Europe - Europa League
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by Steve Ashfield | in Europa League Predictions
Roma are home to Athletic Bilbao in the first leg of their Europa League last 16 tie. The winners will face either Fenerbahce or Rangers in the quarter-finals. Can the Wolves get a lead to take to Spain? Read our match prediction.
The Serie A club only finished 15th in the league phase with 12 points from their eight games with three games won. A good win over Porto took them into this last 16 tie. Last season saw them get to the semi-finals of this competition.
Athletic Bilbao finished second in the league phase with six of their eight matches won. The Lions are roaring in La Liga this season and are currently fourth in the table. They are playing in Europe for the first time since the 2017-18 season when reaching this stage. Not since 2016 have the Spaniards made it to the last eight of this competition and will hope to end that barren spell.
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The Best Betting Odds for Roma v Athletic Bilbao Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.38 | 3.25 | 3 |
|
|
2.4 | 3.25 | 3.1 |
|
|
2.75 | 2.25 | 3.25 |
|
|
2.59 | 3.19 | 3.17 |
|
|
2.59 | 3.19 | 3.17 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Roma and Athletic Bilbao?
Our prediction for the Roma vs Athletic Bilbao match is: both teams to score.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 06/03/2025 between Roma and Athletic Bilbao in Europa League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 46.2% for a win of Roma against Athletic Bilbao with odds of 2.75 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Roma vs Athletic Bilbao is 37.69% with odds of 3.3 at Betsson.
- Our prediction model gives a 16.11% chance ⭐ for a win of Athletic Bilbao vs Roma with odds of 3.3 at Stake.
Roma - Athletic Bilbao Prediction and Best Odds:
| Roma Athletic Bilbao Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Roma wins | 46.2% | 2.75 at Ladbrokes |
| Under 2.5 | 50.75% | 2.33 at Tonybet |
| Both Team To Score | 68.75% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Roma | 18.83% | 5.6 at Unibet |
Roma vs Athletic Bilbao Form
Roma and Athletic Bilbao Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Mar 2025 - Serie A
24 Feb 2025 - Serie A
20 Feb 2025 - Europa League
16 Feb 2025 - Serie A
13 Feb 2025 - Europa League
9 Feb 2025 - Serie A
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Mar 2025 - Serie A
24 Feb 2025 - Serie A
20 Feb 2025 - Europa League
2 Feb 2025 - Serie A
30 Jan 2025 - Europa League
17 Jan 2025 - Serie A
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Feb 2025 - Serie A
13 Feb 2025 - Europa League
9 Feb 2025 - Serie A
5 Feb 2025 - Coppa Italia
26 Jan 2025 - Serie A
23 Jan 2025 - Europa League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
23 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
16 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
8 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
2 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
30 Jan 2025 - Europa League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
8 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
30 Jan 2025 - Europa League
26 Jan 2025 - LaLiga
16 Jan 2025 - Copa del Rey
8 Jan 2025 - Super Cup
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
16 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
2 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
22 Jan 2025 - Europa League
19 Jan 2025 - LaLiga
4 Jan 2025 - Copa del Rey
Roma vs Athletic Bilbao Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
26 Sep 2024 - Europa League
Roma - Athletic Bilbao: Form Analysis
Roma come into this Europa League game having won each of their last four matches. Their most recent game in Serie A saw them beat Como 2-1 at home. They are unbeaten in their last six matches since an away league loss at Milan.
Their winning run includes a home win over Porto in the knockout play-off round. The Italians have strong home form with their last ten fixtures producing nine wins and a draw against Napoli. Each of their last four home Europa League games have been won with ten goals scored.
Second trip to Roma this season for Bilbao.
Athletic Bilbao did well to finish second in the league phase. They won six out of eight matches with the only loss coming 4-1 at Besiktas. These two clubs met in the league phase and Bilbao drew 1-1 at Roma.
The Spaniards are fourth in La Liga but were beaten 1-0 at Atletico Madrid in their most recent league fixture. Both teams have scored in six of their last eight away fixtures and three of their four in this season's Europa League. We go for both teams to score in this match.
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Players list
M. Svilar
DefenderZ. Celik
G. Mancini
E. N Dicka
A. Saelemaekers
Angelino
MidfielderM. Kone
B. Cristante
S. El Shaarawy
ForwardM. Soule
E. Shomurodov
J. Agirrezabala
DefenderO. De Marcos
A. Paredes
Y. Alvarez
Y. Berchiche
MidfielderI. Ruiz De Galarreta
B. Prados
M. Vesga
ForwardI. Williams
A. Berenguer
G. Guruzeta
Substitutes
P. Gollini
G. De Marzi
DefenderB. Sangare
M. Hummels
V. Nelsson
S. Abdulhamid
MidfielderM. Kone
L. Pellegrini
A. Saelemaekers
M. Soule
S. El Shaarawy
E. Shomurodov
U. Simon
DefenderA. Gorosabel
A. Paredes
U. Nunez
I. Lekue
MidfielderO. Sancet
A. Boiro
M. Vesga
B. Prados
A. Berenguer
P. Urtasan
G. Guruzeta
Roma & Athletic Bilbao Squad Analysis
Roma have a big decision to make regarding their attacking line-up. Eldor Shourodov has been in good form and scored twice against Midtjylland in the last round. However, their top scorer Artem Dovbyk is back fit again and scored as a sub at the weekend.
The Italian club knows how strong Bilbao are at home and will want a good lead to take to Spain. It'll be interesting to see just who will partner Paulo Dybala up front for Roma. With an eye on the second leg, there are also concerns over possible suspensions.
Suspensions could be a problem for Roma.
Dybala is one booking away from missing the return match. One player already out of this game through suspension is Leandro Paredes. The midfielder is likely to be replaced by Bryan Cristante.
Two brothers will be up front for Bilbao. Inaki and Nico WIlliams will be doing their best to ensure Bilbao score at least once on the road.
Most goals and assists
Roma
Athletic Bilbao
A. Dovbyk
(13 Goals)
O. Sancet
(17 Goals)
P. Dybala
(4 Assists)
I. Williams
(10 Assists)
,
A. Berenguer
(10 Assists)
Roma - Athletic Bilbao Key Points
- The two clubs drew 1-1 in the league phase.
- Three of Bilbao's four away Europa League games this season have seen both teams score.
- Both teams have scored in four of Bilbao's last six matches.
- Five of Roma's last eight fixtures have seen both teams get on the scoresheet.
- Both teams have scored in four of Roma's last six home games.
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Our Roma vs Athletic Bilbao Prediction
Roma are in good form at present and did well to defeat Porto in the last round. They are scoring plenty of goals but struggle to keep clean sheets. These two clubs met in the league phase and that ended in a 1-1 home draw for Roma.
Athletic Bilbao came second in the league phase and won all four of their home games. Seven points out of 12 were earned on the road and three out of four away fixtures saw both teams score. Our main Roma v Athletic Bilbao prediction is both teams to score.
Roma vs Athletic Bilbao - Other Interesting Predictions
Paulo Dybala to score
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Roma Athletic Bilbao
| Roma vs Athletic Bilbao | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Roma wins | 2.38 | 2.38 | 0% |
| Draw | 3.5 | 3.25 | -7.1% |
| Athletic Bilbao wins | 2.9 | 3 | +3.4% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Roma is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have not changed since opening
- The probability of this result was 42.0% and is now 42.0% (0.0%)
Get up to £30 to bet on the Roma vs. Athletic Bilbao game
You can get yourself up to €150 in matched bets for the battle between Roma and Athletic Bilbao when you join Betway. To get the free bet, your first accumulator bet needs to be a losing one. If your first bet wins, then you won't get the free bet, but you'll have your winnings for further fun on Europa League!
Roma vs Athletic Bilbao match : Frequently asked questions
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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