

Athletic Bilbao
Athletic Bilbao
Midfielder

O. Sancet

Forward

A. Djalo

Roma & Athletic Bilbao Squad Analysis

Roma have a big decision to make regarding their attacking line-up. Eldor Shourodov has been in good form and scored twice against Midtjylland in the last round. However, their top scorer Artem Dovbyk is back fit again and scored as a sub at the weekend.

The Italian club knows how strong Bilbao are at home and will want a good lead to take to Spain. It'll be interesting to see just who will partner Paulo Dybala up front for Roma. With an eye on the second leg, there are also concerns over possible suspensions.

Suspensions could be a problem for Roma.

Dybala is one booking away from missing the return match. One player already out of this game through suspension is Leandro Paredes. The midfielder is likely to be replaced by Bryan Cristante.

Two brothers will be up front for Bilbao. Inaki and Nico WIlliams will be doing their best to ensure Bilbao score at least once on the road. 

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Roma
CD Huachipato Athletic Bilbao
Top Goalscorer
Ukraine A. Dovbyk (11 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Spain O. Sancet (14 Goals)
Best assists
Argentina P. Dybala (4 Assists)
Best assists
Ghana I. Williams (10 Assists)

Roma and Athletic Bilbao Stats in Europa League

Roma
Roma
Athletic Bilbao
Athletic Bilbao
40%
Victories
75%
40%
Draw
13%
20%
Defeats
13%
2.3
Total goals per match
2.75
1.4
Goals scored per match
1.88
0.9
Goals conceded per match
0.88
30%
Over 2.5
50%
70%
Under 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
50%
30%
No goals conceded
50%

Roma - Athletic Bilbao Key Points

  1. The two clubs drew 1-1 in the league phase.
  2. Three of Bilbao's four away Europa League games this season have seen both teams score.
  3. Both teams have scored in four of Bilbao's last six matches.
  4. Five of Roma's last eight fixtures have seen both teams get on the scoresheet.
  5. Both teams have scored in four of Roma's last six home games.
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Our Roma vs Athletic Bilbao Prediction

Roma are in good form at present and did well to defeat Porto in the last round. They are scoring plenty of goals but struggle to keep clean sheets. These two clubs met in the league phase     and that ended in a 1-1 home draw for Roma.

Athletic Bilbao came second in the league phase and won all four of their home games. Seven points out of 12 were earned on the road and three out of four away fixtures saw both teams score. Our main Roma v Athletic Bilbao prediction is both teams to score.

Prediction :

 

Both teams to score

 
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Roma vs Athletic Bilbao - Other Interesting Predictions

Paulo Dybala to score

Odds 3.5
Paulo Dybala has been in good scoring form for Roma this season. He scored twice in their 3-2 home win over Porto in the play-off round and can be on the scoresheet here.
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Roma vs Athletic Bilbao match : Frequently asked questions

This Europa League match is being played on Thursday March 6 and is scheduled to kick-off at 20:00 UK time.
It's Roma who wiill be the hosts in the first leg of this Europa League last 16 tie. That means the game will be played at the Stadio Olimpico in Rome. Roma last lost a home Europa League game in 2022.
This game is being shown live on TNT Sports and a subscriptiion is required to watch that channel. You can follow all that's happening in this match on our Europa League livescore. Your in-play bets will be assisted by our live text commentary and updated statistics.

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Roma vs Athletic Bilbao Prediction
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