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Real Sociedad vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction & Betting Tips - LaLiga
by Sridhar in LaLiga Predictions
Consistent top-six finishers Real Sociedad look to improve their home form as they start the La Liga 2024–25 campaign against Rayo Vallecano. This match will be played at the Reale Arena in San Sebastian, with our prediction of a dull encounter with only a few goals on offer.
Sociedad ended last season in sixth place with 60 points, thereby making it a fourth consecutive La Liga campaign where they finished in the top-six spots. Nevertheless, all eyes were on the outgoings in the summer, with star midfielder Martin Zubimendi flirting with the idea of joining Liverpool, only to stay back at the last minute.
The hosts need to improve their results at this venue, having failed to win 11 of their last 19 league matches here. Vallecano may not be confident enough to take advantage of that poor record, considering their own struggles. The visitors finished just above the bottom-three last season, avoiding the drop by five points. Even in the pre-season ahead of this campaign, they lost four of their last five friendlies.
It's their away form that was a worry for Vallecano, having lost nine and drawn six of their 19 away matches last season. That included losing six and drawing two of their last eight league trips, so there remain doubts over their ability to start this season with a win here.
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The Best Betting Odds for Real Sociedad v Rayo Vallecano Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
451 | 51 | 1 |
|
|
1.57 | 3.7 | 6.5 |
|
|
2.51 | 2.06 | 4.95 |
|
|
2.51 | 2.06 | 4.95 |
|
|
1.64 | 3.6 | 6.5 |
|
|
1.58 | 3.76 | 6.35 |
|
|
1.58 | 3.76 | 6.35 |
|
|
100 | 27 | 1.01 |
|
|
1.58 | 3.76 | 6.35 |
|
|
1.6 | 3.8 | 6.6 |
|
|
301 | 26 | 1.01 |
|
|
201 | 19 | 1.01 |
|
|
25 | 4.4 | 1.27 |
|
|
1.6 | 3.75 | 7 |
|
|
1.8 | 3.5 | 5 |
|
|
1.75 | 3.25 | 5.8 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Real Sociedad and Rayo Vallecano?
Our prediction for the Real Sociedad vs Rayo Vallecano match is: Under 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 18/08/2024 between Real Sociedad and Rayo Vallecano in LaLiga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 45.97% for a win of Real Sociedad against Rayo Vallecano with odds of 451 at Bet365.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Real Sociedad vs Rayo Vallecano is 27.82% with odds of 51 at Bet365.
- Our prediction model gives a 26.21% chance ⭐ for a win of Rayo Vallecano vs Real Sociedad with odds of 7 at Betfair.
Real Sociedad - Rayo Vallecano Prediction and Best Odds:
| Real Sociedad Rayo Vallecano Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Real Sociedad wins | 45.97% | 451 at Bet365 |
| Under 2.5 | 65.17% | 2.09 at Tonybet |
| Both Team To Score | 36.67% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Real Sociedad/Real Sociedad | 19.61% | 11 at Unibet |
Real Sociedad vs Rayo Vallecano Form
Real Sociedad and Rayo Vallecano's standings in the LaLiga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
8
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 1 |
|
12
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 0 |
Real Sociedad and Rayo Vallecano Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
31 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
25 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
20 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
29 May 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
25 May 2024 - LaLiga
16 May 2024 - LaLiga
4 May 2024 - LaLiga
26 Apr 2024 - LaLiga
14 Apr 2024 - LaLiga
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
25 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
20 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
29 May 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
19 May 2024 - LaLiga
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
4 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
31 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
26 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
20 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
18 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 May 2024 - LaLiga
15 May 2024 - LaLiga
5 May 2024 - LaLiga
20 Apr 2024 - LaLiga
13 Apr 2024 - LaLiga
17 Mar 2024 - LaLiga
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
4 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
31 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
26 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
20 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
18 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
Real Sociedad vs Rayo Vallecano Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
50 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
27 Jan 2024 - LaLiga
29 Oct 2023 - LaLiga
22 Apr 2023 - LaLiga
21 Jan 2023 - LaLiga
1 May 2022 - LaLiga
22 Aug 2021 - LaLiga
Real Sociedad against Rayo Vallecano Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Missing players
A. Zakharyan
Most goals and assists
Real Sociedad
Rayo Vallecano
T. Kubo
(3 Goals)
, 
O. Oskarsson
(3 Goals)
J. De Frutos
(3 Goals)
B. Mendez
(4 Assists)
A. Embarba
(2 Assists)
Real Sociedad - Rayo Vallecano Key Points
- Five of Sociedad’s last six matches have produced under 2.5 goals
- Sociedad’s last seven league matches have all seen two or fewer goals scored
- That was also the case in their last four home matches in the league
- Vallecano’s last three matches have produced fewer than three goals
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Our Real Sociedad vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction
After a fourth consecutive top-six finish last season, Real Sociedad have high hopes ahead of the 2024-25 La Liga campaign. The hosts have had an interesting summer, where their biggest success was midfielder Martin Zubimendi staying back . Vallecano managed to avoid relegation by the barest of margins last season and will need to start well in this campaign. These sides have struggled for goals recently, and that's why our prediction for Real Sociedad vs Rayo Vallecano is for under 2.5 goals to be scored.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Real Sociedad Rayo Vallecano
| Real Sociedad vs Rayo Vallecano | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Real Sociedad wins | 1.53 | 451 | +29,377.1% |
| Draw | 3.6 | 51 | +1,316.7% |
| Rayo Vallecano wins | 6.25 | 1 | -84.0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Real Sociedad is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 29,377.1% since opening
- The probability of this result was 65.4% and is now 0.2% (-65.1%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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