Europe - Europa League
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by Joseph King in Europa League Predictions
The eighth and final matchday in the league phase of the UEFA Europa League sees 18th-place Real Soceidad hosting 17th-place PAOK. La Real and the White-Blacks meet in a high-stakes battle with entry into the knockout round playoff on the line! Here’s our match prediction.
With both teams on 10 points with identical 3-1-3 records, there are two points separating themselves and 25th-placed Porto. A draw would see them both through and, even with a defeat, Real Soceidad or PAOK would still most likely qualify for the top 24. However, neither side can qualify for the top eight.
Real Soceidad come into this matchup trying to snap out of a losing run. A 3-1 loss to Lazio last week in this competition was followed up by a heavy 3-0 clobbering on their home field by Getafe at the weekend.
They’ve now lost their last three in a row across all competitions, conceding seven goals and scoring just once during that stretch.
Their Greek opponents head to Basque Country looking to extend their winning streak to three games. They cruised to a comfortable 2-0 home win over Slavia last week and then secured a 1-0 home win over Levadiakos on Sunday.
Additionally, PAOK have been clicking in this competition as they’ve won their last three Europa League matches in a row.
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The Best Betting Odds for Real Sociedad v PAOK Thessaloniki Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.75 | 3.5 | 5 |
|
|
1.73 | 3.6 | 5 |
|
|
2.05 | 2.45 | 4.5 |
|
|
1.77 | 3.59 | 5.34 |
|
|
1.77 | 3.59 | 5.34 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Real Sociedad and PAOK Thessaloniki?
Our prediction for the Real Sociedad vs PAOK Thessaloniki match is: under 2.5.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 30/01/2025 between Real Sociedad and PAOK Thessaloniki in Europa League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 49.92% for a win of Real Sociedad against PAOK Thessaloniki with odds of 2.05 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Real Sociedad vs PAOK Thessaloniki is 16.79% with odds of 3.9 at Betobet.
- Our prediction model gives a 33.3% chance ⭐ for a win of PAOK Thessaloniki vs Real Sociedad with odds of 6 at Betobet.
Real Sociedad - PAOK Thessaloniki Prediction and Best Odds:
| Real Sociedad PAOK Thessaloniki Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Real Sociedad wins | 49.92% | 2.05 at Ladbrokes |
| Under 2.5 | 56.33% | 2.04 at Betobet |
| Both Team To Score | 26.19% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Real Sociedad | 26.73% | 4.5 at Bet365 |
Real Sociedad vs PAOK Thessaloniki Form
Real Sociedad and PAOK Thessaloniki's standings in the Europa League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
13
|
13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
|
22
|
10 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 2 |
Real Sociedad and PAOK Thessaloniki Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Jan 2025 - LaLiga
23 Jan 2025 - Europa League
19 Jan 2025 - LaLiga
16 Jan 2025 - Copa del Rey
13 Jan 2025 - LaLiga
5 Jan 2025 - Copa del Rey
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Jan 2025 - LaLiga
16 Jan 2025 - Copa del Rey
13 Jan 2025 - LaLiga
15 Dec 2024 - LaLiga
12 Dec 2024 - Europa League
1 Dec 2024 - LaLiga
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Jan 2025 - Europa League
19 Jan 2025 - LaLiga
5 Jan 2025 - Copa del Rey
21 Dec 2024 - LaLiga
8 Dec 2024 - LaLiga
5 Dec 2024 - Copa del Rey
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Jan 2025 - Superleague
23 Jan 2025 - Europa League
19 Jan 2025 - Superleague
12 Jan 2025 - Superleague
9 Jan 2025 - Greece Cup
5 Jan 2025 - Superleague
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Jan 2025 - Superleague
23 Jan 2025 - Europa League
12 Jan 2025 - Superleague
9 Jan 2025 - Greece Cup
22 Dec 2024 - Superleague
12 Dec 2024 - Europa League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Jan 2025 - Superleague
5 Jan 2025 - Superleague
18 Dec 2024 - Greece Cup
15 Dec 2024 - Superleague
8 Dec 2024 - Superleague
28 Nov 2024 - Europa League
Real Sociedad against PAOK Thessaloniki Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Most goals and assists
Real Sociedad
PAOK Thessaloniki
M. Oyarzabal
(13 Goals)
G. Konstantelias
(9 Goals)
S. Gomez
(5 Assists)
K. Despodov
(7 Assists)
Real Sociedad - PAOK Thessaloniki Key Points
- PAOK have kept three clean sheets in a row as well as three straight clean sheets in the Europa League.
- Real Sociedad have kept 16 clean sheets in 31 matches across all competitions.
- There have been under 2.5 goals in four of PAOK’s last five matches overall.
- Real Sociedad have seen under 2.5 goals in seven of their last 10 home appearances.
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Our Real Sociedad vs PAOK Thessaloniki Prediction
Real Sociedad manager Imanol Alguacil will be demanding an improved performance from his team’s defense after conceding six goals in their last two matches alone. La Real have been a strong defensive team this season, as evidenced by their 17 goals and 11 clean sheets in 21 La Liga fixtures.
PAOK, to their credit, are no slouches on the defensive side of the ball either. They’re on a three-match clean sheet run in the Europa League. With a draw benefitting both sides here, we aren’t expecting too many goals. Our Athletic Club vs PAOK prediction: under 2.5.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Real Sociedad PAOK Thessaloniki
| Real Sociedad vs PAOK Thessaloniki | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Real Sociedad wins | 1.65 | 1.75 | +6.1% |
| Draw | 3.6 | 3.5 | -2.8% |
| PAOK Thessaloniki wins | 5.5 | 5 | -9.1% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Real Sociedad is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 6.1% since opening
- The probability of this result was 60.6% and is now 57.1% (-3.5%)
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