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Real Madrid vs Valladolid Prediction & Betting Tips - LaLiga
by Nella Wagah in LaLiga Predictions
One of the biggest games in La Liga this weekend sees champions Real Madrid return home to host newly promoted Real Valladolid. The champions of Spain and Europe have posted mixed results in their opening two matches.
They beat Atalanta to win the Super Cup but drew with Mallorca in their first league match. Playing at the Santiago Bernabeu for the first time this season on Sunday 25th August, predictions are that they will be bagging three points.
While Real Madrid struggled away on Match Day 1, Real Valladolid got the perfect return to La Liga. The visitors collected three points at home against fellow promoted side Espanyol. Real Valladolid will be in the right spirit to take on Los Blancos, looking to build on their fine start.
In April last year, Albivioletas played their last game at the Bernabeu before relegation and it didn’t end really well for them.
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The Best Betting Odds for Real Madrid v Valladolid Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.04 | 13 | 151 |
|
|
1.36 | 3.8 | 8.5 |
|
|
1.04 | 13 | 201 |
|
|
1.04 | 13 | 201 |
|
|
1.15 | 8.5 | 19 |
|
|
1.14 | 8.4 | 16 |
|
|
1.14 | 8.4 | 16 |
|
|
1.03 | 13.25 | 100 |
|
|
1.14 | 8.3 | 16 |
|
|
1.18 | 7.8 | 15 |
|
|
1.02 | 15 | 151 |
|
|
1.02 | 19 | 301 |
|
|
1 | 501 | 501 |
|
|
1.14 | 9 | 21 |
|
|
1.12 | 8.5 | 19 |
|
|
1.05 | 12 | 126 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Real Madrid and Valladolid?
Our prediction for the Real Madrid vs Valladolid match is: Real Madrid to win to nil.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 25/08/2024 between Real Madrid and Valladolid in LaLiga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 63.58% for a win of Real Madrid against Valladolid with odds of 1.36 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Real Madrid vs Valladolid is 15.42% with odds of 501 at Betfair.
- Our prediction model gives a 21% chance ⭐ for a win of Valladolid vs Real Madrid with odds of 501 at Betfair.
Real Madrid - Valladolid Prediction and Best Odds:
| Real Madrid Valladolid Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid wins | 63.58% | 1.36 at Ladbrokes |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58% | 11 at Vbet |
| Both Team To Score | 47.92% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Real Madrid | 32.03% | 4.2 at Betsson |
Real Madrid vs Valladolid Form
Real Madrid and Valladolid's standings in the LaLiga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
40 | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 23 |
|
20
|
12 | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | -25 |
Real Madrid and Valladolid Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Aug 2024 - LaLiga
14 Aug 2024 - Uefa Super Cup
6 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
31 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
1 Jun 2024 - Champions League
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Aug 2024 - Uefa Super Cup
25 May 2024 - LaLiga
14 May 2024 - LaLiga
8 May 2024 - Champions League
4 May 2024 - LaLiga
21 Apr 2024 - LaLiga
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Aug 2024 - LaLiga
6 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
31 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
1 Jun 2024 - Champions League
19 May 2024 - LaLiga
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Aug 2024 - LaLiga
10 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
27 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
23 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
2 Jun 2024 - LaLiga 2
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Aug 2024 - LaLiga
27 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
26 May 2024 - LaLiga 2
11 May 2024 - LaLiga 2
28 Apr 2024 - LaLiga 2
13 Apr 2024 - LaLiga 2
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
23 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
2 Jun 2024 - LaLiga 2
19 May 2024 - LaLiga 2
4 May 2024 - LaLiga 2
Real Madrid vs Valladolid Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
83 %
17 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
2 Apr 2023 - LaLiga
30 Dec 2022 - LaLiga
20 Feb 2021 - LaLiga
30 Sep 2020 - LaLiga
26 Jan 2020 - LaLiga
24 Aug 2019 - LaLiga
Real Madrid - Valladolid: Form Analysis
Real Madrid are going into their 108th meeting with Real Valladolid and they’ll be looking to bag their 70th win. Clearly the champions have dominated this fixture, and that will be the basis of their plan to bounce back after a rather disappointing start to the domestic season.
While Real Madrid were lifting their 36th Primera Liga title, Valladolid were battling for promotion. The hosts will thus go out with clear instructions to show the real giants they are. That aspect of them was not out clearly last week when they were pegged back by Mallorca in a 1-1 draw.
They will want to revisit scenes from Valladolid’s last visit to Bernabeu. Back then Real won 6-0, registering a fifth straight win against Valladolid, all with clean sheets. The script is almost similar at the moment; Real are unbeaten in 24 home league matches and have seven clean sheets in eight.
Real Valladolid have been completely dominated in this fixture; they lost each of the last five without scoring.
Of the 107 meetings between these teams, Real Valladolid have managed just 16 wins. They have to go back some 16 years for the last time they beat Real Madrid. It goes even further back for the last time they won at the Bernabeu – 24 years ago! In 13 of the last 15 meetings, Valladolid lost.
One thing that will please the visitors though, is that Karim Benzema is no longer at Real Madrid. The Frenchman scored five times in the last two meetings between these teams. Valladolid will want to look at their opening 1-0 win against Espanyol for motivation.
However, the challenge here is way tougher, especially given in their last season in La Liga they managed only 12 points away from home. In their last 10 matches against Real Madrid, Valladolid scored just three goals but conceded 23 times.
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Real Madrid against Valladolid Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Missing players
D. Alaba
F. Mendy
J. Latasa
Real Madrid & Valladolid Squad Analysis
Real Madrid have a number of high profile players out of this game either through injury or suspension. Ferland Mendy is set to serve a one-match suspension after he was sent off in the opening league match.
On the sidelines, he joins Jude Bellingham who is reported to have picked an injury in training ahead of this game. Veteran Luka Modric has been touted as his replacement, and the Croatian fits the bill perfectly.
David Alaba remains a long-term absentee after his surgery in May. The same applies to Eduardo Camavinga, who is out until the end of September.
While Real Valladolid will have a majority of their key players, Jude Bellingham highlights the Real Madrid absentees.
Karl Hein got his first taste of Spanish football when he was drafted in goal against Espanyol. After keeping a clean sheet, the loanee from Arsenal did well to warrant another start.
The Estonian keeper benefits from the fact Arnau Rafus has had a hernia issue.
Moroccan Anuar Tuhami is also out injured while Andre Ferreira is suspended. The visitors are set to have a majority of the squad available though, which will be quite positive for this tough game.
Most goals and assists
Real Madrid
Valladolid
V. Junior
(13 Goals)
R. Moro
(3 Goals)
V. Junior
(6 Assists)
M. Sylla
(2 Assists)
Real Madrid - Valladolid Key Points
- Real Valladolid have no win in their last 14 visits to Santiago Bernabeu.
- Real Madrid have seven clean sheets in their last eight league games at home.
- Real Madrid haven't conceded a goal in the last five meetings with Real Valladolid.
- Real Madrid are unbeaten in the last 24 league matches they’ve played at the Bernabeu.
- In Real Valladolid’s previous season in La Liga, they managed 12 points away from home.
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Our Real Madrid vs Valladolid Prediction
Real Madrid’s celebrations after winning the Super Cup were cut short by a 1-1 draw with Mallorca. As they head to the Bernabeu for the first time this season, Los Blancos will definitely be baying for blood. In 24 league matches there, they’ve gone undefeated and in seven of the last eight, they kept clean sheets.
Real Valladolid will be aware of the challenge that awaits them there. The visitors have five straight losses against Real Madrid and haven't won at the Bernabeu since 2000. They also failed to score in their last five visits and now they find Madrid in top defensive form at home.
Our prediction for Real Madrid v Real Valladolid is for Real Madrid to win to nil.
Real Madrid vs Valladolid - Other Interesting Predictions
Over 2.5 goals
In six of Real Madrid’s last 10 league matches at home, the champions scored at least three goals. Coming from a disappointing away draw, they will want to do the job at home and this doesn’t look promising for the visitors. In our second prediction, we are backing the game to have over 2.5 goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Real Madrid Valladolid
| Real Madrid vs Valladolid | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid wins | 1.18 | 1.04 | -11.9% |
| Draw | 6.5 | 13 | +100.0% |
| Valladolid wins | 13 | 151 | +1,061.5% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Real Madrid is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 11.9% since opening
- The probability of this result was 84.7% and is now 96.2% (11.4%)
Real Madrid vs Valladolid match : Frequently asked questions
The Real Madrid v Real Valladolid match will be played at the Santiago Bernabeu Stadium in Madrid.
The Real Madrid v Real Valladolid match will be played on Sunday 25th August starting 4pm GMT
The Real Madrid v Real Valladolid match will be run by Victor Garcia as center referee, assisted by Julian Villaseñor and Ruben Porras.
Jude Bellingham has been ruled out of the Real Madrid v Real Valladolid match with injury.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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