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Red Star Belgrade vs Benfica Lisbon Prediction & Betting Tips - Champions League
by Nella Wagah in Champions League Predictions
Two sides with rich history in Europe, Red Star Belgrade and Benfica will square off in Round 1 of the 2024/25 Champions League. Crveno-beli will host this Thursday 19th September match at the Rajko Mitic Stadium in Belgrade.
Predictions may favor AS Águias but recent results depict the hosts can be tough opponents to break. They might have faded away in recent times but together, these two teams have a total of three Champions League titles.
The most recent winners of them was Red Star Belgrade, the 1991 champions, while Benfica bagged the title in consecutive seasons in 1961 and 1962. Five times in their history, Benfica finished as runners-up in the Champions League and three times in the Europa League.
Red Star, on the other hand, had second-place finishes in the Europa League and UEFA Super Cup. These make part of the history the teams bring to this season’s revamped competition. Both teams have also had respective strong starts in their domestic seasons.
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The Best Betting Odds for Red Star Belgrade v Benfica Lisbon Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4 | 3.9 | 1.83 |
|
|
3.7 | 2.6 | 2.2 |
|
|
3.88 | 3.91 | 1.99 |
|
|
3.88 | 3.91 | 1.99 |
|
|
3.7 | 3.7 | 1.95 |
|
|
3.74 | 3.76 | 1.92 |
|
|
3.74 | 3.76 | 1.92 |
|
|
4.1 | 3.9 | 1.89 |
|
|
3.74 | 3.76 | 1.92 |
|
|
3.75 | 3.8 | 1.95 |
|
|
1.5 | 4 | 8 |
|
|
3.95 | 3.75 | 1.94 |
|
|
3.8 | 3.6 | 2 |
|
|
4 | 3.85 | 1.88 |
|
|
3.9 | 3.8 | 1.85 |
|
|
4.2 | 3.88 | 1.88 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Red Star Belgrade and Benfica Lisbon?
Our prediction for the Red Star Belgrade vs Benfica Lisbon match is: Red Star Belgrade to win.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 19/09/2024 between Red Star Belgrade and Benfica Lisbon in Champions League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 50.72% for a win of Red Star Belgrade against Benfica Lisbon with odds of 4.2 at Vbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Red Star Belgrade vs Benfica Lisbon is 25.2% with odds of 4 at Betway.
- Our prediction model gives a 24.07% chance ⭐ for a win of Benfica Lisbon vs Red Star Belgrade with odds of 8 at Betway.
Red Star Belgrade - Benfica Lisbon Prediction and Best Odds:
| Red Star Belgrade Benfica Lisbon Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Red Star Belgrade wins | 50.72% | 4.2 at Vbet |
| Under 2.5 | 59.1% | 2.23 at Vbet |
| Both Team To Score | 42.86% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Red Star Belgrade/Red Star Belgrade | 18.4% | 6.8 at Betsson |
Red Star Belgrade vs Benfica Lisbon Form
Red Star Belgrade and Benfica Lisbon's standings in the Champions League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
15
|
10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
|
31
|
3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -9 |
Red Star Belgrade and Benfica Lisbon Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Sep 2024 - Serbian Super Liga
1 Sep 2024 - Serbian Super Liga
28 Aug 2024 - Champions League
20 Aug 2024 - Champions League
15 Aug 2024 - Serbian Super Liga
10 Aug 2024 - Serbian Super Liga
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Sep 2024 - Serbian Super Liga
28 Aug 2024 - Champions League
10 Aug 2024 - Serbian Super Liga
27 Jul 2024 - Serbian Super Liga
20 Jul 2024 - Serbian Super Liga
12 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Sep 2024 - Serbian Super Liga
20 Aug 2024 - Champions League
15 Aug 2024 - Serbian Super Liga
3 Aug 2024 - Serbian Super Liga
8 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
28 Jun 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Sep 2024 - Liga Portugal
30 Aug 2024 - Liga Portugal
24 Aug 2024 - Liga Portugal
17 Aug 2024 - Liga Portugal
11 Aug 2024 - Liga Portugal
2 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Sep 2024 - Liga Portugal
24 Aug 2024 - Liga Portugal
17 Aug 2024 - Liga Portugal
2 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
28 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
25 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Aug 2024 - Liga Portugal
11 Aug 2024 - Liga Portugal
17 May 2024 - Liga Portugal
5 May 2024 - Liga Portugal
22 Apr 2024 - Liga Portugal
18 Apr 2024 - Europa League
Red Star Belgrade - Benfica Lisbon: Form Analysis
Red Star Belgrade started their Champions League journey from the Play-offs stage and saw off Bodo/Glimt 3-2 on aggregate. That secured their slot at this stage, for the fourth time in the last eight seasons.
Coupling that with their strong run in the domestic season should keep the hosts confident of a good start in Europe. The Serbian side will be meeting Benfica for only the third time in their history.
They lost 4-3 on aggregate in 1984/85 but won the home leg 3-2. Red Star last faced a Portuguese club in the 2021/22 Europa League, and beat Braga 2-1 at home before drawing 1-1 away.
With two wins in three home matches against Portuguese sides, Red Star will view this match with some optimism. Their 2-0 win against Napredak in their domestic league on Saturday cemented their three-point buffer, giving them the perfect warmup for this game. It was also their third straight win.
Red Star Belgrade will be banking on home form to beat Benfica.
Benfica’s only taste of Serbian opposition came in their two matches against Red Star Belgrade. As they start their 14th of 15 seasons at this stage, they’ll hope to do better than in their last visit here.
Last season they failed to leave their Champions League group, regressing from quarter-final finishes in 2021/22 and 2022/23. That was a highlight of the low season that also saw them lose in their title defence, finishing 10 points behind Sporting.
A 2-0 opening day defeat at Famalicão painted the picture of a tough season ahead but there have been positive signs lately. The only shift after that defeat wasn’t in the three wins in four matches but also a change in management.
Bruno Lage is back as manager for a second stint, replacing Roger Schmidt. In Lage’s first game in charge, Benfica’s most recent outing, they came from behind to beat Santa Clara 4-1.
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Red Star Belgrade against Benfica Lisbon Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 2 - 4
Red Star Belgrade & Benfica Lisbon Squad Analysis
Red Star Belgrade have really excelled in attack this season, and one man to thank for that is Bruno Duarte. The Brazilian forward has six goals in nine matches thus far, and will form the biggest threat to Benfica.
His experience playing in Portugal will be key for Red Star. During his stint with Vitoria Guimaraes, he scored a goal against Benfica.
Mirko Ivanic is also coming up well in his support role and two goals in the last two matches make him a possible starter here. In goal, Omri Glazer returned to replace Marko Ilić after recovering from injury and should keep his place on Thursday.
However, Vladimir Lučić remains out with a knee injury.
There will be a lot of attention afforded to Bruno Duarte and Kerem Akturkoglu.
Benfica will also have an attacking threat of their own to bring into this game. Kerem Akturkoglu marked his debut on Saturday with a goal and will be fired up for this game.
Florentino Morris also scored in the Santa Clara rout, and though it was a rare goal, there will be a buzz about him too. Veteran Angel Di Maria opened his account for the season in that game and will be among the players expected to lift the Portuguese side here.
Meanwhile, Jan-Niklas Beste is available again after recovering from a muscle strain. There isn’t much better news for Bruno Lage, with Tiago Gouveia and Fredrik Aursnes still out injured.
Most goals and assists
Red Star Belgrade
Benfica Lisbon
N. Radonjic
(3 Goals)
K. Akturkoglu
(9 Goals)
T. Elsnik
(2 Assists)
, 
R. Krunic
(2 Assists)
, 
S. Young-woo
(2 Assists)
K. Akturkoglu
(5 Assists)
, 
A. Di Maria
(5 Assists)
Red Star Belgrade - Benfica Lisbon Key Points
- Benfica have no win in their last four away matches.
- Red Star Belgrade are coming from three straight wins.
- Benfica have five losses in eight Champions League games.
- In the last seven away matches, Benfica managed just one win.
- In their last 18 home matches, Red Star Belgrade haven't tasted defeat.
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Our Red Star Belgrade vs Benfica Lisbon Prediction
The last team to beat Red Star Belgrade at home was Manchester City, and it wasn’t easy for the Premier League champions. Red Star scored twice in that game, and have since gone undefeated in 18 home games, winning 16.
While it hasn’t been great in the Champions League, Rajko Mitic Stadium is a fortress and Benfica will need to be at their best. For a side settling under a new coach, this will be a gargantuan test.
The visitors have no win in the last four competitive away matches and won just once in seven. Our prediction for Red Star Belgrade v Benfica is for Red Star Belgrade to win.
Red Star Belgrade vs Benfica Lisbon - Other Interesting Predictions
Red Star Belgrade to win to nil
Seven times in their last nine home matches in the Champions League, Red Star Belgrade scored at least two goals. They kept clean sheets in four of those nine matches. Coming into this game, they have three straight wins, all with clean sheets and are doing well at home.
Their visitors aren’t really enjoying their time away from home. Benfica have not only failed to win in their last four away matches, they also didn’t score in two of them. Our second prediction is for Red Star Belgrade to win to nil.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Red Star Belgrade Benfica Lisbon
| Red Star Belgrade vs Benfica Lisbon | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Red Star Belgrade wins | 3.4 | 4 | +17.6% |
| Draw | 3.5 | 3.9 | +11.4% |
| Benfica Lisbon wins | 2.1 | 1.83 | -12.9% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Red Star Belgrade is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 17.6% since opening
- The probability of this result was 29.4% and is now 25.0% (-4.4%)
2 Goals Ahead Early Payout
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Red Star Belgrade vs Benfica Lisbon match : Frequently asked questions
The Red Star Belgrade v Benfica Champions League game will be played on Thursday 19th September, starting 16:45 GMT.
The Red Star Belgrade v Benfica Champions League game will be played at the Rajko Mitic Stadium in Belgrade.
For interested fans in Serbia, this match will be aired on Arena Sport, while in Portugal, you can watch it on DAZN and Sport TV. The Champions League Livescores page on SportyTrader will also have the updates.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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