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Roma vs Athletic Bilbao Prediction & Betting Tips - Europa League
by Ian John in Europa League Predictions
AS Roma host Athletic Bilbao on Matchday 1 of the new-look Europa League. I Giallorossi returned to winning ways at the weekend in their first game under Ivan Juric, winning 3-0 against Udinese. Los Leones have won their last three games in La Liga but will head to Rome, missing several key first-team players for this opening league stage match. Who will our prediction back to win the game?
Following Daniele De Rossi's departure, Ivan Juric took charge for the first time against Udinese at the weekend and saw his new team win 3-0. It was their first win of the Serie A season. The Italian team has gone three games unbeaten ahead of this opening Europa League tie.
They had previously drawn 0-0 at Juventus and then 1-1 away to Genoa prior to the win over Udinese. The win moved Roma to tenth in the Serie A table after five games.
Athletic Bilbao will make the trip to Rome minus Spanish internationals Nico Williams and Unai Simon, plus defenders Yuri Berchiche and Teray Alvarez. Ernesto Valverde's team is heading into this fixture in good form, even without a quartet of first-choice players.
Prior to this game, they had scored eight goals in their last three games, Beating Las Palmas 3-2 and Leganes 2-0 on the road. Then last weekend, they produced a solid performance, beating Celta Vigo 3-1, a result that leaves them third in the early La Liga table.
The teams have met just once before. That came in a pre-season friendly in 2019, which finished in a 2-2 draw.
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The Best Betting Odds for Roma v Athletic Bilbao Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.15 | 3.2 | 3.6 |
|
|
2.37 | 2.4 | 3.6 |
|
|
2.26 | 3.22 | 3.6 |
|
|
2.26 | 3.22 | 3.6 |
|
|
2.2 | 3.25 | 3.6 |
|
|
2.05 | 3.4 | 3.66 |
|
|
2.05 | 3.4 | 3.66 |
|
|
2.21 | 3.3 | 3.6 |
|
|
2.06 | 3.4 | 3.64 |
|
|
2.05 | 3.4 | 3.85 |
|
|
2.23 | 3.28 | 3.72 |
|
|
2.2 | 3.1 | 3.4 |
|
|
2.02 | 3.35 | 4 |
|
|
2.15 | 3.25 | 3.5 |
|
|
2.25 | 3.3 | 3.4 |
|
|
2.2 | 3.2 | 3.5 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Roma and Athletic Bilbao?
Our prediction for the Roma vs Athletic Bilbao match is: Over 2.5 Goals to be Scored.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 26/09/2024 between Roma and Athletic Bilbao in Europa League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 45.01% for a win of Roma against Athletic Bilbao with odds of 2.37 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Roma vs Athletic Bilbao is 17.69% with odds of 3.4 at Betwinner.
- Our prediction model gives a 37.3% chance ⭐ for a win of Athletic Bilbao vs Roma with odds of 4 at Unibet.
Roma - Athletic Bilbao Prediction and Best Odds:
| Roma Athletic Bilbao Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Roma wins | 45.01% | 2.37 at Ladbrokes |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51.25% | 2.2 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 47.62% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Roma | 21.6% | 5.5 at Betfair |
Roma vs Athletic Bilbao Form
Roma and Athletic Bilbao's standings in the Europa League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6
|
10 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
|
20
|
5 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
Roma and Athletic Bilbao Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Sep 2024 - Serie A
15 Sep 2024 - Serie A
1 Sep 2024 - Serie A
25 Aug 2024 - Serie A
18 Aug 2024 - Serie A
10 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Sep 2024 - Serie A
25 Aug 2024 - Serie A
3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
27 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
31 May 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
19 May 2024 - Serie A
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Sep 2024 - Serie A
1 Sep 2024 - Serie A
18 Aug 2024 - Serie A
10 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
6 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
22 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Sep 2024 - LaLiga
19 Sep 2024 - LaLiga
15 Sep 2024 - LaLiga
31 Aug 2024 - LaLiga
28 Aug 2024 - LaLiga
24 Aug 2024 - LaLiga
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Sep 2024 - LaLiga
31 Aug 2024 - LaLiga
28 Aug 2024 - LaLiga
15 Aug 2024 - LaLiga
3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
19 May 2024 - LaLiga
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Sep 2024 - LaLiga
15 Sep 2024 - LaLiga
24 Aug 2024 - LaLiga
10 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
7 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
1 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
Roma against Athletic Bilbao Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 5 - 2
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Missing players
A. Saelemaekers
U. Simon
MidfielderO. Sancet
Most goals and assists
Roma
Athletic Bilbao
A. Dovbyk
(6 Goals)
O. Sancet
(5 Goals)
, 
I. Williams
(5 Goals)
L. Pellegrini
(2 Assists)
A. Berenguer
(5 Assists)
Roma - Athletic Bilbao Key Points
- Four of Roma's five goals in Serie A this season have come at home.
- Athletic Bilbao have scored in every away game this season.
- Two of Athletic Bilbao's last three games have seen Over 2.5 Goals scored.
- The last match between these two teams resulted in a 2-2 draw and was also played in Rome.
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Our Roma vs Athletic Bilbao Prediction
Our prediction for the AS Roma vs. Athletic Bilbao Europa League Matchday 1 match is: Over 2.5 Goals to be Scored.
Ivan Juric had a big impact in his first game in charge of Roma and the Croatian will want that good start to continue. It will be tricky against an Athletic Bilbao side that have scored a fair few goals in their last three games, but also conceded a goal per game on average. The data for this is not particularly conclusive, but does suggest this is a fixture which should see plenty of goals scored.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Roma Athletic Bilbao
| Roma vs Athletic Bilbao | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Roma wins | 2.25 | 2.15 | -4.4% |
| Draw | 3.3 | 3.2 | -3.0% |
| Athletic Bilbao wins | 3.3 | 3.6 | +9.1% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Roma is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 4.4% since opening
- The probability of this result was 44.4% and is now 46.5% (2.1%)
Use £50 free bets for the Roma vs. Athletic Bilbao game!
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The minimum odds on your bet on the Roma vs. Athletic Bilbao need to be at least 2.0 (1/1) to qualify for this bonus.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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