Spain - LaLiga
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by Sridhar in LaLiga Predictions
Real Madrid will look to stay in touch with La Liga leaders Barcelona as they welcome Valencia to Santiago Bernabeu Stadium on Saturday for a matchday 30 fixture. This match between the second-placed Los Blancos and the 15th-placed Los Ches comes with our prediction of both teams scoring goals.
Madrid have 63 points and are three points behind Barcelona, while Valencia's 31 points put them four points above the relegation zone. The home team has an upcoming Champions League quarter-final against Arsenal, but that can't be an excuse to let the guard down. Even their last game against Real Sociedad in the midweek Copa del Rey semis went the distance, but with their squad strength, physical exertions won't be an issue.
Valencia will still look to make the most of this situation and continue their recent surge in form. They are still not far from the danger zone, and that adds extra incentive to give it their all on this trip. Can Los Ches surprise Madrid? Read further for our predictions.
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The Best Betting Odds for Real Madrid v Valencia Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.29 | 6.25 | 9 |
|
|
1.29 | 5.5 | 10 |
|
|
1.5 | 3.3 | 6.5 |
|
|
1.3 | 6.49 | 11 |
|
|
1.3 | 6.49 | 11 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Real Madrid and Valencia?
Our prediction for the Real Madrid vs Valencia match is: both teams to score.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 05/04/2025 between Real Madrid and Valencia in LaLiga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 53.98% for a win of Real Madrid against Valencia with odds of 1.5 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Real Madrid vs Valencia is 30.35% with odds of 6.49 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 15.66% chance ⭐ for a win of Valencia vs Real Madrid with odds of 11 at 1xbet.
Real Madrid - Valencia Prediction and Best Odds:
| Real Madrid Valencia Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid wins | 53.98% | 1.5 at Ladbrokes |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54.97% | 1.53 at Betfair |
| Both Team To Score | 76.25% | 1.91 at Unibet |
| Half-time / Full-time : Real Madrid/Real Madrid | 24.99% | 1.83 at Ladbrokes |
Real Madrid vs Valencia Form
Real Madrid and Valencia's standings in the LaLiga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
72 | 33 | 22 | 6 | 5 | 35 |
|
14
|
39 | 33 | 9 | 12 | 12 | -12 |
Real Madrid and Valencia Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Apr 2025 - Copa del Rey
29 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
15 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
12 Mar 2025 - Champions League
9 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
4 Mar 2025 - Champions League
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Apr 2025 - Copa del Rey
29 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
9 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
4 Mar 2025 - Champions League
23 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
19 Feb 2025 - Champions League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
12 Mar 2025 - Champions League
1 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
26 Feb 2025 - Copa del Rey
15 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
11 Feb 2025 - Champions League
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
15 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
8 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
2 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
22 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
15 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
8 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
22 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
9 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
6 Feb 2025 - Copa del Rey
2 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
2 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
15 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
26 Jan 2025 - LaLiga
14 Jan 2025 - Copa del Rey
11 Jan 2025 - LaLiga
Real Madrid vs Valencia Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
33 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
3 Jan 2025 - LaLiga
2 Mar 2024 - LaLiga
11 Nov 2023 - LaLiga
21 May 2023 - LaLiga
2 Feb 2023 - LaLiga
11 Jan 2023 - Super Cup
Real Madrid - Valencia: Form Analysis
A thrilling 4-4 draw against Real Sociedad on Tuesday helped Madrid seal a 5-4 aggregate win and a place in the Copa del Rey final. They are fighting on the European front too, with an upcoming quarter-final against Arsenal in the Champions League.
Los Blancos have a mandate to fight on the league front too, as they are trailing leaders Barcelona by three points. They won three consecutive league matches, bookended by a come-from-behind 3-2 win at home against Leganes last weekend.
Madrid have the best home record in La Liga this season.
They won 12 of their 14 league matches here, losing just once. That said, five of their last six league games here saw them fail to keep a clean sheet.
That could boost Valencia's hopes of getting something out of this trip. Los Ches won 1-0 at home against Mallorca last week, making it two wins and draws a piece in the league.
The visitors are not far off from the relegation zone, as only four points separate them from the bottom three clubs. That said, Valencia lost only once across their last eight league matches.
Despite such an upsurge, Valencia have a lot of ground to cover away from home. They are yet to win an away match in this league campaign but have drawn seven of their ten recent league trips.
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Players list
F. Gonzalez
DefenderA. Guler
A. Rudiger
E. Camavinga
MidfielderA. Tchouameni
Endrick
F. Valverde
J. Bellingham
ForwardRodrygo
K. Mbappe
D. Alaba
G. Mamardashvili
DefenderH. Duro
C. Mosquera
M. Diakhaby
C. Tarrega
J. Vazquez
MidfielderF. Perez
H. Guillamon
Pepelu
ForwardD. Lopez
R. Mir
Substitutes
S. Mestre
A. Lunin
DefenderD. Alaba
J. Vallejo
R. Asencio
MidfielderE. Camavinga
Rodrygo
Endrick
A. Guler
S. Dimitrievski
J. Domenech
DefenderH. Guillamon
I. Cordoba
Y. Gasiorowski
R. Iranzo
MidfielderPepelu
F. Perez
H. Bellari
S. Canos
R. Mir
H. Duro
Missing players
T. Courtois
DefenderE. Militao
D. Carvajal
F. Mendy
MidfielderD. Ceballos
T. Correia
MidfielderI. Jaime
Real Madrid & Valencia Squad Analysis
Real Madrid will have Eder Militao and Dani Carvajal on the sidelines, with both missing out due to knee injuries. Dani Ceballos, Thibaut Courtois, and Ferland Mendy are the other injured absentees.
Vinicius Junior has contributed ten goals, and Jude Bellingham has eight to his name. Their 4-2-3-1 formation has given freedom for everyone to chip in, as Bellingham slots behind the striker. Vinicius is likely to take his left-wing position, while Kylian Mbappe and Rodrygo make up the remaining attacking places.
Mbappe has 22 goals and three assists for Madrid in this league season.
If coach Carlo Ancelotti wants to keep Mbappe fresh for the upcoming Champions League game, he could push Endrick into the playing XI, although the youngster featured in the midweek.
Valencia have a bigger list of injuries and suspensions, with Dimitri Foulquier missing out due to an accumulation of yellow cards. Jose Gaya and Luis Rioja also missed out because of disciplinary issues.
Los Ches generally line up in 4-4-2 but could fall back defensively for this match with a 5-4-1 formation. That could leave Diego Lopez on the wings as he looks to add to his tally of seven league goals this season.
Most goals and assists
Real Madrid
Valencia
K. Mbappe
(29 Goals)
H. Duro
(8 Goals)
J. Bellingham
(9 Assists)
L. Rioja
(4 Assists)
Real Madrid - Valencia Key Points
- Six of Madrid’s last seven matches in all competitions saw goals from both teams.
- Even in the league, six of Madrid’s last seven La Liga matches saw both teams score goals.
- Madrid failed to keep a clean sheet in five of their last six home league matches.
- Three of Valencia’s last four league matches produced goals from both teams.
- In eight of Valencia’s last nine away league matches, both teams scored goals.
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Our Real Madrid vs Valencia Prediction
Real Madrid find themselves in the midst of a tight schedule with the upcoming Champions League quarter-final against Arsenal. They can't take their eyes off the La Liga competition either, as they remain locked in a tight battle with Barcelona. On the other hand, Valencia are only marginally above the relegation zone, but recent form has been encouraging. They may find it tough to win here against Madrid, but they can look to breach the home team's defense. Our Real Madrid vs Valencia prediction is for both teams to score.
Real Madrid vs Valencia - Other Interesting Predictions
Vinicius Junior to score anytime
Vinicius Junior is fresh off scoring a brace against Real Sociedad in the Copa del Rey fixture. He loves turning up against Valencia, having scored eight goals in 11 La Liga matches against them, and against no team has he scored more. In this corresponding fixture last year, he scored a brace and has five goals in the last three league matches at this venue against Valencia. He looks set to continue that streak with another goal here.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Real Madrid Valencia
| Real Madrid vs Valencia | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid wins | 1.22 | 1.29 | +5.7% |
| Draw | 6.5 | 6.25 | -3.8% |
| Valencia wins | 11 | 9 | -18.2% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Real Madrid is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 5.7% since opening
- The probability of this result was 82.0% and is now 77.5% (-4.4%)
Get up to £30 to bet on the Real Madrid vs. Valencia game
You can get yourself up to €150 in matched bets for the battle between Real Madrid and Valencia when you join Betway. To get the free bet, your first accumulator bet needs to be a losing one. If your first bet wins, then you won't get the free bet, but you'll have your winnings for further fun on LaLiga!
Real Madrid vs Valencia match : Frequently asked questions
The Real Madrid v Valencia Spanish La Liga match will be shown live in the UK on ESPN+. In Spain, this match will be telecast live on GXR World.
You can also follow the game through our live scores. Check out our Spanish La Liga Livescore page!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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