Spain - LaLiga
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by Sridhar in LaLiga Predictions
With the race for European spots heating up in La Liga, Real Sociedad and Mallorca meet on Saturday with only a point separating them before this matchday 31 fixture. Reale Arena will host this match between the eighth-placed La Real and the 10th-placed Pirates with our prediction of a home win.
Sociedad have 41 points, and Mallorca are one point behind, as they chase the top six spots, with the last occupied by Celta Vigo on 43 points. Sociedad won 3-1 away at Las Palmas last weekend to mark their second league win in a row. Sandwiched between those is a 4-4 draw at Real Madrid that knocked them out of Copa del Rey competition.
While their home record hasn’t been dominating, Sociedad have six wins from their last nine matches at this venue in all competitions. Even in the league, they won three of their last four home league matches.
Mallorca were once in the running for a top six spot, but just two league wins in the calendar year 2025 have pulled them down. They had five defeats and four draws in the last 11 league matches, including two defeats in a row.
Even the away form seems to have ditched the visitors, as they lost three and drew two of their five recent league trips.
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The Best Betting Odds for Real Sociedad v Mallorca Match
Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
---|---|---|---|---|
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2.05 | 3.2 | 4.1 |
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1.91 | 3.2 | 4.6 |
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2.25 | 2.25 | 4.4 |
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1.88 | 3.1 | 4.6 |
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2.04 | 3.24 | 4.33 |
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What is the prediction for the football match between Real Sociedad and Mallorca?
Our prediction for the Real Sociedad vs Mallorca match is: Real Sociedad wins the match.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 12/04/2025 between Real Sociedad and Mallorca in LaLiga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 52.07% for a win of Real Sociedad against Mallorca with odds of 2.25 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Real Sociedad vs Mallorca is 30.35% with odds of 3.32 at Betwinner.
- Our prediction model gives a 17.58% chance ⭐ for a win of Mallorca vs Real Sociedad with odds of 5.45 at Betwinner.
Real Sociedad - Mallorca Prediction and Best Odds:
Real Sociedad Mallorca Prediction | Probability | Odds |
---|---|---|
Real Sociedad wins | 52.07% | 2.25 at Ladbrokes |
Under 2.5 | 55.96% | 2 at Tonybet |
Both Team To Score | 48.75% | 2.23 at Unibet |
Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Real Sociedad | 23.9% | 4.8 at Unibet |
Real Sociedad vs Mallorca Form
Real Sociedad and Mallorca's standings in the LaLiga
Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
8
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43 | 31 | 12 | 7 | 12 | -6 |
9
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41 | 31 | 12 | 5 | 14 | -4 |
Real Sociedad and Mallorca Last Matches

2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Apr 2025 - LaLiga
1 Apr 2025 - Copa del Rey
29 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
16 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
13 Mar 2025 - Europa League
9 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
9 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
6 Mar 2025 - Europa League
26 Feb 2025 - Copa del Rey
23 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
20 Feb 2025 - Europa League
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Apr 2025 - LaLiga
1 Apr 2025 - Copa del Rey
16 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
13 Mar 2025 - Europa League
2 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
16 Feb 2025 - LaLiga

1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Apr 2025 - LaLiga
30 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
15 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
9 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
2 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
24 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Apr 2025 - LaLiga
15 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
2 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
16 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
10 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
25 Jan 2025 - LaLiga
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
9 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
24 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
1 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
20 Jan 2025 - LaLiga
9 Jan 2025 - Super Cup
Real Sociedad vs Mallorca Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
50 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
17 Sep 2024 - LaLiga
27 Feb 2024 - Copa del Rey
18 Feb 2024 - LaLiga
6 Feb 2024 - Copa del Rey
21 Oct 2023 - LaLiga
12 Mar 2023 - LaLiga
Real Sociedad against Mallorca Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 5 - 3 - 2
Missing players

A. Odriozola
N. Aguerd
MidfielderA. Zakharyan
I. Zubeldia
ForwardS. Becker

R. Navarro
M. Morlanes
ForwardT. Asano
V. Muriqi
Most goals and assists






Real Sociedad - Mallorca Key Points
- Sociedad have won six of their last nine matches in all competitions when playing at home.
- In three of their last four home league matches, Sociedad emerged victorious.
- Mallorca lost five of their last seven away matches in all competitions.
- In La Liga, Mallorca were beaten in three of their last five away games.
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Our Real Sociedad vs Mallorca Prediction
Only one point separates these two teams currently outside the European qualification spots. That increases the possibility of a tight game, as was the case in the 1-0 reverse fixture win for Mallorca. Real Sociedad are knocked out of Europe and Copa del Rey, leaving La Liga as their only hope. Their recent record in the league at this venue is impressive and gives them a chance to avenge the reverse fixture loss. Even Mallorca’s poor form on the road is a reason for that optimism, and our Real Sociedad vs Mallorca prediction is Real Sociedad wins the match.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Real Sociedad Mallorca
Real Sociedad vs Mallorca | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
---|---|---|---|
Real Sociedad wins | 2.05 | 2.05 | 0% |
Draw | 2.9 | 3.2 | +10.3% |
Mallorca wins | 4.5 | 4.1 | -8.9% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Real Sociedad is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have not changed since opening
- The probability of this result was 48.8% and is now 48.8% (0.0%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Real Sociedad vs. Mallorca game!
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Try your luck on this year's LaLiga! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

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