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Real Madrid vs Valencia Prediction & Betting Tips - LaLiga

Spain - LaLiga

Real Madrid
05/04/2025 10:15
Valencia

Prediction :

 

Both teams to score

 
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 by Sridhar | in LaLiga Predictions

Real Madrid will look to stay in touch with La Liga leaders Barcelona as they welcome Valencia to Santiago Bernabeu Stadium on Saturday for a matchday 30 fixture. This match between the second-placed Los Blancos and the 15th-placed Los Ches comes with our prediction of both teams scoring goals.

Madrid have 63 points and are three points behind Barcelona, ​​while Valencia's 31 points put them four points above the relegation zone. The home team has an upcoming Champions League quarter-final against Arsenal, but that can't be an excuse to let the guard down. Even their last game against Real Sociedad in the midweek Copa del Rey semis went the distance, but with their squad strength, physical exertions won't be an issue.

Valencia will still look to make the most of this situation and continue their recent surge in form. They are still not far from the danger zone, and that adds extra incentive to give it their all on this trip. Can Los Ches surprise Madrid? Read further for our predictions.

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The Best Betting Odds for Real Madrid v Valencia Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
1.3 5.75 8.5
Betfred
1.3 5.5 9.5
Ladbrokes
1.53 3.2 6.5
1xbet
1.34 5.96 9.8
22bet
1.34 5.96 9.8
Check all Real Madrid vs Valencia odds
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What is the prediction for the football match between Real Madrid and Valencia?

Our prediction for the Real Madrid vs Valencia match is: both teams to score.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 05/04/2025 between Real Madrid and Valencia in LaLiga :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 53.74% for a win of Real Madrid against Valencia with odds of 1.53 at Ladbrokes.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Real Madrid vs Valencia is 30.59% with odds of 6 at Betsson.
  • Our prediction model gives a 15.67% chance ⭐ for a win of Valencia vs Real Madrid with odds of 10.5 at Betfair.

Real Madrid vs Valencia Form

Real Madrid and Valencia's standings in the LaLiga

Teams Pts P W D L GD
2
Real Madrid
Real Madrid
63 29 19 6 4 33
15
Valencia
Valencia
31 29 7 10 12 -14

Real Madrid and Valencia Last Matches

Real Madrid
Real Madrid Last matches
W W L W W D
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
83% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

1 Apr 2025 - Copa del Rey

Real Madrid
4 :  4
Real Sociedad

29 Mar 2025 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
3 :  2
Leganés

15 Mar 2025 - LaLiga

Villarreal
1 :  2
Real Madrid

12 Mar 2025 - Champions League

Atletico Madrid
1 :  0
Real Madrid

9 Mar 2025 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
2 :  1
Rayo Vallecano

4 Mar 2025 - Champions League

Real Madrid
2 :  1
Atletico Madrid
W W W W W D
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.17 Total goals
83% BTTS
2.67 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

1 Apr 2025 - Copa del Rey

Real Madrid
4 :  4
Real Sociedad

29 Mar 2025 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
3 :  2
Leganés

9 Mar 2025 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
2 :  1
Rayo Vallecano

4 Mar 2025 - Champions League

Real Madrid
2 :  1
Atletico Madrid

23 Feb 2025 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
2 :  0
Girona

19 Feb 2025 - Champions League

Real Madrid
3 :  1
Manchester City
W D W L L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

15 Mar 2025 - LaLiga

Villarreal
1 :  2
Real Madrid

12 Mar 2025 - Champions League

Atletico Madrid
1 :  0
Real Madrid

1 Mar 2025 - LaLiga

Betis
2 :  1
Real Madrid

26 Feb 2025 - Copa del Rey

Real Sociedad
0 :  1
Real Madrid

15 Feb 2025 - LaLiga

Osasuna
1 :  1
Real Madrid

11 Feb 2025 - Champions League

Manchester City
2 :  3
Real Madrid
Valencia
Valencia Last matches
D L D W D W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

30 Mar 2025 - LaLiga

Valencia
1 :  0
Mallorca

15 Mar 2025 - LaLiga

Girona
1 :  1
Valencia

8 Mar 2025 - LaLiga

Valencia
2 :  1
Valladolid

2 Mar 2025 - LaLiga

Osasuna
3 :  3
Valencia

22 Feb 2025 - LaLiga

Valencia
0 :  3
Atletico Madrid

15 Feb 2025 - LaLiga

Villarreal
1 :  1
Valencia
W L W L W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

30 Mar 2025 - LaLiga

Valencia
1 :  0
Mallorca

8 Mar 2025 - LaLiga

Valencia
2 :  1
Valladolid

22 Feb 2025 - LaLiga

Valencia
0 :  3
Atletico Madrid

9 Feb 2025 - LaLiga

Valencia
2 :  0
Leganés

6 Feb 2025 - Copa del Rey

Valencia
0 :  5
Barcelona

2 Feb 2025 - LaLiga

Valencia
2 :  1
Celta Vigo
D W L D D D
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
2.17 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

15 Mar 2025 - LaLiga

Girona
1 :  1
Valencia

2 Mar 2025 - LaLiga

Osasuna
3 :  3
Valencia

15 Feb 2025 - LaLiga

Villarreal
1 :  1
Valencia

26 Jan 2025 - LaLiga

Barcelona
7 :  1
Valencia

14 Jan 2025 - Copa del Rey

Ourense CF
0 :  2
Valencia

11 Jan 2025 - LaLiga

Sevilla
1 :  1
Valencia

Real Madrid vs Valencia Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Real Madrid

50 %

Draw

33 %

Valencia

17 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3
Total goals
67%
BTTS
2
Goals scored (Team 1)
1
Goals scored (Team 2)
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5

3 Jan 2025 - LaLiga

Valencia
1 :  2
Real Madrid

2 Mar 2024 - LaLiga

Valencia
2 :  2
Real Madrid

11 Nov 2023 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
5 :  1
Valencia

21 May 2023 - LaLiga

Valencia
1 :  0
Real Madrid

2 Feb 2023 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
2 :  0
Valencia

11 Jan 2023 - Super Cup

Real Madrid
1 :  1
Valencia
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Real Madrid - Valencia: Form Analysis

A thrilling 4-4 ​​draw against Real Sociedad on Tuesday helped Madrid seal a 5-4 aggregate win and a place in the Copa del Rey final. They are fighting on the European front too, with an upcoming quarter-final against Arsenal in the Champions League.

Los Blancos have a mandate to fight on the league front too, as they are trailing leaders Barcelona by three points. They won three consecutive league matches, bookended by a come-from-behind 3-2 win at home against Leganes last weekend.

Madrid have the best home record in La Liga this season.

They won 12 of their 14 league matches here, losing just once. That said, five of their last six league games here saw them fail to keep a clean sheet.

That could boost Valencia's hopes of getting something out of this trip. Los Ches won 1-0 at home against Mallorca last week, making it two wins and draws a piece in the league.

The visitors are not far off from the relegation zone, as only four points separate them from the bottom three clubs. That said, Valencia lost only once across their last eight league matches.

Despite such an upsurge, Valencia have a lot of ground to cover away from home. They are yet to win an away match in this league campaign but have drawn seven of their ten recent league trips.

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Real Madrid vs Valencia last Lineups

Real Madrid

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

13
A. Lunin
17
L. Vazquez
35
R. Asencio
4
D. Alaba
6
E. Camavinga
8
F. Valverde
14
A. Tchouameni
11
Rodrygo
5
J. Bellingham
7
V. Junior
16
Endrick
12
U. Sadiq
10
A. Almeida
16
D. Lopez
5
E. Barrenechea
8
J. Guerra Moreno
22
L. Rioja
14
J. Gaya
15
C. Tarrega
3
C. Mosquera
20
D. Foulquier
25
G. Mamardashvili

Formation : 4 - 4 - 2

Valencia

Missing players

Real Madrid
Real Madrid
Goalkeeper

T. Courtois

Defender

E. Militao

D. Carvajal

F. Mendy

Midfielder

D. Ceballos

Valencia
Valencia
Defender

T. Correia

Real Madrid & Valencia Squad Analysis

Real Madrid will have Eder Militao and Dani Carvajal on the sidelines, with both missing out due to knee injuries. Dani Ceballos, Thibaut Courtois, and Ferland Mendy are the other injured absentees.

Vinicius Junior has contributed ten goals, and Jude Bellingham has eight to his name. Their 4-2-3-1 formation has given freedom for everyone to chip in, as Bellingham slots behind the striker. Vinicius is likely to take his left-wing position, while Kylian Mbappe and Rodrygo make up the remaining attacking places.

Mbappe has 22 goals and three assists for Madrid in this league season.

If coach Carlo Ancelotti wants to keep Mbappe fresh for the upcoming Champions League game, he could push Endrick into the playing XI, although the youngster featured in the midweek.

Valencia have a bigger list of injuries and suspensions, with Dimitri Foulquier missing out due to an accumulation of yellow cards. Jose Gaya and Luis Rioja also missed out because of disciplinary issues.

Los Ches generally line up in 4-4-2 but could fall back defensively for this match with a 5-4-1 formation. That could leave Diego Lopez on the wings as he looks to add to his tally of seven league goals this season.

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Real Madrid
CD Huachipato Valencia
Top Goalscorer
France K. Mbappe (29 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Spain H. Duro (7 Goals) Spain D. Lopez (7 Goals)
Best assists
England J. Bellingham (9 Assists)
Best assists
Spain D. Lopez (3 Assists)
Spain L. Rioja (3 Assists)
Spain J. Guerra Moreno (3 Assists)

Real Madrid and Valencia Stats in LaLiga

Real Madrid
Real Madrid
Valencia
Valencia
66%
Victories
24%
21%
Draw
34%
14%
Defeats
41%
3.14
Total goals per match
2.69
2.14
Goals scored per match
1.1
1
Goals conceded per match
1.59
62%
Over 2.5
48%
38%
Under 2.5
52%
59%
BTTS
59%
34%
No goals conceded
21%

Real Madrid - Valencia Key Points

  1. Six of Madrid’s last seven matches in all competitions saw goals from both teams.
  2. Even in the league, six of Madrid’s last seven La Liga matches saw both teams score goals.
  3. Madrid failed to keep a clean sheet in five of their last six home league matches.
  4. Three of Valencia’s last four league matches produced goals from both teams.
  5. In eight of Valencia’s last nine away league matches, both teams scored goals.
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Our Real Madrid vs Valencia Prediction

Real Madrid find themselves in the midst of a tight schedule with the upcoming Champions League quarter-final against Arsenal. They can't take their eyes off the La Liga competition either, as they remain locked in a tight battle with Barcelona. On the other hand, Valencia are only marginally above the relegation zone, but recent form has been encouraging. They may find it tough to win here against Madrid, but they can look to breach the home team's defense. Our Real Madrid vs Valencia prediction is for both teams to score.

Prediction :

 

Both teams to score

 
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Real Madrid vs Valencia - Other Interesting Predictions

Vinicius Junior to score anytime

Odds 2.1

Vinicius Junior is fresh off scoring a brace against Real Sociedad in the Copa del Rey fixture. He loves turning up against Valencia, having scored eight goals in 11 La Liga matches against them, and against no team has he scored more. In this corresponding fixture last year, he scored a brace and has five goals in the last three league matches at this venue against Valencia. He looks set to continue that streak with another goal here.

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Real Madrid vs Valencia match : Frequently asked questions

The Real Madrid vs Valencia Spanish La Liga match is scheduled for a 3:15 pm UK time kick-off on Saturday, April 5, 2025.

The Real Madrid v Valencia Spanish La Liga match will be shown live in the UK on ESPN+. In Spain, this match will be telecast live on GXR World.

You can also follow the game through our live scores. Check out our Spanish La Liga Livescore page!

The Real Madrid v Valencia match will be played at the iconic Santiago Bernabeu Stadium in Madrid.

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Real Madrid vs Valencia Prediction
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