Spain - Copa del Rey
New customers only | Commercial content | 18+ age limit | T&Cs apply
by Daniel Ngulu in Football Predictions
Real Madrid will host Real Sociedad at the Santiago Bernabeu for the second leg of the two teams’ Copa del Rey semi-final. Heading into this Tuesday clash, Madrid lead the tie 1-0 on aggregate after winning the first leg more than a month ago in Sociedad. With this slim lead from the opening leg, bookies predictions favor Los Blancos to progress after this match.
The hosts are in with a chance at securing the treble while the Copa is their visitors’ only realistic chance at silverware this campaign. This is the third and penultimate meeting of the season between these two sides.
Real won the first two meetings, both on the road and without conceding and are currently on a four-match winning run against Sociedad. Meanwhile, in the previous 11 meetings between these two, Real Sociedad won just once. The winner on aggregate from this tie will set up a contest against Barcelona or Atletico Madrid in the final.
Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings
The Best Betting Odds for Real Madrid v Real Sociedad Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.4 | 5 | 7 |
|
|
1.44 | 4.5 | 6 |
|
|
1.44 | 4.6 | 6.5 |
|
|
1.49 | 4.9 | 7.05 |
|
|
1.49 | 4.9 | 7.05 |
|
Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings
What is the prediction for the football match between Real Madrid and Real Sociedad?
Our prediction for the Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad match is: both teams to score.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 01/04/2025 between Real Madrid and Real Sociedad in Copa del Rey :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 70.25% for a win of Real Madrid against Real Sociedad with odds of 1.49 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad is 15.45% with odds of 5.2 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 14.31% chance ⭐ for a win of Real Sociedad vs Real Madrid with odds of 7.5 at Unibet.
Real Madrid - Real Sociedad Prediction and Best Odds:
| Real Madrid Real Sociedad Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid wins | 70.25% | 1.49 at 1xbet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 68% | 1.91 at Unibet |
| Both Team To Score | 67.08% | 1.89 at Vbet |
| Half-time / Full-time : Real Madrid/Real Madrid | 28.64% | 2.15 at Betsson |
Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad Form
Real Madrid and Real Sociedad Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
15 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
12 Mar 2025 - Champions League
9 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
4 Mar 2025 - Champions League
1 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
9 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
4 Mar 2025 - Champions League
23 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
19 Feb 2025 - Champions League
8 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
12 Mar 2025 - Champions League
1 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
26 Feb 2025 - Copa del Rey
15 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
11 Feb 2025 - Champions League
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
16 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
13 Mar 2025 - Europa League
9 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
6 Mar 2025 - Europa League
2 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
9 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
6 Mar 2025 - Europa League
26 Feb 2025 - Copa del Rey
23 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
20 Feb 2025 - Europa League
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
13 Mar 2025 - Europa League
2 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
16 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
13 Feb 2025 - Europa League
2 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
17 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
26 Feb 2025 - Copa del Rey
14 Sep 2024 - LaLiga
26 Apr 2024 - LaLiga
17 Sep 2023 - LaLiga
2 May 2023 - LaLiga
29 Jan 2023 - LaLiga
Real Madrid - Real Sociedad: Form Analysis
Real Madrid are in good form. They have failed to win inside 90 minutes just twice in their last nine games across all competitions and are on nine wins in 13 matches. Though they have been comfortable in their victories, Carlo Ancelotti’s men were made to sweat in their most recent game.
In their first match following the March international break, Los Blancos battled from 2-1 down to defeat visiting Leganes 3-2. The win kept them right on the heels of La Liga leaders Barcelona with nine games to conclude the league.
Real have won the last three meetings with Sociedad without conceding. The Capital side, which more recently won the Copa in 2023, is seeking its 20th triumph in the competition.
Real Madrid conceded in each of the last six matches.
Real Sociedad have made the semi-finals of the King’s Cup for a second successive season. Last year they were unfortunate to lose to Mallorca on penalties.
They will be eager not to suffer another semi-final heartache especially as this is their only chance at a title this season. Txuri-Urdin were crowned Copa champions more recently in 2020, ending a more than 30-year wait for their second title.
Sociedad returned from the international break with a 2-1 victory over Real Valladolid in the league. The home victory ended a run of six straight games without a win.
Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings
Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Missing players
T. Courtois
DefenderE. Militao
D. Carvajal
F. Mendy
MidfielderD. Ceballos
J. Pacheco
N. Aguerd
MidfielderA. Zakharyan
B. Mendez
ForwardS. Becker
Real Madrid & Real Sociedad Squad Analysis
Real are one of the best-scoring sides not only in Spain but in Europe. They have a plethora of attacking options with Kylian Mbappe being one. The French forward is having a productive debut season in front of goal and has scored 33 goals across all competitions. He bagged a brace over the weekend and has one goal in two Copa matches.
Endrick is likely to partner Mbappe in attack. The young Brazilian has featured prominently in the Cup this season and was the difference maker in the first leg. His winner in the match was the fourth for the Brazilian in the competition.
At the back though, Real Madrid could suffer. Dani Carvajal and Eder Militao are out for the season while goalkeeper Thibaut Courtois is a doubt with a knee injury.
Real are lethal in attack but have missing defensive players.
Mikel Oyarzabal will want to take advantage of Real's defensive issues. He has been Sociedad’s main attacking threat this season.
The Spanish striker has scored a club-leading 13 goals with two of those coming in the Copa. He has also laid on four assists in the competition. The 27-year-old was on target in the home win over Valladolid this past weekend.
If not Oyarzabal, Ander Barrenetxea with three goals and two assists in the Copa, will be the other threat. The visitors, however, come here without the injured Nayef Aguerd, Sheraldo Becker, Jon Pacheco, Brais Mendez and Arsen Zakharyan.
Most goals and assists
Real Madrid
Real Sociedad
K. Mbappe
(29 Goals)
M. Oyarzabal
(10 Goals)
J. Bellingham
(9 Assists)
S. Gomez
(5 Assists)
Real Madrid - Real Sociedad Key Points
- Five of Madrid’s last six games have seen both teams score.
- Sociedad have conceded in seven straight games.
- Sociedad have failed to score only once in six Copa fixtures.
- Both teams scored in four of Sociedad’s last five games.
- Madrid have kept only one clean sheet in their last 10 matches at home.
Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings
Our Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad Prediction
Our prediction for Real Madrid v Real Sociedad is for both teams to score. Madrid are one of the best scoring teams in Europe and have scored in every home match this season. They should be able to get on the scoresheet against a Sociedad side with a porous backline.
The visitors have conceded in seven straight games. As they are behind on aggregate, we expect them to play more adventurously which will leave spaces for Madrid to exploit. Sociedad are a decent attacking side though, and have shown improvement lately. With top scorer Oyarzabal available, there is a big chance they too will breach Madrid’s inconsistent defence.
Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad - Other Interesting Predictions
Real Madrid to win
For our second prediction, we will back Real Madrid to win. The hosts have won the last four meetings with Sociedad. They are also on a run of four wins in five, whereas their visitors have lost four times in the last seven fixtures.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Real Madrid Real Sociedad
| Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid wins | 1.36 | 1.4 | +2.9% |
| Draw | 5 | 5 | 0% |
| Real Sociedad wins | 8.5 | 7 | -17.6% |
At 2 hours before kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Real Madrid is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 2.9% since opening
- The probability of this result was 73.5% and is now 71.4% (-2.1%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Real Madrid vs. Real Sociedad game!
Are you planning to bet on the upcoming match between Real Madrid and Real Sociedad? Why not take advantage of the free bets from Bet365? Use our promo code STYVIP1 and open your account. Bet365 offers a welcome package of €/£50 free bet credits if you bet €/£10 as a new player.
Try your luck on this year's Copa del Rey! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad match : Frequently asked questions
The Real Madrid v Real Sociedad match will be played on Tuesday, 1 April.
The Real Madrid v Real Sociedad match will be played at Madrid’s Santiago Bernabeu Stadium in Madrid, Spain.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings
