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Europe - Champions League

Red Star Belgrade
21/01/2025 15:00
PSV Eindhoven

Prediction :

 

Over 2.5

 
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Red Star Belgrade vs PSV Eindhoven Prediction & Betting Tips - Champions League

 by Joseph King in Champions League Predictions

PSV Eindhoven will look to stay in the race for playoffs when they travel to Red Star Belgrade in matchday seven of the UEFA Champions League. This League phase match at the Stadion Rajko Mitić in Belgrade on Tuesday between the 31st-placed Red-Whites and the 23rd-placed Peasants comes with our prediction of a high-scoring game.

Red Star has three points after six matches with only one win and five defeats. PSV, on the other hand, has eight points from two wins, draws, and losses each. Red Star can at best qualify for the play-offs as an unseeded side, but would need two wins and help from elsewhere.

PSV has a better chance, starting this round in the top 24, but a loss would put pressure on the Dutch club in their quest for progression. Red Star's absence of competitive football could be a disadvantage, but it remains to be seen how PSV can make the best use of the situation. What does this match in Belgrade have in store? Read on to find our prediction.

The Best Betting Odds for Red Star Belgrade v PSV Eindhoven Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
4.2 4.2 1.73
Betfred
4.33 4.2 1.7
Ladbrokes
3.8 2.87 1.95
1xbet
4.3 4.3 1.77
22bet
4.3 4.3 1.77
Betobet
4.3 4.3 1.75
Betwinner
4.36 4.4 1.68
LSbet
4.36 4.4 1.68
Stake
4.3 4.4 1.72
Melbet
4.2 4.3 1.72
Tonybet
4.4 4.4 1.74
Betsson
4.15 4.35 1.75
William Hill
4 4 1.75
Vbet
4.4 4.3 1.74
Betway
4 4.2 1.75
Unibet
4.4 4.2 1.71
Betfair
4.2 4.1 1.73
Check all Red Star Belgrade vs PSV Eindhoven odds
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What is the prediction for the football match between Red Star Belgrade and PSV Eindhoven?

Our prediction for the Red Star Belgrade vs PSV Eindhoven match is: over 2.5.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 21/01/2025 between Red Star Belgrade and PSV Eindhoven in Champions League :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 58.59% for a win of Red Star Belgrade against PSV Eindhoven with odds of 4.4 at Tonybet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Red Star Belgrade vs PSV Eindhoven is 6.65% with odds of 4.4 at Betwinner.
  • Our prediction model gives a 34.77% chance ⭐ for a win of PSV Eindhoven vs Red Star Belgrade with odds of 1.95 at Ladbrokes.

Red Star Belgrade - PSV Eindhoven Prediction and Best Odds:

Red Star Belgrade PSV Eindhoven Prediction Probability Odds
Red Star Belgrade wins 58.59% 4.4 at Tonybet
Over 2.5 goals 84.21%
Both Team To Score 59.52%
Half-time / Full-time : Red Star Belgrade/Red Star Belgrade 27.14% 7 at Betsson

Red Star Belgrade vs PSV Eindhoven Form

Red Star Belgrade and PSV Eindhoven's standings in the Champions League

Teams Pts P W D L GD
14
PSV Eindhoven
PSV Eindhoven
14 8 4 2 2 4
29
Red Star Belgrade
Red Star Belgrade
6 8 2 0 6 -9

Red Star Belgrade and PSV Eindhoven Last Matches

Red Star Belgrade
Red Star Belgrade Last matches
W L W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

5.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
4.5 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

15 Jan 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Red Star Belgrade
4 :  0
PFC Levski Sofia

22 Dec 2024 - Serbian Super Liga

Red Star Belgrade
5 :  2
FK Cukaricki

18 Dec 2024 - Serbian Super Liga

FK Jedinstvo UB
0 :  4
Red Star Belgrade

15 Dec 2024 - Serbian Super Liga

FK Novi Pazar
1 :  7
Red Star Belgrade

11 Dec 2024 - Champions League

AC Milan
2 :  1
Red Star Belgrade

7 Dec 2024 - Serbian Super Liga

Red Star Belgrade
6 :  0
FK Tekstilac Odzaci
L W W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

5.67 Total goals
67% BTTS
4.17 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

15 Jan 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Red Star Belgrade
4 :  0
PFC Levski Sofia

22 Dec 2024 - Serbian Super Liga

Red Star Belgrade
5 :  2
FK Cukaricki

7 Dec 2024 - Serbian Super Liga

Red Star Belgrade
6 :  0
FK Tekstilac Odzaci

4 Dec 2024 - Serbian Super Liga

Red Star Belgrade
3 :  1
FK TSC Backa Topola

27 Nov 2024 - Champions League

Red Star Belgrade
5 :  1
Stuttgart

6 Nov 2024 - Champions League

Red Star Belgrade
2 :  5
Barcelona
W W W L W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.17 Total goals
33% BTTS
3.67 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

18 Dec 2024 - Serbian Super Liga

FK Jedinstvo UB
0 :  4
Red Star Belgrade

15 Dec 2024 - Serbian Super Liga

FK Novi Pazar
1 :  7
Red Star Belgrade

11 Dec 2024 - Champions League

AC Milan
2 :  1
Red Star Belgrade

30 Nov 2024 - Serbian Super Liga

FK Mladost Lucani
0 :  2
Red Star Belgrade

10 Nov 2024 - Serbian Super Liga

OFK Belgrade
0 :  1
Red Star Belgrade

30 Oct 2024 - Serbia Cup

FK Tekstilac Odzaci
0 :  7
Red Star Belgrade
PSV Eindhoven
PSV Eindhoven Last matches
L W W D W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
3.17 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

18 Jan 2025 - Eredivisie

Zwolle
3 :  1
PSV Eindhoven

14 Jan 2025 - KNVB beker

PSV Eindhoven
5 :  4
Excelsior

11 Jan 2025 - Eredivisie

PSV Eindhoven
2 :  2
AZ Alkmaar

22 Dec 2024 - Eredivisie

PSV Eindhoven
3 :  0
Feyenoord

17 Dec 2024 - KNVB beker

PSV Eindhoven
8 :  0
Koninklijke HFC

14 Dec 2024 - Eredivisie

Heerenveen
1 :  0
PSV Eindhoven
W W W W D W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

6 Total goals
67% BTTS
4.5 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

14 Jan 2025 - KNVB beker

PSV Eindhoven
5 :  4
Excelsior

11 Jan 2025 - Eredivisie

PSV Eindhoven
2 :  2
AZ Alkmaar

22 Dec 2024 - Eredivisie

PSV Eindhoven
3 :  0
Feyenoord

17 Dec 2024 - KNVB beker

PSV Eindhoven
8 :  0
Koninklijke HFC

6 Dec 2024 - Eredivisie

PSV Eindhoven
6 :  1
Twente

27 Nov 2024 - Champions League

PSV Eindhoven
3 :  2
Shakhtar Donetsk
L W W L L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

18 Jan 2025 - Eredivisie

Zwolle
3 :  1
PSV Eindhoven

14 Dec 2024 - Eredivisie

Heerenveen
1 :  0
PSV Eindhoven

10 Dec 2024 - Champions League

Brest
1 :  0
PSV Eindhoven

1 Dec 2024 - Eredivisie

Utrecht
2 :  5
PSV Eindhoven

9 Nov 2024 - Eredivisie

NAC Breda
0 :  3
PSV Eindhoven

2 Nov 2024 - Eredivisie

Ajax
3 :  2
PSV Eindhoven
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Red Star Belgrade - PSV Eindhoven: Form Analysis

Red Star's last competitive match was before last Christmas, when they won three matches in a row. Following the winter break, the Serbians are easing into action and have played four friends before this match.

They have won all four matches, aggregating 16 goals in the sequence. The Serbians have just three points from six matches so far, winning one and losing five. That leaves them in 31st place and waiting for a miracle to get into the playoff spots.

Red Star's lone win came here when they won 5-1 against Stuttgart in their last home match.

Goals remain the common denominator for the Serbians, whose six Champions League matches so far have aggregated 29 goals. That included at least six goals in each of their last two home matches!

PSV were beaten 3-1 by Zwolle away from home in their match at the weekend, but that was their only loss in five matches. Their form in the Champions League needs a bit of fine-tuning, as they lost 1-0 to Brest on their last matchday.

That defeat ended a four-game unbeaten sequence where the Dutch side won and drew two matches each. Those positive vibes shouldn't mask the fact that PSV are yet to win an away Champions League match this season, drawing one and losing two.

Red Star Belgrade against PSV Eindhoven Lineups: Starting 11

Red Star Belgrade

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

18
O. Glazer
2
O. Mimovic
34
N. Djiga
5
U. Spajic
66
S. Young-woo
6
R. Krunic
21
T. Elsnik
15
Silas
4
M. Ivanic
49
N. Radonjic
9
C. Ndiaye
10
N. Lang
9
L. De Jong
11
J. Bakayoko
22
J. Schouten
20
G. Til
23
J. Veerman
17
Mauro Junior
18
O. Boscagli
6
R. Flamingo
37
R. Ledezma
1
W. Benitez

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

PSV Eindhoven

Red Star Belgrade & PSV Eindhoven Squad Analysis

Red Star could be without forward Bruno Duarte, who was unavailable throughout their recent friends due to injury. Peter Olayinka is a long-term absentee due to an Achilles problem. Concerns remain over the availability of Omri Glazer, who is back in training but could still be out for this match.

Nemanja Radonjic is their best scorer in the Champions League with three goals, while Silas contributed two in the competition so far.

PSV has a bigger injury and suspension list to worry about.

Sergino Dest is out with a knee injury, while Adamo Nagalo is out with a shoulder injury since last October. Couhaib Driouech is also out of restraint due to an ankle injury. Malik Tillman and Matteo Dams are suspended due to the accumulation of yellow cards.

Tillman's absence is a big blow, with the midfielder having already scored three goals and two assists in this competition so far. That leaves the burden of scoring on Johan Bakayoko, who has one goal and assists to his name in the Champions League.

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Red Star Belgrade
CD Huachipato PSV Eindhoven
Top Goalscorer
Serbia N. Radonjic (3 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
USA R. Pepi (13 Goals)
Best assists
South Korea S. Young-woo (3 Assists)
Best assists
Netherlands J. Veerman (10 Assists)

Red Star Belgrade - PSV Eindhoven Key Points

  1. The two prior H2Hs between Red Star and PSV Eindhoven produced five goals each.
  2. Red Star’s last six competitive matches produced over 2.5 goals.
  3. Red Star’s all six Champions League matches this season have seen at least three goals scored.
  4. The last five competitive matches featuring PSV have produced at least three goals.
  5. At least four goals were scored in two of PSV’s last three Champions League matches.

Our Red Star Belgrade vs PSV Eindhoven Prediction

Red Star's hopes of qualifying for the knockouts of the UEFA Champions League stage look slim, considering their poor results so far in the campaign. They remain five points behind top-24 teams, meaning anything other than a win here could push them closer towards the exit. Their absence of competitive football because of the Serbian winter break gives PSV a chance to get a win here. They have struggled to keep a clean sheet, though, which points out that goals could be in focus here. Our Red Star Belgrade vs PSV Eindhoven prediction is over 2.5.

Prediction :

 

Over 2.5

 
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Red Star Belgrade vs PSV Eindhoven - Other Interesting Predictions

Johan Bakayoko anytime goalscorer

Odds 3.2
Johan Bakayoko scored PSV's only goal in their loss to Zwolle at the weekend. The young forward could be the focus of their attacking outlet once again, as he looks to add to his tally of one goal and one assist in the Champions League this season.
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Red Star Belgrade PSV Eindhoven

Red Star Belgrade vs PSV Eindhoven Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Red Star Belgrade wins 3.75 4.2 +12.0%
Draw 4 4.2 +5.0%
PSV Eindhoven wins 1.8 1.73 -3.9%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Red Star Belgrade is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have increased by 12.0% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 26.7% and is now 23.8% (-2.9%)

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Red Star Belgrade vs PSV Eindhoven Prediction

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